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Another Poll Shows Shaheen Narrowly Ahead
The newest poll from American Research Group corroborates another poll from earlier today: Jeanne Shaheen's lead over John Sununu in the New Hampshire Senate race has gone down significantly from the great heights she enjoyed over the Summer.
Shaheen now leads Sununu by a 46%-41% margin — still impressive, in that she leads the incumbent and holds him way below 50% support. But in a strange way, it's almost a letdown from an ARG poll back in June, in which she led him by a two-to-one margin.
But Sununu still has a lot of ground to make up, and the Republican brand probably won't help him much — President Bush has a 26% approval rating in New Hampshire, with 64% disapproval, compared to Democratic Governor John Lynch's 58%-24% rating.
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Two polls in one day... Let's get ready for NH-Sen to be polled a lot in the next few months, since the prmiary will be polled obsessively.
CampaignDiaries.comSeptember 18, 2007 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think this just shows it will be a hard fight to gain Senate seats.
Is Shaheen really the best candidate? Rematches usually don't go well the second time around.
September 18, 2007 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. I've been a doubter regarding Shaheen from the get-go. Her 2002 campaign was entirely too timid, as was her advice to John Kerry in the '04 campaign (remember, she advocated staying silent through the Swift Boat attacks in August of that year). She has name recognition, and she has a good record as Governor . . . but does she have the chutzpah necessary to take down Sununu?
September 18, 2007 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
A real race is usually tighter than an anticipated race.
But 41 is an extremely sucky number for an incumbent.
September 18, 2007 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't believe the 20 point gap when it was published. Given the makeup of voters in NH, even under the absolute best of circumstances, a Democratic candidate can't expect to win by more than 5-7%.
September 18, 2007 4:07 PM | Reply | Permalink