Election Central Saturday Roundup
Obama To Limit Future Debate Participation
Barack Obama's campaign has sent out a memo signaling that they intend to only participate in DNC-sanctioned debates between now and December 10, plus two Iowa events already scheduled. "Unfortunately, we simply cannot run the kind of campaign we want and need to, engaging with voters in the early states and February 5 states, if our schedule is dictated by dozens of forums and debates," wrote advisor David Plouffe. "Ultimately, the one group left out of the current schedule is the voters and they are the ones who ask the toughest questions and most deserve to have those questions answered face to face."
Rudy Supports Bush's Social Security Plan
A very nice catch by Steve Benen: Buried deep in this Associated Press article is the news that Rudy Giuliani supports Bush's failed proposal to let people invest some of their Social Security taxes in private accounts, a proposal that went down to ignominious defeat. "I would have preferred, over my lifetime, if I could have invested some of that Social Security money myself," Rudy said. "I think I would have done much better than the government did."
Poll: Romney Ascending
A Gallup poll released last night shows Mitt Romney overtaking John McCain for third place among Republicans nationally, though it is still within the margin of error. The numbers: Giuliani 32%, Thompson 19%, Romney 14%, McCain 11%.
Arkansas Governor To Endorse Hillary
Governor Mike Beebe (D-AR) is expected to formally endorse Hillary Clinton, the former first lady of Arkansas, for president on Monday. Beebe was elected to his first term as governor last year, after serving a single term as state attorney general. This comes on the heels of a new poll showing Hillary Clinton easily beating both Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson in the state.
Bloomberg Again Rules Out Run For President
Dan Rather told Chris Matthews yesterday, in a taping for the Sunday morning Chris Matthews Show, that Mike Bloomberg ruled out a presidential campaign in a recent interview yet to air on HDNet. "In a direct answer to a direct question, would he run under any circumstances, he danced around a bit and finally said 'No,'" said Rather. "Furthermore, he said he wasn’t open to even considering running as a vice presidential candidate with anybody, and he wouldn’t take a place in anybody’s cabinet." On the other hand, Rather thinks Bloomberg might run against Democratic Governor Eliot Spitzer in 2010.
A Reminder: The Dems Debate Tomorrow Morning
Remember to tune into ABC tomorrow morning at 10 a.m. ET for a special edition of This Week with George Stephanopoulos, in which the Democratic presidential candidates will meet for a live debate from Des Moines, Iowa.















Arkansas seems to like guys with funny names as Governor...
Brings you back to the days of Orval Faubus and Dale Bumpers.
August 18, 2007 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a coward!
What's Obama's next book, "The Audacity of Debates"?
August 18, 2007 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama people finally realized that a contrived format such as a 'debate' with 8 other people and 60 seconds answers is really not the best way to showcase their candidate. Undoubtedly it's a problem for them: Clinton and Edwards are much better at this as they've been doing it for a long, long time. Whatever Obama does, it's looking bad - so they probably decided to do the bad thing they can control... They're already down to that kind of gambit. Not good.
[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!
August 18, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama will look like he is afraid to debate Hillry, and after the debates where he is absent that will be all the MSM will talk about is why didn't Obama show up? Everybody will come to the same conclusion which is that he is afraid to debate Hillary.
August 18, 2007 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "debates" have become so trivialized. Too many of them. Six DNC debates is more than enough. Let the candidates spend quality time with the voters.
August 18, 2007 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, as an intelligent adult, you won't think Obama is afraid of Lady Hawk like the MSM.
Good to know that you are not a moron though it is often hard to tell.
Ideal would be to have Mike Gravel and Hillary debate to warm up the audience with some hilarity and then let the grown-up people actually debate thoughtfully instead of simply repeating well rehearsed slogans.
Maybe Richardson can be induced to actually do some homework on major issues and get a better hearing aid or sign language translator or whatever will help. Then maybe he too will not be a joke and can compete.
Really appreciate that you have finally figured out how worthless it is to have Hillary offering nothing, taking potshots from ambush and then twisting the facts. Didn't think you had it in you.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Terry, I'm sorry to say but even if Obama can better control his message and choose the kind of discussion he wants to enter into with other candidates, I still think it sucks for him - he's looking like he's retreating, ceding the terrain to Clinton. I know this is not their intention, and they actually spun it in the right direction (only the voters ask tough questions) - but still, I don't think they have the ability to impose that narrative on the MSM. Probably they should have put that side-by-side with the Hillary-Edwards exchange about how they should have smaller debates with the 'real' candidates. Just a thought.
[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!
August 18, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! I was wondering how long that would take. I've been watching the clock ever since this post went up. Too funny. Let the ululations begin.
August 18, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only time in his life that Rudy has ever been able to turn a buck is the period post-9/11 when he has cashed in on that horrific tragedy as a result of merely showing up for work. Granted, he didn't cower in a classroom reading a children's book.
Sadly, Rudy fails to understand that Social Security is party of a social contract between the government and the people, ensuring that no one will be poor in their old age, irrespective of their investments and the vagaries of the markets.
August 18, 2007 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The early crush is something they all have to deal with...a person has to wonder if it is Senator Obama's choice or "his advisers."
It can only help the Edwards campaign as it will become the John v Clinton show.....
Obama has a gazillion $$...
I don't think that it is an "afraid" thing...
but hey...this is obviously something they feel is the thing.....pretty bold step......
It will be played....no doubt
August 18, 2007 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think people misread Obama's intent here. After seeing the poll results from CA to FL etc.. Obama will attempt to make a goal line stand in IA, NH and SC so you will see Obama in those 3 states from now to Feb timeframe.
August 18, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
"engaging with voters" is a good concept.
folks running for public office in this country used to do that. if he follows thru, it could be the beginning of real campaign reform.
(you can help. blow up your neighbor's tv!)
August 18, 2007 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not terribly likely I think.
Obama is the one candidate with the money and organization to compete head-to-head with the smiling Lady Hawk anyplace in the country.
Hillary has no more answers for her contradictions than Alberto Gonzales. She may stonewall to victory but it appears even Fred Thompson is not going to be able to pull that off and he is a pro.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think this sounds about right, though all the other speculation is unavoidable. Hey, it's what those of us who aren't running campaigns do -- speculate.
August 18, 2007 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama needs better counseling. This will be a big mistake. Does he really think he can structure his own forum independent of all the Democratic interest groups and other candidates?
Speeches and press releases aren't enough. Thinking on your feet and adapting to unplanned situations is how battles are won. This is something that Hillary knows much better than any other candidate.
August 18, 2007 3:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
August 18, 2007 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
You think so huh?
Kindly post just one of Hillary's deep thoughts.
Or a thought of any kind.
Maybe something besides corporations are people just like you and me. Maybe that qualifies as a thought but it doesn't seem a good one to me. Admittedly it is rather novel.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is doing the right thing. Every wise candidate will always step back from his/her program, perform a serious review and make changes. It is only the wise ones who will do the reviews and make the tough changes at this stage of the game.
Obama is making sure that he does not go the McCain way and wait until the earth starts to shake and the building is in a state collapse before acknowledging that all is not well and then start a mad scramble from the falling building.
Obama's approach takes courage and gut. It takes a man who is not afraid to make changes in order to keep things on track. It takes a strong man to do these things. He is not afraid of Hillary. Recent weeks have proven that already. No need to even contemplate such anymore.
It is simply wise to make the tough decisions now, in order to give time for the implementation of varied recovery programs long before it becomes too late. Obama has shown and has proven that he has the smarts and the wisdom to know what should be done at each phase of this program.
So far, he has been right on most things he has been saying. They have not all been popular but they have been right.
The great difference between Obama and the remainder of the candidates from both sides is that he believes in what he says and if the things he says can be implemented, it makes the world a much better place immediately.
Some seem to think that the president needs experience in all kinds of things but I beg to differ. The president simply needs to surround himself with wise/experienced eagles and he could surface with a smile on his face. In contrast to being surrounded by a band of chicken hawks as is currently the case.
Obama is the best candidate for the world right now, win or lose. No one compares.
August 18, 2007 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another thing - slightly O/T but I hope you guys will put it to rest for me - it recently came to my attention that there are rumors flying around DC as to Karl Rove's sexual orientation (probably related to Jeff Gannon/his father etc...). Is that for real?
[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!
August 18, 2007 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but he's not afraid to debate a dying Fidel Castro. That ought to count for something.
I wouldn't hammer him too hard for being afraid to debate Hillary Clinton. She is a total bad ass with a wicked fast ball.
August 18, 2007 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then, why did he say he would still consider forums where the candidates appear "sequentially" and only chicken out of events where they appear head-to-head?
Sorry. There is only one interpretation.
August 18, 2007 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Terry,
I understand that you are panicking about Obama's campaign right now. Unfortunately you are not even addressing the substance of my post. Keep in mind communication involves a lot more than just words.
August 18, 2007 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have watched all of the debates and forums, Democratic and Republican. While I try to catch a full campaign stump speech from each candidate when they are on C-SPAN, I have found the debates quite useful for comparing and contrasting styles, quickness, command of the issues under pressure, and the ability to formulate a coherent thought in 60 seconds.
For example, Hillary's "I'm not here to attack Democrats, I'm hear to unify the party and beat the Republicans, I'm your girl!" was a politically brilliant response to frontal attacks from the "new kind of politics, can't we all just get along" candidates.
August 18, 2007 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're correct.
People who attend Camp Obama training sessions for community organizing for the campaign report that the Obama campaign is focusing solely on the first four primary / caucuses. No money is being invested anywhere else. They are hoping that if he does well in those first four venues, the Camp Obama community will provide sufficient foot soldiers to carry them forward in all those other states where they are not investing any money or any other infrastructure. I personally believe this is flawed, but it's the only hope they have.
O-Bomb-A is tanking EVERYWHERE and it's because - with mistake after mistake after mistake - he's proving that he's not ready for the Presidency.
August 18, 2007 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I saw some of that discussed over at Common Dreams today...would love love love to see that story bust!
August 18, 2007 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does anyone know how many debates or forums he's going to actually miss with this decision? They've been going like gangbusters recently, but perhaps he's not skipping that much.
Either way he'll lose out on some "free" media exposure, and if he is mentioned it'll just be to say that he didn't show up. Clearly not his best format, so this may be a bold and smart choice -- as you write, picking the least bad of various bad choices. The candidates' time is always their most valuable commodity.
Interesting to see if this starts a trend that perhaps Edwards and Hillary follow in some cases. They probably would rather be in better control of their own schedules as well.
August 18, 2007 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barf.
August 18, 2007 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Political IlLogic said: "Thinking on your feet and adapting to unplanned situations is how battles are won."
What does that have to do with currently contrived debates, where candidates contort questions to make them fit to the sound bites and talking points they have rehearsed?
Do you really think standing them up on stage in a "beauty pagent" format and having them spouting about being for "world peace and understanding" is the best way for the nation to come to understand and compare these candidates as potential leaders?
My bet is that Hillary and Edwards soon follow Obama's lead (they were already whispering about trying to reduce debate participation weeks ago). The effect will be to eleminate all but the DNC sponsored debates. No great loss.
August 18, 2007 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Let the candidates spend quality time with the voters."
I never see the candidates in person. They come nowhere near me. Debates/forums are what I get.
And it really POs me that candidates have to suck up to voters in less than a handful states or else they can forget getting the nom. Who's dumb idea was that?
August 18, 2007 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course not, but unfortunately this is currently how the game is played and as much as Obama would like to change the rules, I doubt he can change the them.
Why would they give up free TV time and news cycle coverage? Do you think most voters would rather just listen to Obama speeches?
By the way, solipsist party-of-one, my moniker is Political Logic.
August 18, 2007 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
So which is it "thinking on their feet" or "how the game is played?" You seem to have done a 180 in the space of one post.
As for whether Ms. Clinton and Mr. Edwards will follow Mr. Obama or not, I have seen too many political predictions fail to make many of them (except that Hillary will lose to Thompson, that's a lock). I commend that policy to you.
August 18, 2007 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is doing great, holding to his strong values, talking honestly about the need for change, offering some real substance, positions and proposals on tough policy issues. It will soon dawn on voters that Hillary has no substance, represents special interests and the status quo and will simply continue the partisan wars and revenge politics.
If voters don't recognize this, and Hillary is nominated, we'll likely have another Republican president. If she by some fluke is elected, we'll have a bitterly divided nation for four more devastating years. Let's hope Obama's message continues strong and gains even more traction soon.
August 18, 2007 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is time for you to acually address the lack of substance of your own post, which is what Terry was asking you to do with blockquoting your statement and then asking for some depth.
In my experience, the sloganish statements coming out of Hillary's mouth are about the same empty nothings as those coming from Hillary supporters.
Like, what in the world is this supposed to mean - "Keep in mind communication involves a lot more than just words."
All declaration, no substance.
Yesterday [I believe it was slounick who did this] Hillary cheerleaders were asked throughout the threads to back up their declarative fluff with some supporting facts. Not once were there any responses.
I don't know about Terry, but I am impressed with Obama's campaign in making this move.
August 18, 2007 4:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Political IlLogic seems to be arguing that any effort to change politics for the better is futile. I don't succumb to defeatist thinking.
Hillary and Edwards will follow Obama because they have already been whispering (on open Fox mics) about needing to get out of this useless 60-sec debate charade. Here's their chance.
Just to recall: Edwards was criticized initially for refusing the Fox - Congressional Black Caucus debate, some called it "political suicide" but others followed his lead.
August 18, 2007 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
Americans need to ask themselves - why has our media featured Obama's supposed lack of foreign policy experience when the likes of
Maybe the question is never asked because the answer is too real, too true, too disturbing.
Makes Dems appreciate the Other Man from Hope!
August 18, 2007 4:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've heard that he confirmed that his step-father is gay. I've not heard the same about Rove, himself.
August 18, 2007 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Huh? That's an unusual interpretation. Please show your reasoning.
Thompson is a walking, cigar smoking zombie who is confined to a wheel chair golf cart. Go over to Kos and watch the Fox Newz piece on him. Read the comments.
August 18, 2007 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
JoeCHI, are you reflexively energized? Will I find this posted and pasted on a dozen other sites? Just asking.
August 18, 2007 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
DonnaG says "I am impressed with Obama's campaign in making this move."
I tend to agree. Obama knows the status quo is accomplishing nothing and costing precious resources, so he's changing. Bold, consistent with message, risky perhaps, but less so than going through the costly mechanics of meaningless debates where there is no room for substance on a crowded stage.
August 18, 2007 4:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
The author either fails to understand what the Obama campaign is really all about or understanding it, refuses for her own reasons to squarely acknowledge it. Though Obama remains committed to heavy participation in the traditional, conventional, worn-out political structure of endless debates than few listen to, we've a new message to deliver to America
The message is simple - TIME TO CHANGE THE WAY POLITICS IS DONE
Democracy is US yet we are treated like consumers of laundry soap. Washington and its Madison Ave cohort treats us like WE didn't exist. It panders to the punditocracy, to the admen, and in these "debates" to individuals sitting as passive consumers of their political junk food.
And people wonder why the War Party was able to sell the War on Iraq, patently in its inception, the greatest strategic disaster in US history?
Time to just SAY NO! We're mad as hell and we're not going to take this anymore
In a nutshell the Obama campaign is about US not YOU:
You might not like it, but is it too much to ask that you at least be honest about what it is you do not like?
He may not succeed but none will be heard to complain that the question wasn't squarely presented.
August 18, 2007 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well you are 'seeming wrong'. Your belief in Obama's superman powers is wishful thinking.
Which candidates criticized Edwards?
August 18, 2007 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Read the memo first, maybe.........Hwc.
He will still be in all the sanctioned, already scheduled head-to-head debates, but will decline other debates that various organizations are still trying to organize and schedule.
August 18, 2007 4:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is not at all true, about the sole focus being the first four primary/caucuses, or 'no money invested anywhere else'.
Who are you, chicken little? Oh, on second thought, you are the fertilizer of your own wishful thinking. Your disinformation does stink though, like it came from a manure spreader.
August 18, 2007 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh good lord. Next you'll be breaking out your pom-poms.
August 18, 2007 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
"If voters don't recognize this, and Hillary is nominated"
Hey look at that we have something in common. We are both ready to blame the voters. You will blame the voters if obama is not nominated and I will blame the voters if he is.
August 18, 2007 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hadenough said "I never see candidates in person." Notice the use of the plural. Sees plenty of one candidate: Hillary at campaign staff meetings.
August 18, 2007 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
spoken like a diehard cynic. Better to accept Hillary, Bush-Cheney status quo, the Clinton baggage, and bitter national division? hmmmm pass the pom poms.
August 18, 2007 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Rudy is so friggin' smart about handling his money, how come he said -- when divorcing Wife #2 (the mother of his children) -- that his net worth was only $7,000?
Good thing for Rudy that 9/11 happened to make him a multi-millionaire because if he had had to depend on his own investing skills, he'd be dead broke by now.
August 18, 2007 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
By not being in the debates Obama may actually gain some individual media exposure with stories about what he was doing while others were debating and his reactions to the debate soundbites.
In any event, the flexibility he gains and the resources he saves seem well worth the risk of not being there.
August 18, 2007 5:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well just because Terry wants to change the subject doesn't mean I have to. My issue is plain and simple. Obama wants to get the other candidates to go along with him and ignore all of these other debate forums. Why would Hillary or the other candidates want to do this? To portray Obama is the leader and driver of this campaign? Get serious. Hillary is doing what she does best. Obama is trying to change the rules of the game to give himself a perceived advantage.
I think it's time for you to stick to the subject.
August 18, 2007 5:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yup, he's a 9/11 whore.
August 18, 2007 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Obama just flew by my window. No, really! He can fly!
August 18, 2007 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm clearly leaning Hillary, but you have to give Obama some props on this -- unless it's a faux bold move because in reality it doesn't have him sitting out of that many events. All of the leading campaigns must have considered doing something similar, and he stepped to it first. It's been an open secret that the top 3 dislike this explosion of these types of events.
For the non-DNC forums, the organizers are dependent on the candidates for the event to happen. And in each case the candidates wait quietly to see if the others will agree before committing. I think the fact that it might endorse his 'leadership' is one of the ONLY reasons why Hillary and Edwards won't follow suit.
August 18, 2007 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
HWC said "I have found the debates quite useful for comparing and contrasting styles, quickness, command of the issues under pressure, and the ability to formulate a coherent thought in 60 seconds."
You must have been watching a different set of debates. Command of the issues? And do you really think that "the ability to formulate a coherent thought in 60 seconds" is evidence of the type of thoughtful judgment needed by a president?
I place a great deal more weight on Hillary's inability to make a sound, coherent, well-informed judgment on the Iraq war vote, than on anything she could say in a debate or campaign add. That showed her lack of capacity for leadership.
From where I stand, Hillary is the last candidate likely to unify the Democratic party or the nation. I'm surprised you were impressed by her soundbite "I'm your girl" line, which seemed contrived, practiced and untrue.
August 18, 2007 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I also reject the Bush-Cheney-Clinton tactic of creating a strawman to knock down. When I admire Obama's values, honesty, willingness to TRY to change the status quo, and interest in finding ways to bridge deep divisions, I'm not attributing superman powers. I'm CHOOSING optimism and change as a better strategy than division and the status quo. Preaching negativity won't improve things. Obama may.
August 18, 2007 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unbelievable. That is without any doubt the first time I have ever seen the straw man fallacy actually used as a straw man.
August 18, 2007 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
If that's true, looks like you're trying for the Guinness record with a triple play.
August 18, 2007 6:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Political IlLogic said "Hillary is doing what she does best."
Please clarify. Do you mean she will go to the debates, misrepresent, say abosolutely nothing of substance, and continue to rake in huge sums from deep-pocket, corporate special interests?
With regard to Obama changing the rules to gain an advantage... duh? He's a candidate in a primary campaign and Hillary is a frontrunner, of course he wants to gain an advantage. Hillary's people can't seem to understand that the only others who think Hillary's nomination is inevitable are wishful-thinking Republicans.
August 18, 2007 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Putting words in other people's mouths doesn't make them true. You should try thinking a little before you write.
August 18, 2007 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortunately, your "Bush-Cheney-Clinton tactic" juxtaposition belies your stated noble beliefs and statements. BS.
August 18, 2007 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Waddya mean what do I mean? It's quite manifest:
You criticized Obama for ducking debates because, according to you, he needed to demonstrate his ability to think on his feet. When party-of-one pointed out that there's no feet-thinking done in those floor shows that we ironically call debates, you flopped over to the thing about playing the game. If the whole rapid-response thing is bogus, why did you bring it up?...is my reasoning.
Thompson is a walking, cigar smoking zombie who is confined to a wheel chair golf cart.
...which will make Hillary's defeat even bitterer.
August 18, 2007 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
From: The Phrase Finder
Get it?
These are your words not mine.
What makes you think Thompson would beat Hillary but not Obama?
August 18, 2007 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Juxtaposing Bush-Cheney-Clinton underscores my beliefs by labeling things I oppose and they share: the politics of division and protection of a speical-interest-driven status quo. I know, I know, the Hillary-is-inevitable crowd hates comparisons to Bush, but they need to get used to it, too obvious to ignore.
August 18, 2007 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry. I can't reply substantively because I don't understand what you mean.
August 18, 2007 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
You might want to find friends who tell you the truth instead of telling you what you want to hear.
I live in upstate New York. It is not exactly a stronghold for Obama with the Dragon Lady dominating the polls and pols. I attended one organizing meeting for Obama that drew people from across the political spectrum and all class lines. I regularly get updates on local canvassing, a trip to New Hampshire, a presence at various events, a wine-tasting, fundraising party.
I personally lost some heart early on when Obama showed his way was hands across the aisle rather than confrontation. A little more than a matter of style but I was later impressed by Russ Feingold talking about Obama's particular effectiveness.
There is substance from Obama, which is twisted by the MSM into unrecognizable form. Hillary's empty, slash-and-burn rhetoric is mighty fine to the chuckleheaded talking heads, who are not open to ideas. A volatile electorate is looking for change and hopefully they will get it rather than more of the same with Hillary.
Sure are a lot of people willing to volunteer their time and money to see it happen. Obama is even matching and exceeding Hillary's corrupt funding with small donors. Hillary could never do the same. She offers nothing of substance to people below the rarified atmosphere she inhabits with her tony "middle class."
You want the same old, same old with workers, children, single mothers, the sick and disabled left to fend for themselves while Hillary pampers the giant corporations and well off? You want more war, more corruption, more deterioration of the infrastructure, more union-busting, more rhetoric, more pollution, Hillary is your girl.
I want my country back and so does the rest of the world.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
duplicate
August 18, 2007 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
What makes you think Thompson would beat Hillary but not Obama?
There is an almost cultish mindset among some Obama supporters. They just know Obama would be a great general election candidate and beat any/all republicans. They are not basing this on his electoral history or polls but a personality cult in which he is treated as a savior.
I agree that polls this early are not very meaningful. I also know that there is no way to tell how a candidate will do in a general election. There are so many factors; the press treatment, the political climate, ability to absorb attacks, ability to punch back, discipline, etc. Al Gore was devoured by the media in 2000. Kerry couldn't handle the swiftboat smears. So there are a lot of unknows for any candidate running.
August 18, 2007 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
duplicate
August 18, 2007 8:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
For the sake of disclosure, I am a 'Deaniac' and lean heavily toward Senator Edwards. And, I have said this before, but it it's worth saying once again:
I can think of many reasons to shudder when considering a Hillary Clinton presidency. Her negatives are astronomical, and she is a lightening rod for the right wing to focus its anger and hatred on.
But, instead: let's just perform this little mathematical exercise, eh?
8 years with George Bush Sr in the White House as Vice President
4 years with George Bush Sr in the White House as President
8 years with Bill Clinton in the White House as President
8 years with [the chimp] in the White House as President
8 years with Hillary Clinton in the White House as President
Sum them. That's 36 unbroken years with a Bush family member or Clinton family member serving as either President or Vice President. 36 unbroken years: more than a third of a century!
That outcome alone should be enough to erase her candicacy from the minds of any reasonable individual. Why doesn't this thought terrify almost everyone?
August 18, 2007 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Al Gore, John Kerry and Michael Dukakis were stiff elitist wonks, who were perfect setups for the like of Karl Rove. The good ol' boy phantasm of Dubya produced by the image makers was relatively easy on a blank slate.
August 18, 2007 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Miri11, You describe "cultish mindset" Obama supporters, "a personality cult in which he is treated as a savior." I've never met or heard any Obama supporters who fit that bizarre description.
Obama seems to appeal most to thinking Democrats, progressives and independents who are tired of politics as usual (which means partisan wars, deep pocket special interest domination, lack of substance and progress on key issues, e.g., healthcare, Iraq, social security, etc.) Obama supporters seem to want to move forward, not protect the status quo or go back-to-the-Clinton-years.
Far from a "savior," Obama does bring a distincitive life experience, values, honesty, a commitment to constructive change and an intelligent charisma that could inspire and lead more than half the nation. No other candidate yet offers that promise: substance, change, more unity and progress. If that sounds "cultish," pass the kool aid.
August 18, 2007 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is substance from Obama, which is twisted by the MSM into unrecognizable form.
You have just made my point.
It does not matter how good or decent a person is, the rightwing slash and burn machine will turn that person into a sniveling wretch who, undoubtedly, "wants the enemy to win."
You cannot bank on the fact that just because the rightwing whores tried to destroy the Clintons that they will adopt a hands-off attitude for any of the other Democratic candidates who appear viable.
It does NOT MATTER how nice or smart the Democrat is, the rightwing destruction mill will grind him or her up.
We just need to be braced for what will inevitably come and be prepared to do everything we can to enlighten and inform the public.
Or we will lose, no matter which of the Democrats is the nominee.
Best, Poetry
August 18, 2007 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
So?
The Republicans will attempt to tarnish any viable opponent just as Hillary is doing.
If the Republicans couldn't destroy their dirtbag twins, the Clintons, what makes you think they can destroy Obama?
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for your post. I have seen this plea a number of times in a number of places . I consider it to be unAmerican to be creeping from democracy to dynasty, not to mention the accompanying loss of renewal and freshness from real change in leadership. And I am curious. Perhaps you know the answer. In your memory, has any Hillary camper ever addressed this concern?
August 18, 2007 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Get it?
Yeah, I get it. You're huminah-humining.
What makes you think Thompson would beat Hillary but not Obama?
I guess you haven't noticed that there are quite a number of people on this very blog whose votes would be automatic for ANY Dem except Hillary.
I will not vote for her, TH will not vote for her, many lefties will refuse to vote for her. So she loses all the righties and all the lefties.
Hello, President Thompson.
August 18, 2007 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reading through some of these posts makes it clear to me that long primary seasons hurt Democrats and help Republicans.
It gives Democrats and other progressives too much time to destroy one another, while the lock-step Republicans -- who would be loyal to ANY Republican, no matter what -- sit back, gather in the swill (er, money) and wait for us to destroy ourselves.
We Democrats don't need enemies -- we are our own worst enemies.
By the time we have a nominee, he or she will be so battered and muddied we won't recognize him or her -- and the Republicans will be rich, smiling, clean as a whistle and, once more, the winners.
Keep it up -- the Republicans are loving it.
August 18, 2007 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go vote for Nader.
August 18, 2007 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe. Maybe Edwards. Maybe Tankard. It doesn't matter. Hillary loses as she should.
August 18, 2007 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Was that remark supposed to have some clever meaning?
August 18, 2007 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are veritable repository of cliches and catch phrases. I think Bush has really got to you in an unhealthy way.
August 18, 2007 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Alot goes over your head evidently. No real loss.
August 18, 2007 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is English your second language?
August 18, 2007 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thus spoke Dr. Political Logic.
August 18, 2007 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll help you out. Just think of her as Hillary Rodham.
August 18, 2007 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah. So solly. No spreekee bullshit.
August 18, 2007 10:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Political ilLogic says "cliches and catch phrases".
Nope, actually they are legitimate terms that describe the Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton era in American politics. The winners have been energy companies, healthcare and drug companies, defense contractors, banks, China, Iran, the mega-millionaire Bushes, the mega-millionaire Clintons, and their campaign-financing cronies, etc.
Time to move forward beyond the Bushes and the Clintons for REAL change.
August 18, 2007 10:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Were you speaking English?
August 18, 2007 10:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm no conspiracy theorist, but there is also that creepy connection they all have to Yale. Is it because of the education, the water...?
August 18, 2007 10:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rove is a mere child compared to the Clintons' smear machine.
Democrats range from rightwing nutjobs to moderate lefties. There are no real lefties in the Democratic Party. You have to look to the Progressive parties for that. Even the Socialist senator from Vermont is not really all that far left.
Fitting the whole eclectic collection under one umbrella is not as easy as suturing in the various frankenstein look-alikes on the Republican side.
Edwards or Obama will come through their trial of fire by the Clinton spin machine just fine thank you.
Hillary will still be dirty.
"Out damn spot," cried Lady Macbeth. But the spot wouldn't out. It was in her very being.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I don't see much harm in a few people bantering back and forth. Looks like Political Logic is a little outnumbered, probably because Mrs. Clinton's supporters have been out partying on Saturday night. Mr. Obama probably figures fewer debates means fewer opportunities to taste his shoe. I think the biggest change we need to the election laws is to make these people resign their current seats - Sen, Cong, Gov, etc. -- before they campaign for President. That would be the end of frivolous campaigns.
August 18, 2007 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good thought. And define campaigns tightly so no Fred Thompson run without declaring would be possible. It would certainly shorten the endless campaign.
August 18, 2007 10:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Terry,
You are redundant and boring.
We "get" it that you don't like Hillary.
So why don't you try getting a job or a hobby.
Best, Poetry
August 18, 2007 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Although I never voted for him, I watched as George Bush was elected/appointed President twice. Before Bush, my naive assumption was that the nation was so strong that one person in the White House couldn't do that much harm in just a few years. I was very wrong, and should have taken to the streets during the Flordia re-count controversy in 2000.
I believe Hillary Clinton also represents a disastrous choice for president of the United States. Appeals to be quiet and line up like a good Democrat are bogus. Now is the time to speak out.
I perceive very litte difference between the Clintons and the Republicans on many issues, particularly their posture on reform of American politics, the need to break the grip of corporate special interests and the debilitating cycles of partisan warfare.
Appealing for Democratic unity only works if the nominee represents a break with the past. If Hillary is the nominee, it is too late, many Democrats, progressives and Independents will be lost. That is not an attack, threat or prediction, it is REALITY.
August 18, 2007 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is nothing wrong with debates; the actual exchange of ideas and opinions is vital to the health of our republic.
But there is a lot posted here at TPM that does not advance anything; it neither informs nor persuades.
It might be worth it if everyone tried to think of himself or herself as Lincoln or Douglas at the Lincoln-Douglas debates, where each put forward his ideas and tried to encourage others to see his point of view.
That would be beneficial.
But some (not all) of what goes on here is pure slander and destruction and not worthy of such an excellent and respected web site.
August 18, 2007 11:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe this is why obama wants to skip as many debates and forums as he can:
Democrats preach virtue of labor unions
The crowd thinned out after Edwards' speech, leaving scores of empty seats for Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, who spoke third. The rest of the field spoke to mostly empty rows.
Obama said a Democratic president, backed by organized labor, can change Washington and protect the middle class.
"We need a president ... who is not afraid to mention unions," he said.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070819/ap_on_el_pr/democrats_iowa
August 18, 2007 11:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good idea. When will you start?
August 18, 2007 11:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
As an Obama supporter, I offer my thoughts.
There is a groundswell of renewed hopefulness replacing years of frustration [with the political/governmental system] and that groundswell has found a place to light in the person of a talented and courageous guy. Obama correctly gauges the mood of the country, has the audacity to try to make a difference, and is willing to step up and lead the changes desired by so many for so long.
But, to openly hope for and to actually work for a better world is a psychically dangerous thing to do. What I mean is, it won't kill you, but it has the potential to really crush you if it doesn't bear out, as compared to say, staying 'safe' in a bubble of cynicism. It means laying oneself open to taunts and jeers from the sidelines, misinterpretations, and always there's that possibility of failing, at which point that chronic frustration might return, but with an added layer of angst.
I believe that the Obama supporters, young, old [my category] and in-between, have gone out on this psychic limb, so to speak, and have said no to the usual cynicism which is the most common defense against frustration. Because they have done that, they are living deeper within themselves, walking the talk, and feeling good about it. There is something palpable about anyone who does that deepening whether it is being a soldier in a war or responding in a natural catastrophe, or family crisis, or supporting an audacious man of character in a political race.
I think it's that palpable quality which you try to define with 'cultish mindset'.
As to your last sentence, I disagree a bit. It is not Obama's personality but rather his character which signals his potential. Laurence Tribe saw that character at Harvard, and lots of others see it, too. And, here are a couple of other signals that have some weight:
Electoral history: Obama got a lot of support from red counties in Illinois in his US Senate run.
Polls: in the polls, Obama does very well against republicans, often better than Clinton
And you are right that there is no way to predict the future, or hog-tie the unknowables.
August 18, 2007 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't even know the lady. We don't move in the same circles.
I am long retired. I do have a very nice hobby.
One of my main interests in life is renewable energy.
Turning cow manure into biogas for heating homes instead of having the gas escape into the atmosphere as a very potent greenhouse gas may seem wasteful and boring to you since greenhouse gases could eliminate winters altogether and there would be no need to heat homes.
The manure you produce could be very useful.
Instead of being bored with life, I suggest you might want to look into doing something useful with your manure.
Just a suggestion to help you over your boredom.
You could also try to answer some questions rather than just dishing dirt.
Maybe that's too boring as well.
Best, Terry
August 18, 2007 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah. The ad hominem fallacy. That's two in one thread. You're definitely on a roll. BTW, there's no such word as "alot" (in English).
August 18, 2007 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apparently Senator Obama actually prefers that format. The memo from his campaign specifically said "Candidate forums - where candidates appear sequentially will be considered..."
August 18, 2007 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know what's odd is that it's usually the front runner in a race who wants to avoid debates. Remember those famous Roger and Me styled commercials that Paul Wellstone used to shame Rudy Boschwitz into debating him? (Wellstone then proceeded to administer Boschwitz a righteous ass-kicking in debates and went on to win the election.)
The understandable rationale is the way the number two guy gets to be number one is by going after the leader. Therefore, as the reasoning goes, someone already enjoying a significant lead has little to gain and everything to lose by exposing themselves thusly. But it's usual for someone running in second place not to want every chance they can get to mix it up with the leader.
August 19, 2007 12:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
More baloney from Terry.
The O-Bomb-A campaign is focusing its efforts on the first four primaries/caucuses. Grassroots organizing in other states is just that, grassroots, and not coordinated by the O-Bomb-A campaign.
Terry also continues to pass on the canard that O-Bomb-A is matching Clinton's fund raising through small donors. That's patently false. He seems to have so much time on his hands fabricating all his posts, you'd think he might actually back up what he says - which he can't.
O-Bomb-A and his trash talking wife are worse than the Clinton types, because they pretend that they are something that they are not.
August 19, 2007 2:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good luck with your efforts to nitpick edits on comment posts: an infinite task worthy of your talents. U r so gud @ it. When you've finished or tire of that meaningful quest, there are worlds of misspellings, typos, and abbreviated jargon in billions of email messages just begging for your eagle eye. You have found a noble calling.
August 19, 2007 6:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not terribly likely the doppelganger's noisy and often foul supporters will mount a grass roots effort. Commitment only goes so far you see. Easy to see why the claws are unsheathed.
I have read over your oeuvre again and again, DonnaG. Some nice writing and analysis but it is jarring as well to this sideliner.
I know the commitment for a fact but it is not that comprehensible to me.
Obama does not offer the anti-war crusade of a Eugene McCarthy or George McGovern. He does not offer a people's crusade of a Huey Long in the Great Depression that has a relatively weak echo in John Edwards. He can't even manage the empty rhetorical flourishes created by Ted Sorenson for JFK to mouth. He does not have the demagogic appeal of an Al Sharpton and does not even have much of a hold on the African-American vote despite the historic opportunity.
How the hell does a studious intellectual offering only compromise and incrementalism ignite a mass movement without Joseph Conrad's heroic slogan or even the promise of salvation to true believers?
I am real short on answers.
Has to be an awful lot of dry tinder out there for dry lightning to kindle a forest fire so deftly.
Best, Terry
August 19, 2007 6:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
The current candidate cattle shows are not really "debates." They favor shallow one-liners and soundbites (even Bush manages a few of those) and exclude thoughtful, challenged-and-defended substance on issues and solutions. So, they favor a famous (or infamous) frontrunner who rides on her husband's coattails with no real substance to offer or defend, and work against a person with ideas and an agenda for change. Do you really think that Hillary is eager for a classic one-on-one debate with Obama?
Real ideas take more than 60 seconds to share as does a thoughtful, constructive cse for change. In effect, the current debates serve the status quo because they don't offer citizens/voters a chance to really see and hear alternatives. No wonder Hillary loves them.
August 19, 2007 6:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
"You know what's odd is that it's usually the front runner in a race who wants to avoid debates."
Yeah that's odd. It’s pretty much conventional wisdom the frontrunner is ‘too busy’ to debate and others call the front runner a coward. That is also usually when it’s dem vs. repub and one is way ahead. Until then it seems to me they all want the exposure. Some say nobody watches debates now but around a million people watched the last dem debate. About a million is people.
Anyway the Clinton camp took a shot at the obama camp:
"So he'll meet with dictators but not the black caucus or seniors in Iowa?"
http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=26081
Heh Heh Heh...
August 19, 2007 8:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
hadenough said: "...around a million people watched the last dem debate."
With most of the rest of them, I got nothing for my time and effort. The novelty of these substanceless "debates" is over. Hillary loves them so she can pander. Does she really think standing on stage is better for Iowa seniors than really tackling their issues with thoughtful analysis and real policy alternatives?
Obama is about substance and smart enough to invest himself in other venues.
Thanks, hadenough for underscoring another clear difference that make Obama all the more appealing.
August 19, 2007 9:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
If obama eat a baby on live teevee you'd think that was great.
August 19, 2007 9:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe a dozen or so. Based on all the polling I've seen though, any of the top three candidates seem do very well among Democrats. Also have to note that a lot of people have gone broke betting against Hillary Clinton.
August 19, 2007 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's been to 19 forums and 7 debates so far. He'll be in 15 debates by the end of the year.
That's just crazy. Memorizing 90 second answers and 30 second follow ups, practicing one upmanship, figuring out how to lay silly gotcha traps, that's all useless. These are talents a cheesy lawyer needs, not the president of the United States. He's never going to use them in office and it's no way to get a handle on what the candidates' positions are.
Anyone who's seen Obama in a townhall setting answering questions from the audience like the breakout session at Yearly Kos knows that's a much more productive venue for him and everyone involved.
This guy is a bigger policy wonk than Bill Clinton. He has far and away the most candle power in the field. His answers are comprehensive, persuasive and conversational so they never get boring.
There isn't Hillary's air of ambition for ambition's sake or the self conscious populism of Edwards about him. Just a guy who knows what he wants to do as president and most importantly how to accomplish them once he gets there.
There's always cameras at these events. I assume all the video will be available on YouTube. I highly recommend every voter view them. If you haven't seen him in this kind of forum you'll really be impressed.
August 19, 2007 11:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
The comprehension may be easier if you allow the given of these ingredients, all of which have existed before, but which have reached critical proportions in the public stew: 1] Americans distressed with the way things are being done or not in Washington, 2] Americans critically wanting change in the way things are working in Washington, and importantly, 3] the catalytic rapid learning curve provided by witnessing Bush incompetency go unchecked or even be collusively abetted by the dems in Washington. Matters have become grave and the usual dem responses no longer persuade. The usual dem responses are being seen as 'more of the same.'
In short, Obama, as I said, correctly recognized the mood of the country, and furthermore, recognized that it is that mood/rapid learning which would carry his candidancy. To his supporters, it is a plus that he declines to use his candidancy like some 'savior figure' doing old-style 'heroic sloganeering'. The truth spoken without fanfare by a 'studious intellectual' is a breath of fresh air to folks who have been slapped awake in a dawning realization that they've been had by sound bites and slogans. That same awakening is supportive of steady, incremental real structural change at a time when the whole structure could topple.
If you are a reader, I recommend, "Understanding Change: The Dynamic of Social Transformation" by Scott London [you can find it on the net]. And if you like to delve deeply, there is nothing more illuminating than Ilya Prigogine's work on systems change. Prigogine was a Nobel prize winning chemist from Belgium. The meditators have sort of taken over Prigogine's theories for their own purposes, perhaps shorting readers of Prigogine's full genius.
I am going from memory here, so don't quote my paraphrasing, but I will try to convey an essential from Prigogine which I see applying to the grassroots behind Obama:
My paraphrase: 'Any system will handle perturbations by working to dampen or counter those perturbations. But, when the perturbations reach a certain critical mass, the system will die or suddenly escape to a higher order'.
I think BushCo provided the critical mass of perturbations to the system, as well as did a great job alerting lots of average Americans to beware 'retail politics'.
August 19, 2007 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ho-ho! Yet another fallacy of misdirection: changing the subject. You've really got quite a repertoire.
Anyway, I'm usually not one to be correcting others' spelling and grammar. But you were obviously attempting to be condescending and condescension really does lose a certain something when delivered in improper English. I was just trying to be helpful.
August 19, 2007 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
What channel? Will it be posted on youtube later?
August 19, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
The need to form a coherent thought in 60 seconds is rare but it does occur. How long did it take Bush to stop reading My Pet Goat?
August 19, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Proof?
August 19, 2007 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Something is not going right for Obama or he wouldn't need to make the change.
August 19, 2007 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
So this is about punishing Hillary? We both know that she would be a better President than Thompson.
It does matter.
August 19, 2007 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Personally I believe in letting the voters choose whomever they want. It's called democracy.
I would share your concern if there weren't other options with sufficient resources to make and to have made these real contests but there were.
August 19, 2007 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary gets a lot of support from red counties in New York because ????
Obama gets a lot of support from red counties in Illinois because ?????
Hillary won big time in New York which shows what about her political ability ????
Obama won big time in Illinois which shows which shows what about his political ability? (It helps to know that both his primary and his general opponents were wife beaters.)
I could go on but my point is simply that too many of the Obama supporters here do appear cultish because they apply different standards to him than to the woman currently beating him nationwide.
August 19, 2007 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Punishing Hillary??? I suspect you didn't bother reading the thread, but if you did, what a byzantine thought process your mind must have gone through to come up with that! Hillary doesn't deserve punishment. She deserves to continue to serve New York as Senator for as long as she wishes. I rather doubt that she will want to continue very long when she realizes that she'll never be president, but we'll see.
I suppose she would be a better president than Thompson. Is that the height at which Dem "centrists" are setting the bar these days? No wonder the party is losing membership.
August 19, 2007 8:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then by all means nominate her, if you're willing to have us all live to live with the consequences whether she wins or loses.
Among these will be an indefinite continuation of the debacle in Iraq and further erosion of civil liberties, a further alienation of the lefties in the Democratic Party, and a further drift to the right of the Party.
Should be fun.
August 19, 2007 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually the last time I looked, Democrat party ID was at historically high levels -- up as much as 15-20% since 2002, mostly due to centrists coming home. And of course the fact that any of the Dem's would make a much better president than any of the Republicans is setting the bar pretty low. But obviously this in in no way implies the Dem's couldn't get over a bar set significantly higher. Just means the Republicans are running pretty lousy candidates.
August 19, 2007 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Awe, now you're depressing me too. God it's all so bleak! How can we ever go on? (Sob.)
But seriously, whoever inherits George W. Bush and Tom Delay's mess -- whether it's Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama or whoever your own preferred personal savior may be (Nader?) -- is going to have a mess on their hands. Best case, it's going to suck. So it's probably a safe bet to go on predicting doom and gloom for a while, regardless of who the next president ends up being (and no matter how cracked one's crystal ball may be).
August 19, 2007 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
So that's what explains this 1-Aug-2007 Rasmussen headline:
Number of Democrats Falls to New Low
"That’s down from 38.0% at the end of 2006 and matches December 2005 as the lowest number of Democrats recorded since Rasmussen Reports began monthly updates in January, 2004."
Keep on pulling in your centrists like that and Karl will have his permanent majority.
August 19, 2007 10:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
oh, happy hour again?
100 proof = 50%alcohol, approximately (more precisely 57.1% alcohol by volume or 49.28% alcohol by weight) and 200 proof = 100 percent alcohol.
August 19, 2007 10:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's all right with me if you want to avoid the argument, but Hillary's track record shows her contempt for the First Amendment. And her stated position is that she wouldn't bring the troops home for a long, long time.
As I pointed out above, the Party is losing members, and the lefties like me are checking out or considering it.
Enjoy your "centrist" party. Hillary will help you to continue to screw the already screwed. But what the hell -- you've got yours, right?
August 19, 2007 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
That she has a marvelous ability to select hapless opponents.
A bit of local history:
The last time my district was represented by a Democrat before 2006 was when a one-termer was elected during the upstate New York "Truman landslide." The hostility of upstaters to downstate politicians has lessened greatly but it once had real sting.
The upset winner's inaugural speech in the House was a farewell. He was intelligent enough to realize he had no chance whatever of winning again.
Oddly, though there has been a long reign of Republicans, the district tended to elect mavericks. Rep. Sherwood Boehlert had many unpleasantries with the like of Newt Gingrich and the right-to-lifers notably.
When we finally elected a Democrat, he immediately joined the Blue Dog Caucus. It isn't all that clear that we Democrats came out ahead with an ersatz Democrat replacing a maverick Republican willing to war on the Republican Party leaders.
Under those conditions it is not so difficult to see why Hillary would have appeal in this district as a rightwing Democrat. That is without considering the powerful coattails of Eliot Spitzer.
I was frankly surprised somewhat by Hillary's overwhelming victory but her opponents were abnormally weak.
Our Blue Dog Democrat will probably stay in for the foreseeable future but the best hope for booting out the horrendous Randy Kuhl and routine hack James Walsh is for the Democrats to nominate a presidential candidate that can generate real excitement like Barack Obama. I am less sure Edwards or even Richardson can have the same effect but I am sure Hillary will be a drag on the efforts to rid the US House of two cockroaches.
I sincerely hope the Democrats do the smart and ethical thing and nominate a real Democrat instead of another ersatz faker. Be good to tidy up the House a bit.
The matter remains to be decided but present omens are not good IMO. The Empire usually wins against insurgents and is likely to do so again. The forces of darkness are very strong.
Best, Terry
August 19, 2007 11:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
"but Hillary's track record shows her contempt for the First Amendment."
If there is a track record certainly you can provide links to facts? Right?
"As I pointed out above, the Party is losing members, and the lefties like me are checking out or considering it."
And you think Hillary is the reason? Hillary? Really? I think it's obama. I think people are tried of yet another lying pol:
In fact, at least five of Obama's disclosed bundlers have registered in the past with the Senate Office of Public Records. Three of them hadn't filed the normal paperwork indicating termination of their lobbying contracts, though Alan Solomont, Tom Reed and Scott Harris all told they Hill they had stopped lobbying.
...
The article went on to point out that some fundraisers for Obama are corporate officers of companies that hire lobbyists. At least 10 other major bundlers work for companies that have lobbied the federal government, including Bill Kennard of the Carlyle Group.
And late last week, the Los Angeles Times noted that Obama has taken in more than $1.4 million from firms with partners registered to lobby the federal government.
http://citizen.typepad.com/watchdog_blog/2007/08/they-talk-big-b.html
Yet more obama lying. No wonder he is driving people away from the party:
Obama’s K Street project
Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is benefiting from the support of well-connected Washington lobbyists even though he has prohibited his campaign from accepting contributions from them and political action committees (PACs).
While Obama has decried the influence of special interests in Washington, the reality is that many of the most talented and experienced political operatives in his party are lobbyists, and he needs their help.
Mike Williams, the director of government relations at Credit Suisse Securities, said of the network of lobbyists supporting Obama: “I would imagine that it’s as large as the Clinton list,” in reference to rival presidential candidate Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.), who is an entrenched favorite of the Washington Democratic establishment.
http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/obamas-k-street-project-2007-03-28.html
Certianly the reason the party is losing members is because obama is a big fat liar. No, it's the Iraq war. Don't even think it.
August 20, 2007 12:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Party ID always peaks at election time and falls off a little in the off years. That's a well documented and completely expected phenomenon. But even at that, Rasmussen's current 35.5% for Democratic party ID is up like 6% from just a few years ago.
And keep in mind that Scott Rasmussen is a Republican pollster who thinks George W. Bush still has a 38% approval rating and is not above spinning poll results a little. There's some good stuff on his site and his polls of the Senate races last year were pretty decent, but his headlines are often kind of cute like that. Don't let him scare you.
August 20, 2007 1:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Which argument am I supposed to have been avoiding there, partner? All I've heard out of you is fortune telling. But if you'd like to argue now, then as for Clinton's track record, the ACLU seems to disagree with you, they give her pretty high marks in general. So my own psychic powers tell me you're probably talking about that one bill you guys dug up -- something about flag burning. Did that pass, BTW? Didn't think so. They just do it to impress the rubes. I confess I haven't bothered checking out the claim but if it's true I've got news for you. Flag burning bans are a perennial safe vote for liberals. Dennis Kucinich has never met a flag burning ban he didn't like either. Don't let it keep you awake nights.
August 20, 2007 1:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting that when Hadenough is challenged to produce facts and links the response is "it's out there, go find it yourself".
August 20, 2007 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oddly you typed that in and attached it to a comment with 2 links to facts.
August 20, 2007 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
May I present to you Mr. Alan Keyes?
August 20, 2007 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Which argument am I supposed to have been avoiding there, partner?
Well, as I see it I laid some fairly serious charges at your candidate's feet. Your response was first to sob, then set down some rhetoric about how Bush's successor will have it tough. Would you characterize that behavior as taking the issue head on?
as for Clinton's track record, the ACLU seems to disagree with you, they give her pretty high marks
Which way do you care to play this? Is the ACLU Congressional Scorecard meaningful or not?
If they are meaningful, they AGREE with me. In the four congresses of Ms. Clinton's senatorial career, she has earned scores of 60%, 78%, 83%, and 50% from the ACLU. Those numbers hardly constitute liberal credentials. Compare to Feingold: 80%, 89%, 100%, 75%. Keep in mind that she represents one of the bluest states in the Union, so there is little political need for her to pull her leftist punches.
In the 107th Congress, her first two years in the Senate, Ms. Clinton scored higher than only 11 Democrats. In the current Congress, Ms. Clinton is tied with 15 Republican senators, including the <irony>ultra-liberal</irony> Orrin Hatch. There are actually six Republicans whose scores are HIGHER than Ms. Clinton, notably Jim Bunning (the only sitting Senator to throw a no-hitter in the major leagues and to have been asked by the two largest newspapers in his home state of Kentucky to step down for mental health reasons) and John Sununu (about whom we need say little).
They just do it to impress the rubes.
What else are they willing to do to impress the rubes and make them feel safe? Maybe throw a few people in jail for a couple of years without access to counsel? Invade a helpless Mid-Eastern country? Install some more microphones in your bedroom? If you thought you were depressed before, just wait till 2009.
August 20, 2007 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's pick this up again out here.
August 20, 2007 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's some good stuff on his site and his polls of the Senate races last year were pretty decent
Which is to say, he's pretty damn accurate.
Don't let him scare you.
It isn't Rasmussen who scares me.
August 20, 2007 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
If there is a track record certainly you can provide links to facts? Right?
Right! (Sorry, I thought everybody knew by now that her view of the First Amendment is to the right of Antonin Scalia's.)
And you think Hillary is the reason [Dems are losing members]? Hillary? Really?
Well, no...and I didn't say that, imply it, or have it tatooed on my big toe. (Blogging hint: Argue with what your debating opponent says, not with what he or she doesn't say. Just a suggestion.)
I think it's obama [+ approximately 15 paragraphs of ranting about Mr. "obama"]
I believe we were discussing Ms. Clinton.
August 20, 2007 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quintuplicate
August 20, 2007 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quadruplicate
August 20, 2007 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Triplicate
August 20, 2007 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Duplicate
August 20, 2007 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't say he was inaccurate, silly -- well except for that 38% Bush approval thing. That's a little far fetched. But what I said is that he was spinning his results. He's spinning, you're buying.
August 20, 2007 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't say he was inaccurate, silly -- well except for that 38% Bush approval thing. That's a little far fetched. But what I said is that he was spinning his results. He's spinning, you're buying.
August 20, 2007 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
WRT the approval rating, Rasmussen explicates its methodology and accounts for the difference between its numbers and other polls. Can you provide some statistical, analytical, methodological, or other criticism?
If not, how is he spinning the results? Perhaps Rasmussen and Tankard are not the silly spinners.
August 20, 2007 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your faith in Obama's coat tails is misplaced: currently, he appears able to get a small slice of naive Democrats and some Independents very excited and to leave the bulk of Democrats unconvinced.
August 21, 2007 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, the rare eception.
August 22, 2007 6:04 AM | Reply | Permalink