Poll: Obama, Romney Ahead In Iowa
A new Iowa poll from Newsweek shows Mitt Romney and Barack Obama narrowly leading their respective caucuses, though the results are within the margins of error.
Among Democrats, Obama has the support of 28% of likely caucus-goers, followed by Hillary Clinton's 24%, John Edwards at 22%, and Bill Richardson at 10%. The margin of error is ±7%.
Obama also leads in the combined first/second choices with 52%, followed by Hillary at 44%, Edwards at 41%, and Richardson with 19%.
Among Republicans, Mitt Romney has 24% support among likely caucus-goers, followed by Fred Thompson at 16%, Rudy Giuliani with 13%, Mike Huckabee at 12%, and John McCain with 9%. The margin of error is ±9%.
Romney has a lead for combined first/second choices with 45%, followed by Giuliani's 34%, Thompson at 26%, Huckabee with 14%, and McCain at 13%.
The second choices can be important in case the race gets too dirty between certain competitors, alienating many of their supporters and pushing them towards other choices. John Kerry and John Edwards benefitted immensely from the same effect in 2004, due to the negative campaigning between Howard Dean and Dick Gephardt.
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