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Poll: Hillary's Huge Lead In Florida Fueled By Women Voters

A new round of polling from Rasmussen shows Hillary Clinton with a strong lead in the Florida primary, with 43% of the vote to Barack Obama's 24% and John Edwards 11%.

The poll's key finding, though, is the extent to which this lead is fueled by female voters: Half of Rasmussen's women respondents support Hillary, compared to only 18% for Obama and 12% for Edwards. Among men, Hillary and Obama are tied.

Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Rudy Giuliani continues to lead, while Fred Thompson might be in decline and Mitt Romney on the rise, as he is in other polls we've posted this week.

In the survey, Rudy has 30%, Thompson 17%, Romney 15% and John McCain 7%. A month ago, Rudy and Thompson were statistically tied for first, while Romney and McCain were competing for third.


51 Comments

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You know I am woman and a democrat from Florida and I don't know what women see in her. I think John Edwards would do more to help women than Hillary because she is and has been for big business and I don't see all women as big business execs. John Edwards is talking about increasing the minimum wage which will do more for women in general and he also wants to have a universal health care which will will really help women. I don't see Hillary doing any of that. It boggles the mind that just because she is a woman that women will vote for her against their economic interests.

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I don't understand women who don't see anything in Clinton; she is ready for change and ready to lead. As for John Edwards, the only thing we can count upon him is to make government control health care, which would further ruin things in the U.S.A.

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What moralistic nonsense. And exactly the kind of religious, family values pandering that worries me about Obama.

Yeah, man. Hillary only panders to polluters and those ripping off the pilgrims. :-)

Hey, Destor, I have to begrudgingly agree with you that this is some ugly stuff.

Should have no place in a campaign.

Leave the Bible readings and finger pointing to the Clintons. They are best at it. The Obamas are no competition.

Best, Terry

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Hillary has experience being Bill Clinton's wife, voting for the Iraq War, and pandering on many other issues. She seems a competent surrogate standing in for her husband in a campaign for his third term. It is interesting to me that women are rallying around Hillary, rather than seeking a candidate who has succeeded on her own merits.

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It is interesting to me that women are rallying around Hillary, rather than seeking a candidate who has succeeded on her own merits.

After Mrs. George Wallace was elected governor of Alabama because George Wallace had served the maximum time, it did my heart good to hear George was sent off with the wives of the other governors to be amused while the men and Mrs. George Wallace discussed substantive issues.

If Mrs. Bill Clinton becomes president, will visitors to the White House decide they prefer to have their wives stay with them? After all George was confined to a wheelchair and was quite harmless in that condition.

Best, Terry

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I am saddened by all this really. Calling her un-electable and now this family values crap. I don't know whats going on anymore with Obama and his campaign. Maybe Obama has polls that showing him he can win by talking about these things but man, it is very distressing to read, hear about it.

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Interesting that you read "family values and trust" and rephrased it as "religious, family values". Where did you find religious?

Do you find family values and trust unimportant in a candidate? Do explain.

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Interesting. Do you believe that trust is unimportant in a candidate--or is it just the family values that is making you twitch?

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Might want to rephrase that from a black and white view of things--I doubt the choices are "don't see anything" and "see everything" when it comes to Hillary.

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Obama's wife is talking Bill's sins here okay. Obama could have accomplished his goals very early on but he and his advisers have pissed it all away so now they want to get down and dirty. I don't know if Axelrod, his manager, is telling him to do this or someone else but Obama should not be in this down/dirty scorthed earth campaign.

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Interesting that you read "family values and trust" and rephrased it as "religious, family values". Where did you find religious?

Destor saw the lecture to Hillary as part and parcel of religious fanaticism that has infected politics.

I think it's fair to criticize Destor for assuming religious intolerance in Destor's post but it does appear to me to the Obamas are trying to get a piece of the action in the religion lottery along with the most extreme wingnuts and the Clintons. Unfortunate is the slime that then attaches to those who are truly Christian and have no part in such gamemanship.

Whatever the case, I am appalled myself by Michelle Obama's attack on Hillary for her "open" marriage. It is none of our business I think. No one in their right mind would call this heretic religious.

JMO. I think all three of us are pretty much on the same wavelength despite the quibbles.

Best, Terry

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If Michelle Obama was referring to the Monica affair, I agree that that would be over the top. BTW, I never have and do not cast any stones at the Clintons for that Monica business. Two of the best responses I ever heard back when that was the news 24/7 were, "Well, at least we have a president who can get it up." [which flippancy relievedly cracked through that oh-so-grave sheen hanging over it all] and "It wasn't that long ago that it would have been considered the lowest of caddish behavior for a man to discuss his being intimate with a woman." - this last piece of truth in reference to Bill first lying about it.

But I would want the larger context of Michelle's speech to better reference what her words meant. It might have been as simple as Michelle touting the stability of her own family unit.

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js, this simply not "down/dirty scorched earth campaign". Interesting that Michelle's mild comments led directly to Bill and Hillary.

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From my perspective, it is neither moralistic or intrusive to hold both Bill and Hillary accountable for the political debacle of the Monica affair. They both showed horrible judgment. Bill gave fuel to a Republican machine eager to attack him. Hillary was either enormously naive (given Bill's track record) or calculatingly dishonest in saying to the nation that Bill was innocent of Monica's charges. Was Hillary honest and loyal in her statement or simply trying to protect her long-term political investment?

As an aside, I don't think you can just overlook the fact that Bill "entertained" Monica, a young subordinate employee, in the Oval Office suite. ... behavior that most CEO's would find it diffucult to defend and most feminists would charge as sexual harrassment. Beyond that the President was involved with a young women whose judgment was seriously flawed and whose discresion was not existant. Neither an impeachable offense, but highly questionable at best. It does contribute to the ton of Clinton baggage for 2008.

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When I read your post, party-of-one, I got a bit disquieted with a funk about the possibility of a public rehashing of all that business as in 'sex sells', n'est pas? So, I suppose it could become a theme or subtheme of pundrity and vicious commentary throughout not only a general campaign if Hillary is the nominee [ad naseum flashes of that one picture again of Bill hugging a glowing faced Monica], but also extending throughout any years Bill C. might again spend in the White House.

For very different reasons, I hope we nominate someone else, but this really could be some __________[insert word] baggage.

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For some time now, Michelle has been introducing Obama after discussing their own family life--where Barack values family and Michelle can trust that Barack has her back. She has compared Barack's star power as a father and as a husband, with the connections they have with how Barack would be as president--hence the "your own house" and "white house". She does mention family values--as she has in interviews, BTW--as something she believes is neglected, along the lines of every child understanding the possibilities of his/her own life. She does mention the trust she and Barack have in one another.

There is no reference to "religion" or any other candidate by inference or by name.

So where this thread went after destor23 made a bunch of allegations is completely sad and counter-productive to evaluating Barack and his candidacy.

That said...recall where it leaped when the charge of "who is she referring to" when she mentioned family values, religion (something she didn't even mention) and trust.

It went clearly and directly to the Clintons, even though Michelle never made the innuendos alleged.

This sort of nonsense is what we will deal with if Hillary is the candidate in the general election. There won't be any stopping the GOP with "don't discuss the privacy of marriage" or even "that smut belongs on the porn channels". We won't be discussing issues or ethics or corruption or Iraq or foreign policy--we'll be fussing around about the Clintons' marriage.

And if we all have to put up with that for a Hillary race, then what is the compensating value? What is the compelling reason that only Hillary can represent the Dems? Not some general BS but some real hardcore reasons backed up by Hillary's pledges, legislation, leadership examples.

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Yep

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I clicked on what was highlighted in destor23's original comment and found myself on the NYT Caucus site in an article themed with 'Obama sharpening his tone'. It was in that theme context that the Caucus article quoted only a few sentences of Michelle's, directly implying that her words were a part of some 'tone sharpening'.

I'm going to give destor23 a pass on this [except for the hyping of it into 'religion']. I believe that the NYT editing staff was probably allowing some yellow journalism ink in play to pad the reporter's theme. It wouldn't be the first time that site played a supporting role to Hillary, judging by the many comments i've read there that complain about a bias favoring their hometown candidate.

"What is the compensating value?" Great question for the Hillary supporters. Don't hold your breath for an answer, though. I have never heard substantive answers, only declarative ones.

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It is imporant to keep in mind that Obama is in a particularly challenging, head-to-head competition with Hillary to win the black vote. Evidently, Hillary has a strong appeal for working class women of all races. I think Michelle's remarks about family values and Obama's role as husband and father are meant especially to resonate with an important community of voters where many households are female-led and single-parent(65 percent of African-American children live in a single-parent households), and where there is a widely acknowledged need for more, strong, responsible male role models. In their campaign the Obamas are sending a message of hope and encouragement to many of us, and a particularly distinctive and personal message to black families.

http://www.kidscount.org/sld/compare_results.jsp?i=722

http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/abstract/pjim06.htm

http://jobs.stateuniversity.com/pages/28/Unemployment-RACE-GENDER-MARITAL-STATUS.html

http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p95233_index.html

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"This sort of nonsense is what we will deal with if Hillary is the candidate in the general election. There won't be any stopping the GOP with "don't discuss the privacy of marriage" or even "that smut belongs on the porn channels"."

It is the sort of nonsense we are dealing with now. obama's wife is not the gop. Yet obama, his wife and his whole campaign are using karl rove dirty tricks and filthy gop talking points. That's desperation. The good thing is this opens up obama, his wife and their family to some serious scrutiny. How do you think that's gonna work out for them?

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recall where it leaped when the charge of "who is she referring to" when she mentioned family values, religion (something she didn't even mention) and trust.
You are absolutely right and I was wrong to take the bait myself.

"Family values," like "middle class," has become a red flag to me even when there isn't the evil intent.

Thank you for clarifying.

Note that the Clintonistas have leaped on the same previously as an attack on Hillary.

Elsewhere I have noted the Clintonista propaganda that has even been picked up by the studiously impartial Taegan Goddard Political Wire.

See Barat Obama.

The Big Lie is very effective when wielded by expert propagandists. Maybe Hillary should be known as Rove Heavy.

Best, Terry

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"Where did you find religious?"

That's called dog whistle politics. Part and parcel of the gops attacks on dems forever. But you know that. The gop have nothing so they dog whistle. obama has nothing so he dog whistles.

When obama’s karl rove style dirty tricks shop was caught copying and pasting what might be some of the gops ugliest most disgusting political lies every told then emailing them anonymously to reporters obama said that wouldn’t happen again. I gave him the benefit of the doubt. Since then it’s been more of the same. He is a fake, a fraud and liar. Nothing but a snake oil salesman playing to the rubes.

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"some serious scrutiny"

Really bizarre of you to use such a phrase, hadenough. I couldn't stop laughing.
You come on this thread this morning, pass over everything written, lock onto an anti-Obama tidbit that tickles your amply demonstrated desire to fling mud, post your ugly comment..... all the while [geez, I really can't stop laughing] you remain ignorant of the fact-checking in the rest of the thread which had thoroughly discounted that source of your tidbit.

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Prove your allegations of "more of the same". Prove "fake", "fraud" and "liar".

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I already did. Of course to the likes of people like you, obamavangelists, the sun still spins around the earth. And it always will.

But since you asked* lets start with obama's karl rove style dirty tricks shop repeating the most vile rightwing lies then continue with obama lying about his opponents positions and continue up to maybe the most serious mistake yet:

"“Our view is that if you can’t run your own house, you certainly can’t run the White House,” Mrs. Obama said."

Mrs. Obama says we should dig in to the obama house and see how it's run. Wonder if any reporters will take her up on that.

*Sorry but I’m not gonna copy and paste the most vile and disgusting things camp obama copied from repubs. I’m not gonna copy and paste the endless lies of obama.

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Back up your innuendo about Michelle and Barack on your own.

Making a lot of statements you can't back up.

Meaning? You have nothing.

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"Back up your innuendo about Michelle and Barack on your own."

What in the world are you talking about?

Mrs. obama:
"“Our view is that if you can’t run your own house, you certainly can’t run the White House,” Mrs. Obama said."

According to Mrs. obama how her house run is not only fair game it's a must see. Otherwise how will we know if the obama's can run the white house. You can call that my "innuendo" I'd call it Mrs. obama's huge mistake.

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"Really bizarre of you to use such a phrase, hadenough."

Unfortunatley I don't think it'll happen. But one can hope.

Odd how mrs. obama attacking a dem candidate with disgusting gop style dog whistle politcs doesn't bother you but when someone points that out it is an "ugly comment" and they are "anti-Obama." Odd.

But hey, glad I made your day.

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Instead of asking "reporters" to investigate the nonsense you've brought up, go out and get it yourself. Report back to us. Clear enough?

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Michelle didn't "attack a dem candidate". Far from it. This innuendo (attack, rumor, ugly comment, plain ole nastiness) was proven to be bogus in this thread.

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I agree. mrs. obama is spouting nonsense. She can only hope no reporter holds her to her statement.

And yeah, I'll get right on that and get back to ya. Sure I will.

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obama's new new tack is attacking Hillary even more. So I'm confused. Are you saying this quote in the nyts is bogus:

“Our view is that if you can’t run your own house, you certainly can’t run the White House,” Mrs. Obama said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/17/us/politics/17obama.html

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Quote is accurate. You and the other Hillary groupies in the blogosphere are attempting to smear Michelle by drawing a line between this quote and Hillary. The line exists only in your imaginations as others in this thread have pointed out.

Michelle talks about how Barrack is a great father, has her back on things that come up, and is a great role model for their two daughters. She then says, "Our view is that if you can't run your own house, you certainly can't run the White House."

Congratulations to the Hillary groupies on your use of Rove tactics. Something to be proud of...not.

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Thanks for link to the video or transcript... oh right. There isn't one.

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Ok, I will do this, though I won't hold my breath waiting for you to acknowledge the truth of your error. [I do believe, hadenough, that the NYT quote was purposefully pulled out of context to give substance to the reporter's theme of Obama sharpening the message in Iowa]

This is from the the Breitbart site, dated 8-13-07 with the post heading OBAMA'S WIFE DECRIES BLACKNESS QUESTION
and refers to Michelle's 8-12-07 speech:


'She also told the several hundred people at the elaborately decorated Grand Ballroom that she hoped her husband serves as a role model in how he helps raise their two young daughters.

"If you can't run your own house, you certainly can't run the White House," she said.'

Got the context now?

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So Michelle is proud of her house: more power to her. The comment, however, is transparently directed at the other candidates especially Hillary. Who else might be trying to run the White House? The pretense that because she did not use Hillary's name Michelle should get a pass is ridiculous.

It's the same tack that Obama's camp took on the Bush Cheney lite comment.

These remarks were taken precisely as they were intended: as attacks on Hillary.

Obama is a vicious infighter and as been seldom called on it. His cattiness is showing.

His belief that he can swideswipe other candidates and then say 'who me?' is ridiculous.

Family values has long been a code word of the religious right. If the Obama camp couldn't figure out that using it would bring unpleasant overtones with it, they are tone deaf.

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So Michelle is proud of her house: more power to her. The comment, however, is transparently directed at the other candidates especially Hillary.

"All seems infected that th' infected spy,
As all looks yellow to the jaundiced eye."
- Alexander Pope

The full quote and article tells an entirely different story.

I was caught myself by the seeming reference to Hillary's "open marriage." I found it abominable and said so, to my great regret.

Michelle Obama talks of an ethnic group where nearly 2/3rds of the children are raised in one-parent families. She has every right to be proud of her family and home under the circumstance and to talk about it joyfully. Why in heaven's name wouldn't she?

A delightful aging "interracial couple" (Gawd I hate that mischaracterization) at the organization meeting for Obama I attended were later putting on a wine-tasting party to raise funds for Obama. Imagine the stories those two very accomplished people could tell about their decades of marriage. They were the only people, in a very diverse gathering, that had an obvious stake in supporting Obama.

Good to try to see people on their own terms sometimes.

The only people that deserve to be dissed are Hillary and Bill but Michelle Obama didn't do it. The marriage of the Clintons is their own problem and responsibility as far as I am concerned. Their corruption is everybody's business.

Family values has long been a code word of the religious right. If the Obama camp couldn't figure out that using it would bring unpleasant overtones with it, they are tone deaf.

As far as I know, Michelle never used the phrase. The reporters did.

Best, Terry

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