Election Central Debate Roundup
• Last night's Democratic debate featured a lot of sharp barbs and serious questions — from Tim Russert. As for the candidates, it was the usual sort of debate with very little actual attacks between them, and a seeming attitude that this was a collection of eight simultaneous but separate auditions.
• In the MSNBC spin room coverage, the consensus seemed to be that Hillary Clinton did well — at least, she did not do badly — and Barack Obama came across as flat, overtaken rhetorically by John Edwards.
• None of the top three Dems would commit to removing all American troops from Iraq by January 2013, the end of the next president's first term. Hillary, Edwards and Obama instead committed themselves to drawing down troops in various degrees, with some force left behind for combatting terrorism and securing U.S. interests.
• Edwards lambasted Hillary Clinton's vote for the Kyl-Lieberman amendment, which called Iran's military a terrorist organization. "I voted for this war in Iraq, and I was wrong to vote for this war and I accept responsibility for that," Edward said. "Senator Clinton also voted for this war. We learned a very different lesson from that. I have no intention of giving George Bush the authority to take the first step on a road to war with Iran."
• Joe Biden got off one of the best applause lines of the night, in response to a Rudy Giuliani quote about Iran: "Rudy Giuliani doesn't know what the heck he's talking about. He's the most uninformed person in American foreign policy that's now running for president."
More after the jump.
• Russert pulled a fast one by reading a quote about a hypothetical president sanctioning the use of torture to stop terrorists from using a nuclear weapon. All the candidates rejected the idea. Then Russert said to Hillary that the quote came from Bill Clinton. Hillary responded, "Well, he's not standing here right now."
• A serious question was asked about raising or eliminating the cap on taxable income under which revenue is raised for Social Security — it would make Social Security solvent, but would amount to a huge tax increase on the middle class. Hillary Clinton hedged on it, first saying she would commit to restoring fiscal responsibility to the government; Biden said he would eliminate the cap; Obama said it was an option; Richardson was against raising the cap; Dodd endorsed raising the cap as part of an overall reform package, and John Edwards called for a "protective zone" between $90,000 and $200,000, effectively skipping the middle class before FICA taxes would kick in again on the wealthy.
• Chris Dodd was asked about a recent press release in which he said he understood why President Bush wants Hillary to be the Dem nominee. "Well, if I were Hillary Clinton I'd be very worried," Dodd joked. "This was the same guy who said, 'Way to go Brownie,' and I think 'Mission Accomplished' was the other one I saw."
• Russert asked Obama why it made sense for him to run for president after he'd dismissed the idea in 2004. "Because I think the country is at a crossroads right now," Obama said, who then touted his experience in the Illinois legislature and as a community organizer.
• Russert went over the long list of Bill Richardson's gaffes. Richardson responded: "I've been in public life 25 years. And you know, I may not be the perfect consultant, blow-dried candidate. I make mistakes, I admit them. But you know, Tim, the issue is: Do I deliver?" He then went over the even longer list of his accomplishments in both foreign and domestic policy — overall, a great response.
• Mike Gravel challenged the Democratic candidates from the Senate to stop campaigning, go back to the Senate, and hold votes everyday on cloture and overriding President Bush's vetoes for ending the Iraq War.
• Dennis Kucinich stood by his record as mayor of Cleveland, when the city went into bankruptcy. "I took a stand on behalf of the people of Cleveland to save a municipal electric utility," he said of his refusal to give in too pressure from banks and the business community to privatize the utility. And he said that since then he was proven right, and the people recognized that by electing him to Congress.
• Chris Dodd's campaign again released their customary Talk Clock:


Craig's Lawyer Clarifies What A Real Sexual Advance Is »













Democratic Debate in New Hampshire
Given the unfair advantage of several more questions then the other candidates, and almost complete conversations with Tim Russert, Hillary did quite well during MSNBC Debate Wednesday night in New Hampshire. At least she didn’t hurt herself any.
The trick question about torture and if she thought it was right to use it in certain cases, was in my view, a planted question. Bill Clinton's comments about torture were well discussed in the media. She had to have known what Bill said in the past about the issue.
John Edwards made several good points. While I still don’t believe he will be a viable ‘general election’ candidate, I think he probably helped himself a tad bit during the debate. He sounded more upbeat and prepared this time around.
Barack Obama answered all his questions with careful thought and deliberation. He basically answered the questions the same way that Hillary and John Edwards did on the war issue, health care and social security. Where he was different however, was his approach. He wanted Americans to know that all these things aren’t going to be easy, it’s going to take work, bipartisanship, and sacrifice. He was being presidential in my view by not giving Americans what they ‘want’ to hear, but what they ‘should’ hear; the truth.
Chris Matthew’s and his commentators, before and after, the debate tried their best to write Obama off for not attacking Hillary. He didn’t ‘point his finger at her’ or go on the ‘attack’ against Hillary when he had a chance, they said.
One commentator may have gotten it right however. Perhaps Obama truly believes that there needs to be a change in the way campaigns are run and the way Washington works, that perhaps Obama really wanted to stay above the fray, as he promised he would when he started his campaign.
Chris Dobbs and Governor Richardson were able to point out their differences on getting out of Iraq. They both pledged to get out by 2013.
Senator Biden was able to show his leadership abilities within Congress with his, divide Iraq bill he passed earlier in the day.
If we’re real lucky Americans, perhaps the media and talk shows like Hardball, would quit pushing the envelope of this election (implying that it’s all over for a candidate, if he/she doesn’t do this 'tonight'. There’s three months left before even one vote is taken.), perhaps we will be able to take our time to listen to what is said and decide for ‘ourselves’, who is actually the best candidate to be President of the United States.
September 27, 2007 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama, my preferred candidate, definitely looked green last night. And I don't mean experienced... I mean he looked like he was about to throw up or fall asleep. He was definitely off his game.
But I doubt his reluctance to attack Hillary was a result of his illness. I think letting other candidates go after her and bring her down a notch at a time might be a good strategy for him. He's sticking with his "moral high ground" rhetoric, so at least he's being consistent. And a three-way race between him, Clinton, and Edwards is a far better prospect than a race for second place between him and Edwards. In any case, Clinton played really bad defense and didn't help herself by laughing disrespectfully and refusing to answer tough questions.
September 27, 2007 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Russert pulled President Clinton's quote out of context. He was using the Socratic method to offer up the "ticking time bomb" scenario only to smack it down. The entire conversation is filled with examples of President Clinton rejecting torture.
- - -
From Meet the Press, 9/24/06:
MR. RUSSERT: What did you think when Colin Powell said, “The world is beginning to doubt the moral basis of our fight against terrorism”?
MR. CLINTON:...If we get a reputation for torturing people, the following bad things are going to happen: We’re as likely going to get bad information is good, just for people to just quit getting beat on; two, we’re likely to create two or three or five enemies for every one we break; and three, we make our own soldiers much more vulnerable to conduct which violates the Geneva Convention. That is, we can’t expect our friends, much less our enemies, to accept the fact that because we’re the good guys, we get to have a different standard of conduct. And most people think the definition of a good guy is someone who voluntarily observes a different standard of conduct, not someone who claims the right to do things others can’t do.
MR. RUSSERT: Would you outlaw waterboarding and sleep deprivation, loud music, all those kinds of tactics?
MR. CLINTON: Well, I—here’s what I would do. I would figure out what the, what the generally accepted definitions of the Geneva Convention are, and I would honor them. I would also talk to people who do this kind of work about what is generally most effective, and they will—they’re almost always not advocate of torture, and I wouldn’t do anything that would put our own people at risk.
Now, the thing that drives—that, that gives the president’s position a little edge is that every one of us can imagine the following scenario: We get lucky, we get the number three guy in al-Qaeda, and we know there’s a big bomb going off in America in three days and we know this guy knows where it is. Don’t we have the right and the responsibility to beat it out of him? But keep in mind, in 99 percent of the interrogations, you don’t know those things.
Now, it happens like even in the military regulations, in a case like that, they do have the power to use extreme force because there is an imminent threat to the United States, and then to live with the consequences. The president—they could set up a law where the president could make a finding or could guarantee a pardon or could guarantee the submission of that sort of thing ex post facto to the intelligence court, just like we do now with wire taps.
So I, I DON'T THINK THAT HARD CASE JUSTIFIES THE SWEEPING AUTHORITY FOR WATERBOARDING AND ALL THE OTHER STUFF that was sought in this legislation. And I think, you know, if that circumstance comes up—we all know what we’d do to keep our country from going through another 9/11 if we could. But to—but to claim in advance the right to do this whenever someone takes a notion to engage in conduct that plainly violates the Geneva Convention, that, I think, is a mistake."
President Clinton imagined the "ticking time bomb" scenario only to knock it down. It's called the Socratic method. Russert took the quote out of context to make it look like President Clinton was endorsing torture when he was doing the opposite.
- - -
Russert is a hack.
September 27, 2007 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Coonsey says that Edwards would not be a "viable" general election candidate. This is nonsense, with all due respect. The last time Democrats selected a candidate based on "electibility" we ended up with John Kerry as the nominee. Remember how well that worked?
September 27, 2007 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I did not watch the debate, but rather, this morning I read the entire transcript of the debate.
If anyone is the least bit interested in what the candidates actually said, as compared to say, being interested in quicky gotcha-ism titillations, then they would find that Obama's actual responses were consistently and impressively non-combative, intelligent and inclusive.
In other words, Obama is dependably true to his own stated pragmatism rather than pandering to the media pundits and others wanting to be entertained by fresh snarks.
September 27, 2007 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Donna, be fair here. Obama was actually not good on substance:
(1) His attack on Hillary ("you were lonely, Hillary, because you closed the door") came out of nowhere and just seemed too aggressive (Edwards's attacks were much more carefully weighted).
(2) He had missed the Iran vote, so he could hardly criticize Hillary for that.
(3) His answer on the torture question was THE weak moment of the night. I was stunned.
Full analysis here, on CampaignDiaries.com
September 27, 2007 10:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama flops? Not according to your highlight reels.
I toggled between the politcal debate in NH and the sports debate in Philly between my Phillies and the Braves. Both interesting match ups, and interestingly, the Dems were more entertaining.
This is the first time the headline to one of your video clips really missed the mark. The headline of last night's debate was Sen. Clinton putting it right back in Tim R.'s face when he thought he pulled a "gotcha" on Sen. Clinton. Priceless.
September 27, 2007 10:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Earl, perhaps the media, GOP opposition, and future 2008 candidates had reason to push the meme that Kerry was a bad candidate, but results to a sitting wartime president, while he's campaigning without much Dem surrogate support, were excellent.
Why do people forget the strong, principled things Kerry has done before 2004 and since, and believe only the media version of him, and the campaign.
Maybe the Dems and McAuliffe could have helped with state organizations and protecting the vote better. Maybe the media could have been less concerned about media deregulation and electing Bush. Just a thought.
September 27, 2007 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Donna G,
If the country did as you did...read the debate, not watched it, fine. But most don't. Most people watch. How a candidate appears (dare I say, even how they "perform") matters. There's much more to it than just the words coming out of their mouths. Just ask Richard Nixon.
You may find that to be a sad state of affairs, but it nevertheless true.
September 27, 2007 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Donna G - VERY WELL SAID.
Earl - If America were filled with JUST left winged Democrats - Edwards would win in a landslide - however, fortunately, she is not.
September 27, 2007 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find the idea that we can keep troops in Iraq beyond 2013 or any date outrageous. It means, essentially, that we can invade and occupy any country for legitimate or illegitimate reasons and as long as the result is a "national security issue" - as it almost inevitably would be because the population would be radicalized against America - we can stay. At least by our policy. Welcome to Burma, where all power comes from the barrel of a gun.
September 27, 2007 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I tried to watch, but I only managed a total of about fifteen minutes and kept going back to Burns' on PBS. Timmah just makes me want to vomit and the format was more like an f'ing game show than ever. A lightning round, for Christ's sake. They actually had a damned lightning round and even called it a "lightning round."
Timmah thinks "asking a tough question" means assuming whatever facts are necessary to construct a question that makes the candidate look look bad no matter how he or she answers. Then the bloviaters in Matthews peanut brain gallery then declare a "winner" based on how well the candidates managed to weasel out of those question without hurting themselves too bad.
Could somebody please tell me what the hell performance in one these things has to do with whether someone would make a good President? The world stands on the brink of a dozen different catastrophies, most of them of our own creation, and more and more the MSM treats the election like just one more big reality show staged for their (and our) amusement. They act like all of politics is just a big fun funny fun game and nothing very important hangs on the outcome.
Possibly my disgust is magnified by having reread the Lincoln-Douglas debates over the summer. Nine debates, no moderator. One hour for one candidate, an hour for the other followed by a half an hour of rebuttal by the first to speak. (They took turns being first.) Crowds of thousands gathered from miles around and stood and listened raptly, night after night. Hundreds of thousands read the entire transcripts in their local papers in the weeks that followed. There was no shortage of hard shots or even cheap shots, but the two of them laid out exactly where they thought the country was, what they believed was at stake and what they would do.
But now, in the 21st Century, we turn 'em into game show contestants. And note even a case of Turtle Wax for the runner up.
September 27, 2007 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tim Russert is an embarassment to "journalism". His gotcha questions are what one would expect from someone in high school. His relentless focus on Hillary in particular is unfair, not just to the candidate, but more importantly to the voters.
Listening to the commentary after the debate, I sensed the media may be rethinking it's anointing of Hillary. The comments seemed to be trending toward shifting the focus away from inevitability toward a "Hillary is taking for granted that she will be the nominee." This could spell trouble for her if they've decided that perhaps they acted too quickly in making her the focus of nearly all their attention. They seemed to be toying with the idea of making the new scenario Clinton vs Edwards instead of Obama who has experienced some weakness in recent polls. I detest how they do this, but they do, do this. It's unfair to all the candidates and to the public.
The corporate media seems to have a sort of ADHD which they project onto the public and use that as an excuse for their own shortcomings. They wanted more of a contest from Obama, but if they don't see that they're happy to make the race between Hillary and Edwards or whoever helps the new storyline they've chosen develop. What crap! And what self agrandizing crap it is! They think they need to choose for us as though the people aren't smart enough to do so for themselves. So they just skip the part where they are supposed to focus on the real substantive issues of the day and focus in large part on the horse race and trivialities. They abuse their platform (which is supposed to be reporting on events and developments)and use it to guide public opinion in the direction they deem best. I guess it might not be so bad if their judgement wasn't so horrendous. They have had some disasterous failures in the regular news department where the stories they tried to create didn't receive public cooperation, e.g.: Clinton will be impeached, Bush is a popular President, the war is a good thing, people believe what Betrayus had to say and thus the tide of public opinion will change back toward supporting the war, etc. Yet, they still hold sway to a large degree when it comes to the Presidential election process. It's really disgusting.
I wish they would instead focus on the major issues confronting the nation and bring them up for adult discussion instead of these simple-minded, gotcha sort of scenarios and almost belligerent insistence that the candidates discuss an issue only on their terms as Russert tried to make happen last night, e.g. what pain will you bring to bear upon the people to secure social security's future? The corporate media are doing massive damage to our democracy.
Finally, it was nice to see Salon's Joan Walsh included as a talking head after the debate, but I couldn't tell if she had little to say or just wasn't given enough time to say much. It's a start though, at including a voice that isn't fully incorporated into the corporate media world.
September 27, 2007 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Howard Fineman said last night before the debate that, among other factors, "press and media" dynamics would not allow Hillary to waltz to the Democratic nomination for president from this point forward. He and other pundits then proved his point after the debate by claiming--nonsensically, in my opinion--that since Hillary's opponents attacked her last night, she had one of her poorer performances.
The eight candidate debate format is getting so old and tired that one wonders who is watching these forums, let alone being convinced by them, at this point in time. Finally, we need to remember that this debate for Hillary followed her Sunday Talk Show appearances on five different networks three days prior. This means that in four days she has put some the most contentious forums she can face behind her. This is almost as good a week's work as last week was for her with her highly successful health care rollout.
September 27, 2007 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Totally frivolous, shallow and please attack me for it comment. Senator Clinton's vote for the Kyl-Liberman amendment was an abomination. But that raw silk orange suit! Are we ready to elect the Magic Pumpkin president of the United States?
September 27, 2007 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards displayed his deft legal skills at focusing on differences that can be decisive factors. A trait he surely had to hone as a trial lawyer. I very much appreciated how he clarified the differences between himself and Hillary on combat troops in Iraq as well as how he stated she had not learned to not trust this President. This was particularly important as HRClinton is fond of saying if she had known then what is known now she would have voted differently. Clearly, she has learned nothing.
HRClinton is still willing to give Bush reason to make another pre-emptive strike only this time it would be Iran. Thank you John Edward for highlighting how much of a warmonger HRClinton is and more importantly how she continues to lack judgment when it comes to critically important votes and issues. I hope that all the candidates drive this point home because Hillary is taking us down the path to more war with her affirmative vote on the Kyl-Lieberman amendment.
I was annoyed with how Hillary dodged most of the questions in the debate last night. I was put off by her presumption that she need not tell us what she will put on the table when it comes to Social Security, the use of force against other nations and her pathetic defense of the Kyl-Lieberman vote. Hillary somehow thinks she has a right to act as if she is President NOW in terms of the answers she is unwilling to provide us as a candidate who wants our votes to be President. My thoughts are this is similiar to a man proposing to a woman and not being willing to tell her how he can provide for a family and them as a couple because as he says he is the 'head of the house' and gets to make those decisions for them. In effect, he refuses to discuss his views and reasoning by hiding behind the presumed mantle of 'acting like the head of the household'. Now, that should give pause to any person considering marriage to the individual as they have no clue what he will do as he is basically saying 'trust me'. I say NO, you have to show me. That is how I feel about all of Hillary's 'acting Presidential'...she comes across as a petty tyrant and bullying parent refusing to hold a discussion with those beneath them and who they consider a child as 'momma knows best'....I do not need another individual serving as President who insists on being 'the decider'.
Biden spoke out well with what he said regarding Guiliani, torture, social security and Iraq. Biden could very well be a surprise winner in the primaries, as he certainly has much more experience than Hillary and he made a point of saying that all of her blustering about fiscal responsibility was nonsense when it comes to getting things done with Social Security.
Obama made a solid point on Healthcare when he noted that it would take consensus building to push through that proposal and that Hillary had the public behind her in '92 but failed to get anything done because she refused to talk to all sides and make compromises. He was right to tell her nothing has changed. I hope people were listening because Obama basically told Americans that Hillary lacks the leadership to drive through a universal health care policy just as she lacked the judgment and ability to do so in 92. This point was consistent with what Edwards had asserted about 'learning from lessons'.
Hillary is exhibiting a clear pattern of not discussing anything and it was this same trait that caused the collaspe of Hillarycare...it is worrisome because rather than correct this character flaw she is expanding it into other areas and policies like Iraq, Social Security, use of force, etc.
What was most clear to me last night was that on two extremly critical issues, Hillary has learned nothing and will repeat the same errors in judgment. Healthcare was a massive complex problem and this war is a massive complex problem. Solving these problems requires clarity and leadership. Hillary has not learned from the errors in judgment she made in 92 on healthcare nor in 03 when she voted to give authority to Bush to wage war endlessly. She is continuing to make the same mistakes while asking us to 'trust her'. Hillary not only lacks the experience to be President but she lacks the leadership and judgment as well.
That message came through loud and clear in last nights debate.
Hillary will not get my vote.
Edwards is looking better and better.
Obama has the right philosophy and principles of governance when it comes to what kind of democracy America should be. He is also the only candidate talking about significant change who has a track record of accomplishment that includes working with independents and Republicans. Obama has the leadership and judgment the country needs.
Edwards and Obama would make a good Democratic ticket.
HRClinton would be a disaster for our country. This is a person who despite authorizing the worse foreign policy disaster in this country and saying in stump speech after stump speech that GW Bush has failed to execute this war, saw fit to vote to give him authority once more.
Hillary has now 2 votes that show how poor her judgment is, the vote which took us to war with Iraq, and the vote for Kyl-Lieberman which history will show was the first opening salvo in GWBush's march to war with Iran before he leaves office.
Just say no to Hillary if you love this country.
September 27, 2007 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since 1960 the Democratic Party has elected three men to the White House. All three of them were white southerners. They were Johnson, Carter, and Clinton. Since 1944, only one Democrat has been elected to two consecutive terms and that is Bill Clinton. Clearly white southern males do better in general elections than northern males such as Humphrey, Mondale, Dukakis, and Kerry. (I am not sure how to classify McGovern since South Dakota is a Great Plains State.)
In fact, the only white southerner who lost the presidency on his first try after getting the nomination was Gore and he got more popular votes than Bush in 2000. Counting Gore, white southern males have been nominated six times since 1960 and have won four of those elections. White northern males have been nominated five times since 1960 and have lost all five times. Whether a white northern woman will win or lose remains to be seen.
The point of all this is to answer the person who believes that John Edwards is the least electable candidate of the top three. Actually, using historical trends, he is probably the most electable.
September 27, 2007 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
A few more thoughts:
If this were debate class, I'd say the winner was Kucinich. He was in command of his material, made his points clearly and forcefully, spoke from what seemed to be deep-rooted principles, and is smart enough and confident enough to be genuinely witty.
I know this isn't the most pressing issue, but it seems like we need a tiny movement to force the media to stop treating the campaign as a horse race. The post-debate commentary on MSNBC was all about Clinton, Obama, and Edwards. But pretty much every other candidate on the stage brought something useful to the table. I was impressed by Dodd, for example, who spoke with conviction when it was called for and nuance when it was helpful.
It's easy to roll your eyes at Gravel, but he alone was responsible for bringing up the Lieberman vote, which sparked one of the more substantive exchanges of the night.
I wish one of the candidates had called Russert out for his unhelpful rhetorical tack of asking for pledges and promises.
And I wish someone had suggested that Russert's last question--"What is your favorite Bible verse?"--was presumptuous and exclusionary.
September 27, 2007 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: mrgavel and the "great white hope" theory:
Johnson made it because JFK was otherwise indisposed at the time and Billy C. and Jimmy C. made it because they were governors -- they knew/know how to relate to peoples like me. I like Sen. Clinton alot but I still think the road to White House starts at a governor's house.
My money's on some kind of once-in-a-lifetime, bat-out-of-hell alternative candidacy Gore/Hagel.
September 27, 2007 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm a JRE supporter, but I actually thought Obama's response on the torture question was quite good, and his response on the gay rights question was excellent. The "turn the page" answer, however, was a punt.
I liked Edwards on Iraq, Iran, social security (where he benefited from following Richardson's incoherence), but I'm not sure how successful his answer to the haircut/hedge fund question was.
HRC -- the imperial attitude (combined with "my husband" this and that) was a complete turn-off.
Gravel -- the credit card companies deserved it because I was empowering the American people? Huh?
And, please, who let the NH reporter waste so much time with completely dippy questions?? Who CARES where the candidates stand on teenagers' right to drink or second-hand smoke? That many lawyers on the stage and none of them could say -- geez, as a matter of health, safety and welfare, that's traditionally left to the states and the municipalities...and that's where I'd leave it, with perhaps some federal funding for public health education.
September 27, 2007 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
mrgavel,
If you look at recent demographics, the Democratic constituency is decidely not in the South. The swing states are in the Southwest and upper midwest. It's unlikely that any Dem will win a southern state this go round. Demographic trends indicate that Virginia and eventually North Carolina will eventually turn blue. Historical trends on needing a "southern white male" to win the presidency are outdated.
In terms of Kerry, he was the strongest nominee (though i'd probably argue Wes Clark was even stronger in some areas). As was mentioned, Bush was a wartime president with favorabilities in the 50s. He also had the power of the "elevated security level". Yet Bush barely one. That is unprecedented and indicative of Kerry's strond candidacy. I wouldn't argue that he ran a terrible campaign though (with Edwards contributing to that atrocious performance).
September 27, 2007 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton makes me angry. Same old, same old. Just won't discuss issues because she doesn't believe we're smart enough to see them ourselves. If she's like this now...with her distain for "hypotheticals" and her cant for "fiscal responsiblity"...won't she become even more secretive when she gets all the power?
And what's this thing about a "protective zone" for SS taxes? What about the fact that those of us making less than 97,500 are paying ss taxes on ALL of our income?
We just need a clearer perspective, uncontaminated by the Washington "insider's view".
September 27, 2007 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
John Edwards, while preferrable to any of the GOP candidates, can not win the general. I think the Gore analogy is most appropriate. A white southern male that will not make a dent in the south, and will probably lose his own state.
The guy has some great qualities and would probably be a decent President, but the mistakes he's made thus far will leave him defenseless to the GOP attack machine. The only reason he seems so compelling at this point is that is because he's desperate to propel himself into the top two.
The media has ruined this contest by declaring HRC "the most experienced" candidate. By declaring her the champ before a single round was fought, the media has distorted the playing field on which the candidates compete. The "game show" debate formats along with the accelerated primary schedule have not helped either. All HRC has to do is run out the clock for the next three months, and the GOP will have a 11 months to take her apart.
September 27, 2007 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
The idea that Obama flopped is silly. He didn't gain ground, but he didn't lose ground either. And his response to the torture question was solid.
I am by no means a Kucinich supporter. But I thought his performance was the best. Succinct responses, never seemed to stumble or hesitate, very decisive. I was impressed.
Biden had some great moments. His social security answer was excellent.
It dawned on me that Hillary is clearly the right-wing Democrat in this primary. Maybe that should have been obvious before, but it was never as clear as it was after last night's performance. At least the guffaws were gone.
Chris Matthews is toxic. Leering, overbearing, obnoxious ... wow is he hard to listen to ...
September 27, 2007 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think this debate changed many minds, which I suppose conventional wisdom suggests may help Hillary, but I think the onus is on her to close the deal. If she never answers any question, the voters leaning toward her are going to take another look at the other candidates. I thought all of the candidates were pretty average, and if you are predisposed toward one or another, you were probably satisfied with this person. It was kind of pathetic that Chris Dodd wouldn't stand by his own criticism of Hillary.
I thought the most obvious highlights of the debate were what an idiot Tim Russert is for what he did with the BS unfair Bill Clinton misquote, and what a total idiot Chris Matthews is. The NECN lady also picked the dumbest possible questions to ask (and Pat Buchanan is an idiot for suggesting afterward that anyone cares about all the dumb questions she asked.
After the debate, Chris Matthews asked Chris Dodd, "Are you comfortable debating a woman?" Later he said that Bill Clinton keeps Hillary on a short leash b/c she would not answer the question about donors to the Clinton Foundation. Right, Bill has Hillary on a leash. Just ridiculous.
I thought it was a good, fair question -- once again, she won't change politics with openness and transparency, just like all her work in secret on Hillarycare that caused it to flop). She won't directly answer many questions on many topics at this point, since she's running a general election strategy.
Anyway, where was Keith Olbermann tonight? The best MSNBC has to offer definitely should have been there.
September 27, 2007 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
To win the presidency you need 270 electoral votes. There are 18 states that give you that number. Gore carried 17, not counting Florida and Kerry carried 17, not counting Ohio. I can see both Hillary and Obama winning the same 17 states that Kerry carried, but I am not sure about number 18. If you look at either Ohio or Florida, I think that Edwards is a better fit for those two states.
Now, it might be possible for Hillary to take Richardson as VP and thereby do better in Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, and Florida than Kerry did because of the increasing size of the Hispanic vote. Excluding that possibility, though, the best way to pick up the 18th elusive state is either Ohio or Florida, both of which, by the way, Bill Clinton carried.
September 27, 2007 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
The MSNBC spin room just wants all of the candidates to attack each other. Chris Matthews got visibly upset that they wouldn't do that. Obviously he doesn't remember the lesson of Iowa 2004, in which the attacker (Gephardt) and the attacked (Dean) both suffered. I think that's why both Edwards and Obama are not as full-throated and vociferous in going after Hillary as they could be. The points they kept trying to make about troop withdrawals by 2013 were also ignorant.
Note that Russert led the talk time, unlike other debate moderators.
September 27, 2007 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama "flopped" because he didn't go on the attack like every Very Serious Person said that he had to do in light of the NH poll. I watched the debate . . . TWICE last night (one of the benefits on being on the West Coast). Edwards did the most to distinguish himself last night (although he dropped the ball on a couple of questions). HRC took some shots, but she handled herself well. Obama actually did pretty well (but I think it depends on what you wanted him to do, versus what he did).
One thing that struck me is that Dodd, who is great on the substantive points, seems to be running for senate majority leader. Biden was good also. Kucinich still reminds me of an Evil Ernie Keebler, but he was by far the funniest of the night. Gravel was, well Gravel.
All in all, Edwards' night (perception-wise), I think Obama is going to gain the most (despite the talking heads and the TPM headline (which frankly is bs)) and HRC showed some vulnerability. In short: Game On!
September 27, 2007 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eric, only in a few big cities like New York is making $90,000-$200,000 a year considered middle class. I do think that's probably a good, politically viable option for Social Security, and Edwards was astute for picking up on it.
Also, Hillary actually said, "Well, he's not THE ONE standing here right now," meaning Bill's not running for President and she is. I think leaving out "the one" gives it a slightly different feel. I thought she handled that very well and it was a particularly effective moment for her, taking her a bit off her more typical canned approach, even though I do think she probably was aware that a question in that vein was a possibility. She looked a bit justifiably upset with Russert, probably b/c she thought he had misquoted Bill (which Russert had).
September 27, 2007 11:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with the debate was the moderator Tim Russert. He is a terrible debate moderator. He tries to upstage the candidates and make it all about himself. He was trying to debate the candidates instead of letting them to debate each other.
I thought Edwards did the best.
Hillary held her ground and did not make mistakes.
Obama did well.
Overall, the debate did not change any minds.
September 27, 2007 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Matthews was his usual annoying, hyperbolic, motor mouth self last night.
Chuck Todd (now billed as NBC News Political Director) was in the process of completing a thoughtful observation when Tweedy panicked (camera off him too long?), started talking over him, finally cutting him off altogether.
First time I've seen Todd roll his eyes, frustrated and angry. He looked like he wanted to strangle the guy.
I'm sure Keith Obermann has felt the same way when having to share debate duties with Mr. Insufferable-- probably why he was absent last night.
Both Olbermann and Todd's political acumen is outshining Tweedy's own these days, making him look more and more like the insecure, hysterical hack he's become.
September 27, 2007 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thinking like a Republican, how many candidates promised to raise taxes last night on the Social Security question?
I think that's a JV mistake to concede to the VSPs (Very Serious Persons) like Russert, who "know" that Social Security is in grave danger, and just about blew a gasket when Bill Richardson corrected him that it's actually not in danger if our level of growth is slightly higher than predicted, which is not all that unlikely. Economic projections over 35 years are terrible! Those who said it would go to a bipartisan commission and refused to do so were doing the right thing there.
While I thought Richardson did well on that point, is it just me, or does he generally come off as out of it? He just looks and sounds too messy to be President.
Also, can't NBC have a few Dems on afterward who know something about Dem politics and policy, or at least someone who knows something? The opposite of Pat Buchanan, say. Chuck Todd saying that the DNC (i.e. Howard Dean?!) is going to broker a convention for Hillary if Edwards wins the early states is beyond ridiculous. David Gregory was OK, which is actually probably a good performance, given his awful pairing.
September 27, 2007 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't we change the SS formula to have people pay SS taxes on a certain percentage of their income? That way everyone, rich, middle class and poor, pays SS taxes on all of their income, not just those making $97,500 or less.
It would add progressivity, right? Is it the concern that wealthier folks would no longer support the program if they pay more into it than they get out of it?
You could bill it as a tax break for the middle class as well.
September 27, 2007 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is it me, or are we pretty regularly seeing a disconnect between the headline at TPM, and the actual content of the story? There's nothing in this article that supports the Obama "flopped" headline.
C'mon, guys, don't get sloppy.
September 27, 2007 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm an Obama man, but in the Veracifier cutdown, Hillary sure looked impressive. I don't know if this was due to editing, but either way I think she is beginning to leave behind the Hillarybot persona.
Obama didn't appear to shine, but neither did he appear in any way to "flop." If you go with that headline you really must back it up.
September 27, 2007 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I watched the debate and came away feeling that Dodd and Biden were the winners. They had good ideas, they were in command of their material, and they knew how to present their points clearly, comfortably and forcefully. I agreed more with Dodd than Biden, but I felt either one would be wise and effective in the White House, leading our domestic and foreign policy.
Gravel and Kuchinich did a good job of keeping the needs of the nation up front and center.
Russert was less a moderator than a ninth debator with an unfair time advantage.
The NECN reporter presented trivial Republican wedge issues in a gotcha format. Was she there to train the candidates for the national election?
September 27, 2007 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink