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Poll: Tennessee Leans GOP For 2008, But Could Be Close
A new poll from Middle Tennessee State University finds that the state could potentially be close in 2008, though the Republicans do seem to have an edge.
In a match-up between favorite son Fred Thompson and Hillary Clinton, Thompson just reads 50%, with Hillary 42%. Against Barack Obama, Thompson has a much greater 55%-34% lead.
In a match-up between Hillary and Rudy Giuliani, the two are tied at 43% each. Giuliani leads Obama 44%-36%
John McCain leads Hillary by a statistically insignificant 45%-42% margin, and tops Barack Obama 44%-35%.
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Correction: It would be close in TN or other red states only if HRC is the Dem nominee. Although across the board, in east, west, north and south, HRC has been consistently the stronger of the Dem candidates, the "natives" still feel jittery that she might be a catastrophe for the party. Isn't it chutzpah ultima to ask if a candidate can win while she is winning?! No wonder they have lost so many close elections! They do not know a winner when they have one, or they would do all that they can to ensure that their nominee is "soft and tender" for the GE by constantly beating on him or her!
November 9, 2007 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
This confirms the only other poll of Tennessee taken so far, released about a month ago, that had Clinton in a very similarly competitive position, tied with Rudy, leading Romney. Link to the poll.
November 9, 2007 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
2008 Presidential Election Weekly Poll
http://www.votenic.com
Results Posted Every Tuesday Evening.
November 9, 2007 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Showing strength in the ex-Confederacy is great for the Democrats. It's also gravy. The Republican Party has revealed itself to be regional in its cultural identification at the moment. The Democratic Party shouldn't tailor a general election strategy to this region when so many states in the Mid-West and Mountain West are in play.
Hillary doesn't belong in a deer stand, and neither did Kerry. Whether the nominee is Edwards or Obama or Clinton, pollsters should not be allowed to get hard-ons showing the Dems competitive in the south. We need victory not absolution.
November 9, 2007 11:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nice analysis at Campaign Diaries, posted in September and still relevant today! It shows just how little the dynamics of this race have changed, even including the post-"debate" period...
November 9, 2007 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink