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Poll: Rudy Runs Close Against Hillary In Connecticut, New Jersey

A new round of polling from Quinnipiac gives some credence to Rudy Giuliani's claim that he can put certain Northeastern states in play where other Republicans wouldn't have a chance.

In Connecticut, he and Hillary Clinton are statistically tied at 44% for Hillary to 42% for Rudy. In New Jersey, Rudy and Hillary are tied at 44% apiece.

However, Rudy doesn't do much better than any other Republican might in New York. There, Hillary leads him 50%-36%.


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Meanwhile, Clinton leads Giuliani in Kentucky in SUSA's new poll!!

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That's a bit on improvement--Rudy had been slightly ahead in both states. Rasmussen had Hillary up 52-41 in NJ, so there's some poll variation.

As for KY, perhaps we're seeing Rudy's problems with the religious right coming up, as Thompson and McCain beat HRC by small margins.

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If Rudy beats HRC in CT and NJ (which I will wait to see to believe), he would absolutely murder Edwards or Obama there.

Personally I believe the Clinton campaign already knows it's in for a tough fight and is preparing for it much better than any other Dem candidate would.

Rudy's going to be tough to beat, no doubt, but I think Hillary's the one that can do it.

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Has anyone else ever noticed that you don't see pictures of Clinton and Guiliani together?

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I think that a two pronged strategy will be needed to beat Rudy, especially if Clinton is the candidate: A no holds barred negative advertising campaign committing at least 85% of the total advertising budget, while the candidate herself adopts a moderate position in speeches, town hall meetings and interviews, only answering personal attacks when forced to do so. This is because Rudy's negatives are relatively unknown, while Clinton's have been maintained front and center by conservatives for the last 15 years. We are in trouble unless his favorability rating is not lower than 40% by the time Republican convention ends. In contrast, the campaign will be far more focused on issues if Romney or especially McCain becomes the Republican nominee.

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New Yorkers know the real Giuliani. The question everywhere else is whether or not the really nasty guy that people dislike the more they know ever gets dragged out into the light of the national campaign.

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If Rudy is the GOP nominee, he'll easily take NY, NJ and CT against Anybody But Clinton (there's a twist on the use of ABC), which means that the Dems would lose again (by what could be a mini landslide, as Rudy might also take CA) if Edwards or Obama is their nominee.

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As Rudy Three Wives hires the most extreme NeoCons for his War Room in a bid to become the UberMensch of the War Party and Brunhilde the Bold madly triangulates to keep up and demonstrate her manliness, two articles to remind us the "anti-Islamofascist Axis of Evil Front", the Republican and Demo Wings of the Grand Old War Party are alive and well


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