Poll: Romney Leading In Iowa — And Huckabee In Second Place
The new Zogby poll in Iowa shows that Mike Huckabee has now moved into second place in the Republican caucus — though Mitt Romney continues to hold a comfortable lead:
Romney 31%
Huckabee 15%
Giuliani 11%
Thompson 10%
McCain 8%
The margin of error is ±5%, so Huckabee's lead over Rudy is within the margin. But the momentum is clear — Huckabee has gone up seven points since August, while Rudy has fallen by three.
Comments (26)
Anonymous wrote on November 8, 2007 2:23 PM:If Huckabee had any fundraising skills, he'd be a serious contender.
Bye, bye, Rudy!
Anonymous wrote on November 8, 2007 2:33 PM:feel the Wayne Dumond-mentum!
Miss Terry wrote on November 8, 2007 3:10 PM:I saw Huckabee on Charlie Rose. Rose was prepared to disklike him and so was I. Although I disagree with many of Huckabee's opinions (he's anti-choice and believes in a usage tax), I still thought he was extremely engaging and genuine. I live in Massachusetts so know Good Ol' Mitt Romney from way back and there's never been a phonier, more supercilious human on the planet. He lives in Belmont and was instrumental in getting a Mormon temple constructed there. I couldn't care less what religion it is - what followed their decision to build a temple in Belmont was beyond arrogant. The temple was in a soldidly residential area and the Mormons continually refused to negotiate with their neighbors about the sound and inconvenience the construction caused. There was a very nice home (purchased for, I believe $200,000 in the 1970's)close to the site and they decided to move. They couldn't sell their home, though, due to the noise, construction and proximity to the temple. So the Mormons bought it - for $200,000. They wanted to put a huge, gold cross at the top of the temple (so it could be seen from the highway) and the neighbors objected. The Mormons claimed in court that crosses were always a fundatmental part of their temples' design and construction; building a temple without a cross would be a violation of their rights. So they got their cross. And, btw, the stuff about the cross always being on a Mormon temple was bs; it simply wasn't true that they were always included, in fact, my understanding is that they're usually NOT. (Although there may be crosses stuck on temples all across the country now that Mitt's running.) Romney was an enormously influential leader involved in the temple's construction and his bullying ways were on full display.
nogo war wrote on November 8, 2007 3:33 PM:gargle with Scopes every day for 30 seconds.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n-BFEhkIujA
Huckabee is the GOP candidate I cringe at the least. Sure, he disagrees with me on pretty much everything, but he seems to be the most consistent and committed to his views (as opposed to Giuliani or Romney). Things might fall apart under his leadership, but I have the sense that increasing poverty levels and general citizen outrage would lead him to disavow some of his right-wing economic views for more humane positions. I just don't see the other candidates caring much--they'll just blame it on the "liberal media". I guess, I just think Huckabee has absurd views, but is a generally decent human being.
Andrew Weakland wrote on November 8, 2007 3:47 PM:Margin of error of +-5%??? What was the sample size? The local Wal*Mart?
global citizen wrote on November 8, 2007 4:07 PM:If McCain, Huckabee or Romney win, I'll try to stay outside of the USA as much as possible. If Giuliani wins I'll try to find a way to be off planet. It is good to see him sinking slowly, though fast would be better.
An Arkansan Who Knows Huckabee wrote on November 8, 2007 4:10 PM:Mike Huckabee is an opportunist. He couldn't get elected in Arkansas to the U.S. Senate when he ran in the early 90's. He ran enough that he got enough name recognition so that eventually he got elected Lt.Governor. When the Whitewater hysteria eventually snagged sitting governor Jim Guy Tucker on a technicality, Huckabee became governor. He took credit for programs (ARKids first, a government funded health insurance for children) that was started by the Democratic legislature and Governor Tucker. When he had control of the the governor's discretionary fund, he used it without much discretion in personal ways. He had continued ethics problems including spending lavish amounts of money on luxury upgrades to offices and the governor's mansion. He had a culture of secrecy and confederates who helped discredit his critics. If you want to know what Huckabee might be like as president, I think he would be much like the current administration, although I do believe Huckabee is more competent. Read Arkansastimes.com for the unbiased lowdown on Huckabee.
D wrote on November 8, 2007 4:47 PM:Giuliani is now going to have to answer questions about soon-to-be federally indicted Bernie Kerik (for crimes allegedly committed while he was Police Chief under Giuliani). That can't help. But I don't see how that "Federal Sales Tax" insanity won't kill Huckabee.
Mormon Democrat wrote on November 8, 2007 4:53 PM:I personally like Huckabee even though I disagree with him on a few issues. I think what wins people over is the fact that he actually ANSWERS questions rather than trying to dodge them or spin them.
Miss Terry, there are a large number of inaccuracies and outright false statements about the LDS Church in your post. Even though you may dislike Romney, that's no excuse to be irresponsible. By the way, I'm an Obama supporter, but I would vote for Huckabee over Romney if I were voting for a Republican.
Anonymous wrote on November 8, 2007 4:56 PM:"..I still thought he was extremely engaging and genuine.."
Swell. Remember when it was claimed that George Bush was a guy who you'd like to have a beer with? How well did voting on that opinion work out for you? Huckabee has positions the opposite of most thinking voters. Avoid his candidacy like the plague.
Mormon Democrat, what are the inaccuracies and falsehoods in Miss Terry's post?
gqmartinez wrote on November 8, 2007 5:21 PM:Many of the reasons why I felt Huckabee could emerge apply to Richardson. I think Richardson is the only one capable of beating Hillary in the primary, but I'm starting to be less convinced that that will happen. It seems that the Yespin crowd is pushing for Biden or Dodd to break through rather than Richardson. I do have a feeling that one of those three will come in at least third in Iowa. But given how advanced the Obama and Clinton campaigns are in CA and elsewhere I doubt if the second tier candidates will be able to ride any Iowa momentum through Hew Hammpshire and super-duper tuesday.
Jeff Winchell wrote on November 8, 2007 5:26 PM:I now live in one of the major European countries, and I don't understand why a federal sales tax is such a deal breaker for Huckabee. The only thing in my view going against a federal tax is that it is change, which always makes it difficult. Otherwise, who cares which level of government is taking my x% of what I buy.
But I think, correct me if I'm wrong, that Huckabee wants to remove the progressive income tax also. That one is a non-starter.
Perhaps someone else can attest, but is there any major nation in the world that has a flat income tax, or no income tax with a flat sales tax?
G. F. Jones wrote on November 8, 2007 5:53 PM:Romney ahead in Iowa 31 to 15. A Nov. 8 poll in NH shows Romney ahead 32 to 17. The latest SC poll shows Romney, Giuliani and Thompson in a three-way tie. If Romney wins these three states, what stands between him and the nomination?
GordonsGirl wrote on November 8, 2007 5:53 PM:Now, perhaps I'm dreaming, but if Obama and Huckabee were the nominees, could we possibly see a race based on ideas, not acrimony?
Me_again wrote on November 8, 2007 6:14 PM:Well good, and it would be nice if Mike Huckabee came out on top in the end. His honesty is something Repugs need in worse possible way. He maybe a radical but he is not a big time liar in the way that Rudy is.
Let the Rudy Iowa/lie-wa express roll right on out-of-town and derail at the at the big BS crossing.
Let's not forget the rapist/murderer that Huckabee pardoned and then went on to kill again. Why did he pardon this guy? Was it Xtian forgiveness or was it because the victim was a distant relative of the Clintons. Golly gee, he's such an affable guy.
glennpdx wrote on November 8, 2007 6:48 PM:You folks keep arguing for the most acceptable Repug. I want Rudy. I want him in the general election huffing and puffing and looking like the embarrassing fool he is...
CalD wrote on November 8, 2007 7:42 PM:No surprises there. Reverend Huckabee has been statistically tied with Giuliani in every Iowa poll since the beginning of October (including this one). He's scored a little higher than Rudy in 4 of the last 7 and tied him outright in one more.
Anonymous wrote on November 8, 2007 7:45 PM:Huckabee is the real deal. After coming in second in the Straw Poll he has lots of momentum. The FairTax is the best new idea in politics in so very long. He will repeal all income taxes (payroll, capital gains, estate, corporate, + more) and replace them with the FairTax.
If you want to actually learn something about it (and not troll against something for once) pick up the FairTax Book, or research it from a FairTax website. It is completely revenue Neutral and will give EVERYONE (including the poor, working poor, etc.) a pay rate increase effectively because the Feds won't take 20%+ of a paycheck off the top.
But back to Huckabee, he will be the most articulate candidate of Conservatism. Just keep truckin' Mike!
other Mormon democrat (well, liberal anyway) wrote on November 9, 2007 10:32 AM:As far as the inaccuracies in Miss Terry's post that started out about Huckabee then quickly turned into just an opportunity to let off some steam about Mormons that she had...
There are no crosses in any Mormon churches or temples, anywhere. The only exception is when the church uses buildings formerly used by other Christian churches, which I believe is rare. And in the case of temples, never ever.
Almost all temples -- and I do mean almost every single one of the 100+ -- have an Angel Moroni on top. He is an integral figure in the Book of Mormon and church history in general.
Now that the temple is built, I'm sure the neighbors mind less than they did during the construction: home values surrounding temples always rise significantly.
piotr wrote on November 9, 2007 10:34 AM:Real deal: completely revenue neutral change of the tax systmen that will give everyone a pay rate increase.
And that's just a warm-up, gents. Next is solving the energy crisis with perpetuum mobile engines -- no fuel needed!!
Bob Dieterich wrote on November 9, 2007 11:02 AM:A +-5% margin of error puts everyone below Romney on equal footing.
BJB wrote on November 9, 2007 11:32 AM:People that claim not to believe in evolution really scare me. His interview with Bill Maher was pretty funny.
manoman wrote on December 5, 2007 7:55 PM:Huckabee has acted like a baby with the recent developments with the Sheilds family from Arkansas. He stated on the news that it was wrong that this was brought up during the election. Hey guy if you're running for President of the UNITED STATES then everything is fair game. I personally feel that if he didn't do enough research on Wayne Dumond to find out what he had really done and what he might do if set free. Aside from the fact that he was sentenced to life plus 20 years. Anyway, I ask myself if the lives of those whom he may not know are able to be put at risk by this man do we want him as our President. No I don't think so.


