Poll: Hillary Way Ahead In Pennsylvania
A new Quinnipiac poll finds Hillary Clinton with a huge lead in Pennsylvania. Hillary has 42% of the Democratic primary vote, with non-candidate Al Gore and Barack Obama statistically tied for distant second at 13% and 12%, respectively. John Edwards has 8% support.
More key finding: Of all the Dems, it's John Edwards who has the largest lead over GOPers Mitt Romney and John McCain in general election roundups. But Hillary also beats them by large margins. And Hillary is the only Dem who beats the GOP frontrunner, Rudy Giuliani, in the state -- casting doubts on the argument by pundits that she may be "unelectable." Unlike Hillary, both Obama and Edwards lose to Rudy:
Clinton (D) 46%, Giuliani (R) 44% Giuliani (R) 45%, Obama (D) 40% Giuliani (R) 45%, Edwards (D) 43% Clinton (D) 47%, McCain (R) 41% Obama (D) 43%, McCain (R) 40% Edwards (D) 46%, McCain (R) 38% Clinton (D) 50% Thompson (R) 36% Obama (D) 46%, Thompson (R) 34% Edwards (D) 51%, Thompson (R) 32% Clinton (D) 50%, Romney (R) 35% Obama (D) 46%, Romney (R) 31% Edwards (D) 53%, Romney (R) 29%
In the Republican primary, Rudy Giuliani is way ahead with 31%, followed by John McCain at 13%, Newt Gingrich with 9%, and Mitt Romney at 7%.















My guess is that Rudy has less chance of being nominated eventually than you do, Eric.
You can never be sure but the record is vastly different than the legend as we all know.
Whether Hillary is electable or not (I think she is considering how weak the Republicans are) is not the point for me. That she represents a continuation of the royalty and the hurt she will do to other Democratic candidates is.
Best, Terry
August 23, 2007 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eric How much you want to bet Hillary, Edwards and Giuliani are all within the margin of error
Oh yes I'm right...
Edwards and Hillary and Giuliani are within the margin of error.
August 23, 2007 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Even IF Giuliani were the nominee Edwards would still do better than Hillary,
Giuliani's family life and ex wifes (Including the mother of his children, you know the one he publicly called a "Pig")
will make a lot of family values people go Edwards over Giuliani once more people know about it
August 23, 2007 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Indeed, arrghh...
What is it with EC and the hide the MoE? Especially when talking about "leads" or match-ups??
The last few days, it all seems to be marginally positive results for Clinton presented as overthrowing CW (she's electable!), but frankly, I'd be equally disturbed to see such careless use of polling data advanced in support of candidates I like better.
August 23, 2007 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I love the "way ahead" meme.
Edwards is actually up by MORE against everyone but Giuliani who's within the MOE against Hillary and edwards.
August 23, 2007 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I was just about to post that. I'd also say it's time to start paying more attention to the Romney and Thompson match up. And not to bother with McCain.
August 23, 2007 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's all about promoting the inevitability of Hillary for the nominee.
The bias is so obvious. A daily onslaught of polls to challenge the fact that she is unelectable, even to most of the folks who frequent EC. It is just an insult to our intelligence the way the site promotes Hillary and fails to ever headline threads with her lack of substance, lack of policy plans, insufferable lobbyist bankrolling her, all her flipflops...nothing that is a clear example of why she is the worst possible choice for the nominee is ever covered on EC.
August 23, 2007 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of Rudy, check out the current issue of Time. It looks like MSM has finally decided to really look at his claims to be the only person in the United States qualified to combat"the Terrorists". Apparently someone out there was paying attention to all of digging that the folks at TPM have been doing on this subject.
Very early on, the article while acknowledging his "grace under fire" goes on to note that:
There is also, finally, a hard look at his claims to have been "studying terrorism for 30 years", his failure to stick with the 9-11 commission and more.
It will be interesting to see how violently the Giuliani campaign will react to what they will undoubtedly see as an attack on their man.August 23, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good to see that the rest of the news world is finally catching up to reality (what, oh, 6 years late?).
But, honestly, from a strategic standpoint, I almost wish that this info were coming out later, after the primaries. I am much more scared of Romney as a nominee.
I know this flies against conventional wisdom (he's a Mormon, he's a flip-flopper, fundies won't go for him). As far as Mormonism, I think it may matter for a portion of the GOP electorate, but the rest are happy with the idea he's a religious guy. (Those who do care won't be wild about Giuliani either, and both Giuliani and Romney can insulate themselves somewhat by picking Huckabee as a VP.) Flip-flopping as a critique requires voters who actually care about the issues, and I think both Romney and Giuliani appeal to so-called low-information voters.
Romney will be a much more formidable opponent because it is harder to explain what's objectionable about him. With Rudy, it's pretty easy: firefighters hate him, he dumped his wife on TV, he made stupid decisions about terrorism. Romney, by contrast, doesn't really stand for anything except bland masculine, managerial authority ... and nothing has emerged so far to challenge his role as uber-dad (except maybe Seamus) and successful bizperson. I worry about Democrats trying to run a substance-heavy campaign against someone who's all image and few Achilles heels.
Just my .02.
August 23, 2007 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
So when it comes to Penn' Woods . . . Over a farging year before the election . . . The only one who beats Guliani is Guliani in a dress?
BFD.
The Goldwater Girl is still the second best Republican in the Democratic ticket.
August 23, 2007 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 23, 2007 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, my, you fooled me. I read this through and I took it for a parody, a funny exaggeration of the views of so many TPMCafe posters. Then I realized. This is NOT a parody. You really believe this!
It is just one more restatement of the anti-Hillary creed that we get over and over and over here at TPMCafe, without any new evidence, so that these views have become a parody of themselves.
Please do take a step back and reconsider.
August 23, 2007 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink