Poll: Majority Distrusts Petraeus' Coming Assessment Of Iraq War
Wow. Maybe this is the reason that the White House now wants General Petraeus to give his September Iraq progress report in a private briefing: People don't trust him to tell them the truth.
CNN just reported that a new poll by the network finds that a majority doesn't trust Petraeus to give them an accurate assessment of what's happening on the ground in Iraq.
When asked if they trust the top U.S. Commander in Iraq to report "what's really going on," a surprising 53% answer "no." Only 43% say they trust him to tell us the real deal on the war.
Another key result: a huge majority claims that whatever he says about Iraq in September, it won't change their minds about the war. Only 28% say a positive assessment will make them more likely to support the war, while the number who say it won't is a staggering seventy two percent.















Public opinion in the U.S. is like a giant ocean-liner. Takes forever to turn it around, and once it starts turning, it's almost impossible to change course.
August 16, 2007 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am inclined think that the General WILL tell the truth, albeit in glossy terms, which is why the WH wants to keep him quiet. I disagree with the policy Petreaus is implementing, but I haven't really seen any indication that he is a liar or otherwise dishonorable. I could be wrong, but just because he's associated with the Bush Administration doesn't make him necessarily evil.
Although, I certainly don't fault people who see him as such because of his association.
August 16, 2007 4:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
It doesn't matter what the public thinks. Bush knows better than all the experts. He will do what he wants until his last day in office.
August 16, 2007 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Petreaus might be inclined to tell the truth, except he's not going to be "telling" anyone anything. All he's going to do is sign off on a statement prepared by the ROVE Corporation. And it is unknown what type of duress he will be under when he signs.
August 16, 2007 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush, just like he did, when he shopped around for intelligence reports that would support his war policy, shopped around for generals who would support his Iraq policy, and found one in Petraeus. Do I trust him to give an accurate report on the additional troops he put into Iraq? No way. I voted, in 2006, to send a load and clear message of no confidence. No confidence in this president and his war policy, and no confidence in the Republican majority in Congress. That was the end. No more extensions. No more troops. No more time. I don't care what outcomes they can conjure up for Bush, I'm through, and so is he.
August 16, 2007 4:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just because Petreaus was initially a supporter of the policy doesn't mean that he is going to come back and chirp along with all of the talking points. I think the Bushies would absolutely love it if he was able to say what they wanted him to say before Congress. But they're muzzling him. Why? Seems to me that he is not prepared to say what they want. They don't care if the message is accurate or if it is effective; they just want it to say what they want it to say. Period. If Petreaus can't deliver, fuck him, they'll get someone who will.
August 16, 2007 5:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hector
I find it very discouraging that 43% of the respondents to this question say that they will believe what the report says -- especially in light of recent information that the report is going to be written in the White House with "input" from Petraeus and others. On the other hand, there's this to be thankful for: "Only 28% say a positive assessment will make them more likely to support the war, while the number who say it won't is a staggering seventy two percent."
August 16, 2007 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since that fact just began to circulate yesterday, I doubt it entered into the judgment of people answering the poll. Furthermore, if you follow links to the actual poll question, it says "the top U.S. commander in Iraq will be reporting to the president and Congress..."
August 16, 2007 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "policy" might be that of BushCheney, but Petraeus is executing his own (untested) theories regarding how to conduct a successful counterinsurgency campaign and he has already stated publicly that for such a campaign to succeed would require in the neighborhood of ten years.
Can anyone really believe that Petraeus would pull his own plug in September? Sorry, folks, people like that just don't become generals.
But watch out, the Dems will champion him, whatever he says, because he offers them political cover.
August 16, 2007 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
You read a lot about Congress's low ratings in polls but you don't read anything about why the ratings are so low. I suspect that people are disgusted with Congress because Congress won't end the war. And it really isn't a war. It is an occupation and everyone knows it.
I read somewhere online that Petraeus claimed in his counterinsurgency manual that the Viet Cong won the Vietnam War because it focused on making Americans lose their will to fight.
Now what is Petraeus going to claim when he updates his manual? Al Qaeda successfully turned Americans against the Iraq War?
The fact that 72% of Americans will not support the war no matter what anyone in DC says reminds me of the Clinton impeachment. The American public wouldn't support it and that was that.
The Dems need to go outside the Beltway a little more often.
August 16, 2007 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not just his association. Petraeus published an op-ed in the Washington Post six weeks before the 2004 election (in which Iraq was a major issue), giving a glowing review of the training of Iraqi forces, which he was then in charge of. As Paul Krugman put it:
Personally, one of the things I'm most worried about at this point is that "we won't let Petraeus report directly" is a fake-out by the White House to increase Petraeus' reputation for credibility and independence.
(And that's not even getting into the ludicrousness of having a general evaluate the success of the operation he's in charge of, which his entire career is dependent on the outcome.)
August 16, 2007 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
But it's fascinating that now bush is held in such low esteem that being "his guy" is practically the "kiss of death" and I think that's the reason people profess disbelief in what Petraeus might say.
I agree with Legalize, however, that Petraeus is likely to take his oath seriously (and tell the truth). Thus the need to have Condi, a willing liar, and Gates (a question mark) "tell the administration story."
August 16, 2007 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Glenn Greenwald the other day posted quotes from Patreus over the past few years. Time and again Patreus is quoted as telling "we are making progress in Iraq" type nonsense stories that again and again and again turned out to be proven as nonsense.
Patreus has proven himself to be untrustworthy. His own words from past episodes reveal that fact over and over. There is no reason to trust someone to tell the truth on a subject that they have repeatedly not told the truth about.
August 16, 2007 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the Times article of 8/14:
Now maybe the Times is just trying to shore up his cred. Or maybe the WH saw this and panicked. But Bush has been trying to sell the surge as Petraeus's strategy. Seems to me he's saying he's not going to be Westmorelanded. He's willing to execute the strategy he's been given but he's not going to take responsibility for the failure of the US military to forge a Iraqi political compromise by force of arms.
It wasn't a plausible strategy to begin with. It's like giving the Iraqi legislators baseball bats and gloves and expecting them to beat the Yankees. The US military can chase AL Qaeda wannabes from one province to another but that's not going to get an equitable oil law passed. The Iraqi parliamentarians could learn to play baseball but the Yankees aren't ever flying into Baghdad for an away series. It's just not gonna happen.
August 16, 2007 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
While this point is unbearably sad, it should be made to provide the proper context: The vast majority of Americans no longer trust what anybody in Washington says about any topic whatsoever. This situation has certainly accellerated during the Bush Administration, but the fact remains an important point of context. Mr. Petraeus' appointment as the official arbiter of progress in Iraq makes him simply another one of the many distrusted folks from Washington. Frankly, it will be an extraordinary problem for anybody in Washington who actually tells the truth, because the "chicken little" effect will take many years to fade.
August 16, 2007 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on, people. The Democrats acceded to a September appraisal by Petraeus, period, which is like having the Madame of a brothel evaluate how moral its business is. He's a general; he fights wars; he doesn't ever retreat or, if he does, he won't call it a defeat. You're just realizing that now? It's being a victim. BEING A VICTIM. Sorry, there are too many people around who are willing victims, always complaining, always whining. How many people who are complaining have contributed even $500 to a group that might take action against the War? How many have worked the phones, walked the precincts?
August 16, 2007 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Assume that Petraeus had a better-than-usual degree of military and political insight into the task he was confronting--an assumption that flows inevitably from the "respect" so many people (even Juan Cole!) have conferred on him. Assume also that he has some qualities of decency and honor that give him a degree of nobility. If so (and the above discussion makes clear it isn't necessarily so), but if so then he's "just" another tragic hero whose pride brought him down. Again assuming his insight, there can be no other explanation for he willingness to accept the assignment. He knew very well it couldn't work but simple arrogance and pride prevented him from acting on that knowledge. (No, there's no sense of duty to obey--for God's sake; a sense of duty would have forced him to tell his commander in chief that this was a fool's errand and he'd resign on principle. It's been done. Duty to country would have required that he save his country from further loss and humiliation.) So, like so many others of arguably less or more virtue than he, Petraeus has been destroyed by this administration. History will condemn him, like all the others, with the verdict of disloyalty and dishonor to his country. Whatever our inclinations about support for the military, we have to grieve the loss of yet another soldier--but in this case a soldier who ended up being complicit in his own, and his nation's, downfall and disaster.
August 16, 2007 10:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just want one congresscritter to ask....
"General Petraeus, one of the benchmarks that have been set for the Iraqu government is the disarming of militias. Yet, it has been your policy to support and train Sunni militias---including those whose leaders are opposed to the central, Shiite majority government of Iraq. Please explain why you are supporting Sunni militias at the same time that we are demanding that the Iraqi government disband all militias?"
August 17, 2007 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hector
To RedshiftX
Of course your point is correct and important that those responding to the question of belief in Petraeus's report could not have known that the report was actually being written by the White House. My own sentence was not clear: I did not mean that 43% of respondents said they'd believe the report even though Petraeus would not write it; I meant that however discouraging it would be to have 43% of the respondents believing whatever Petraeus wrote, it was -- at least to me -- even more discouraging that what the White House writes will apparently be believed by 43% of the respondents.
August 17, 2007 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone expecting Petreaus to be another Smedley Butler is probably expecting way too much. If Petreaus has designs on the charimanship of the JCS, he's probably going to choose his words VERY carefully and avoid being too disheartening about our prospects in Iraq. The poll results indicate that the American people are collectively becoming as cynical as those of us who opposed this war before it ever got started. It's a pity that America didn't lose patience before the '04 election. This nation suffers from a disease that seems to be endemic to it. It's called the John Wayne syndrome.
August 18, 2007 10:51 PM | Reply | Permalink