Poll: Thompson Gets Announcement Bump, In Dead Heat With Rudy
Fred Thompson is enjoying a nice bump in the polls coming off of his official announcement — a new CNN survey has him statistically tied with Rudy Giuliani among Republicans nationwide. Rudy has 28%, Thompson 27%, McCain 15%, and Romney 11%.
Among Democrats, Hillary Clinton has a two-to-one lead over Barack Obama. Hillary has 46%, Obama 23%, and Edwards 16%.
Also, this survey would indicate that Hillary, not Obama, is the more electable Democrat — although the differences are still within the margin of error. Hillary beats Giuliani 50%-46%, but Giuliani tops Obama 49%-45%. Hillary beats Fred Thompson 55%-42%, while Obama leads Thompson 53%-41%.
Comments (5)
john mccutchen wrote on September 11, 2007 4:40 PM:Also, this survey would indicate that Hillary, not Obama, is the more electable Democrat — although the differences are still within the margin of error
Eric Charles Franklin didn't teach you how to read a poll?
We should go for the Rovian tactic and start attacking Freddie, so the GOP base will rally around him.
Seriously, I think the Dems need to worry about
McCain again. He can still pull in a lot of independents, and he polls better against HRC than Giuliani does.
One thing that people overlook is that Clinton has already had to deal with the worst of the GOP onslaught against her. Very little they do will get people to view her more negatively overall. Its been a decade and a half and she's still at least competetive.
Conversely, Giuliani and Thompson have yet to be truly introduced to the nation as a whole. Their numbers should go down if the Dems run even a mediocre 2008 campaign. Obama, much like Giuliani and Thompson has not had to deal with much scrutiny. Head-to-head against Clinton, I'd say he's in pretty bad shape from this poll. But I'd say he's at least at a push against Giuliani and Thompson with a greater than 50% chance of winning.
Most people like to disagree with me on Clinton, but she is much stronger than many like to paint her. Supporters of other candidates are going to need to try a different approach if they want to beat her. Of course, they are free to adopt the same strategy and continue to be doubled in support. Whether or not you think the polls are valuable at this point, the continued domination by Clinton nationally may start to sink in and give her an even bigger boost. That wouldn't be a good thing. Especially since the Clinton campaign is barely ramping up.
bob wrote on September 11, 2007 5:38 PM:Everything else you guys do so well, but your poll coverage here still leaves much to be desired.
C'mon, guys. You can surely do better.
First, stop covering national polls as if they are meaningful. You can always tell the most clueless TV pundits b/c they talk about the GOP race as if Giuliani is doing great and don't mention Romney, despite Romney having big leads in Iowa and New Hampshire. Please don't repeat that amateurish mistake here.
Daniel wrote on September 11, 2007 9:50 PM:This, as all polls, shows there are no easy answer to the electability question! There are always polls out showing the contrary of previous ones.
