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Poll: Colbert Breaks Into Double Digits As Third-Party Candidate
Although he's only planning to run in the primaries in his native state of South Carolina, a new Rasmussen poll finds that Stephen Colbert might have some pull as a third-party candidate.
In a three-way race with Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, Hillary has 45%, Rudy 35% — and Colbert breaks double digits to get 13%. With Fred Thompson as the Republican nominee, it's Clinton 46%, Thompson 34%, and Colbert 12%.
Colbert seems to draw most of his support from the GOP column, indicating a real unhappiness among Republican voters — either that, or conservatives who have watched his show really don't get the joke.
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Also out today is the first poll of the NC Senate race, with Dole below 50%.
October 25, 2007 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
A Facebook group related to the campaign is rapidly closing in on One Million members.
http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=7406420086
October 25, 2007 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Run Stephen Run!!!!!!!!!!!!!
October 25, 2007 1:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Joke?
October 25, 2007 1:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why is Rasmussen spending money polling people about Colbert running as a third party?
With the sickening puke we are faced with in choosing between Giuliani and Clinton, and their ambition heavy, substance lacking nondescript crap---why not do a four way poll adding a right wing huckabee and a left wing kucinich extra party and see how really fooking sick the nation considers this choice to be.
October 25, 2007 2:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's polling better than Bloomberg did.
October 25, 2007 2:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why is rasmussen spending money on a poll including Colbert as a third party?
Include Huckabee as a right wing third party, and Kucinich or Dodd as a liberal democrat party, and find out how much this sickening choice of Hillary and Rudy really makes the nation want to puke.
October 25, 2007 2:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where's the poll pitting Hillary against Giuliani WITHOUT Colbert? Colbert's not going to be on the ballot. It's absurd that the leading Republican is tied with the leading Democrat right now. And it's not zhillary's fault, it just shows that the Party is in far more trouble than it realizes. They have little chance to win the White House without a huge, risk-taking effort, an effort they are not going to undertake.
October 25, 2007 6:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Pollster.com had an entry on this:
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_rasmussen_colbert_as_an_i.php
It appears that when it is Clinton-Giuliani, Colbert is taking more from Giuliani, but when it is Clinton-Thompson, Colbert is taking more from Clinton.
As I noted in the comments at pollster.com, I think that is consistent with Colbert's likely demographics and also likely appeal among center-right libertarian-leaning people.
October 25, 2007 7:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
"...either that, or conservatives who have watched his show really don't get the joke."
That would really be funny if it weren't true!
October 25, 2007 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do not know if this is the correct place to ask this question. I have posted this on another site and there wasn't a response, perhaps some of you have some insight into this question. If anyone has thoughts on this I would be very intersted. Thank you.
One aspect of all this polling I have not seen that would be interesting, and I do not know if it is an issue that can be polled, is "coat tails." As we all know Bill Clinton had no trouble being elected President; however, Democrates lost the congress during the Clinton years. If the Democrates win the Presidency and give back congress has there been any gain?
October 25, 2007 9:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's absurd that the leading Republican is tied with the leading Democrat right now.
Most polls have Hillary up 6-10% on Rudy and twice that on Fred. Where's the tie?
I don't like the prospect of Hillary as "my" candidate, but if Dems play it right, the lead would double easily. Hillary already has a huge lead in African-American vote over Obama, so hitting 90% against any Republican is more than likely. Even without too much prodding, the Latino vote will also go her way, although not with the same margin.
The trouble is turnout. So how hard would it be to whip these segments into a frenzy with Giuliani or "Ken" Romney running? Yes, it's playing the race card, but, in this case, it's richly deserved. The way these guys are running right now, even Cubans will vote against them.
Just imagine what happens if Texas is back in play in presidential elections. And this could happen.
October 25, 2007 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
"...either that, or conservatives who have watched his show really don't get the joke."
That would really be funny if it weren't true!
Yeah, I know some right wing nuts who love Colbert and take the show seriously, not as comedy.
October 25, 2007 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Denis,
As things stand at the moment, it looks like Democrats will gain even more seats in both the house and the Senate. It also looks as if Clinton has a very good chance of becoming President. In fact, I think if Obama were able to turn his campaign ship around and win the nomination, he'd have a good chance of winning the Presidency!
Things change of course, but as it stands I don't think your scenario is likely.
Now to answer your question more directly: Yes, it'd still be a gain...but just a smaller one.
October 25, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I think the Rethugs get the joke. I think they're going to use it to get us.
They already know they have no one to choose from. Neither party will have a viable candidate from SC, if they support Colbert and he wins....
Elections are nothing to fool with. Look what Nader's ego did to the last one.
October 29, 2007 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm writing him in - serious or not. Have to teach the two party system a lesson in humility. I've had it voting the lesser of two evils, entitlement, consumption, and misrepresentation - not to mention making a joke of the title "public servant". I disagree with his politics, but I'm voting for him, because if I have to vote lesser of two evils, I want to at least DESTROY one evil permanently - Shrew or Rudy, both will be a mockery of the "leader of the free world".
October 31, 2007 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink