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Poll: Hillary Way Ahead In Ohio — But Edwards Might Be The Strongest Dem
A new Quinnipiac poll of Ohio shows Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani continuing to lead their respective primaries — although Rudy has only a weak plurality, and the general election match-ups would seem to say that John Edwards is the most electable Democrat for this key swing state.
Hillary leads the Dem side with a healthy 42%, followed way behind by Barack Obama at 17% and John Edwards with 14%. On the Republican side: Rudy 27%, McCain 14%, Thompson 13%, and Romney 11%.
The general election numbers are available after the jump.
Clinton (D) 44%, Giuliani (R) 43%
Obama (D) 41%, Giuliani (R) 41%
Edwards (D) 46%, Giuliani (R) 40%
McCain (R) 46%, Clinton (D) 42%
Clinton (D) 48%, Thompson (R) 38%
Clinton (D) 47%, Romney (R) 38%
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The only way Democrats can lose the White House in 08?
D.I.N.O. Hillary Clinton. You go girl! It's all about you!
November 14, 2007 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
42% plurality = "healthy"
27% plurality = "weak"
I am kinda curious where Eric sees the dividing line.
Of course, he could also do us all a favor and stop editorializing, but I know better by now.
November 14, 2007 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush-Lite and her K Street allies want to send Ohio jobs to Peru.
November 14, 2007 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards appears the least conservative of the group of Democrats running for president that have a high level chance of winning.
I will not vote for Hillary here in New York. She has not lifted a finger to get Medicare part D repealed and replaced since the Democrats took over the house and senate.
I have started a new political party called the Liberal Democratic Party of the United States. You can read the web page at http://www.dmocrats.org and you will find that this party works differently from other political parties. Take a look and help enact progressive legislation and end the war where you work as a legislator and you vote on legislation.
November 14, 2007 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep...dismiss Edwards...
This kinda, maybe shows..
the support for Edwards is a little bit deeper..
November 14, 2007 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.votenic.com
Results Posted Every Tuesday Evening.
November 14, 2007 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is that Edwards loses NY, NJ, and PA to Giuliani...so the general election never even gets to Ohio for the Dems.
November 14, 2007 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Guess I really do have a bone to pick with the way Eric does post headings. This one should have read, "Ohio Poll: Hillary Leads Primary, But Edwards the Best Democrat Against Republicans in General Election Matchups"
November 14, 2007 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
We aren't losing NY/NJ/PA to Giuliani, but he's not going to be the GOP nominee anyway.
I tend to think general election match-ups right now are meaningless, but I do think Edwards would have some advantages starting out, basically because he is a populist Southern white man, and voters in Ohio seem pretty comfortable with that. See Clinton for second part, Sherrod Brown for the first.
November 14, 2007 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain has shown signs of life as of late, and has been polling very strongly against the Dems. As for Edwards, fuggitaboutit!
November 14, 2007 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wrong on the first count (check out the top-tier Dems' progressive record first and then pontificate); and meaningless on the second count: Hillary will not need your vote to win NY, so please do not let the door hit you on the way out...
November 14, 2007 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards could not even manage to swing his home state of NC into the Dem column in 2004 against a very weak Bush, what makes you think that he'd be more viable this time around? He is a "dead man walking"...
November 14, 2007 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Look its the 15% who are undecided in those polls who will decide this election. Besides we don't know how the campaign will go. I suspect that Clinton will do best, but maybe Obama might do well to. Edwards would loose a general election cause he wouldn't have any money till the convention. He won't win this primary anyway. Even if he won Iowa Hillary would beat him in NH and SC.
November 14, 2007 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is such a RINO that she has a 90% progressive rating
edwards has a 78% rating
November 14, 2007 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Edwards could not even manage to swing his home state of NC into the Dem column in 2004 against a very weak Bush"
Excuse me? Bush did pretty well for being 'very weak'. As I recall, North Carolina is a fairly red state. At least, Jesse Helms tenure would lead one to believe that.
November 14, 2007 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's possible that Edwards, a rich trial lawyer, could get the Democrat nomination because he is the most handsome of the Democrat candidates. Since a lot of their women vote with their thighs, those $400 haircuts could conceivably pay off.
November 14, 2007 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is important for American families in this Presidential debate, that the candidates point out their plans to eradicate the illegal drug consumption. It is alarming the hallucinogenic doing everywhere, surpassing the 200 billion dollars a year. We all most been informed reading books like “The Dope Runner” that tell us how the drug cartels operate creating corruption and death all over.
November 14, 2007 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is good to see the support for Edwards . . . Except for our Hillary stalker and backward poll engineer dcshungu of course . . .
I still think that there is not a DEM in the field that can't kick the any and all the REPs in their field . . .
I still think that Biden, Clinton, Obama and Richardson are not good choices for the health and welfare of our nation.
November 15, 2007 1:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Excuse you nothing! Bush is from Texas, Edwards was the native son. If he can't compete in his own home state, no matter how red, and he would be very weak in the northeast against a Giuliani, what is his formula for putting together enough electoral votes to win? It would be 2000 and 2004 redux.
Hillary's formula is simple: She carries all the states that Kerry/Edwards had carried in 2004 and then easily wins AR, et voila, she is POTUS without having to win Ohio...
November 15, 2007 2:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course Edwards was not running against Bush in North Carolina. Kerry was running against Bush in North Carolina.
By the way, once again it would be a huge mistake for Democrats to simply assume their nominee will automatically keep all the Kerry states. Kerry ended up with a very slim margin in states like PA, MI, WI, and MN. So if, say, the Democrats nominated someone whose popularity was concentrated on the coasts but who did not play as well in the Midwest and West, they could in fact lose those states.
And of course all this ignores the downticket issue. Again, a nominee whose popularity was concentrated in the Kerry states, or among Democrats in general, could conceivably scrape together a win, but at the same time could cause the Democrats to reverse many of their gains from the 2006 election.
November 15, 2007 3:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Plus Americans now know even more about Kerry than we did in 2004, and it's not flattering. So he would do even worse now. Nothing has happened in 4 years to make him more credible or attractive. Of course, he was not allowed to run in 2008, because his wife Tarayza Heinz, who holds the purse strings, told him she was tired of being embarrassed and having to apologize. She was not ever real interested in being the first African-American First Lady anyway.
November 15, 2007 3:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The problem is that Edwards loses NY, NJ, and PA to Giuliani...so the general election never even gets to Ohio for the Dems."
According to what polls? For New York at least, I haven't seen Giuliani ahead in any that I can remember for several months.
November 15, 2007 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Hillary's formula is simple: She carries all the states that Kerry/Edwards had carried in 2004 and then easily wins AR, et voila, she is POTUS without having to win Ohio"
Except that, such a formula would only get her 258 votes. She'd need one other big state, like Florida or Ohio, or two smaller states, like Missouri and Nevada, to win.
November 15, 2007 8:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you were surprised by the drubbing Sherrod Brown gave to DeWine last year, you shouldn't be surprised anymore. Those numbers for Edwards are no anomaly.
November 15, 2007 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
The original idea in a democracy was to have different candidates. Clinton is tracking as close as possible to Bush to raise funds. Trouble is, despite what the media tells you, the public isn't stupid. They don't like NAFTA, the transfer of wealth to the rich, or war. They like Edwards and Kucinich no matter what the lying polls say.
November 15, 2007 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
NY can't stand Giulliani.
November 15, 2007 9:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am tired of this bunk about any dem running (other than kucinich or gravel, they don't count) losing NY, NJ, Conn or cali against mr. 9/11. There is no gd way any dem breathing would lose those states based on mr. 9/11's position and campaign. No way. People in those states haven't been following what he has been saying up until this point. When they hear it, they will run for the hills. He will be luck to get the die hard republican vote, let alone any dems or independents.
Also, any dem will do better in the general than clinton II. She is too polorizing and devisive. Actually, poll after poll match ups show obama and edwards doing as well as or better than clinton II matched up against potential republican nominees. Obama and edwards have more up-side than clinton II and not as high negatives. In fact, obama at this point will draw about 40% of republican support. That's huge and screams for obama being the nominee to unite the country. Clinton II will only add to the divisions and more of the same.
November 15, 2007 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why doesn't Kucinich count? Thank god you're not running things. You don't like candidates who will stand up to big money?
November 15, 2007 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
my bad.
November 15, 2007 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why Because You Say So
November 15, 2007 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are forgiven.
November 15, 2007 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink