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Edwards Visits All 99 Iowa Counties
John Edwards has demonstrated just how committed he is to winning Iowa with an important milestone. His visit today in Franklin County marked the fulfillment of his promise to tour all 99 counties in the state.
Bear in mind that some corners of western Iowa are overwhelmingly Republican, but Edwards has made sure to visit those, too â after all, although most people there are Republicans, some are Democrats, and they can go to the caucus, too.
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If we're talking basically pointless Iowa campaign trivia, here's another "milestone": Obama has now spent the most time in Iowa of the three top Democratic contenders.
October 27, 2007 11:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Meanwhile, a new NH primary poll has Edwards still third, but Obama is catching up on Clinton.
October 28, 2007 2:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
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October 28, 2007 3:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
At this stage in race, national polls are not necessarily accurate in predicting what's happening on the ground in states like Iowa. From reading the blogs and print media in Iowa, it's clear that Edwards's message is resonating with more Iowans than polls indicate.
People in Iowa appear to be seem increasingly receptive to his message. The Democrats need him as their candidate for the general election. Hillary generates so many negative comments that I'm suprised she's seemingly so far ahead. We'll know soon enough.
October 28, 2007 5:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
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October 28, 2007 6:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
People lie to pollsters and pollsters lie to us. There's too much money involved to expect honesty.
October 28, 2007 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards want to renegotiate NAFTA. That's what will win it for him.
October 28, 2007 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
A new Kentucky poll for the Senate shows just how vulnerable McConnell is, as he is only ahead by 5 against potential Democratic opponents.
October 28, 2007 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no doubt that Edwards is in a position from which he could win Iowa, and indeed the nomination. For example, Kerry was in much worse shape according to the Iowa polls at this point, and running out of money. On the other hand, Edwards could also get passed by someone like Richardson, Dodd, or Biden, as he proved himself in 2004 (by passing former Iowa frontrunners Dean and Gephardt to finish second behind Kerry). In short, it is going to be interesting, and the picture is much more wideopen than some would have you believe.
By the way, Obama has been slowly but steadily increasing his share in NH ever since he began advertising (I gather it is about five weeks ago now). Clinton's share has also been increasing, however. Obviously, both of these trends cannot continue indefinitely, but it seems clear to me that NH also is very much in play, and of course the results in Iowa could make a big difference.
October 28, 2007 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is just a subtle reminder that Edwards is trying to own the electability label. He's showing that he's willing to campaign in even the most Republican parts of the country--and some of those W. Iowa counties are very, very Republican. I'd be curious to see the turnout numbers for some events there.
October 28, 2007 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Although Edwards stands as my fifth-favorite to win the nomination (Clinton-Obama-Kucinich-Dodd-Edwards), as I've said many times, he would be an excellent nominee based on the issues, as would any of the other Democratic contenders in this outstanding field.
Although I strongly support Hillary's candidacy at this point, and I also think she's much more electable than Edwards (money issues, fully vetted by right wing slime machine already, etc.) - I hope for his sake, and for the sake of a competitive race that pushes and tests Hillary and the others, that Edwards does well in the basket that he has put all his eggs in.
Poll numbers ain't looking to good for him as yet. But as other posters have said, Iowa tends to go its own way, sometimes reactively so.
October 28, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
This brings up something I've been thinking about: Eric, any chance EC could post the primary poll standings from 4 years previous along with the current polls? It would give some needed perspective.
October 28, 2007 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I visited all 99 counties in Iowa and all I got was this crummy shirt (and a third place finish.)
October 28, 2007 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Imagine: In this day and age, a Presidential candidate actually speaking to flesh and blood human beingsin meatspace instead of giving hand jobs to corporations and collecting checks. . . . Don't imagine it:
Look at Edwards.
It klnda puts corporate conspiritor Clinton and Mr. Chime in five days later Obama in a slightly different light.
Imagine an American government of, for and by 'We, the People' instead of a fascist plutocracy overseen by corporate interests. Decide and cast your ballot accordingly when the time comes.
All three of the top three Democratc conteders are electable . . . The question is which one should be elected.
October 28, 2007 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course the factors cited by colonpowwow (funding and time in the public eye) pale in comparison to the truly important factors in presidential elections, such as likeability. Indeed, by colonpowwow's standards, Bill Clinton would have been a bad choice for the Democrats, whereas of course the opposite is true: he was the only decent choice of nominee the Democrats have made in many, many cycles, precisely because he was so darn likeable.
And on current measures of likeability, Edwards is doing pretty well--not quite as well as Obama, but well enough to be about as likeable as Giuliani and McCain (the Republican's most likeable possible nominees according to current polling).
October 28, 2007 9:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Richard L. Adlof
Yeah, I think we should consider the $400 haircut populist who shows his deep personal commitment to environmental, land use, energy, and labor issues by clear-cutting a huge swath of timber and animal habitat and constructing a 28,000 square foot(!) gated estate using non-union labor.
Also, let's not mention his campaigning against offshore tax-dodge hedge funds in his 2004 stump speech followed by his taking a job with Fortress Investments after his miserable failure on the 2004 ticket. He didn't even make his home state competitive.
This loser hypocrite deserves a bigger thrashing than he's gonna get over the next couple of months.
October 28, 2007 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
DTM
I won't even address how you twisted the wording and meaning of my post re Hillary vs. Edwards' electability (it's so obvious to any intelligent reader).
But it may be of interest that I didn't like Bill very much until he was on the job for a few years. I ended up liking him just fine.
I would be willing to bet that you'll go through a similar conversion with another Clinton this time. I think she'll be at least as good a President as he was, and quite possibly she'll be better. They both have the reputation of being very hard-working wonks, and Hillary has the advantage of being a Washington insider now with its attendent Congressional connections and support.
October 28, 2007 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
colonpowwow,
I don't see how I "twisted" your post. I just think you are using the wrong factors ro estimate who is more likely to win the general election, and ignoring what history teaches us are in fact the most important factors, such as likeability.
On that subject: I learned long ago not to consult my own feelings in order to determine who voters will like on a personal level. Similarly, your experience with Bill Clinton is irrelevant to the question of how voters in general felt about him.
Moreover, it is a bit beside the point to argue that people will grow to like someone after they are President, since likeability is a major factor in getting elected in the first place. For example, for all we know, some people would have gotten to like Presidents Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, and Kerry better during their times in office. We will never know, however, because they couldn't get themselves elected.
And even if we somehow imagine this effect you hypothesize occurring in time for it to help get Clinton elected, the factors you cite are almost surely largely irrelevant to a presidential candidate becoming more likeable. To avoid accusation of "twisting", I will just quote your description: "hard-working wonk[]" and "Washington insider". That combination is hardly a recipe for personal appeal with the voters. In fact, again some variation or combination of those factors was used to justify the nominations of Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, and Kerry.
So, once again, you are focusing on the wrong factors. Unfortunately, as my list of failed nominees above suggests, this is a problem Democrats very often have--many of them seem to fundamentally misunderstand what factors are most relevant to success in a presidential election, to the point that they keep nominating "hard-working wonks" and "Washington insiders", all despite the fact that those candidates keep losing.
October 29, 2007 8:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
He sooooo does his eyebrows.
October 29, 2007 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I..'m from I..oowa, I..owa...
that's where the tall corn gr..ooows"!
That's a song ditty we sang all through the 50's. Iowa is a good place to be from, but who would want to go there? Iowa is full of corn, cattle, and pigs. I'm sure Hillary has a fair chance there. Edwards, being fair in looks and charm, will probably get the Blue Ribbon. Remember Hoover? Do a history check and recognize that Obama has no chance in Iowa. Trust me on this one.
October 30, 2007 1:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is anyone else out there thinking we need to have a single primary election day? I'm personally really annoyed by the fact that the candidates get all picked over by the likes of Iowa and New Hampshire before I even have a chance to vote, and they've already functionally narrowed the field to the perception of the media and the voters in the rest of the states. Why do these people get to lord it over the rest of us electorially - and I'm not the least bit interested in their state constitutions - what, after all does that have to do with the rest of us? What Iowa or New Hampshire wants should not narrow the choices a Californian or a Mississippian or anybody else feels they need to choose from.
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