Obama Backer Questions Hillary's Electability -- Because Of Bill
This has gotten a bit of attention already, but it's worth a quick note: The chairman of the Wyoming Democratic Party, an Obama backer, has taken a shot at Bill Clinton, saying that the Lewinsky mess should lead us to question Hillary's electability and ensures that her candidacy would damage the electoral hopes of the state's Democrats.
In a letter to the Denver Post, the Wyoming chair, John Millin, writes:
For reasons I don't agree with and don't completely understand, most voters in Wyoming seem to hate Hillary Clinton. This is in part due to the perception of her as being someone who supports big government, most notably through a federal government takeover of the health care system. She is also paying a heavy price for the sins of her husband.If Barack Obama is the democratic presidential nominee, we will be the party of new ideas that understands that a united America will be much better able to address the serious problems facing our country than a divided America. If Hillary Clinton is our party's nominee, every democratic candidate in Wyoming will be painted with that same liberal, big government brush. We will also be the target of the locker room jokes that rightfully belong to Bill Clinton.
The letter's author has no official role with the Obama campaign. The letter carries a message about Hillary's vulnerability that the Obama campaign would probably want to push, but there's no way they can push the letter or associate themselves with it because of the attacks on Bill. Full letter here.
Late Update: The Denver Post also notes that Millin is a superdelegate.















if the writer of the letter is not connected to the Obama campaign, why post it? you're grasping at straws here to level the "campaign-staffer-says-something-ridiculous" playing field. but this wasn't a campaign staffer!
hey...i think someone wrote a letter to the editor in my newspaper calling Mitt a host of names for his Mormon beliefs, arguing that Huckabee's the man for the job because of his conservative Christian credentials...should you run that, too! you know, tell readers that the writer isn't a Huckabee staffer, so it's all good, but oh boy what a storm we can brew!
December 14, 2007 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whatever you think of the letter, the gist of it is true. Hillary Clinton has no "coat tails" in most parts of the country. Dems will get elected despiter her, not because or in concert with her. When she arrives in the White House (as the pundit class predicts) she will have no mandate as president and she will have a huge cohort of independent Dems who will be obstreperous obstacles to anything she might want to do. She will triangulate alright---all within her own party--just to move an inch forward.
You may think Obama inexperienced and Edwards too full of BIg Change, but they are both a damn sight better than Hillary for other Democrats.
December 14, 2007 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
zzzzzzzzzzz
December 14, 2007 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree this seems like an odd thing to treat as newsworthy.
But for what it is worth, I don't think that is a particularly convincing argument with respect specifically to Lewinsky. Indeed, the available evidence is that those events helped, not hurt, Hilalry Clinton's approval ratings.
December 14, 2007 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think this is fair enough considering her desire to use her past fiascos with Bill to claim that she was weather the Republican muck machine. It is good to have someone point out the obvious fact that she didn’t actually come out of those unharmed, she in fact carries a lot of dead baggage from not only Bill’s adultery (and the years of comedy skits devoted to making fun of them), but also everything else she did in the 90s while in the national spotlight. If she wants to talk electability I think it is great that people are actually talking about it in terms of reality, instead of just trying to plant fear in the minds of Democratic primary voters. Her whole campaign has been built on this supposed “inevitability”, and now that that myth is starting to shatter for a lot more Democratic voters she is trying to make up for it in fear.
Oh well, on the bright side, if she gets elected the writers strike won’t matter since the networks will be able to just rerun all of their comedy bits from the 90s. Oh wait, that’s not a bright side. Support the writers! Don’t vote for Hillary!
Haha, like how I spun that?
December 14, 2007 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Millin is a concern troll. He may have no official role with Obama's campaign but he is a pledged Obama superdelegate.
This is risible:
While I don’t agree with this view of Mrs. Clinton, I have to accept that this is the truth. It has become the dirty little secret in the Democratic Party. My fears for the Wyoming Democratic Party are shared by some party leaders throughout the Rocky Mountain West.
Which ones?
And this:
Our opposition to Hillary Clinton is not based on her being a woman, it is based on the fact that her nomination will kill the chances of many democratic candidates around the state.
Who is 'our'? There's also a shocking lack of evidence to support the assertion that her nomination will kill the chances of other Wyoming Democrats. Too bad he doesn't see fit to elaborate.
December 14, 2007 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
When a state chair says something like this, it IS newsworthy. He is a public figure. Not some random campaign staffer.
Also his argument is wrong, Clinton leads Giuliani today in a general election poll from SOUTH CAROLINA!
December 14, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about putting the "Obama ties Hillary in New Hampshire" headline (actually he is LEADING) in a larger font and this non-story in a smaller font. Better yet, get rid of it--it's a lame attempt to stir up controversy.
December 14, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Total non-story and an attempt to stir up a controversy. Why not dredge up the stuff about travelgate or the rose lawfirm stuff, or how about vincent foster???? I agree with DTM on the monica thing.
December 14, 2007 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am no Hillary fan! However, this is an election to determine which of our Democrats will lead us to victory. This is not about Bill Clinton, and should not be. We have greater and more pressing issues in the years ahead, and it would be in the best interests of the Democrats, not to take a volume out of the Rethuglican playbook, but rather focus on the Grand Prize. Everyone of the candidates deserves to be scrubbed, scrutinized and subjected to honest questions. This is sleaze, and it has no place in our party.
Let's hope that Obama does the right thing and apologize for his "delegates" sleaze.
December 14, 2007 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the text of the actual letter:
Wyoming's Hillary Dilemma
Democrats in Wyoming are in position to make huge gains in this election cycle.
We have a democratic governor who won by a 40% margin in the 2006 election. We also have a congressional candidate who lost in '06 by about 1,000 votes and who has already scared the republican incumbent out of the '08 election. We have funding at historical levels and for the first time have hired regional field staff and are actively recruiting candidates to run in every corner of the state. While we are lagging behind the
democratic parties in some of our neighboring states, we are following their lead and will join the resurgence of the Democratic Party in the Rocky Mountain West.
All of this progress will be completely reversed if Hillary Clinton is our party's presidential nominee. For reasons I don't agree with and don't completely understand, most voters in Wyoming seem to hate Hillary Clinton. This is in part due to the perception of her as being someone who supports big government, most notably through a federal government takeover of the health care system. She is also paying a heavy price for the sins of her husband.
If Barack Obama is the democratic presidential nominee, we will be the party of new ideas that understands that a united America will be much better able to address the serious problems facing our country than a divided America. If Hillary Clinton is ourparty's nominee, every democratic candidate in Wyoming will be painted with that same liberal, big government brush. We will also be the target of the locker room jokes that rightfully belong to Bill Clinton.
Some people feel that the basis of this argument is really that we cant support
Mrs. Clinton because she is a woman. This is simply not true. Wyoming has a long history of supporting women in government and politics. Wyoming was the first government in the history of the world to grant equal voting rights to women. We had the first woman public elected official (Esther Hobart Morris) and the first woman elected governor in the country (Nellie Tayloe Ross). Our opposition to Hillary Clinton is not based on her being a woman, it is based on the fact that her nomination will kill the chances of many democratic candidates around the state.
While I dont agree with this view of Mrs. Clinton, I have to accept that this is the truth. It has become the dirty little secret in the Democratic Party. My fears for the Wyoming Democratic Party are shared by some party leaders throughout the Rocky
Mountain West. This region is vitally important to the growth of the national party. While we continue to lose ground in the south, democrats have made huge gains in the west. Not long ago, republicans held the governors offices in all eight Rocky Mountain states. Democrats now hold five out of eight. Westerners have an independent, libertarian spirit and democrats here can make republicans pay a heavy price for years of pandering to the social conservatives. None of this will happen if Hillary wins the nomination.
John A. Millin, M.D., Chair
Wyoming Democratic Party
December 2, 2007
December 14, 2007 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is indeed newsworthy, on account of his political standing. Just so long as people don't confuse him with a Obama campaign official and try to spin it as him playing dirty like Hillary has been. There are huge differences on many levels.
I also agree that with how polarizing she is for the Right and moderates, and actual progressives who don't want to see their party run toward the Right any more than it already did during Bill's administration, there is a decent cause for worry about it influencing other Dem's running on the ballot, either due to an anti-Hillary-get-out-the-vote frenzy from the Right or due to quite a few Democrats looking at Hillary and not seeing a reason to get excited, and perhaps choosing to stay home instead.
Indeed, she may be able to win if she gets the nomination, who knows, but the point is that these worries are legit.
December 14, 2007 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
The chairman of the Wyoming Democratic Party, an Obama backer, has taken a shot at Bill Clinton, saying that the Lewinsky mess should lead us to question Hillary's electability
That's odd; I find no mention whatsoever of Monica Lewinsky in Millin's letter.
You might want to correct that, Greg.
December 14, 2007 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
absolutely....."grasping at straws" to put it nicely. this is stupid.
December 14, 2007 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
-- from The New York Times, December 11, 2007:
"The [New York Times/CBS News] poll confirmed that former President Bill Clinton was an EFFECTIVE campaign weapon for his wife. Forty-four percent of Democratic voters say Mr. Clinton's involvement will make them MORE likely to support her. In fact, about as many of Mrs. Clinton's backers say they are supporting her because of her husband as say they are supporting her because of her own experience."
[emphasis added]
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/11/us/politics/11poll.html
December 14, 2007 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
This extremely grasping attempt at "a pox on both houses" in trying to elevate something done by a non-official in Wyoming up to the stature of a campaign official in HRC's "Firewall" New Hampshire really is a stretch.
I think Greg Sargent should just declare that he supports Hillary Clinton rather than insinuate it by biasing TPM's coverage of the election. It's getting so TPM is becoming my last go-to for info about the Dem campaign--right behind Hillary's campaign website.
December 14, 2007 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone who approves of attacking Bill Clinton in this personal way has no right to call themselves Democrats! This makes me mad! If Obama and his supporters stoop this low, then they might as well go run in the Republican primary!
December 14, 2007 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, Despite the fact that Millin has no official role with the Obama campaign, are you suggesting the campaign is in some way responsible for or obligated to adddress his comments?
December 14, 2007 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
@ poetry
That study only confirms that way too many Dems support her because of Bill, and not because she is the best candidate. I think that is its own problem, however the survey is also talking about likely Democratic primary voters, not the general electorate. What this is all about is the general election, and surveys of general election voters show her negative ratings to be almost 50%. That is the scary part.
On the other hand, Obama actually has huge appeal with independents, and even some people who consider themselves Republicans (which hardly makes sense, but it has been shown to be true). These people are who will determine the general election, not people who are already supporting Hillary because of Bill.
December 14, 2007 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
great post greg. he should step down, just like shaheen.....oh wait, he "has no official role with the campaign?" wtf!?
December 14, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, it seemed a fairly sober analysis from a Democrat from such a Red state. He even said, "For reasons I don't agree with and don't completely understand..."
The simple fact is Democrats in Red states (mostly for US Senate, US House, and Governor) are quietly nervous as hell about Hillary possibly being at the TOP of the ticket, because they know they are gonna pay the price, rightly or wrongly, of being associated with her.
They are nervous for three reasons:
First, their Republican challenger is going to attempt to tie them to Hillary for their own fundraising purposes. Rudy 9-11 9-11 has been doing it for months.
Second, direct mail and advertising is going to put their picture next to Hillary's. Don't believe me? It just happened last week in Virginia:
http://www.politico.com/pdf/PPM42_071209_mailerfront.pdf
Third, Republican get out the vote AGAINST Hillary is gonna be EPIC, which will hurt all down-ticket Dems.
That said, I think Obama's going to win the Democratic nomination anyway, so hopefully his post will be irrelevant until 2016.
December 14, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure I get the point of this - is he part of the Obama campaign? If not, why bother with it? It's not much of a story unless he's in charge of OB's state campaign. And even then, face it, Wyo is hardly a major state politically. In fact, I think it has the smallest number of delegates besides, like, Guam.
By the way, from what you printed of his letter he never mentioned Lewinsky directly, nor does it say that he did in the Denver Post article. So what Greg wrote is kind of misleading. Maybe "alluding to" would be more accurate (and even then Lewinsky wasn't the only sex scandal Clinton endured).
If it was the head of one of OB's state campaigns you'd be right on, but a delegate? Sorry, this just doesn't seem worth this much space on TPM.
December 14, 2007 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another TOTALLY inaccurate headline. No where in there is CLINTON'S electability questioned in any way. Show me where it is Greg.
Waiting. Waiting. How about you read it again and try again.
Why do you make these kind of mistakes?
The point of the letter is that Hillary will hurt other candidate's chances. Please, this time don't just correct the headline...explain how you made this mistake.
December 14, 2007 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops...i put the wrong link on there...here's the one i was referring to that Whitman just used against Phil Forgit in Virginia: http://www.politico.com/pdf/PPM42_071209_mailer1.pdf
December 14, 2007 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow Sargent, where does he say anything about Lewinski? You are really extrapolating here. Are you trying to equivocate this with the drug dealer smear? If so, it fails miserably.
From someone in the mountain west, what this guy is saying is true. Hillary has no crossover appeal in these parts, but my republican friends do think about voting for Obama.
December 14, 2007 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, the fellows position makes the claim newsworthy. That said, why the headline "Obama backer..." As you just noted, that which is newsworthy about this story is that a state party chair has misgivings about Sen Clinton. That the fellow is a backer of Sen Obama is surely a fact worth mentioning, but in the body of the text, not as the first words of the headline. As it stands, the impression conveyed is that Dr Millin is deriding Sen Clinton's electability because Dr M backs Sen Obama. Once one reads the letter, it becomes clear that the reverse is true - he is supporting Sen Obama because he doubts Sen Clinton's chances. This is not an insignificant point, and the headline obscures rather than clarifies as much.
December 14, 2007 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, I'm not supposed to vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary because Barack Obama will win Wyoming in the general?
Yeah, right.
December 14, 2007 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
CornBred...good post above.
...speaking to the subject of this letter, the guy has a point. (though again, why we're reading this on TPM as if it's in connection to Obama still puzzles me...) i'm from wyoming; it's unbelievably conservative, disastrously so. DEM truaner has an outside shot this year of taking cubin's vacant seat...but if the GOP has hillary to rally against, it will mos def affect his chances and other red state dems running for tough office openings.
but again and again and again, why is this on TPM and couched in a way that challenges the ethics/messaging of the obama camp? i try to ignore the call of hillary bias on the site, but man, this one is tough to ignore.
December 14, 2007 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree Greg should probably have stuck with the words Millin used, but I do think those were deliberate references to Bill Clinton's infidelities. Indeed, I think he was probably trying to be polite about it by being less than specific. So, I don't necessarily think Millin is a bad guy for raising this concern. Again, I just think he is wrong about this particular issue (although not necessarily the rest).
December 14, 2007 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's actually a pretty fair assessment. I know a lot of folks who have an irrational dislike of Hillary Clinton, and I'm sure that would have an effect on Democrats in moderate and more conservative states.
December 14, 2007 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
TPS wrote on December 14, 2007 1:11 PM:
Anyone who approves of attacking Bill Clinton in this personal way has no right to call themselves Democrats! This makes me mad! If Obama and his supporters stoop this low, then they might as well go run in the Republican primary!
Are you serious? That sounds like about the most hypocritical thing I have heard today. Hillary, not Obama, is playing dirty. This person has nothing to do with Obama's campaign, which cannot be said for Hillary's Obama the Muslim or Obama the CrackheadDrugDealer "oopses". Give me a break. Not to mention the fact the article wasn't anything radical or even offensive.
I'm going to agree with the others who say that the headline has got to go, it totally distorts what his whole letter was about. I mean seriously. This really does sound like someone is trying to make the Clinton campaign's muck look equal.
@ CornBred
Yes, that flier is EXACTLY what this guy and many others are worried about. Great example of what we are going to see all over the place if Hillary gets the nod. It isn't fear mongering or insinuation, it is obvious and already starting!
December 14, 2007 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jan,
No, his point is about the effect that different nominees will have on the chances of other Democrats running for office in Wyoming. And holding aside the infidelity issue, in general that is a perfectly legitimate concern for a state party chair to have.
December 14, 2007 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
"""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""Larry Drake, a Denver volunteer for Clinton and a Vietnam War combat veteran, characterized Obama as a onetime advocate of handgun bans. "We believe in gun rights in the West,""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""Are there significant differences between them on this issue?
December 14, 2007 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Most voters in Wyoming seem to hate Hillary Clinton." I think the "most voters" is a direct statement that she is unelectable. Unless of course, you can win an election with less than "most voters". Can you explain how that is possible? Waiting. Waiting.
This is also a direct reiteration of the Clinton scandals. How else can you construe "We will also be the target of the locker room jokes that rightfully belong to Bill Clinton." I'm sure the "locker room jokes" are about how grey Bill's hair got during his presidency.
Reports at MSNBC have Obama telling Clinton such attacks come from the "top", when Hillary personally apologized for Shaheen's comments. I don't care about this sort of thing against Hillary, the GOP has been using this against Bill and Hillary for years and its no surprise that their Dem opponents would use it as well. A superdelegate, who happens to be the chair of a state party, is more than just the run-of-the-mill supporter. But I don't expect consistency during campaigns: I expect both to react the same way.
This has been a fairly mild campaign and I don't understand why people are getting so defensive on all sides. It's going to get much, much, much, ..., much worse come March. We're in for trouble if we think any of these "controversies" are so bad. If the GOP can turn mulitple war heros who were injured in war into cowards and traitors, what do you suppose they could do to Hillary and Obama? Please, folks, this is a campaign and it's childish to take everything so personally.
December 14, 2007 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
THE GUY IS IN NO WAY AFFILIATED WITH OBAMA
December 14, 2007 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
Pretty lame. And I'm beginning to see more and more of this stuff from you. Kinda weird since your blog is about the 'politics of reporting', right?
Call people on their sh*t when it's accurate but don't grasp for storylines. I feel like I'm watching Chris Mathews or Tucker Carlson.
December 14, 2007 1:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Non-story, IMO. He hits right on the legitimate fears a number of us have -- that, rightly or wrongly, Hillary gets conservatives fired up and provides lots to talk about in a general election, neither of which will allow the Dems to take advantage of the general anti-Republican sentiment. The GOP is beat down and resigned to their fate, but if Hill gets the nod, they're going to be all up in arms again...
December 14, 2007 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Context folks. First, this isn't the first article or suggestion that HRC would hurt other Democratic candidates, particularly out west. And having recently visited Wyoming, well, it ain't New York or Kansas for that matter. Second, he's not a campaign member, just someone who's expressed his support for a candidate (in this case Obama). Not much of a story if you ask me, but as has been noted here, there is some element of HRC supporters to draw a parallel between Shaheen and Millin. A waste of pixels in my mind, but hey it's a free country.
December 14, 2007 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right on DTM, lots of dem leadership and dem people running have voiced there concerns publically and privately about clinton II being at the top of the ticket. That is a genuine concern for down ticket dems and should definitely be a factor for dems considering voting for clinton II. She will invigorate the republicans who can't stand her to come out and vote against her and dems down ticket. That is a huge problem.
December 14, 2007 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's basically a letter submitted to the editor from a Wyoming politician?
December 14, 2007 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Somebody had to say it. Good for him.
The Democratic Pary could have the wind at its back with Obama or the wind in its sails with Hillary. It amazes me that we're seriously considering nominating her.
December 14, 2007 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, a little harsh what I said before...the content doesn't bother me, but the headline should read: Wyoming Democratic Party Chair (not Obama backer). The real story is that a state chair doesn't support Hillary for reasons of preserving his party's power in the state. THAT is news, not who he backs. Again though, 'politics of reporting' I guess...
December 14, 2007 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry - I meant to say "wind in its face" with Hillary. Point still stands.
December 14, 2007 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
This guy, Millin (a committed Obama superdelegate), is a joke.
He says,"If Hillary Clinton is our party's nominee, every democratic candidate in Wyoming will be painted with that same liberal, big government brush." But I thought one of the objections to Hillary is that she is too CENTRIST and one of the pluses for Obama is that he is the true LIBERAL.
Also, if (as Millin says he does not "completely understand" they hate Hillary because) Hillary Clinton has mistakenly been portrayed as someone who "supports big government, most notably through a federal government takeover of the health care system," doesn't Millin, as the Wyoming Democratic Party chairman feel some obligation to set the record straight instead of piling on and passing along Republican talking points?
Furthermore ...
-- from PoliticsWest (Dec. 13), at: http://www.politicswest.com/2008_election/15115/wyoming_democratic_party_chairman
" Democratic Party chairs in Colorado and New Mexico dispute Millin's contention, according to The Denver Post.
"'The Democratic National Committee and the state Democratic spokesman in Wyoming hastened to point out that the party is neutral in the primary campaign and that Millin's opinions are his own,' The Post reported."
December 14, 2007 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
First let me say that Bill Clinton's ilicit relationships with young women I find pretty foul, and I don't respect the women or men who enable and defend it. I'd prefer this kind of behavior get it's ugly ass out of my party and over into redland where it belongs.
Next let me say this entire discussion minus one or two posts is completely talking past this letter. The headline is inaccurate and obviously stilted to make it a "pox on both houses" response to the Clinton campaign drug dealer shenanigans. The party chair (not campaign chair, party chair) in question is saying running Hillary is going to hurt other candidates in the party in his state and the mountain west. He takes it as a given, as we all do, that there is no way in hell Clinton can win in Wyoming, but he isn't bothering to say that nor is he questioning her national electability. That isn't the story. Why is it being reported this way? Why is Obama's name even in this headline?
For this to have the kind of equivalency TPM is trying to create, the story would have to be that Obama's campaign chair in Florida said that Bill Clinton's history is going to make Hillary answer some uncomfortable Republican questions about whether she agrees with exposing genitalia and sticking cigars in vaginas, and whether her husband has ever exposed himself to a minor or had forcible sex with her or other women.
December 14, 2007 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
even the ny times wrote an article on red state dems against hillary:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/04/us/politics/04ballot.html?_r=2&hp=&oref=slogin&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin
December 14, 2007 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the way, I don't know what significance people are attaching to the fact Millin is a superdelegate, but the whole idea behind superdelegates is that you become one in virtue of your official position within the party, and then you can support whomever you choose.
So it is not like he supported Obama and then Obama made him into a superdelegate. He is a superdelegate who has decided to support Obama.
December 14, 2007 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Right. And a black man with a muslim sounding name that also sounds a little bit like the name an infamous terrorist...that will do nothing to invigorate Republicans.
If you're going to talk about "invigorating" voters, this must be kept in mind as well. Just ask Joe Scarborough.
December 14, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
John Millin is not just a casual commenter; he has pledged to be an Obama superdelegate to the Democratic Convention.
Stop saying he is not an Obama backer.
He most certainly is.
http://leftword.blogdig.net/archives/articles/December2007/14/Wyoming_Democratic_Chair__Obama_Delegate_Savages_Hillary_Clinton.html
December 14, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry,
That is one thing that has always fascinated me about Hillary Clinton: many people (including many Democrats actually, if you look at polls instead of read blogs) still perceive her as being very liberal, despite her efforts to develop centrist credentials.
Anyway, I assume Millin would indeed try to combat that impression if Clinton becomes the nominee. But right now she is just the junior Senator from New York, and I am not sure Millin has much of a duty to work on her behalf.
December 14, 2007 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with DBrunner, please change the headline to read "Wyoming Democratic Party Chair (not Obama backer) Questions Hillary's Electability." That's the story here!
December 14, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't sweat it dbrunner. You are, after all, an Obama supporter. We've come to expect that from you guys.
December 14, 2007 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
---Unless of course, you can win an election with less than "most voters". Can you explain how that is possible? Waiting. Waiting.
The stupid answer is that we just had a president that did exactly that. The smart answer is that saying that Clinton is not going to win Wyoming is like saying Oprah is not going to be invited to the Clinton Family picnic. We all know that. And the dude isn't saying that, because that isn't a point of contention on anyone's part. And he isn't saying that she can't win without Wyoming, because again, that ain't in contention either. If any Dem needed Wyoming to win, we could pack it up now.
What he is saying is she will reverse democratic gains in the state because she is wildly unpopular with some of those western independents, and that is going to hurt the party in more local Wyoming politics if she is the nominee. I'll give you the point that he perhaps needlessly spiced it up with the vague scandal references. But at least he is refering in a toned down way to actual abuses of power as a full grown man, not some cooked up Republican racist trash spat upon someone's adolescence. And again, the guy has no connection to the campaign. So the way this is being pushed is once again calling TPM's credibility into question.
December 14, 2007 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
loki,
Or, you could look at actual polls of Republicans and independents, and see what they actually think about Obama.
poetry,
No one is saying Millin doesn't support Obama. They are saying he isn't part of Obama's campaign staff, which is true.
December 14, 2007 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
2008 Presidential Election Weekly Poll
http://www.votenic.com
The Only Poll That Matters.
Results Posted Every Tuesday Evening.
December 14, 2007 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
President Clinton -- in spite of all the Republicans could throw at him -- left office with a 68% approval rating, which was HIGHER than that of any other departing president since polling began more than seventy years earlier.
It seems the American voter isn't as stupid as the Republicans had hoped and John Millin thinks.
I don't think American voters have forgotten that during the Clinton presidency, we had eight years of peace and prosperity, 22 million new jobs, millions of poor people lifted out of poverty, a balanced budget, a budget surplus, we were paying down the national debt -- and America was respected and admired around the world.
December 14, 2007 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi loki, I would like to refer you to one of my favorite polls. It's gallup and its several weeks old, but it speaks volumes. 78% of republicans are against clinton II and would never vote for her. 43% of republicans are against obama and 39% are for obama. 18% are undecided. That's nearly a 50/50 split of republicans in favor of obama. I think they know that he is african-american by now. Kind of hard to hide that one and they know his name as well. Care to try another slur?
I find it very depressing that the clinton II people have been throwing out the racist card lately as a reason not to vote for obama. Throw in trying to prevent students from participating in the political process. What has become of the democratic party? I don't think clinton II represents the party that I know.
December 14, 2007 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know if I'm seeing a "jump the ship" or a sinister pattern developing here. 2 days ago we get the Shaheen comment that does no favor to Hillary. Today on Andrew Sullivan, he's running some video of a women who purportedly was a Hillary worker who is now caucusing for Obama and now the publication of this letter. I think the Repubs are salivating over this. They would love to have Obama as the nominee. Can you imagine what they would do with a "black and drugs". Even Obama admits he should have never put that in his book. I don't think the Repubs want anything to do with the Clinton Machine. They remember the "ass whupping" they got.
December 14, 2007 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
i agree with DTM. poetry, no one is saying Millin doesn't support Obama. that's not the point. the point is he's not a member of the Senator's staff. his opinion is significant primiarly because of his role as a party chair.....maybe secondarily, because he supports obama. the headline should identify him as wyoming party chair, not obama supporter.
December 14, 2007 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let me get this straight - this man thinks Hillary is too liberal/progressive for the people of Wyoming and will lose candidates votes in his state. Everyone here thinks she is too centrist. Obama is the preferred candidate around here and he is not too progressive/liberal for the voters of Wyoming - get me a compass PLEASE.
December 14, 2007 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry,
But Millin isn't speaking for Americans in general, or suggesting Bill was a bad President. He is talking about the effect of a Hillary Clinton nomination on downticket races in just his one state in 2008.
That said, I agree that people tying Hillary to Bill is not something he really needs to worry about. Public perceptions of Hillary herself, however, are worth considering.
December 14, 2007 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am appalled that you thought this Obama hit piece was newsworthy. You don't have enough servers to post everything Obama backers, Clinton backers and Edwards backers say on a daily basis. I EXPECT to see this dribble in the National Enquirer or on Fox news. I am ashamed Josh would allow Greg to put this type of crap on his blog!
December 14, 2007 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
fillphil,
Where did Obama say he should not have put that in his book?
December 14, 2007 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
As state Democratic Party chairman, John Millin has a powerful position in Wyoming (home to Dick Cheney).
Millin has chosen to cast his vote for Barack Obama. Fine. That's his prerogative.
But, please stop writing here that Millin is not an Obama backer.
Millin had pledged to be an Obama superdelegate to the Democratic Convention.
That makes Millin an Obama backer.
I think we can assume Millin will use all of his formidable power to help Obama.
December 14, 2007 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
So much for the blogosphere representing a "different kind of media coverage." The tit-for-tat approach only works when you're dealing with equivalencies to begin with.
I mean, in its current form, this headline could just as readily apply to some lame-brainer like me posting on TPM. Pointing out that nearly half of this country wouldn't even contemplate casting a vote for HRC is not some sort of personal attack or Repub-style smearing. It's the truth. Don't blame us for dividing when pointing out that your candidate of choice is divisive. Especially with the embarrassment of riches still on the table for Dems at this point.
You don't get to play the "inevitable electability" card and then start crying when others subject the electability claim to honest scrutiny.
December 14, 2007 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
So much for the blogosphere representing a "different kind of media coverage." The tit-for-tat approach only works when you're dealing with equivalencies to begin with.
I mean, in its current form, this headline could just as readily apply to some lame-brainer like me posting on TPM. Pointing out that nearly half of this country wouldn't even contemplate casting a vote for HRC is not some sort of personal attack or Repub-style smearing. It's the truth. Don't blame us for dividing when pointing out that your candidate of choice is divisive. Especially with the embarrassment of riches still on the table for Dems at this point.
You don't get to play the "inevitable electability" card and then start crying when others subject the electability claim to honest scrutiny.
December 14, 2007 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
yeah, this is really shotty journalism... i hope josh is reading it and that he's aware of the impact it's having both on his readers and on their opinions of his site
December 14, 2007 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apologies for the double.
December 14, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
No one has thrown out the racist card to prevent people from voting for him Michael.
It is a fair comparison.
Besides, someone like you with your not too subtle sexist take on Hillary shouldn't be throwing stones.
DTM,
You can continue to delude yourself if you like. But really, the polls? I believe even you know in your heart of hearts what types the Republican Party represents. When you have Joe Scarborough making the claims he makes, a man fairly in the know, I think you know what to do with those polls.
But if it makes you feel better.
Truth is, Obama will win over a Republican without the help of Republicans. Oh, and so will Hillary...or Edwards. Surprises me that you don't get that.
December 14, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Furthermore, Millin signed his letter to the newspaper thus:
John A. Millin, M.D., Chair
Wyoming Democratic Party
December 2, 2007
Are we to assume Millin took a vote of the Wyoming Democratic Party to determine that his letter represents the collective view of the Wyoming Democratic Party?
Or is Millin expressing his own personal opinion, in which case he had no right to sign the letter as he did to imply he is representing the official view of the Wyoming Democratic Party?
December 14, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry,
Again, who said Millin is not backing Obama? All people are pointing out, correctly, is that Millin is not a member of Obama's campaign staff.
December 14, 2007 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
One WY poster states that WY is "unbelievably conservative, disastrously so"
Another poster Cornbred links this letter to a VAGOP smear of a VA Dem candidate
Couple of points:
1) Who in h-e-double hockey sticks cares if WY's 3 (and that's probably more than they deserve) electoral votes go to the GOP?
2)The tax and spend bullcrap is the last resort of the agenda-less GOP. They have nothing to promote but war and tax cuts for the rich and letting your grandchildren pay for all of it and a host of "froth-at-the-mouth" wedge issues we've all heard before
3) The VA GOP is going into the tank because it has just that agenda and nothing more. That's why we here in VA elected Kaine and Webb and will soon elect another Dem Senator named Warner regardless of who is on the top of the Dem ticket.
4) I don't support Hillary or Obama, I like Edwards, but anyone who doesn't see what a disaster the thug party has been and continues to be, and blindly votes for the Republicans AGAIN deserves the "disastrous" government they get
5) Then again there are many who still firmly believe dinosaurs walked with humans and that significant unthinking class will often rally around the wedge issue du jour ala Pavlov's dogs
December 14, 2007 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
loki,
Believe it or not, I don't think every Republican in the country is a mindless racist. In fact, I even count some Republicans among my friends and family. And I have heard them talk positively about Obama, and I believe them. And I have seen other such stories about Republicans who like Obama. And I have seen the polls, even polls like the University of Iowa poll where they allowed Republicans to simply state who they supported for President in the primaries without giving them a list to choose from, and 6% actually spontaneously named Obama.
But hey, you got Joe "Work the Poll" Scarborough on your side. So I guess it is even.
December 14, 2007 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Advantage Clinton!
This was a pretty stupid thing to bring up but I predicted as much last month.
If you think she and Bill don't have a knock out punch coming on this one, I have a nice bridge to sell.
Ooo, that was a low blow (no pun intended) and NOW it's going to get ugly.
December 14, 2007 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
loki wrote on December 14, 2007 2:13 PM:
dbrunner said: Okay, a little harsh what I said before...
Don't sweat it dbrunner. You are, after all, an Obama supporter. We've come to expect that from you guys.
I expect harshness from Edwards' supports too. Y'all are a little scary...
December 14, 2007 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry, well he's certianly not representing the official views of the obama campaign is he?!?!
December 14, 2007 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry,
Generally it is fine for people to make use their titles for identification purposes, as long as they otherwise make clear they are speaking in a personal capacity.
December 14, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are we going to get a correction on this headline, or is the Josh-less TPM insisting that they get to keep at least ONE of their distorted ledes intact?
December 14, 2007 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Loki, screw you. I have never made a sexist statement about clinton II. Not once. I stopped the mrs. bill mantra even though I don't believe it is sexist based on protests from you clinton II bozos. I have never said gee republicans won't vote for clinton II because she is a woman or men won't vote for her because she is a woman. Your candidate is so going to lose because of supporters like you.
December 14, 2007 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, yes...this is exactly what I'm saying. So perceptive there DTM. Also, it's nice to hear you "count some Republicans among my friends and family." Do also "have some black friends" too?
You're belief that Obama is better positioned to win becasue of all his Republican support couldn't be more foolish. But you keep finding whatever poll you need to make you sleep better. Don't let reality sneak up on ya. Whatever you do!
Again, Obama can and will(if he's the nominee) win without Republicans.
December 14, 2007 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
DTM wrote: "All people are pointing out, correctly, is that Millin is not a member of Obama's campaign staff."
No, that is not what posters are writing. They do not want the fact to be emphasized that John Millin, an Obama backer, is using his position as the Wyoming state Democratic Party Chairman to cast aspersions on Hillary Clinton's candidacy. They also seem to slide over the fact that Millin is not only a backer of Obama; Millin is a committed Obama superdelegate to the Democratic Nominating Convention.
There is nothing incorrect in stating that Millin is an Obama backer -- Millin is a powerful Obama backer.
~ ~ ~
dbrunner wrote:
but the headline should read: Wyoming Democratic Party Chair (not Obama backer).
Anonymous wrote :
I agree with DBrunner, please change the headline to read "Wyoming Democratic Party Chair (not Obama backer) Questions Hillary's Electability."
December 14, 2007 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's take a vote. Who here that has read the letter thinks that this headline was the most accurate and/or succinct way to report this story?
I'll start with a resounding "not accurate," given that Clinton's national electability is not even indirectly questioned, and her Wyoming electability not in question and not the point of the letter.
Next.
December 14, 2007 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
NYer wrote on December 14, 2007 2:24 PM:
So let me get this straight - this man thinks Hillary is too liberal/progressive for the people of Wyoming and will lose candidates votes in his state. Everyone here thinks she is too centrist. Obama is the preferred candidate around here and he is not too progressive/liberal for the voters of Wyoming - get me a compass PLEASE.
It is not really that difficult. Hillary has worked very hard to emphasize her progressive, liberal credentials. Republicans and many independents bought it, because they don't pay much attention to the details. Music to their ears.
Progressive democrats---who are more aware of her Iraq votes, and her husband's lack of coattails, and general disregard for others on the ticket, mindful of the factors leading to Gore's loss in 2000---are more aware of her centrism, and there is a lot about it which they do not trust.
It would be an exaggeration to say by trying to be all things to all people, she ends up being nothing to anyone---but there is a troubling drift in that direction.
December 14, 2007 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is pathetic, Greg. Which Hillary staffer excitedly IM'd you with this one?
Yeah, what the Wyoming Dem chairman has to say is newsworthy. But your attempt to use the headline to make him the Obama equivalent of Billy Shaheen is lame -- but I'm sure it's exactly how the Clintonites wanted you to frame it. Nice work. Maybe you'll get to be a regional press sec in the fall.
December 14, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
not accurate. not even close
December 14, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael,
First, I am not a Hillary "supporter." And she is going to lose because irrational, unhinged Obama fanboys like you won't vote for her because of your childish belief in the "purity" and/or "impurity" of certain candidates. Nothing rational about it.
And it doesn't surprise me at all that you don't think you are maybe even a little sexist. I'll bet you even "count some women amoung your friends"! ;^}
December 14, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
DTM wrote: "Generally it is fine for people to make use their titles for identification purposes, as long as they otherwise make clear they are speaking in a personal capacity."
I do NOT see any place in Millin's letter where he says he is writing ONLY for himself and that his comments are NOT the official stance of the Wyoming Democratic Party.
Unless the Wyoming Democratic Party took a vote to send this letter, Millin is MIS-using his position to make it seem he is expressing the official position of the Wyoming Democratic Party.
December 14, 2007 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
This story is crap, and is indicative of TPM going down the crapper.
December 14, 2007 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
how about the side and personal conversations start a seperate thread elsewhere?
do readers, having read the letter feel that it is being fairly and honestly represented by the headline?
December 14, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
This really has me down. TPM had come to be my go to source on media fairness from a progressive perspective. But now that they pretty obviously have a horse in the race, it's clear that not only do they make the same "journalistic mistakes" as everyone else, they've suddenly stopped thinking about fairness in reporting anymore.
Ever since Josh had to come on and defend himself with an "I'm not against Obama, it's just that I don't think he can win and he isn't running a good campaign etc. etc."
December 14, 2007 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
nope....off my blog roll
December 14, 2007 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW...
This article was posted on the wrong website. This belongs in The Onion, under the "Local Area Man" story heading.
December 14, 2007 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with Millin's letter is the same problem that Shaheen presented. It cast negatives on Democratic candidates.
Have we forgotten who the real competitor is? The Repubs are sitting back and recording all these instances for their upcoming campaign. Let's don't feed them their lines. As Democrats, we should feel luckly that we have the candidates we have. Any of which is better than we've had in the last 7 yrs and certainly better than whay they offer for '08. We just have stop cutting ourselves up and speak to their failures.
December 14, 2007 3:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to vote for not accurate on the headline, and not mostly not accurate on the characterization from the party chair either. I don't think Bill via Hillary hurts anyone downticket. Hillary via Hillary is what hurts, and in the west it's simply her "it takes a village" thing that they think of as nannystate. It's probably not that fair policywise, but I have lived in Montana and I agree she is box-office poison there. It's absolutely nothing to do with Bill though.
December 14, 2007 3:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
loki,
Yes I do, in fact (have black friends).
But my point was not that I am somehow qualified to speak for my Republican (or black) friends, or that having such friends says anything in particular about me. My point is just that you have presented no evidence to back up your claims other than to make blanket assertions about Republicans, and I know from personal experience that your blanket assertions are false. And until you can come up with something a bit more convincing than Joe Scarborough's opinion to back up your claims, that is the way things will stand.
poetry,
Usually an explicit disclaimer is not necessary if the text makes it clear it is a personal opinion. And I don't see anyone being confused on this score (did anyone actually think he was speaking on behalf of the entire Wyoming Democratic Party?).
December 14, 2007 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
A better headline would read;
"Obama Backer Questions Hillary's Electability -- Because of several inane and false notions about her being a Liberal, Big Government type with a husband that once fucked around on her and she didn't leave him. Oh, and we also really just hate her for no good reason!"
But that might be a little too longish.
December 14, 2007 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
not accurate
December 14, 2007 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
You've been dragging this site down recently by your poor headlines, weak interpretations, and conspicuous omissions. Please shape up.
December 14, 2007 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
My assertions are dead on and even you know it. But as usual you are incapable of conceding anything so yes that is how it will stand.
Nevertheless...I still state firmly: Obama will win without the need for Republican votes. As will Clinton or Edwards.
December 14, 2007 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
My last post just above was meant to be addressed to DTM. Sorry.
And as someone asked also above...No more personal stuff in here. I agree. Very sorry about that!
December 14, 2007 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually clinton II lover loki none of your assertions are ever dead on. That's what happens when you are so in love with someone. It must be hard having fallen so far in love with clinton II. The blindness and vindictiveness against anyone who questions your true love is readily apparent. Well, you just keep on being blind in your undying and loving support of your idol clinton II.
The rest of us want to win and not pander to the egos of the clintons. The only dem that has a shot of losing is clinton II. Obama has the opportunity to unite the country. Clinton II merely wants to feed her ego, refight the political wars of the 90's and further divide us.
December 14, 2007 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
DTM:
John Millin had NO ethical right to sign his letter as "Chair, Wyoming Democratic Party."
He could have put his affiliation inside parentheses underneath his name; that would have been more appropriate and less misleading.
But that is NOT what he wanted to do; he wanted us to understand that he was speaking AS the chairman of the Wyoming Democratic Party -- and that is improper.
Most public people take that sort of signing very seriously.
Millin wrote that letter as a private individual, NOT as the Party chairman, and he SHOULD have made that clear -- but he didn't.
December 14, 2007 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is, of course, obviously born out by the Hillary Clinton Spend-o-meter prominantly positioned on the main GOP web page. Evidently they greatly fear the prospect of taking her on...
December 14, 2007 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
This story: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
December 14, 2007 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is an odd way of describing him. He is a superdelegate who is supporting Obama. Does that make him an "Obama superdelegate"? Maybe, but only in the same sense that the guy who buys corn-flakes at the grocery store is a "corn-flakes shopper." It is an odd turn of phrase.
As I said before, the headline "Obama backer questions Hillary's electability" leaves one with precisely the wrong impression. He is not questioning Hillary's electability because he supports Obama; he supports Obama because he questions Hillary's electability.
December 14, 2007 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hm, I see that my links in my earlier post do not work. The spend-o-meter is found at:
http://www.gop.com/flexpage.aspx?area=spendometer
while the main page is found at:
http://www.gop.com/
Lest it be unclear, I do not think much of either of those two pages, but they do rather testify to the fact that the GOP is clearly not nearly so scared of taking on Clinton as fillphil was attempting to make out.
December 14, 2007 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
He is the chair of the WY democratic party. I dare say that he is the only man in America who does have the ethical right to sign his letter that way. Indeed, it would be hard to understand why he would not. Is Cheri Zeman ethically compromised if she did not poll all the members of the Human Services Commission of Northern VA before writing a letter to the WaPo? Your argument here is rather hard to swallow.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/12/13/AR2007121301627.html
December 14, 2007 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
its amazing that people continue (willfully?) to miss the point of the discussion that should be occuring here. it isnt about whether millin can morally or otherwise represent the wyoming democratic party with his signature. its whether by choosing to support - not work for - barack obama, he publicaly represents obama in say, the same way that shaheen represented clinton. the answer, much to greg's shagrin i'm sure, is that he doesn't. journalistically, this piece is absolute garbage. sargent should no longer be allowed to post here. end of story.
December 14, 2007 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
The 68% approval rating President Clinton had when he left the White House had to have included Independents and/or Republicans, since the story is that America is divided thus:
30% are Democrats
30% are Republicans
40% are unaffiliated with either party
That being the case, Bill Clinton had high approval ratings among more than just Democrats.
I think any politician today would be thrilled to have President Clinton's 68% approval rating (which was the highest of any departing president since polling began more than seventy years earlier).
In fact, at the height of the Republican-led impeachment proceedings, President Clinton's approval number rocketed to 73%.
Had to have included Independents and/or Republicans.
December 14, 2007 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry, engage in the relevant dialouge or go elsewhere
December 14, 2007 3:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg DeLassus:
John Millin has PLEDGED himself to be a superdelegate for Barack Obama. That is MORE than casual support; that is serious support that any candidate hopes to have.
On the topic of superdelegates, one fact that may interest you is that "as of December 3, 2007, the number of 'Superdelegates' committed to Hillary Clinton were 72 and to Barack Obama 27. These "superdelegates" are about 14 percent of the 2,182 delegates a candidate will need to secure the party's presidential nomination."
http://tinyurl.com/2t876g
December 14, 2007 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michael,
Nothing more than childish blather on your part.
You may now have the last word.
Cheers.
December 14, 2007 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
superdelegate update ...
As of Dec. 2007,
"Clinton has the endorsement of 169 superdelegates. She is followed by Obama, 63; John Edwards, 34; Bill Richardson, 25; Chris Dodd, 17; Joe Biden, 8, and Dennis Kucinich, 2."
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2007-12-02-superdelegates_N.htm
December 14, 2007 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous,
He is identified as an Obama backer. Not working for him or his campaign. Just a "backer."
December 14, 2007 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Indeed, I had seen those figures about percentage totals of committed superdelegates, but I do thank you nonetheless for passing them along. Of course, once again your way of presenting the data strikes me as somewhat odd. The most interesting thing, to my mind, about the numbers is that the majority of delegates are not committed to anyone, rather than the fact that Hillary Clinton's tiny fraction of them is larger than Barack Obama's tiny fraction.
December 14, 2007 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous :
Learn to spell dialogue "or go elsewhere."
December 14, 2007 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
poetry,
Again, I don't see anyone being misled.
I also just don't get the superdelegate thing. Millin would be a superdelegate no matter who he supported, in virtue of his official position, which is the whole point. So since he supports Obama, he is in fact a superdelegate who is supporting Obama. But again, he didn't have to do anything for Obama before becoming a superdelegate--he was one already.
I strongly suspect people are deliberately or mistakenly trying to emphasize this because ordinary delegates are chosen by the campaigns, so to call someone a delegate ordinarily implies a kind of agency relationship with the campaign. But again, that is simply not true of superdelegates.
December 14, 2007 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sigh, when will the Obama campaign people and the Clinton campaign people get tired of playing this game. The senators, both of them, need to make clear that there is to be no going off the reservation. This isn't doing anybody any good.
Will Mr. Millan now recuse himself from his chairmanship or his superdelegate-hood?(somehow I doubt it)
The winner in all this is going to be Sen. Biden, I betcha.
December 14, 2007 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, his chairmanship is his superdelegate-hood (that is, he is a superdelegate by virtue of his standing as party chair in WY), so to recuse himself from one would necessarily be to recuse himself from the other. That said, why would he recuse himself? For what purpose and towards what end? He is voter who is voting for Obama, not a staff member working for him. He is not "going off the reservation" in making his claim any more than I would be if I were to have said the same thing. Surely it is not so hard to understand the distinction between a supporter unconnected with the Obama campaign criticizing Clinton and a campaign staffer for Clinton criticizing Obama?
December 14, 2007 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
2008 Presidential Election Weekly Poll
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December 14, 2007 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
All eyes are on Iowa/NH they really believe they are voting for Oprah! That will certainly change how the rest of the country views them from now on.
It’s a shame how Oprah and obama has divided the country on race! oprah supporters are afraid to research obama because then they will look foolish, its easy to jump on the anithillary band wagon, its all you will read or see from all these men owned and operated media and the ones oprah pays. Its called "INTIMADATION" We know these tricks ladies, look through history…ALL WOMAN RISE ABOVE
IT IS OUR TIME TOO, pay no attention to phoney tv talkshow host behind the curtain…
STEADMAN IS FOR CLINTON AS IS MYA ANGELO, what’s that tell you about oprahs support and why she supports obie the junkie
December 15, 2007 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
OBAMA'S BACKGROUND CHECK "snopes.com". It is factual. Check for yourself. Probable U.S. presidential candidate, Barack Hussein
Obama was born in Honolulu, Hawaii to Barack Hussein Obama, Sr., a black MUSLIM from Nyangoma-Kogel, Kenya and Ann Dunham, a white ATHIEST from Wichita, Kansas. Obama's parents met at the University of Hawaii. When Obama was two years old, his parents divorced. His father returned to Kenya . His mother then married Lolo Soetoro, a RADICAL Muslim from Indonesia.? When Obama was 6 years old, the family relocated to Indonesia. Obama attended a MUSLIM school in Jakarta. He also spent two years in a Catholic school. Obama t akes great care to conceal the fact that he is a Muslim. He is quick to point out that, "He was once a Muslim, but that he also attended Catholic school." Obama's political handlers are attempting to make it appear that he is no longer Muslim. Obama's introduction to Islam came via his father, and that this influence was temporary at best. In reality, the senior Obama returned to Kenya soon after the divorce, and never again had any direct influence over his son's education. Lolo Soetoro, the second husband of Obama's mother, Ann Dunham, introduced his stepson to Islam. Obama was enrolled in a Wahabi school in Jakarta . Wahabism is the RADICAL teaching that is followed by the Muslim terrorists who are now waging Jihad against the western world. Since it is politically expedient to be a CHRISTIAN when seeking major public office in the United States, Barack Hussein Obama has joined the United Church of Christ in an attempt to downplay his Muslim background. ALSO, keep in mind that when he was sworn into office he DID NOT use the Holy Bible, as all of our other public officials, but instead the Koran. Let us all remain alert concerning Obama's expected presidential candidacy. The Muslims have said they plan on destroying the US from the inside out, what better way to start than at the highest evel - through the President of the United States, one of their own!!!!
December 15, 2007 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
To looking beyond Oprah:
People of your ilk never seem to tire of exhibiting your ignorance, bias and gullibility.
Taking the gullibility first. Obama swore on a Bible -- if he hadn't it would have been big news at the time. It wasn't.
ever heard of Google?
As to bias: a Muslim is as capable of being a good leader in America as anyone else.
Ignorance: Indonesia is not Wahabi. The school that Obama attended after his fist two years at a Catholic school in Indonesia was the public school for Indonesia's elite. It was Muslim only in the same sense that American public schools are Christian. CNN went and checked the school out.
ever heard of Google -- or do I repeat myself?
December 15, 2007 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
TPM is evenhanded in how it treats each campaign as being behind the actions of prominent 'surrogates' Remember how they dealt with Geraldine Ferraro?
Millin position as a superdelegate supporting Obama is relevant not because he is beholden to Obama for that position(which he is not) and thus corrupt but because he is partisan because he is backing Obama.
So a fair headline would read Obama backer argues Hillary has no coattails in Wyoming because of Bill.
My observation has been that Bill haters are pretty vociferous and their numbers therefore tend to be overestimated. By the numbers, many people who claim that they dislike Hillary choose to vote for her in polls when she matched against a rethug they dislike even more.
Since Obama in my view is a centrist on the order of Lieberman I much prefer Hillary who has a strong liberal voting record even if there is some drop off down ticket.
I wish Millin would stop running on fear.
December 15, 2007 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
So presumably the Obama campaign has by now made all appropriate prostrations to put as much daylight as possible between themselves and any possible association with Millin's inflammatory remarks. One also presumes that Millin has steeped down as Wyoming's party chair by now. It is extremely inappropriate for a state party chairperson to publicly endorse any primary candidate and obviously Millin has effectively done just that.
December 15, 2007 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
To put Dr. millin's comments into historical perspective, when Bill Clinton was elected in 1992, of the five statewide elected officials, three were Democrats (the governor, secretary of state, state supt. of public instruction--all serving a second term). Gov. Mike Sullivan ran for the Senate and lost in '94. Kathy Karpan, the secretary of state, ran for governor and lost, Lynn Simons was defeated. Until 2002 when Democrat Dave Freudenthal was elected governor, not ONE Democrat won statewide. This was the longest period in the state's history when there wasn't a Democrat in any congressional or statewide office. That's what Dr. Millin is concerned about. I agree with him--I live in Wyoming and ran and lost as a Democrat in the Clinton I years.
December 15, 2007 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Al Gore was roundly criticized for not using Bill Clinton more in his campaign because they conclude it cost Gore the election.
Now we hear that Hillary cannot win the election for using Bill Clinton in her campaign because it will cost her the election.
We all know it can't be both. So, which is it? I think the Gore opinion resulted from a post-election analysis. While that doesn't mean for sure that it is right I would put more stock in that than some charge coming from an Obama supporter making a political point to further his candidates chances.
December 15, 2007 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I grew up in Wyoming. I now live in DC. While very few people should care what a Wyoming delegate has to say on this matter, I believe the actual story is important. Many of us have been saying these words for a long time. As such, this is a story on its merit (not bad headline) for a couple simple reasons:
1. Westerners do not identify with a wealthy, northeastern businesswoman who does not attempt to identify with their concerns. Gore lost his home state and it was attributed to this point. Had he won, the electoral college would have swung his way and Florida would have been moot. Many strategists faulted him for not spending time in his own state versus DC or the "big" states. He was seen as not representing his own people. He became one of "them". In a Westerner's eye, Hillary was never one of "us". Neither is Obama, though he is trying.
2. Strategically, the ability to split a unified party, (like a green party or libertarian) has proven disastrous to the party affected. Again, attributed to costing Gore the election with a 3-4% drop in Dem votes in key states like Florida. Many of us now violently hate Nader and become ill at the sight of him on TV. It was a near riot this year when he loosely talked of running again.
Propping up a firebrand like Hillary that elicits such vitriol will not win an election. It will guarantee a loss. This guy who wrote the letter is not wrong and we all need to understand our own national demons, or lack thereof: It has less to do with a black man or white woman than who will actually represent us and our own needs.
Hillary does not present an image of working for the common person. Neither did Gore or Kerry, and we got bamboozled by a rich Yalie whose dad directed the CIA, but ran as the "common man" with no plan or ideas. Twice!
She has to solve this image problem, if she indeed feels it's a problem in the first place. Maybe Western states don't matter to her election. 3-vote Wyoming is probably not big on her political agenda, but the emotion is a larger issue. Dems want to expand their holds in the House, the Senate, governorships, and state government. It will be tricky at the local levels and putting unpopular people next to their candidate is a GOP hack job, not a Dem's campaign slogan. Remember that the folks who hang out on progressive blogs are a skewed population and can be a tad reactionary. Do some research on what others are citing and decide for yourselves; and if/how you want to help.
The Dems have a White House to lose in 2008. The GOP candidates are embarrassing, their incumbent is an embarassing crook, and Dems have many, many scandals to rake prior to this election. I believe this guy is simply bringing to the fore a valid issue. Pick someone who can win and don't screw it up. The last thing any of us want is President Guliani simply because we all botched this and misjudged the American voter.
Regarding the folks who are coloring this author as an "Obama-lover" who is trying to get some press, look at his honest options: He firmly believes that Hillary will lose and cause collateral damage at the state levels, so he should be a delegate for her? Of course not. Don't let the bad headline sway you. Stay on topic of the discussion, not the headline AS the discussion. We are smarter than that, aren't we?
December 15, 2007 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
The reason most voters in Wyoming hate Hillary is because most voters in Wyoming are Republicans and Republicans are misogynistic.
If a Republican woman were running for president, you can guarantee that Democratic citizens would not be spewing their hatred of her, calling her bitch on national TV and talking about using violence against her, on the internet.
The hatred of women (and gays, remember Matthew Shepherd, Wyoming?) is still acceptable in this rotten society of ours.
December 15, 2007 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary was a Goldwater Girl, a Republican for Nixon in 1968, and only after meeting Bill did she become a democrat.
There is nothing in her voting record to suggest she is a liberal at all. She supported the war, and continues to defend her vote for the war in Iraq. She helped an administration weaken the social safety net. She voted for the Patriot Act....twice.
Look at her voting record. Her experience. There is not a dimes worth of difference between her and Arlen Spector, or most other Republican Senators.
December 15, 2007 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's right. Everything about Hillary's political career, and her law career, came on Bill's coat tails, and there's a lot of dirty laundry there too.
Had they never met, perhaps things would have been different.
But, it's undeniable she benefited by his office, which questions her independence and individual merits. For example, she was offered a position at Rose, after Clinton took office as AG and then Governor. Of course they wanted Hillary on staff. She's been on the board of WALMART because of access to Bill and power. It's GW Bush all over again. This is exactly why nepotism is bad.
The nepotism would be bad enough if it was all good outcomes. But factor in Lewinsky,the failed health care reform of the 90's, NAFTA and such, Iraq war vote, vote on Iran's military as a "terrorist" org, and it's pretty hard to portray her as someone on top of things or a great leader.
Bill's "3rd way" Democratic policies are now pretty despised because it turned out to be the worst of corporate Democratic backers with corporate Republican backers. The worst of both worlds. It produced NAFTA from a Democrat instead of a Republican, and people like Joe Lieberman, who basically is a Republican.
I have fond memories of Bill, relative to what came after. But in truth, many of his policies were pretty lousy triangulation and pandering to powerful interests, and Hillary is the same. We could do worse than hillary, but we could do a lot better too.
Obama has shown far better judgment on Iraq and other issues, he's truly of the people and done a lot of community work, he's a centrist in the good sense, combining the best of both parties, not the worst, and he came up on his own merits and intellect.
We wouldn't even know who Hillary is if not for Bill.
We know who Obama is because Obama has made himself known on merits.
December 16, 2007 4:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Who in h-e-double hockey sticks cares if WY's 3 (and that's probably more than they deserve) electoral votes go to the GOP?
Phil:
It's not about the electoral votes. Nobody is claiming Hillary or Obama will make much of a difference in how the Presidential race will go in Wyoming. What it is about is: both of Wyoming's Senate seats are on the ballot this year. That's a full 1/50th of the U.S. Senate.
The State Party Chair is asserting that Hillary's presence on the ticket may hurt the party's chances of picking up those two seats in a heavily conservative state.
In other words: Hillary's nomination endangers the party's ability to achieve a solid Lieber-less majority in the Senate.
Also on the ballot this cycle is Wyoming's only seat in the House. So what the man is saying is: Hillary increases the odds that the Republicans lock up those 3 seats in the legislature, and run the table in Wyoming.
There's more at stake than winning the White House for one term, or two terms... he's talking about lasting gains being endangered, and setting back the longer-term process of making real in-roads in the state.
December 16, 2007 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
The only reason Hillary could possibly win is also her husband.
December 16, 2007 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, the wonderful imagery of Monica’s stained blue dress. And Bill denying and perjuring himself about it.
And the Pardon for Cash program Bill executed as they were leaving office. Where is Marc Rich these days anyway?
With Bills outrageous attacks on Charlie Rose, Obama should run an ad with a montage reminding the votes of the Clinton/Bush connections and similarities:Corruption, Arrogance, Deception
December 16, 2007 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill McD:
You are absolutely right. You state clearly why Dr. Millin is concerned and other Democrats ought to pay some attention to the Wyoming case, for a change. Ten percent of the US Senate is up for election in Wyoming this year. Enzi is seeking re-election and John Barrasso is trying to keep the remainder of Craig Thomas' term, a seat to which he was appointed earlier this year. Not many states have two senators--both Republicans--up this year. And Wyoming Democrats do stand a chance to win one of them, but not with Hillary leading the ticket. (By the way, Helen, Wyoming was the first state to elect a woman governor--and she was a Democrat. This has nothing to do with gender. It is a combination of tin-ear for Western issues and the Clinton record of no (or negative) coat-tails.
December 16, 2007 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whoops. Excuse the arithmetic. 1/50 of the Senate is what I meant to say.
December 16, 2007 11:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Huh? Since when is it inappropriate for party operatives to express opinions about candidates? The Hollis Democratic Pary Chair in New Hampshire, Claire Helfman, is openly supporting Hillary Clinton. Is this inappropriate? I am hard pressed to see how.
December 17, 2007 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink