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Poll: Romney Leads In New Hampshire — Thompson At The Back Of The Pack

A new Rasmussen poll has Mitt Romney still ahead in the New Hampshire primary:

Romney 28%
Giuliani 19%
McCain 16%
Huckabee 10%
Thompson 6%

Notice how Fred Thompson appears to have really fallen flat in the key primary state.


5 Comments

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That is a slip for Thompson, but it's no surprise. Southerners have a harder time in the NH primary historically; notice how both Huckabee and Thompson aren't above 10%. This is why I think it's a conceivable scenario in the Democratic nomination where Edwards finishes first in Iowa, but Obama pulls out New Hampshire, following the media backlash that hits Clinton for not finishing first in Iowa; from that perspective, she needs to win Iowa more badly than Obama does.

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Granted, there is a prophet-in-the-wilderness futility built into any effort to rail against the national polls. Virtually everyone connected with politics has a vested interest in hyping their significance. The leading co-conspirators include the front-running campaigns (who love the whiff of victory), political reporters (who crave "objective" data), major media organizations (which ballyhoo their own polls), and political junkies (who pepper their e-mails with overwrought analyses of why some candidate dropped 2 percent in the latest Rasmussen survey). It is easy to dismiss all of this poll-position prattle as a harmless way to while away the days until somebody, somewhere, actually caucuses or votes. But national polls also punish candidates whose strength is in the early states (like John Edwards, Mitt Romney and up-and-coming Mike Huckabee) and contenders who have just not broken through to a cross-country audience. By guiding the press coverage and heavily influencing political donors, these national polls have the capacity to become self-fulfilling prophesies.

Walter Shapiro,Salon

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2007/10/26/polls/print.html

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Could not agree more with Walter Shapiro.

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Yesterday's NH poll had Thompson behind Ron Paul!

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Here at ElectHillary Central nary a post on the Fox News poll

Obama Cuts Hillary's Lead 17% in 14 Days

Oh yeah its in the poll archive and also a post on KOS

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