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Poll: More Dems Think Hillary, Not Obama, Will Bring Change

CNN has released some new poll numbers today, and this one seems surprising:

Obama is presenting himself on the campaign trail as the candidate of change, but only 27 percent of the Democrats we questioned say the senator from Illinois is most likely to change the country. That’s second to Clinton -- 40 percent of those polled say she’s most likely to bring change.

The usual caveats aside -- this is a national poll, etc. -- it's worth noting that this comes after Obama has aggressively sought to link Hillary to the D.C. foreign policy and political establishment, and to argue that he's the race's real change agent.

Meanwhile, Obama polls better than Hillary on who's more likeable, 34%-31%. But Hillary is doing markedly better than Obama -- 59% to 9% -- on the question of who's seen to have more of the right experience to be President, a key Hillary campaign argument.


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CNN/Opinion Polls? I don't trust CNN anymore, they have done their best to crown Hillary Clinton, President of the United States.

I'm sure Ted Turner is wondering what happened to his Network.

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This seems to track pretty much with recognizability. People know enough to have a sense of whether a candidate is "likable" but not enough to know about their policies or real experience. Still, so many seeing Hillary as the agent of change just blows my mind. Makes me despair for the future of the Democratic Party and of progressive values.

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I agree it's unexpected, it was a startling number, I thought

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I don't think this is surprising at all. I fully expect her to have dramatic accomplishments as President, There is a widespread perception that Clinton is able to cooperate with many different factions to get stuff accomplished, and yet strong enough and experienced enough to prevail over her enemies. Similar to Bill Clinton, except that he was paralysed by the Whitewater swiftboating. We all know better now and that won't happen again.

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Now I understand how we got Bush over Gore in 2000.

Just use the corporate media to create whatever perception among the proletariat you want.

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While I'm sure the ObamaBorg will find a million ways to deny the legitimacy of these poll numbers, they would seem to reflect a basic reality understood by most voters: to bring about change, you must be effective.

The very pragmatism of Hillary, which many Democrats find repugnant (to a degree me too), is more likely to bring about change, albeit of a modest sort. She's had a good deal of experience in seeing how change can be made to happen -- and, as with her initial foray at health care legislation -- how it can't.

What has Obama ever done to demonstrate his effectiveness?

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I believe people think Hillary will implement different FP and domestic policies. Hillary haters think she will keep doing the same things bush and cheney have been doing since 2001 which is absurd. Obama of course will implement different policies too but he lacks the gravitas.

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I don't find this "startling" in the least. Change has more to do with effectiveness than merely rhetoric. People I talk to outside of the internet are almost all in agreement that Clinton will be able to handle the GOP and that she's tough. People like what Obama is saying about "changing Washington", but the majority are generally skeptical of all politicians, including him--after all they hear that year-in-year-out. So in the broader sense, his campaign has an upper limit on its efficacy, despite the appeal of the rehashed rhetoric. (Remember Bush in 2000: "Uniter not a divider". Been there done that.)

It's easy to downplay all these polls, but there comes a point in my mind when so much of the information points in one direction that it has to be taken seriously (or get rated a 1 or 0 at TPM EC).

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Oh, but even the quickest glance at the available data will show that the Proletariat is much less GOP than the upper class. It was the "ignorant, foolish" proletariat who was most against this war (just as they were during Vietnam).

We got Bush over Gore in 2000 because Bush was saying that we need to come together to solve problems. That he wanted to unite us, not divide us. Sound familiar? I'm sure you'll forgive the proletariat if they aren't jumping to endorse a newcomer who says the same thing...

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Hillary has a long track record of change. For example:

Raymond Hernandez and Robert Pear, "Once an Enemy, Health Industry Warms to Clinton," New York Times, July 12, 2006.

"As she runs for re-election to the Senate from New York this year and lays the groundwork for a possible presidential bid in 2008, Mrs. Clinton is receiving hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign contributions from doctors, hospitals, drug manufacturers and insurers. Nationwide, she is the No. 2 recipient of donations from the industry, trailing only Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a member of the Republican leadership."

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What I find hilarious is the notion that Bill Clinton sold out the Party to corporatists. He lost Congress because he was adamant about raising taxes on top marginal rates and instituting the assault weapons ban. Oh yeah, and he wanted to integrate gays in the military. And health-care was stymied on purely political grounds, but he tried to get UHC anyway.

If only all politicians were as willing to "sell out" for such horrible causes.

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Obama has had just slightly less time in the Senate than Clinton, some would say with better effect. So did you mean he's not a lifelong political climber, having wasted his time teaching Constitutional law? Or that he wasn't Somebody Important's spouse? So: effective? A disastrous healthcare attempt, a mediocre congressional record, and we don't even need to go into the spouse part, do we?

You've just made the case that no one should expect any change with Hillary at all. I personally wouldn't judge her that harshly.

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I'd find your pragmatic claim more believable if she had actually achieved anything sweeping in the last 8 years. She botched health care, and she's gone in baby steps ever since.

What has Hillary ever done to demonstrate her effectiveness? It's thrown out there as if it's just known, which is so bizarre to me.

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CNN/Opinion Polls? I don't trust CNN anymore, they have done their best to crown Hillary Clinton, President of the United States.

I bet that if you did the polling yourself you'd find the results to be just about the same. Are you surprised that those numbers are very similar to the margin by which HRC is leading Obama overall nationally for the nomination? You shouldn't be because at this point, that is really how people feel about the two candidates. In some ways,HRC has a relatively low bar to jump over since she's been painted in such dark colors by the wingnuts (left and right) and the MSM that anything that she does , no matter how small or immaterial, that challenges that portrait of her in the voters minds benefits here. This is really not that difficult to understand... It is the only way to explain the polls. The regular voters have, for the first time, been able to see HRC unfiltered and 'unplug', and they like what they see. It will get only better. She has the best chance to beat the Repub nominee than any of the Dem candidates...really. Neither Edwards nor Obama has 'cojones' as big as hers, and neither has been really tested the way HRC has been tested by the wingnuts (left or right) and the MSM.

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Well, in the absence of the actual data--which have not yet been released by good ol' CNN--I'd guess, emphasis on "guess" that its this simple: most Dems polled think Hillary is more likely to win the nomination, and hence the election, than Obama, ergo she's the one most likely to bring about change.

/rant on.

And, btw, this habit MSM outlets have of releasing a story about their organization's shiny new poll but not releasing the actual data and questionnaire for several hours drive me bats**t crazy. (Hmmm, it's almost as if they didn't want bloggers fact-checking them in real time.)

Until you can see the data and the questions, a certain amount of caution is called for when reporting on MSM reports about their unreleased polls. Some of them play it straight when they write these stories, others can't resist the temptation to cherry pick whatever numbers support the Official MSM Narrative, and still others are just so dumb they think a standard deviation has to do with interns and a confidence interval is a feature of their anti-perspirant.


Caution is especially wise when the reporting is done by CNN, the "if we find out you have a brain and you've been using it, you're fired!" news network.

/rant off.

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This is just name recognition. If less than 2/3 of the respondents can even decide whether Hillary and Obama is more LIKEABLE, it's stark proof that a big chunk of people are not tuned in. In most polls, thirty to forty percent of respondents either don't know enough to have an opinion of Obama yet or have never heard of him, and Clinton's combined don't know enough/never heard of is 3%.

How much of Clinton's 40% of primary support are people who don't know enough/never heard of Obama is the question pollsters should be asking; if it's more than a quarter of Clinton voters, things are much more in play nationally than is presumed, and if it's more than half, then Clinton's national lead is an illusion waiting to collapse.

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If only all politicians were as willing to "sell out" for such horrible causes.

Bill Clinton helped to make many of the Republicans' favorite ideas into law and they (the Repubs) hated him for it...

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In some ways,HRC has a relatively low bar to jump over since she's been painted in such dark colors by the wingnuts (left and right) and the MSM that anything that she does , no matter how small or immaterial, that challenges that portrait of her in the voters minds benefits her

Oh, I get it: she's sort of our Bush.

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"she is the No. 2 recipient of donations from the industry"

This factoid (factoid is a "fact" taken out of context) gets quoted ad infinitum, as if it is supposed to mean that HRC is now a captive of the evil health insurance industry. Somehow all of those doctors (and yes, the majority of her donations are from individual doctors) are conspiring to prevent healthcare reform.

If you think it is that simple (politics as soap opera) consider that:
** The number 2 Dem in donations is Ted Kennedy (notorious paleoconservative)
** Maybe all of those doctors are donating AGAINST the current insurer-run system. Ever hear a doctor complain about this?
** The pragmatic and nefarious healthcare industry doesn't look so bright giving TOP dollar to Santorum, didn't get much bang for their bucks there, did they?

[all info from the Hernandez/Pear article]

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Greg, you guys are starting to sound a little MSM-ish with all this parsing of national polls at a time when national polls mean squat.

The national polls missed both Dean's rise and Dean's fall in 2004. No one seems to have learned any lessons from that.

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It's obvious that the lobbyists, and the entrenched corporate interests they represent--y'know, the people who have helped give us our perfectly functional healthcare system, fully rational and efficient military procurement budget, and ever-thoughtful and earth-friendly environmental posture--view her as effective.

The question is whether that word means the same thing to them as it should to most of us who just want a competent government that reflects our shared values.

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Will Hillary be better than Bush? Yes. But I also believe that only incremental changes will be done--we will cautiously slow-step out of Iraq; we will incrementally change healthcare in cautious small steps; we will give up on issues where we can't easily get the votes; etc. Hillary will make small changes.

It's simply not hatred; or media propaganda. Hillary has learned her lessons well--be cautious in WDC.

That's not good enough for me. Although I want Obama to win the primary, I would be happy with Edwards. Hillary is simply too cautious.

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Oh, I get it: she's sort of our Bush.

No, you did NOT get it. Au contraire, she has not been given a pass for anything she's ever tried to do (good or bad), even by her own side! She has always been harshly crticized and has had her motivation constrantly questioned every step of the way. Therefore, whenever real people see her in debates and things, and see a real person and none of the MSM's caricature, they are surprised and develop a more tolerant view of her.

Does this sound like what Bush got from the MSM and wingnuts? Bush lied, cheated, took us to war, spit on our collective face, revoked habeas corpus, shredded the Constitution and... he got re-elected!! The "soft bigotry of low expectation" ain't what I was referring to in regard HRC. Au contraire!

Try again but please think harder this time...

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Now I understand how we got Bush over Gore in 2000.

Just use the corporate media to create whatever perception among the proletariat you want.

This is a non sequitur. If there were any truth to what you just asserted, HRC's poll numbers would be in single digits, if not just an asterisk. Do you know why you feel the way you do about HRC? If I asked you to tell us why, you would just regurgitate the canonical list: "she is polarzing; she is cold and calculating; she is power hungry, etc..." But do you really know HRC? Has she ever done anything to you personally to justify the negativity of your feelings toward her? No. You are feeling the way you do because the corporate media (read: MSM) and wingnuts have brainwashed you into feeling that way. A 'conditioned reflex' like in Pavlovian dog... That's all it is... Fortunately, now that she is more visible, the voters get to gauge her with their own eyes and they are surprised! She is, like, really smart, and poised, and warm, and humorous, and real...

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It wasn't the proletariat who did us in: a majority voted for Gore despite the dearth of sound information in much of the media.

Despite the GIGO problem in information flow, the people can be trusted more than that. It's called democracy.

GIGO problem should be a little better in one way since the Internet removes some of the filters. Worse in another since people are tempted to listen only to those who agree with them.

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I am not surprised that Hillary is perceived as a more effective agent of change by centrists -who are in the majority. All of this talk of her being polarizing is just rightwing spin -- which apparently a lot of leftwing Democrats also buy into. This is not surprising either. Why? When you are sitting on the poles, thats just the way you see things.

I am not sure Hillary will be able to change very much this perception that others who sit on the poles have. However, when she wins the nomination - most left-leaners will fall in line with the exception of the pathological Nader types.

Fortunately, the myth of monolithic conservatism is dying as well as enthusiasm for the war. She will peel away some of these people who don't feel so polarized - especially if the Republican candidate field only offers what is currently on the plate.

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Hillary is in a 'dead-heat' with Obama in the primaries that count - those through February 5th.

This is the only poll that matters because the nominee will be chosen from these states.

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Hillary is in a 'dead-heat' with Obama in the primaries that count - those through February 5th.

This is the only poll that matters because the nominee will be chosen from these states.

If Hillary thinks she is going to influence these early primaries through traditional media, she is wrong.

Grass-roots efforts on the ground in these states is the only way to win.

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But Hillary is doing markedly better than Obama -- 59% to 9% -- on the question of who's seen to have more of the right experience to be President, a key Hillary campaign argument.

This 'experience' thing is a fraud perpetrated by Hillary.

There is no such thing as a 'safe' tactical nuclear weapon, so 'experience' should have taught Hillary that you have to take these weapons off the table because you cannot use these or any other nuclear weapons against small terror cells without killing tens of thousands of innocent civilians and environmental damage for decades.

Hillary' 'experience' should have also taught her that the president must even talk to the leader of the Hutus if he/she thought it would prevent the slaughter of more Tutsis.

Who cares what a dictator puts in his state-controlled newspapers. Such propaganda cannot possibly outweigh serious interests and issues of concern to America and the world.

Hillary's experience in foreign affairs is therefore worthless, as she is unable to make the responsible and correct decisions in foreign policy matters.

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Oh stop it with the "MSM made people dislike Hillary" crap. It is particularly insulting to the people who read and comment on this site, who frequently disagree with the MSM's take on things. I and others who don't like Hillary disagree with much of the MSM conventional wisdom. I opposed the war in Iraq, most notably.

The truth is that the MSM has for months now given ZERO scrutiny to Hillary Clinton. ZERO. It is obvious that the MSM has looked back at the right-wing falsehoods about Hillary from the 1990s and concluded that, because she was wrongly accused by the right back then, she deserves a reprieve from the more recent criticisms -- even though in true MSM form the new criticisms have come from her left.

The MSM mantra has been to give her high marks on her admittedly polished debate performances in most of the debates, but without scrutinizing the substance of her answers or judging others by the same criteria. I am sorry, but if Obama had said at a debate that "Sometimes a President cannot say what he thinks," and then got roundly booed by an important audience (here, labor), that would have been replayed endlessly as a rookie mistake, a political tin ear, or some other such nonsense. Yet that ridiculous -- and imperious -- Hillaryism got barely any play at all!

You ask: "What has Hillary done to YOU" to make you dislike her?" I'll answer it, but it's the wrong question as I'll explain in a moment. Here's the answer to what has she done to ME: Other than insult my intelligence by repeatedly stating a war she authorized was not "her" war but solely George Bush's war -- even I though we all know (yes you too) that she would have patronizingly taken credit for that vote as against an anti-war rival had the Iraq war gone well -- nothing. She's been just fine for people like me. I am basically a secure upper middle class professional who has luckily not needed a lot of help from Congress in the last eight years.

But since when is that the test? The test is, with all respect, what has she -- despite her enormously inflated sense of herself and her leadership abilities --accomplished that is good for the progressive agenda. Tick tock tick tock tick tock.... Oh yeah. Nothing. Health care. She failed. Iraq: Oops she did it again, and exercised poor judgment. Seriously, what on earth has she accomplished?

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Yep, actual data.....hmmm, by the Opinion Research Corporation which is., as of 12-04-06, wholly owned by InFoUSA, which is wholly controlled by CEO Vinod Gupta, who is in trouble with his shareholders for lavishing the Clintons with private jets, vacation spots, $300,000 fees to Bill Clinton, and so forth [I believe he has even named buildings he financed in India for each of the Clintons].....yes, I would agree that we at least need to see the actual data.......before swallowing the results of this polling of less than 500 people.

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Obama can actually make a better case for what he did in the Illinois legislature (first four years in the minority party) than Hillary can make for her career in the Senate: a health care bill that passed; a death penalty reform bill that passed; a lobbying reform bill that passed.

I cannot recall a single thing Hillary's done. And I am just baffled by those who buy the Hillary spin that, precisely because she failed at health care reform, she is the one we should vote for. That's a con worthy of being parodied by Mark Twain. When you make a mistake, you can argue that it's not disqualifying (I don't think it is), but it's hard to argue that it's a point in your favor. I think of this as the job interview test. A candidate comes into your office to interview for a job. She is polished and presents herself well. Comes off as very intelligent. Went to a good school; got good grades. You then call her references and find out that at a past job she failed in the single most important project she was given. You might still hire her despite that revelation, but how many in the real world, rather than the absurd world of electoral politics, would hire this person because of that mistake?

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Greg,

It't not really surprising if you look at it in terms of "ability" to bring about change. A person who knows the system well is better able to change it than someone new and naive about how things work. In a 2000 interview Hillary blamed her "political naivete" for the failure of health care reform. In 1994 she just didn't know how Washington worked.

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I'm less concerned with Election Central's MSM-ish parsing of poll numbers, though there's a bit too much of it, then I am with selective linking to outside MSM reporting. There was a big AP piece on how down-ticket Dems in red districts think Hillary will energize Repubs and hurt their chances to hold onto their seats. That piece could be crap, but it's the kind of thing you tend to link to if someone other than Hillary is the victim of the reporting.

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You're a bundle of contradictions. I will take your word for it that the working class was more opposed to the Iraq war than the middle to upper classes. So why isn't Obama the guy more in sync with the proletariat?

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Duplicate.

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Duplicate.

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Duplicate.

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Cheney was the epitome of gravitas. He had so much of it during both the 2000 and 2004 debates that the press compared him to Jupiter and thought that soon he would start acquiring orbiting moons. He sounded so confident and knowledgeable, and he was just plain goddamn wrong. Hillary, to be sure, always sounds like she knows what she's talking about -- and she will be a better general election campaign than I had expected four months ago -- but what she says is often left uninspected by the MSM with regard to substance. The press in this way can be fooled by the same irrational things that ordinary voters can be fooled by: if someone like Cheney or Hillary knows the jargon of "serious" Washington "analysis," and is effortless at deploying that jargon, the press often gets hypnotized the superficial appearance of high seriousness and does not investigate the substance. Before I get assaulted, I am not calling Hillary a policy equivalent of Cheney at all. I will vote for her if she (gulp) wins the nomination; I'm just saying that seriousness/gravitas if often just a matter of figuring out the conventional Washington press corps way of framing an issue.

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Obama has had just slightly less time in the Senate than Clinton, some would say with better effect.

I tell ya', you O-Bomb-A cheerleaders just keep shoveling it, don't you.

Here's your lesson for today. It's called "consequences." It works like this. Your candidate is a lightweight politician with virtually no experience on the national stage. He's nonetheless buoyed by a fawning press. Then, he bombs in just about every candidate forum / debate. Worse, he keeps putting his foot in his big ol' mouth. Called on his debate boners, he squeals like a virgin under the bleachers and goes on a manic spree, jettisoning his signature "politics of hope" mantra in the process (and showing just what a grotesque phony he really is). Surprise, surprise, surprise - then he begins to suffer in the polls, to his primary opponents benefit.

You people need to wipe the dew out of your eyes. No matter how many hours of Camp O-Bomb-A feel good b.s. is going to change the fact that your candidate is a turd.

".. Some would say with better effect." Ha. Ha. Ha. Can't wait 'till you and little Barry are gone from the scene.

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Not to be a broken record, but when did Hillary then apply the supposed lessons she learned and accomplish something by using her newfound skills? For her to plead naivete in 1994 and wisdom now is rather strange, since, if you credit Bill Bradley's version of events, Hillary in 1994 fancied herself as someone who was not naive at all but a hard-nosed power politician. Thus, she kept key Congressional leaders out of her planning, not because of any idealistic notion about secrecy, but because she thought this was the hardnosed "effective" way to proceed. She told those who wanted to make amendments to her plan that she would "demonize" those who were not with her. That's not a mistake of naivete. it's a mistake driven by a false sense that you know how to move the levers of power.

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I bet that if you did the polling yourself you'd find the results to be just about the same.

Probably.

Typically candidates and supporters find the polling is badly done when the results are not to their liking.

Sometimes indeed the polling is biased. Different polls with very different results proves there is uncertainty even with the best efforts.

But it is foolish to deny the polling as simply biased and wrong.

Are you surprised that those numbers are very similar to the margin by which HRC is leading Obama overall nationally

I'm not.

Supporters like yourself will claim any manner of "truth" from the polling results. Reality often has no meaning to fans.

Hillary, like Giuliani, is given credit for fake credentials and enthusiasts of both ignore the tell-tale warning signs of trouble.

Other polls show the disastrous effect that both would have on their parties.

Clintonoids proclaim that liberal Democrats, like myself, will change their minds in the end and vote for Hillary, the DLC Republican Lite. (When hell freezes over I will.) They deny the reality that Hillary's already enormous disapproval rating will almost surely rise.

The Republicans, unlike the Democrats, almost surely will not get their death wish with Giuliani.

And then, should the Democrats again do the bad thing blind to reality and polling and nominate Hillary, there is an excellent chance come November next year they will again be raging against the dang liberals not voting for their hawk.

[Footnote: a front page blog on DKOS today bragged on Hillary showing she is a strong woman by voting for Bush's war. How nice.]

Best, Terry

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"This 'experience' thing is a fraud perpetrated by Hillary."

Yes that's right 59% are morons and you are part of that elite group that knows better. I'm guessing you're one of that super elite 9%.

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Cheney was the epitome of gravitas. He had so much of it during both the 2000 and 2004 debates that the press compared him to Jupiter and thought that soon he would start acquiring orbiting moons. He sounded so confident and knowledgeable, and he was just plain goddamn wrong.

Cheney was and is plenty smart. You can think of him as the anti-hero, one of those caped villains ("Zod" in "Superman"), who are almost always as smart and as strong as the super-heroes in comic books. Just like those comic book villains, Cheney et al did not fail to conquer the world because of lack of 'experience' or intelligence. They failed because the whole premise of their governing philosophy - neoconservatism - was fatally flawed from the get-go. Neoconservatism failed as a governing philosophy (just like Marxism/Leninism, fascism, Nazism, Communism), taking down with it its proponents. The Fuhrer had plenty of experienced and smart folks around him, but he failed because the very basis of Nazism (charitably) was flawed.

Gravitas, experience, or whatevert won't mean squat unless the basic governing model is sound. That is why the Village Idiot's administration fell apart...Not because of lack of 'experience.'

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Oh stop it with the "MSM made people dislike Hillary" crap. It is particularly insulting to the people who read and comment on this site, who frequently disagree with the MSM's take on things. I and others who don't like Hillary disagree with much of the MSM conventional wisdom. I opposed the war in Iraq, most notably.

Oh, yeah, the MSM is just oozing with love for HRC, and, FYI, I had vociferously opposed the invasion. So what is your point?

The truth is that the MSM has for months now given ZERO scrutiny to Hillary Clinton. ZERO. It is obvious that the MSM has looked back at the right-wing falsehoods about Hillary from the 1990s and concluded that, because she was wrongly accused by the right back then, she deserves a reprieve from the more recent criticisms -- even though in true MSM form the new criticisms have come from her left.
It seems that you feel that HRC is being given an undeserved pass by the MSM. I beg to differ, as I do not think that they would do that for her. She has run a very disciplined campaign, avoiding the sort of amateurish 'gaffes' that would allow the MSM to go 'gotcha!'
The MSM mantra has been to give her high marks on her admittedly polished debate performances in most of the debates, but without scrutinizing the substance of her answers or judging others by the same criteria. I am sorry, but if Obama had said at a debate that "Sometimes a President cannot say what he thinks," and then got roundly booed by an important audience (here, labor), that would have been replayed endlessly as a rookie mistake, a political tin ear, or some other such nonsense. Yet that ridiculous -- and imperious -- Hillaryism got barely any play at all!

Aha! The thesis emerges: HRC is the MSM's darling, getting a pass for 'gaffes' more damning than those for which they have cruficied Obama. My argument, ladies and gentlemen, has been turned on its head. A political 'judo' move to preempt my position...

You ask: "What has Hillary done to YOU" to make you dislike her?" I'll answer it, but it's the wrong question as I'll explain in a moment. Here's the answer to what has she done to ME: Other than insult my intelligence by repeatedly stating a war she authorized was not "her" war but solely George Bush's war -- even I though we all know (yes you too) that she would have patronizingly taken credit for that vote as against an anti-war rival had the Iraq war gone well -- nothing. She's been just fine for people like me. I am basically a secure upper middle class professional who has luckily not needed a lot of help from Congress in the last eight years.

It will come as shock to you that Hillary could have cast a 'ney' vote and the AUMF bill would have passed. But ultimately, it is Bush who launched the war and made a mess of it. I do not think that you would have been as vociferous in recommending that HRC be awarded the Congressional Medal of Freedom if somehow, GWB had managed to wage this war billiantly and peace had broken out all around the region. Bush would have claimed all the credit and the MSM would have declared him the best POTUS ever. Now, with the perfect 20/20 vision of hindsight, you are ranting and pontificating about a bill that better than 80% of the Congress (50%+ of the Senate Democrats) had voted for, and then are just singling out one person from the lot to dislike and cruficy for it. As for your social status, it sounds like we are at just about the same level but why don't I feel the animosity toward anyone in Congress about that vote? Your ONE reason for disliking HRC is her 'yea' AUMF bill vote, which puts you out there in fringe left field... Most people who are closer to the center do not go ballistic because of this vote. Fortunately, most people are in the center so that your apoplexy about that vote is largely irrelevant, as the polls have indicated time and again. Most normal people just don't give a damn.

But since when is that the test? The test is, with all respect, what has she -- despite her enormously inflated sense of herself and her leadership abilities --accomplished that is good for the progressive agenda. Tick tock tick tock tick tock.... Oh yeah. Nothing. Health care. She failed. Iraq: Oops she did it again, and exercised poor judgment. Seriously, what on earth has she accomplished?

If that is your yardstick then apply it uniformly across the board and tell me what in the other candidates' records distingishes them from the others. On the basis of raw experience, none of the candidates, Repub or Dem, comes close to Richardson, but I think that we have to look at the complete package, including the candidate who has the most potential to end the Dems' 8-year drought in presidential elections. To base your whole rationale for supporting and disliking a candidate on a single vote is, well, not very smart...

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marcf,
you said 'all info from the Hernandez/Pear article'. Is that this one: http://www.corpwatch.org/article.php?id=13876 --dated July 12, 2006?

If so, I found nothing in that article about Ted Kennedy. Can you explain or give more specific link information? Thanks.

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The truth is that the MSM has for months now given ZERO scrutiny to Hillary Clinton.

Could it be because they have scrutinized/investigated her for 15 years? Even the tell all books about her have nothing new to say. There are literally dozens of books written about her. She has been investigated by republican congressional committees and republican independent counsels. They have spoken to her teachers, friends, preachers, you name it. There is nothing left to scrutinize.

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No. Obama is our Bush. Note that the only area where he rates higher than Hillary is "likeability," as in more people would like to have a beer with him than with her. Sound familiar.

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I wasn't surprised to see your name at the top of this post. How many times have you told us you wouldn't vote for Hillary under any circumstances? Is this supposed to be some sort of threat? If we don't elect your guy, then you and your ilk will sabotage another election like you did in 2000. What do you mean? You will vote green or not at all or republican. Gimme a break. Its cutting off your nose to spite your face. I would just assume people like you stay out of politics altogether if you are going to behave like such children.

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Sounds like an Obama machine talking point. Hillary happens to lead in most state polls, too. Obama is ahead in his home state and S.C. and in a virtual tie in IA. Otherwise, she is trouncing him everywhere else. Don't overstate the historically early states this time around either. Losing all three won't make or break Hillary like they did for Dean. Dean had the same type of credibility gap that Obama has. Obama may have higher favorables right now, but he will be dismantled in the GE. Push comes to shove, a lot of folks aren't going to risk him running the show. Not that I really think he would do a bad job; I just think he will lose. BTW, unlike the crybabies on the other side, I will vote for him if he is nominated.

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Because they don't think he has the right stuff to make changes in their day to day lives. They don't buy the grand vision thing. Grand visions are for those who are already affluent and bored. Meat and potatoes is what the proletariat want. Like it or not—every poll shows they believe Hillary is the one who will put food on the table, not Obama.

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Blah. Blah. Blah. Same tired old refrain from the left. Rank and file Dems could care less about the vote on Iraq. Her vote did not matter. Bush would have had his war even if every Dem voted against it. And BTW, she did vote for what her constituents wanted. I have said it dozens of times—I want my politicians to follow me, not lead me. Voting one's so-called conscience against the will of the people is bunch of BS (except under circumstances where the majority is urging unconstitutional acts such as civil rights violations). I may not like war, but it is not illegal or unconstitutional to wage one. Now how it has been waged and how civil liberties have been violated as a result is another thing altogether. And HRC has not supported any of that.

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All of them have said we will have a presence in Iraq for some time to come. No one is going to make radical change in this country because it just doesn't work that way most of the time. No president is going to accomplish what LBJ did in domestic politics because they will not have his mandate. There will be no electoral landslide for anyone this time, and entrenched interests will block any ideas that hurt their bottom line. Hillary has the best chance of making the small changes that will set us on a saner path once again because she knows how to work the system.

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I disagree.

The MSM has not scrutinized/investigated her for 15 years. That scrutiny you describe is about old partisan-driven issues, happening as it did in the years of the 90's. Scrutiny of her years of actual elected office years in this century has not and is not happening. What we have seen since her senate election is a newsworthy 'name' getting some media coverage for statements or speeches, more coverage than that given to less well-known names. That coverage is not the same as scrutiny.

Would that we have had some deep scrutiny about Bush's years as TX governor! [He also rode a 'name']. Would that we have had some deep scrutiny pre-Iraq fiasco.......which is another painful instance of polling reflecting general assumptions in the absence of deep scrutiny by the MSM.

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"Her vote did not matter"? Ridiculous defense of Hillary's vote and of what you see as Hillary's lack of understanding about what Congress' role is in our political arena. Then you proceed into the small lie category with "she did vote for what her constituents wanted"--last time I checked Hillary cast her vote on October 10th, 2002 when her NY consituents were not in favor of the war.

The only fair point you have is that rank and file Democrats apparently don't care about how Hillary voted. You are right that polling apparently shows that the Iraq War vote is not a meaningful issue in the campaign.

The primary campaign is in its very early stages even though it's been going on for months. Folks will start paying attention after Labor Day and then we'll either see changes in the poll results or we won't. That will be more telling than what you are writing.

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"No electoral landslide for anyone this time..." and "will not have his (LBJ) mandate..." says that you expect a general election result of 51-49?

Do you expect that result because you believe the voters are still so divided? Or do you expect that result if Hillary is the Democratic candidate in the general election and is polarizing?

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Heretic said, "Obama may have higher favorables right now, but he will be dismantled in the GE. Push comes to shove, a lot of folks aren't going to risk him running the show."

Is this a just a statement of your opinion, or are you attempting to make a reasoned argument supported by some kind of facts and analysis?

I find it maddening that so many people seem to use this style of argumentation: make a big assertion with nothing to back it up.

I think the reason we all come here is because we want to exchange ideas and we hope to persuade other people to our point of view. Simply repeating our opinions doesn't move the ball forward very much.

Personally, I beleive a persuasive case can be made that HRC would be by far the most vulnerable of the three top Dems. She has a lot of personal baggage. Her position on the war has been all over the place. She has pandered to many different groups. All of which undermines any sense of authenticity and supports the Repug meme that she is all about calculation and ambition.

I think it is highly likely that she would have a negative effect on down ballot Dems because of her high unfavorable numbers and her polarizing reputation. So far the other Dems have been unwilling to directly attack any of her vulnerabilities and so her numbers have stayed high with Dems.

The Repugs, however, will have show no such restraint. Why do you think so many Repugs have been so obvious about their hope that HRC is the Dem nominee? The Repugs are not cheerleading for Hillary because they think she will make a great President, most likely, they think what I think, HRC is the most vulnerable Dem we could nominate.

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IMHO, you are missing the point. HRC is the candidate the Repugs want to run against. Doesn't that make you just a tiny bit nervous? If not, then you have not been paying attention since 2000. HRC is the Dem with the most vulnerabilities. We need to think ahead and nominate someone who will be less vulnerable and will do more to help down ballot Dems.

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Rated 1 for obnoxious, demeaning, and insulting tone. It is funny how belligerent so many Obama-haters are and yet what you do is nothing more than name-calling.

Try having a reasoned, civilized debate. Didn't your momma teach you to treat others the way you want to be treated?

I may prefer Obama, both because I think he would be less vulnerable in the GE and because I think he would make a better POTUS, but I would never bash Hillary the way you bash Obama. I recognize that she may be the nominee we have to support, and that we will all have to pull together.

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What I find hilarious is the notion that Bill Clinton sold out the Party to corporatists.

Telecom Act of 1996.

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Franklyo

As usual you are insulting and demeaning to those who have a different point of view. The fact that some have a different analysis of who would make the strongest nominee does not make us "Borgs." This is nothing more than name calling, and your tactics remind me of a schoolyard bully.

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How many times have you told us you wouldn't vote for Hillary under any circumstances?

Dunno.

You folks seem awful hard of hearing. I have told everyone I am not keen on voting for war and torture and privilege and corruption like many others.

Is this supposed to be some sort of threat?

Just the facts, fellow.

Many of you Clintonoids keep claiming the heathen will be converted. They don't seem able to say how except through some well hidden charm.

It sure isn't from logic of any kind.

Hillary seems to be the one Democratic candidate who could elect a Romney or Thompson. Is that what you seek or is war, corruption and privilege your thing?

Best, Terry

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Voting one's so-called conscience against the will of the people is bunch of BS (except under circumstances where the majority is urging unconstitutional acts such as civil rights violations)

But not dropping bombs and occupying countries that were no threat to us?

Seems like a limited place to draw the line at unconstitutionality. 

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Try having a reasoned, civilized debate.

That would be mighty fine.

I would never bash Hillary the way you bash Obama. I recognize that she may be the nominee we have to support, and that we will all have to pull together.

Many of us think she's on the other team.

My idea of bashing is dishonesty, hot rhetoric that has no place in any kind of debate. Maybe others have a different idea.

But I certainly wish you the best in your mission. Looks like mission impossible to me.

Best, Terry

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I think you just made an excellent case for voting for Obama!

Plowboy
www.revieweder.blogspot.com

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HRC's fellow Dems have been unwilling or unable to explore her voluminous baggage. You can bet your house that the Repugs will show no such restraint.

Hillary is very vulnerable, it may not emerge until the general election campaign, but it is definitely there. Why do you think the Repugs are all hoping that HRC wins the nomination? I doubt that it is because they think she will make a great Prez (although I do think she is the Dem least likely to confront corporate power), it seems highly likely that they want her to get the nomination because they think she would be the easiest Dem to beat.

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I join Terry in his position. I've been voting since 1970 in the Democrat column and have never voted third party. I will vote in November 2008 but I will not cast a vote for President if Hillary is the candidate. I am tired of the "lesser of two evils" voting nonsense that's been going on for decades. I'm tired of the DLC faction of the party that is in control.

I want a change in the Democratic Party. I will continue to work for that change, but I will not support these DLC folks with my money, energy or vote. It's really that simple.

If you don't like it, tough. I'm tired of the cowardice of the Democrats. I want them to stand for the values they "say" they stand for and stop messing around as they've been doing for decades.

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A collection of quotes from pacc:


...you O-Bomb-A cheerleaders...

...called on his debate boners, he squeals like a virgin under the bleachers...

...your candidate is a turd...

...Can't wait 'till you and little Barry are gone from the scene...

How incredibly childish. How incredibly small.

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I don't want to waste my time hurling invective and endlessly repeating my own opinions. I would like to exchange ideas with poeple who share many of my basic political values.

I realize that you are adament in your opposition to HRC. I on the other hand feel that we have no legitimate option but to support the Dem nominee.

B Clinton was certainly better than GW Bush, and Gore would have been much better. Breyer and Ginsburg are certainly better than Roberts and Alito. In my mind there is too much at stake to risk a repeat of Nader 2000.

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I don't want to waste my time hurling invective

It is always pleasant to exchange views without rancor even if you have very different opinions.

B Clinton was certainly better than GW Bush, and Gore would have been much better.

And I think Clinton was a disaster and Gore likely not so great either.

Look at it this way if you will:

Despite the atrocious nature of the man personally, Nixon had huge accomplishments, foreign and domestic.

How could that be?

Nixon was largely responsible for ending the Cold War with his opening to China. His start of a negative income tax has been much delayed but the idea is beginning to bear fruit. Nixon's War on Cancer beats the hell out of JFK's War on Vietnam and even the trip to the moon IMO.

I told a group of women veterans swooning over John Kerry that Bush was the better bet to end the Iraq occupation. Isn't Bush making giant strides in that direction, however reluctantly. (I voted for Kerry BTW but imagine how different the scene would be today had he been elected.)

Breyer and Ginsburg are certainly better than Roberts and Alito.

For certain but Souter beats the first two hands down IMO and he was appointed by a Republican.

Roberts and Alito did not get nearly the opposition from Democrats that they had coming and many Democrats praised the appointment of Scalia.

I doubt Hillary would appoint any but another conservative to the Supreme Court.

All JMO.

Best, Terry

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Sounds familiar -- Kerry did better than Bush on everything but likeability, and luckily Kerry won despite that.

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I appreciate the fact that while you and I frequently have different opinions, we are almost always able to have a constuctive exchange. I usually find your posts stimulating and provocative, although occasionally slightly maddening :-)

Take Care.

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And the food Hillary will put on the table will be Chicken McNuggets -- from Tysons poultry.

To be serious, though, I will concede one point to you, heretic. In the past 40 years, beginning with 1968, the Dem with more of the "vision thing" (e.g. Bill Bradley) has typically come in second in the primary to a bread and butter person, as you say. But then that bread and butter person typically loses to the Republican!

In 1968, Humphrey was not only bread and butter but "guns and butter" and he got the nod -- a good guy, with support much like Hillary's this time around, and who like Hillary was on the wrong side of a war. McCarthy lost the nomination. Kennedy got killed, but may or may not have won the nominaiton had he survived. Though Nixon lacked vision, or lacker of vision lost to Nixon.

1972 provides a big exception: McGovern got murdelized by Nixon, but he was not actually all that terrific of a public speaker/inspirational figure/visionary. Still, it's a mark against my generalization.

In 1976, Carter, who as President was flat in his rhetoric, actually was the "vision thing" candidate in the Dem primaries -- and he won the general election.

In 1980, Ted Kennedy was the vision guy -- and of course lost to Carter, who lost to Reagan, Reagan being the ultimate "vision thing" candidate and also being a guy who stole a lot of the lunch pail vote from the Dems that you think Hillary has locked up and that Obama can't get in a general election.

In 1984, Mondale lost to Hart. Mondale got crushed by Reagan of course.

In 1988, Dukakis inspired ... no one. And was proud of that fact, running on competence. We know how well he did in the general.

In 1992, Bill C. was pretty lucky; his opponents were Tsongas and Jerry Brown, and Brown had the trappings of "vision" but actually ran that year as a weird angry populist, constantly sporting a Teamsters jacket -- for the first time in his mercurial career trying to be blue collar rather than Zen/new-agey. So it's hard to read much into the 1992 primaries either way. One thing about 1992 is certain: the guy who coined the very phrase "vision thing," George HW Bush, who gave it a name but famously admitted he did not have "the vision thing," got trounced in the general.

Bush, for all his numerous flaws ran basically a vision-type campaign in 2000 and even in 2004, rather than a detail-oriented lunch bucket campaign. Neither Kerry nor Gore ran on any vision; Kerry sadly ran away from his past, where had truly shown vision. And Gore ran away from his future; his ability to articulate a vision came only after he lost.

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I think you just made an excellent case for voting for Obama!

I thought you might say that since you believe that Obama was endowed by his Creator with an unlimited capacity for "good judgment", which is all that is required to make sound decisions, experience be damned....

...but you again failed to understand the deeper meaning of my post, so let's leave it at that.

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I think pacc deserves a "4" for finally expressing what some anti-Obama people actually feel, rather than pretending something different. Of course I think pacc is dead wrong. Obama's performances at the debates, judged by any fair standard, have been very strong -- admittedly not as strong as Hillary's in the first two but I think better in the AFL-CIO debate, where the union crowd clearly thought his answers were sharper and better than Hillary's when Hillary and Dodd tried to exploit what the MSM and pacc deemed a "gaffe" but which Obama has shown not to be a gaffe at all. Obama simply is not a lightweight; he's got more candle power than any of the other candidates. Obama detractors can be schizophrenic about this: Some detractors say, "Yes, he's plenty smart. That's why he's getting so many contributions from academics, professors, and that part of the Dem party. But he's got to express his ideas in a more accessible way." Others, like pacc, think he's a dumb lightweight. I think his problem is more in the former area, but that it's hardly a defect in him as a person, just something he needs to work on this fall in terms of expressing himself on the campaign trail.

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Don't overstate the historically early states this time around either. Losing all three won't make or break Hillary like they did for Dean.

This I would absolutely love to see her pull off, and I very much doubt that she (or anyone) could do so.  Don't overstate the difference this time around.  It will likely be about a month from Iowa to Feb. 5.  If she loses every other state in that period, she's not coming back.

And I will most certainly donate, work hard, and vote for Hillary if she is the nominee.  She will certainly be a vastly better president than whoever the GOP nominates.  She's not my candidate in the Dem primaries, but if she wins, we all have to rally around our nominee.

Hillary may not be the ideal candidate of many posters here, but on every issue that matters, especially domestic issues, from labor to the environment to judicial nominees, she will be far, far better than Giuliani or Romney or Thompson or McCain.  There is just no comparison.  They said the same thing about her husband, Al Gore, etc.  It wasn't true then, and it's not true now.

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IMHO, you are missing the point. HRC is the candidate the Repugs want to run against. Doesn't that make you just a tiny bit nervous? If not, then you have not been paying attention since 2000. HRC is the Dem with the most vulnerabilities. We need to think ahead and nominate someone who will be less vulnerable and will do more to help down ballot Dems.

List some of HRC's so-called vulnerabilities (real ones that regular voters will buy, rather than those that wingnuts and MSM have been harping about for years), and I will list those of other candidates, then let's see who is better equipped to triumph over the Repubs well-oiled smear machine. Gore was a straight arrow, but by the time they were done with him, he was a serial fabricator. Kerry, a decorated Vietnam vet was made to look like an unpatriotic wimp "unfit to command" vis-a-vis a draft dodger. Should Sen Obama be the nominee (I'll suppot him), you won't recognized him after they're done with him. He'd be 'Osama' (this is no joke, these folks know no shame!). HRC has been there before, so she'll be tougher to smear a second time around. What will they do? Enact Gennifer Flower Part II? Yawn...

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No way is Hillary appointing someone more conservative than the GOP nominee would appoint.

Rudy has already sold his soul on this issue. Romney has no soul to sell. The rest of the candidates were onboard from the start.

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HRC's biggest vulnerability is that people do not feel they can trust her. This fact is partly based on Republican smears, but it is also reinforced by the fact that Hillary does not come across as authentic. She comes across as carefully rehearsed and saying what she believes her audience wants to hear. She panders, frequently.

Her history on the Iraq is only one example, but it is a big one. She voted for the AUMF when she thought it was politically expedient to do so. She supported the war with numerous votes and statements for the first couple of years.

Then as the war turned unpopular, she began to hedge her bets and offered several different explantions of her AUMF vote. As the campaign got started and it became clear that the Dem base was strongly against continuation of the war, her position evolved further.

The point is that HRC's evolving positions and contadictory statements will be used by the Repugs as a club to beat her over the head in the general election. She will be unable to hold the Repubs accountable for the war because she was complicit in authorizing it.

Many of the scandals from the BC admin will be resurrected to further reinforce the attack meme that HRC is not to be trusted. Vince Foster, Rose Law billing records, travelgate. All of these scandals that directly involved HRC will be dredged up by the Rs with complicity from the right leaning elements of the MSM.

I would be willing to bet my house that the Repubs will be able to drive up her negatives. It is possible that she might prevail in a very close election. But why should Dems take that chance? We have other candidates who, I would argue, will do more to advance the progressive adgenda as POTUS and who will be better able to help down ballot Dems.

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Terry, I'm curious. Who's your pick in this race? Have you done so?

Is it anyone-but-Hillary? 

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Terry, I'm curious. Who's your pick in this race? Have you done so?

Edwards is my top pick but I am an ABC. If I could truly choose anyone it would be Jim Webb.

Best, Terry

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HRC's biggest vulnerability is that people do not feel they can trust her. This fact is partly based on Republican smears, but it is also reinforced by the fact that Hillary does not come across as authentic. She comes across as carefully rehearsed and saying what she believes her audience wants to hear. She panders, frequently.

Can't help you there. You are free to "feel" what you feel and go with it mindlessly to yet another presidential election debacle. Remember Gore v. Bush 2000? People were brainwashed into 'feeling' that Gore was the stiff one, and that GWBush was the fratboy that you'd rather have a beer with. Guess what? We got the good-natured fratboy! The only poll number that is Obama's hand down is 'likability'..coincidence?

Her history on the Iraq is only one example, but it is a big one. She voted for the AUMF when she thought it was politically expedient to do so. She supported the war with numerous votes and statements for the first couple of years.

Then as the war turned unpopular, she began to hedge her bets and offered several different explantions of her AUMF vote. As the campaign got started and it became clear that the Dem base was strongly against continuation of the war, her position evolved further.

The point is that HRC's evolving positions and contadictory statements will be used by the Repugs as a club to beat her over the head in the general election. She will be unable to hold the Repubs accountable for the war because she was complicit in authorizing it.

Only the far left thinks that the Iraq vote should be a determining factor, and you are clearly part of the far fringe, which is in the minority and would never vote for HRC, anyway (they are party poopers in the Naderites mold, when elections are close.) But, since you are apparently supporting Sen Obama who, as an obscure State Senator, had come out against the war, let me try to show you why this is all phony, and does not reflect too well on your intellect:

Please keep an open mind and you will hear the 'cognitive dissonance' that I hear whenever that vote, that Obama DID NOT HAVE TO CAST, is cited as evidence of the Senator's good judgment and qualification to be POTUS:

Campaigning for the Illinois Senate seat in 2003 and 2004, Obama scolded Bush for invading Iraq and vowed he would "unequivocally" vote against an additional $87 billion to pay for it. Yet since taking office in January 2005, he has voted for four separate war appropriations, totaling more than $300 billion.

Last June, Obama voted "no" to Senator John F. Kerry's proposal to remove most combat troops from Iraq by July 2007, warning that an "arbitrary deadline" could "compound" the Bush administration's mistake.

And last week, he voted "for" a Republican-sponsored resolution that stated the Senate would NOT cut off funding for troops in Iraq.

- The Boston Globe, March 20, 2007


Do you see why it is not very smart to keep ranting about the war authorization vote? Obama was against the war when he did not have to cast that vote; but when he got to the US Senate where he had a real opportunity to do something about it, he voted repeatedly to perpetuate the war. In plain-spoken English that is called hypocrisy.
Many of the scandals from the BC admin will be resurrected to further reinforce the attack meme that HRC is not to be trusted. Vince Foster, Rose Law billing records, travelgate. All of these scandals that directly involved HRC will be dredged up by the Rs with complicity from the right leaning elements of the MSM.

Who needs the rightwing smear machine, when we have Dems like you on our side?

    Summary:
What I just learned from your long-winded essay is precisely what I thought the polls are saying: Hillary's so-called high vulnerabilities are just a fantasy of the left and right wingnuts, who are equally terrified that she has what it takes to win and would probably win! So, they are very loud about promoting the canard about her purported high negatives. The truth is that the negatives are high only in their own echo chamber out there in the fringes!

Fortunately, most people do not live at the political extrema and, therefore, the war vote is irrelevant...check out the polls.

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If she loses every other state in that period, she's not coming back.

The sad truth is she won't have to come back. The MSM will not make a big issue of it. They will position it as those little states not having as much importance as CA which has more electoral votes than those 3 combined, and that if HRC wins in CA...it is as good as having won those three. The power of the MSM to minimize her poor performance and make a big deal out of noise from her campaign has been proven.

We see nothing about her war vote, we see nothing about her contradictory statements. She has no FP position, no universal health care position and she has the most money of all candidates from lobbyists. We see nothing in the news on these matters. All we get coverage about 24/7 is her attacks and her campaign spin.

Hillary may not be the ideal candidate of many posters here, but on every issue that matters, especially domestic issues, from labor to the environment to judicial nominees, she will be far, far better than Giuliani or Romney or Thompson or McCain.

I no longer beleive that. Based simply on how the media coverage is going for the primaries. I do not see a big difference between her and the frontrunning GOP candidates. Hillary is not going to do a thing on domestic issues nor universal health care. She has capitulated to the monied interests and she is warmongering and using fear just like Bush did. She does not take positions or address issues she simply sends out spin messages and attacks. 'candidates should not say what they will do' 'if I knew then what I know now' and 'lobbyists represent real Americans'

I no longer see a difference between having HRC in office and a GOP in the WH. Hillary is not a traditional Democrat, she has no experience that warrants her being touted as the 'experienced' candidate and she is just more of the same. BushCheneylite.

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Do you see why it is not very smart to keep ranting about the war authorization vote? Obama was against the war when he did not have to cast that vote; but when he got to the US Senate where he had a real opportunity to do something about it, he voted repeatedly to perpetuate the war. In plain-spoken English that is called hypocrisy.

NO! Your cognitive dissonance refuses to acknowledge how this meme has been completely refuted with the facts repeatedly. Yet you insist on bringing it up. In plain spoken English it is you who engages in hypocrisy. The Congress people who cast their votes AGAINST the AUMF also voted the same way. Because that is the BEST option available AFTER the debacle caused by those who voted for the AUMF

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Gravitas, experience, or whatevert won't mean squat unless the basic governing model is sound. That is why the Village Idiot's administration fell apart...Not because of lack of 'experience.'

Cheney and Bush lacked the ability to discern the model was flawed and stupid. Hillary has the same lack of judgment. She consistently misjudges which is why Obama is the superior candidate. Hillary has 20/20 hindsight . Obama has consistently demonstrated the ability to get it right the FIRST time. 

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 which is all that is required to make sound decisions, experience be damned....

You proved experienced be damned ...exhibit A...Bush/Cheney and Hillary is no different. Experience isn't sqat without judgement.

Just like your actions on this site, you have the experience of your meme's like this on experience being repeatedly shown to be flawed and lacking in validity. You however lack the judgment to not continue down the same path over and over. You posts the same flawed reasoning over and over and over. You posts are the epitome of insanity...engaging in the same behavior repeatedly and expecting a different result ...it ain't gonna happen...no matter if experience be damned.

Cause you lack the judgment to create change ..you are stuck in the experience paradigm which has been proved to be unreliable and responsible for the worst FP in US history as well as the biggest deficits and worst domestic policy.

Experience without judgment consigns us to be damned

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"...you are ranting and pontificating about a bill that better than 80% of the Congress (50%+ of the Senate Democrats) had voted for, and then are just singling out one person from the lot to dislike and cruficy for it."

What are you ranting about here?

Congressional vote was 373 for and 155 against. Of the 257 Democrats in Congress, 147 voted against and 110 voted for. In the Senate, 21 voted against and 29 for. In the House 126 voted against and 81 for.

I dislike all of these Democrats who were on the wrong side of this issue. Biden, Dodd, Clinton and Edwards voted the wrong way and Richardson supported it. None would have my vote in the primary.

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Thanks. Funny choices for someone who's been called a Republican troll by others here on the blog.

(To be clear, in case my sarcasm doesn't come though the non-verbal medium within which we're working...I'm being sarcastic.) :-) 

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Combined results from the four most recent Gallup surveys finds 92% of Democrats with a post-graduate education rate Sen. Barack Obama favorably while 86% rate Sen. Hillary Clinton favorably. Among Democrats with a high school education or less, 66% rate Obama favorably while 86% rate Clinton favorably.

 

 Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton cites her experience as a compelling reason voters should make her president, but nearly 2 million pages of documents covering her White House years are locked up in a building here, obscuring a large swath of her record as first lady.

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www.nytimes.com/2006/07/12/nyregion/12donate.html?ex=1187236800&en=4d89ed61e08d269a&ei=5070

It's a free article. click on the "graphic"

Note that the Repubs got two thirds of the money but surely there are some progressive doctors who would like to see the system change, and in the 2006 election Hillary Clinton was the candidate most strongly associated with reform of the US health care system.

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Cheney and Bush lacked the ability to discern the model was flawed and stupid. Hillary has the same lack of judgment. She consistently misjudges which is why Obama is the superior candidate. Hillary has 20/20 hindsight . Obama has consistently demonstrated the ability to get it right the FIRST time.

Stop it, oh please stop it!!!!

Bush and Cheney were not done in by too much experience. They were done in by flaws called greed and opportunism, the central tenets of neocons. Cheney knew precisely what he was doing, as did Rove and the whole lot. "Zod" did not lack judgment, he was just evil by nature. Got it?

Experience informs judgment...really. You're not born with good or bad judgment. You are an empty vessel that gets filled with different views depending on your experiences, education level, neuroses and psychoses (of which I see many already...). The sum of all these is what goes into making a judgment or decision.

BTW, what has Obama gotten right the first time that he has capitalized on to make a difference? He was against the invasion, as were many of us, but then he goes to the U.S. Senate and votes repeatedly to perpetuate the war. What does that tell you about his convictions and so-called "good judgment"?

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Bush and Cheney were not done in by too much experience.

I wish you could overcome some of your cognitive dissonance and actually read what is written. I have not at any time implied, inferred or suggested that Bush/Cheney had too much experience and that is what did them any. I stated that despite their experience they lacked the judgment essential to discern the premise of neo-conservatism was flawed. Slow down. Read that last sentence over and over until you comprehend it's meaning.

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I stated that despite their experience they lacked the judgment essential to discern the premise of neo-conservatism was flawed. Slow down. Read that last sentence over and over until you comprehend it's meaning.

Why attribute to poor judgment what can be easily attibuted to pure 'evil' (remember my example of "Zod")?

I hope it is much clearer now so that we can move on...

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It has taken me awhile to get back to your charming response. I doubt that anyone else is following this thread, and based on your response to my previous response I doubt if you would approach anything I write with an open mind so I will not waste my keystrokes on a lengthy reply, but here are a few thoughts.

1. Style of argumentation: Your reply is belligerent and condecending. While it is often tempting to slam somebody around verbally, in my experience, it isn't very persuasive and it puts a damper on the discussion. In the long run, you only discredit yourself when you start namecalling. Try being civil.

2. Don't make too many assumptions:

A) I am not far left. I do recognize that the Iraq war was an enormous blunder that has cost thousands of soldier's lives and is estimated to ultimately cost our country between 1 and 2 trillion dollars. It has badly damaged our standing in the world, particularly the Arab world and has fanned the flames of radical Islam. I believe those who got us in to this mess should be held accountable.

B) I am not a Naderite. I strongly prefer both Obama and Edwards, but I will support HRC if I have too. There is too much at stake to do otherwise.

3) You, along with many others, miss the point on Iraq. It was a collosal misjudgment to get in. It was craven opportunism to not stand up to the neo-cons. Those Dems who are complicit in authorizing the war will have a difficult time holding the Repubs accountable.

The decision to get in was one matter. Once we were stuck, the question of how best to get out is another. The fact that Obama thought that it was bad policy and bad politics to zero fund the war does not negate his opposition to the war nor does it make him a hypocrite. He supported a phased redeployment. "Cutting funding for the troops" was not a viable strategy until Bush had vetoed the Dem appropriation measure and made it clear that cutting funding was the only alternative.

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