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Obama Running Bipartisan "Believe" Ad In New Hampshire

Barack Obama is now running his first ad in New Hampshire — a state where he's fallen way behind Hillary Clinton in the polls — using a decent spot he's already been running in Iowa:

"In 20 years of public service, I've brought Democrats and Republicans together to solve problems that touch the lives of everyday people," Obama says in the ad. It's an interesting gambit: Discussing bipartisanship before a primary electorate that you'd think would be eager for red meat. On the other hand, it might get him some votes in the New Hampshire primary, where registered independents can participate and are expected to break heavily Democratic this cycle.


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Voters should be hungry for change on gridlocked issues. Obama brought the first ethics reform to Springfield in 20+ years. He didn't do it alone. He did it by picking off support from Republicans that were willing to work with him on the issue. He did the same thing in getting CAFE increases through the US Senate, again for the first time in 20+ years. Obama is the best candidate to build a foundation for sustained effort on issues like correcting our foreign policy, global warming, and health care. I respect Edwards passion and Clinton's competence, but we need to be looking to forming something like the post-WW2 consensus on at least the key issues. Is Hillary positioned to do that with her negatives? Is Edwards' confrontational style going to be effective in building the consensus we must have if we are going to make the core reforms to our governing process that are absolutely essential to facing the 21st century's challenges?

Who in this race is positioned to be the statesman we must have?

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Why is the RNC attacking Obama instead of Hillary? Because Obama is the only candidate who can win the general. Obama is the only candidate with significant crossover political appeal. Only Obama has independents and Republicans on political blogs saying they could vote for them.

So, what does the RNC do...attack him with the racist image of being a 'lazy and shiftless'

There is nothing intellecutally lazy about Obama.

The truth is he is so intellectually brilliant that he crosess the partisian divide and galvanizes independents, as well as dems and GOP to vote for him.

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"Hillary's negatives". "Hillary's negatives". "Hillary's negatives".

There is going to have to be a different approach because that's not working. She's got low negatives for the same reason that John Kerry had low negatives after (but not before) he won the nomination. I can guarantee you that Obama, should he win the nomination will have high negatives after they are through with him (doesn't mean he can't win, though).

Wasn't the "post-WWII consensus" marked by extreme anti-Communist sentiment which aimed at rooting out all dissenters as "subversives"? One need look no further than to what happened to many of the scientists who worked on the Manhattan project (e.g. Oppenheimer). There was massive disagreement during that time that makes our bipartisan spats pale in comparison.

This doesn't meant that we need to go out looking for fights, but we are going to have to and I haven't yet seen much fight in Obama. Anecdotally, Hillary's toughness plays much better than Obama's "bipartisanship" amongst my nonactivist friends. That goes along with the recent Pew poll that showed 67% of Dems view HRC as "tough". Similarly, over half view her as "smart".

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I think the point needs to be made that HRC's not that unbeatable in the early states. She's either losing or in a virtual tie in Iowa. NH she is trending down (and the fact that Obama has not been on tv once (before now) is telling). South Carolina is close as well. Couple that with the fact the polling numbers are probably missing a ton of folks on the Do Not Call List and those with cell phones only and I think this race is much wider open than some are willing to recognize.

If HRC has a commanding lead in Iowa or New Hampshire come January 1, then I might believe the hype. Until then, I say all candidates should fight on.

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Keith, I agree with you. The RNC is seeing that Hillary is really not that strong of a contender in the early primary states. They are seeing the very real possibility that Obama could win IA, NH and SC...which means they need to start attacking him.

GQMartinez, you speak about Hillary's high negatives and then say that Obama will have high negatives if he gets the nomination. I agree with you that any candidate who gets the nomination will wind up watching their negatives grow as the campaign progresses.

The problem is that Hillary has no where to go, she is already trending so high that any further up movement means she loses the general. Whereas, Obama is starting with low negatives, as an unknown, and he will undoubtedly move up, but he has room to allow those negtives to increase. Hillary doesn't.

People's minds are made up about Hillary, only Obama has the potentially to bring on new supporters and it looks like he is crossing party lines as well in terms of independents and GOP'rs that support him.

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The consensus I was talking about was the one around domestic issues like Social Security. I should have been clearer. We need the same sort of consensus on issues like climate change if we are to have any hope of rising to the challenge of a decades long sustained effort. We can set aside Hillary's negatives if you'd like and just focus on Obama's track record of accomplishment. Can you point to instances where Clinton has delivered change on gridlocked issues the way that Obama has throughout his legislative career? She simply does not have a comparable track record.

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Kerry's negatives went up so dramatically in part b/c he allowed the right-wing to define him before defining himself in the crucial period around the conventions.

Our 2008 candidate cannot make the same mistake, whether it's a re-introduction by Hillary or Edwards or an introduction by Obama.

I do think opinions of Hillary, both positive and negative, are much firmer, however, than the newer opinions about the other two candidates. Opinions about them will have more room to be shaped, up or down, among the average voters who only tune in much later in the process.

Long story short, I think it will be harder for Hillary to change minds than it will be for Edwards or Obama to make a positive first impression, which Kerry unfortunately failed to do, and carry that impression through to the election.

Regardless of who wins, as soon as any candidate locks up the Democratic nomination, that campaign should launch a massive PR blitz for several weeks, with the candidate and surrogates going on every TV show possible and airing positive bio ads heavily, both nationally and in swing states.

You get one shot to make people take notice and make a positive first impression or else the right-wing will do it for you with lies, smears, and manufactured controversies.

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Super ad!

Can't wait til it runs in California where "decline to state" can only vote in the Democratic Primary

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How long has the Democratic party yearned for a "Democratic Reagan," a candidate who draws support from both Independents and from members of the opposing party? Now we have one in Obama.

And, Obama is the only candidate with the money to compete with Hillary nationwide on Feb. 5th. Even if Edwards or another candidate were to win all the early states, Hillary would overwhelm him on Tsunami Tuesday.

It's Obama vs. Hillary, folks.

Obama really can help to unite the nation. Hillary can only continue the division--her natural instinct.

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new Rasmussen Reports automated surveys find:

Among 800 likely voters nationwide (conducted 9/12 through 9/20), Sen. Barack Obama narrowly leads former Gov. Mitt Romney (46% to 43%) and Sen. John McCain (46% to 41%) in national general election match-ups.


www.pollster.com

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Bipartisanship = NAFTA

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