Clinton, Giuliani Lead The South
Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani are both enjoying leads throughout the South, according to a new Elon University poll. In the states of North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Florida and Georgia, Clinton leads Obama by a 45%-17% margin, and Giuliani edges out the South's own son Fred Thompson by 25%-16%.
The poll confirms that both Obama and Thompson are struggling with what should be base constituencies: African-American voters and Southern conservatives, respectively.
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A new general election poll from Iowa was just released, and has Obama running 10+ points ahead of Clinton! Link.
November 16, 2007 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, dc, check out daniel's poll. Dc, dc, where are you? How are you going to spin this one?
November 16, 2007 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't know what to make of SUSA's latest from Iowa. SUSA is usally accurate in the end, but at this stage, there's a lot of fluctuation. Perhaps being from neighboring Illinois has something to do with it, but I think the gap btween him and Hillary is an outlier.
November 16, 2007 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see any crosstabs at the Elon link, so I am not entirely sure Lambert's assertion is correct.
Moreover, it turns out that identity politics really is not a very strong force, and certainly not as strong a force as many people seem to assume. So I think it is a bit unfortunate that Lambert simply asserts that African-Americans should be a "base constituency" for Obama.
November 16, 2007 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
This headline should be: in states where few people are paying attention, the presumed frontrunners are leading.
November 19, 2007 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink