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Polls: GOP In Bad Shape For 2008 Senate Races
A new round of Senate polls from SurveyUSA, commissioned by Roll Call, show the Republicans in serious trouble for the 2008 Senate races.
In Oregon, Republican incumbent Gordon Smith is ahead but under 50% against two Democrats, leading state House Speaker Jeff Merkley 48%-39%, and leading Democratic activist Steve Novick 45%-39%.
In Minnesota, incumbent Republican Norm Coleman is statistically tied with both his Democratic opponents, with a one-point 46%-45% lead against Al Franken, and a 44%-44% tie against attorney and 2000 Senate candidate Mike Ciresi.
For the open seat in New Mexico, Republican Representatives Steve Pearce and Heath Wilson both trail Democratic Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chávez, with Chávez at 48%-43% against Pearce and 48%-44% against Wilson. This is a turnaround from earlier polls that showed Chávez to be a weak Democratic nominee. Dem Congressman Tom Udall, who is also looking at the race, was not polled.
In the open-seat race in Virginia, former Democratic Governor Mark Warner leads former GOP Governor Jim Gilmore 57%-35%, and leads former Senator George Allen — who has not indicated that he would run — by a 52%-42% margin.
In New Hampshire, incumbent Republican John Sununu trails his 2002 opponent Jeanne Shaheen by a 53%-42% margin.
The Republicans' only bright spot is Maine, where Senator Susan Collins leads Dem Congressman Tom Allen 55%-38%.
Late Update: In another poll result I missed before, Democrats are also ahead in the open-seat race in Colorado, with Dem Congressman Mark Udall leading former Republican Congressman Bob Schaffer 48%-41%.















Awesome polls! Make sure to check the detailed Senate rankings just released by Campaign Diaries!
November 5, 2007 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
This looks good. As long as clinton II isn't at the top of the ticket, dems should pick up a ton of seats and maybe even a filabuster proof majority. Then maybe we can get this country back on track.
November 5, 2007 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mainers aren't typically tuned in as yet to any of the '08 federal races, folks (municipal & state referenda issues are on deck for the next two weeks).
Here's the Critical Insights Fall, 2007 Tracking Survey (in its entirety--sans the media spin).
November 5, 2007 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maine's Critical Insights Tracking Survey (Fall, 2007) here.
It's too early for interest in federal races up here, folks (state referenda & municipal are of import at this time to locals).
...and we don't "poll" incessantly, as does the rest of the country.
November 5, 2007 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anti-choice, anti-environment, pro-war (after saying he was against the war), Smith even votes with President Bush 90% of the time.
Oregonians are looking for someone who represents their values, not Bush’s.
Please let your friends and family know about how Smith votes on the issues that they care about the most. Visit StopGordonSmith.com today!
November 5, 2007 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Say what you will about his politics, Smith represents Oregonians on the Hill.
Oregon senators have a long history of filibustering, from stalling military action in WWI to rising gas prices and farm aid.
Both Wyden and Smith have kept the tradition alive and work well as an ambiguously-persistent duo in Congress.
November 5, 2007 11:56 PM | Reply | Permalink