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CQ: Dems Poised To Make Big Gains In 2008
Will 2008 be another big year for the Democrats? According to a new analysis by CQ Politics, the prospect of a Democratic sweep of Congress next year is becoming an "inescapable 'morning line' assumption" on both sides of the aisle in Washington.
"Every traditional indicator of election forecasting — from public opinion polls and issue resonance to candidate recruitment and the 'over/under' balance of seats in play — suggests that congressional Democrats have just as much going for them in 2008 as they had in 2006, if not more," says CQ.
Late Update: For an in-depth look at the state of play, check out CQ's updated House, Senate and Gubernatorial race ratings.
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Unless clinton II is the nominee, then all bets are off.
November 26, 2007 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wouldn't a better bet be Gov Ritter from Colorado? The party needs to realize that the south is long gone. We might pick up a state or two in an unusually good Dem year, and we're probably making structural changes in Virginia. But as our politics have become defined by "culture wars"--you know, Christian working class voting for the corporate party because of abortion and marriage--the south is fundamentally unfriendly territory.
The West, on the other hand, offers a lot of promise. Like the south, it has a booming population--more yummy electoral cookies! And it has a much more libertarian streak. Its rural areas are far right but overall the region is very urban and rapidly become more so. And its demographics are changing. More hispanics and asians, which is obvious, but also look at Nevada with its rapidly growing population of seniors and Jewish Americans.
The only southerner who merits attention for national office is Mark Warner. Otherwise we should stick to places like the West, Florida, Pennsylvania or the non-Christian (eg non Indiana) midwest.
And of course, a lousy candidate is still a lousy candidate, regardless of which state they're from.
November 26, 2007 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
2008 Presidential Candidate Weekly Poll
http://www.votenic.com
The Only Poll That Matters.
Results Posted Weekly Tuesday Evening.
November 26, 2007 7:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good for the dems! They'll be able to capitulate to an even smaller minority of Republicans than they currently do. I can hardly wait.
November 26, 2007 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink