Uh, Oh — Michigan Moving Primary To January 15
If you thought the mess over the primary schedule was bad already, then get a load of this: Both state parties in Michigan have agreed to pass legislation moving the state's primary up to January 15, practically guaranteeing that other contests will be held in 2007.
This means that the DNC and RNC will have an even worse headache on their hands than the one they faced from Florida moving to January 29, ahead of the officially sanctioned date of February 5. A January 15 date guarantees a New Hampshire primary no later than January 8 — which puts the Iowa caucus at New Year's Day at the latest, in order to be a week before New Hampshire, but more likely some time in December 2007.
Some other reshuffling of the primary schedule in recent days has made it likely that Iowa's contest would be moved into 2007, but if these latest machinations in Michigan go through, that would practically clinch it.
And things can only get worse from there, with the possibility of more states moving up their contests. At the rate we're going, the Iowa caucus might have already been held last week.















Dean needs to put a stop to this, by telling these early states that if they move up their primaries their electoral votes will not be counted and that goes for my home state of Florida. I don't care for this egotistical gamemanship of one upping on all the early states. It is making a mockery of our voting system in the US. What do you think the rest of the world is thinking about the US? If the US who is supposed to me so forward thinking cannot get it's act together on such an important issue as voting than maybe we should be considered a country that is on par with third world countries.
August 17, 2007 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or should have been held, and since it wasn't, I think that means the whole election has to be called off.
National primary day, please?
August 17, 2007 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
"At the rate we're going, the Iowa caucus might have already been held last week."
That zinger made me laugh, Eric.
August 17, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
If michigan moves to this date, Edwards' decision to downplay Nevada looks pretty shrewd
August 17, 2007 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ugh, there are going to be 12 caucusgoers in Iowa if they hold them during the week between Christmas and New Year's.
August 17, 2007 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I imagine this would mean a huge advantage for anyone who can win the atheist vote.
August 17, 2007 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Loved the part about how Karl Levin is involved. For God's sake, as many Senators from both parties as we have running this time, can't someone provide some adult supervision here? This is absolutely insane. We're going to be left with the nominations sewed up by February 22, leaving us with a general election season nine months long. Nine months with the oppo research gloves really off. That'll elevate the level of political discouse in this country, won't it?
August 17, 2007 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
It would throw a huge monkey-wrench in the common Dem campaign strategy of getting college kids to change their registrations to the state in which they are attending college, since the students from out-of-state will be away on vacation.
That could account for literally hundreds of caucus-goers just between University of Iowa and Iowa State.
August 17, 2007 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd say hundreds might be on the low side, even if it is earlier in December (can't imagine they'd hold the caucuses the last week of December). Trying to turn out both in and out of state students (and other university people) during finals won't be pretty. My guess is that this has the potential to really hurt Obama and to benefit Clinton.
August 17, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree... I think things can only get better from here. In fact, I think this is great.
Our primary system is non-democratic and an abomination. There is nothing even remotely fair or reasonable about Iowa and New Hampshire getting an overstated say in the process every election. Without something like the current primary schedule debacle the system would never get fixed. It's about time and I welcome it.
August 17, 2007 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mebbe. I've said before that I think Iowa and New Hampshire's permanent first status is irrational, but I don't see why this debacle is necessarily going to lead to a better solution, unless the parties develop much more organizational moxie than they've shown thus far. At the moment, it just looks like a longer schedule, with perhaps a slight change in the cast of early states. If we're going to fix the system, we need to give serious thought as to its replacement -- here, it's just shuffling the cards and prolonging an already too-long process.
August 17, 2007 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
National elections next week! Yay!!!!!!!
August 17, 2007 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's an old saying in the music business: "If it's a hit in Ohio, it's a hit."
I don't see anything wrong with Iowa and New Hampshire having an "overstated" say in the process. The candidates run mini-campaigns in those states and we get an idea of who's going to run a good national campaign. I think it's extraordinarily asinine that these other states are moving their primaries up, though. Do they seriously think Iowa and New Hampshire are going to allow themselves to get knocked out of the first two positions? This does no one any good at all.
How would you fix things?
August 17, 2007 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, Dean and the DNC need to do something about this, this is getting ridiculous.
August 17, 2007 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's just hold the national election in November 2007, get it overwith and send Bush back to Crawford a year early. No one is paying attention to the Constitution anyway, and even the Republicans would be releaved.
August 17, 2007 6:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
The way to fix it is for the parties (both DNC and RNC) to ban delegates to the national conventions from renegade states. After all these are not general elections but elections designed to determine delegates to the national conventions.
Denis
August 17, 2007 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
O/T: could someone tell the administrators that the "edwards sniped for wealth again" link on the front page comes to this article, and needs to be fixed?
thanks!
August 17, 2007 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is only so much Howard can do.
He can't put a stop to Florida and now Michigan legislatively moving their primary dates because the DNC lacks the ability to force individual states to abide by their declared schedule. The most he can do is penalize the candidates that take part in those contests and take delegates away from those states.
Last August the DNC members adopted the Delegate Selection Rules for the 2008 Democratic National Convention. The Rules govern the development and implementation of a delegate selection process by each state and territorial Party. Howard carries out what they voted to do.
August 17, 2007 10:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the US who is supposed to me so forward thinking cannot get it's act together on such an important issue as voting than maybe we should be considered a country that is on par with third world countries.
As far as democracy goes, we're actually well behind some developing countries such as Brasil and India. See ballot-access.org for examples of how the big two parties have systematically worked to keep everyone else off the ballot. Then read up on poportional representation and see how the truly democratic countries see to it that many more people have a voice.
The most galling part is, in so many Congressional districts Republicans and Democrats won't even bother running against each other's incumbents! How is that democracy? It's like a supermarket that offers you Corn Flakes or Raisin Bran, except that some locations only offer you Corn Flakes, and others only Raisin Bran. But you're an American, so you get a choice! (As long as you choose what's chosen for you, of course.)
And save the anti-Nader vitriol. I'm actually a Libertarian and don't care a fig about Nader, but regardless, it's beside the point. In a functioning democracy using PR or IRV people could express preference for the Green Party and not be hectored about "wasting" their vote by those who considered themselves entitled to those votes. In reality most of us are wasting our votes, since we live in safe states and districts that don't have competitive races.
August 18, 2007 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Part of me is actually enjoying this silly game. Direct primaries, staggered arbitrarily across a few months, are the real mockery here. Let the states duke it out and embarrass themselves -- maybe then we'll get a true backlash against the well-intentioned but counterproductive post-1968 reforms.
August 19, 2007 11:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know if it would even be relevant in 2012 and 2016, but I wish the democrats could schedule their primaries in May---maybe 3 or 4 states like New Hampshire and Iowa could go in January, but if there was that much time to dissipate the momentum of those early states, it would be much more representative for the rest of the nation.
The democrats could cut the costs of running for the nomination that way---the early campaigning and fundraising would lose some of their importance.
Republican interests are best served by the way things are--plus--the way they seem to be going. Long, expensive campaigns, paid for by the special interests, where people tire of hearing substantive issues being discussed.
August 19, 2007 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
For 2012, the DNC and RNC should hammer out a mandatory binding caucus/primary schedule and harshly punish states that don't abide by it. Delegates from states that don't follow the new schedule won't be counted toward the nomination. Period.
The parties have to set the rules and enforce them.
If the RNC won't agree, the DNC should go ahead and do it on their own, but I think it's in the best interest of both parties to do something jointly.
Shortening the current schedule should also be a goal. They should get started now, before anyone knows who the next president is, so that less gamesmanship enters into the calculations.
August 20, 2007 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink