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CNN/UNH Poll: Obama Ahead By Nine Points

Today's CNN/University of New Hampshire poll shows Barack Obama with a strong and stable lead on the eve of the crucial primary. Here are the numbers, compared to the preliminary numbers released last night:

Obama 39% (+0)
Clinton 30% (+1)
Edwards 16% (+0)
Richardson 7% (+0)

6 Comments

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Bush for a third term

because he has got so much "experience"

like Hillary

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Anyone ever wonder why Huckabee is never pictured with his whole family.

I shudder to think of that crew in our white house.

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If Hillary gets the margin below 8%, she can declare it a "comeback", because she lost by 8 or 9% in Iowa.

If Obama beats her by only 5%, it's going to look as if Hillary's got every bit as much momentum as Obama.

Live by the momentum, die by it.

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Yahoo leads with news headline:

Fading in polls, teary-eyed Clinton vows to fight on

Not looking good for her

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If Hillary loses by more than 10%, she should quit the race.

If She loses by 5-10%, she should tough it out.

If she loses by less than 5%, she should declare victory!

If she wins, Obama is a goner!!!

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Of course Clinton can't claim victory if she merely loses NH by a handful of points. I'm sure she will try, but the problem is that the one recent precedent for that tactic working (Bill Clinton in 1992), involved a NH winner (Tsongas) who was both a local favorite and not the Iowa winner. But this time, there would be absolutely no reason why she should have lost NH to Obama in the first place, so it isn't a comeback if she in fact loses. And of course Obama also won Iowa.

In short, if Obama wins again, that is your headline: "Obama wins again". A headline like "Clinton loses NH by a little less than some polls indicated" isn't going to sell any newspapers.

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