Election Central Saturday Roundup
Today: The Iowa Straw Poll
Today is the the Iowa straw poll in Ames, where Republicans will compete for the support of party activists. IowaPolitics.com has a special blog up, giving running updates. Mitt Romney is heavily favored to win the event, and his top three opponents — Rudy Giuliani, John McCain and Fred Thompson — are not even participating. The contest is between the other candidates, for second place.
Sunday Shows Tomorrow: Three GOP Candidates, Post-Straw Poll
The Sunday chat shows tomorrow will feature three Republican candidates: Fox News Sunday will have Mitt Romney, who is expected to easily win today's straw poll. ABC's This Week will feature Mike Huckabee, and CBS's Face The Nation will host Sam Brownback. Question: Will either of the latter two have been forced to drop out due to a poor showing today?
Ron Paul's Wife Hospitalized In Iowa
Carol Paul, wife of Ron Paul, was hospitalized this morning just before voting was to begin in the Iowa straw poll. The Paul campaign said there is no great danger. "She appears to have stabilized and is awaiting treatment," the campaign told CNN. "Dr. Paul is with her and will arrive at the Straw Poll when the situation permits." This takes Paul out of the straw poll activities until he can arrive, so he must rely on the work of volunteers working on his behalf — and there appear to be many of them.
Obama Take On The "Black Enough" Questions
Barack Obama opened his speech yesterday to the National Association of Black Journalists with a joke: "I apologize for being late, but you keep asking whether I'm black enough — so I strolled in." Obama later addressed the "black enough" questions head on. "What it really lays bare is that if you appeal to white folks, there must be something wrong," he said. "There's also a fear. (We) don't want to get too excited about the prospects because we might get defeated again."
Gavin Newsom Endorses Hillary
San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom announced yesterday that he is endorsing Hillary Clinton for president. Newsom told the San Francisco Chronicle that he respected Clinton as a policy wonk. "I like Barack (Obama) and admire him ... and (John) Edwards as well ... but I never was able to have a discussion of the issues with the same depth, the same understanding, that I have had with Hillary Clinton."
Gravel Vid Blasts "Chess Game" Foreign Policy
Mike Gravel's campaign has posted a video claiming the Bush Administration is treating foreign policy as if it were a game of chess and furthermore that it is cheating at that game. The visuals – including stop motion animation of chess pieces moving across a board, fireworks, and foreign lands – are set to a solo piano music as text fades on and off the screen. The video takes perhaps a little less poetic license to comprehend than his earlier videos because the message is at least clear, however oddly presented. After starting with the phrase "Chess Anyone?" it proceeds to lay the case against Bush, claiming that by even pretending to play a chess game it is "cheating" at the game. Gravel also mixes metaphors by asking "the people" to "end 'board game' decision-making'/ On the world stage." Take a look:















Gavin Newsome's endorsement may or may not help Hillary.
He's pretty unpopular in SF.
He had an affair with his chief of staff's wife
The LA mayor also had a well publicized zipper problem. It's probably not surprising that people of this moral character support hillary.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/01/31/BAGM3NSFGQ7.DTL
http://blogs.usatoday.com/ondeadline/2007/07/la-mayor-admits.html
August 11, 2007 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Though I understand he's somewhat scandal-ridden right now, my understanding is that Newsom is, actually, popular. Plus, his wine is delicious.
August 11, 2007 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really like Obama's answer to the "black enough" question. He left a good impression with CNN's correspondent
political ticker
I'm inclined to agree. I've seen some justify it on the grounds that he's not descended from slaves, which seems specious to me. Instead, it seems rather parallel with the criticisms Obama himself alluded to back at his DNC speech, mentioning the bigotry of calling a black kid with a book "too white".
August 11, 2007 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
What would they have to talk about?
Hizzonor the Mayor said, "...I never was able to have a discussion of the issues with the same depth, the same understanding, that I have had with Hillary Clinton."
Yeah, one might imagine.
Hillary: "Know any juicy scandals?"
Newsome: "Yeah, mine."
[Both have a great laugh together.]
Nothing at all gets people together like common interests.
Edwards and Obama have no scandals to match and thus are out of the running.
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's ridiculous that Obama has to even address this issue (it's not like anyone has ever had to discuss whether they are white enough), but give that he has, Obama has been able to use his disarming charm very well.
Now let's move on.
August 11, 2007 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Some African immigrants and temporary residents have many stories about hostility from the African-American community as a whole.
It's a bit odd and very sad if the same attaches even to the American son of a Kenyan father.
Surely it is no better if lack of acceptance among African-Americans arises against an intellectual in their midst.
In any case, every candidate has to fight prejudice of one sort or another. The simple matter of being tall seems to provide a hefty advantage to candidates. Isn't that grand?
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Newsome/Clinton "in depth" Sustanative Discussion
August 11, 2007 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton has Ruppert Murdock. Murdock is not not involved in a scandal . Murdock is a scandal.
August 11, 2007 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Raise Hell...
Molly Ivans
August 11, 2007 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton at a Iowa campaign stop on January 28, 2007: "Well, the question really is, we face a lot of dangers in the world and, in the gentleman's words, we face a lot of evil men, you know, people like Osama bin Laden comes to mind," adding: "And what, in my background, equips me to deal with evil and bad men?"
hmmm Bill Clinton, LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, SF Mayor Gavin Newsome...
Maybe ex-NJ governor James McGreevey will be the next endorsement. Rudy Giuliani would be logical addition to the group, but I think he's already endorsed himself. How about Newt?
Hillary will not let a little serial philandering come between her and a convenient political ally. The term "like bees to honey" comes to mind.
August 11, 2007 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's new slogan "Why elect a man, when a girl can do the job?" hehe
August 11, 2007 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gravel is wrong . . . No one in the White House has the nuiance to play chess. Checkers with jackhammers is the cowboy diplomancy way.
Fun visuals though and pleasent music . .. Does anyone know what the background tune is?
August 11, 2007 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Side Note: I wish Carol Paul a speedy and complete recovery.
August 11, 2007 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
The better question is not "Is Barack Obama black enough?" but rather, "Is Barack Obama enough of a Democrat?"
Think about it: Has anyone ever heard Barack Obama identify himself as a Democrat or make a case for the Democratic Party? He seems to enjoy making a case for himself, but not the party at large. Instead, he makes a case for himself with public quotes lamenting what Democrats are or aren't doing.
Take the most recent video from the Obama campaign. Obama doesn't mention he's a Democrat. He's afraid to mention that he's a Democrat in his ads or appearances. At the 2004 convention Bill Clinton said "Our way works better." It appears that Obama has decided that his way, not the Democratic Party, works better.
Clearly, running for President is more important to him than making the case for the Democratic Party and contrasting it with the utter corruption of the Republican Party. I want a nominee who will uphold the Democratic Party values and ideals with pride. You won't get that from Barack Obama.
I'm more worried at this point about his worship at the altar of bipartisanship rather than whether he's not black enough.
August 11, 2007 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
The real question is:
Is the Republican field white enough?
August 11, 2007 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And you want the Clintons to make the point of corruption in the Republican Party?
You have to be joshing us.
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you unite the extremes of a country, you most commonly meet in the middle. The middle of the United States has been shifted so far right by RePug dominance, that many Americans think of national health care as socialized medicine. This is ridiculous and needs to be dealt with.
If we can elected a true Democrat with 50% plus one person of the vote who will fight for our point of view we may make a much faster return to reality.
August 11, 2007 3:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure you can really compare the question of "being black enough" to being "white enough." It is not just about race, but about culture and experience in society for African-Americans. There is a perspective, right or wrong, that a black who has not lived with the legacy of slavery and legalized discrimination is not representative of the black experience and outlook in America. Thus, some mistrust and lack of acceptance of blacks who have immigrated from Africa. Blacks from the Caribbean, because they are the descendants of slaves, sometimes have more accpetance as immigrants, by African-Americans native born. In contrast, when "not black enough" is spoken about in specifics, Clarence Thomas and his conservative politics is often an example cited.
There are certainly white candidates who are asked if they are liberal, or conservative, or evangelical, or Southern, or feminist enough to represent that perspective/culture/value set/outlook/experience/philosophy.
August 11, 2007 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The question of whether Obama is black enough is not about skin color and only partially about whether he, also, gets treated as blacks are now treated -- it is also a question of culture -- do you get what it means to be black in this country and do you understand the culture that developed out of that situation.
A child who knows that his uncle got a Master's Degree and worked all his life as a railroad porter is going to have a different attitude towards education and will pass that down to his or her children, than a recent immigrant from Africa who immigrates here as a Harvard trained doctor.
Similarly with whether it is safe to trust whites and whether you will get your fair share of opportunities if you work hard.
It makes a difference whether you learn about lynchings in history books or whether you are told about the time that your great-grandfather escaped lynching and his friend did not.
It is different if you hear these stories only as your friends choose to share them.
When you are white you have to work very hard to understand the burden of history on this country's minorities of various types.
In the cultural sense, Obama had to prove he was white enough and passed with flying colors. There was a subtext of astonishment
that a black candidate was so impressive. Biden had some missteps over this matter.
But when you look at who Obama is -- raised by a highly academic woman and the child of a brilliant man who rose from peasantry -- there should be no surprise. John Edwards made a greater personal transition -- moving from a blue collar home to a career as a lawyer and yet retaining his sense of where he came from which many self-made individuals lose.
August 11, 2007 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
CorinneM, it sounds like this election for you is about getting even.
I want a president with the vision and capacity to lead the nation, not just half of it. Intense partisanship and the continuous cycle of offense and retribution has gotten us into the deep pit we are in. I think there is a status quo special interest composed of oil, military contractors and banking who want partisan warfare while they buy every politican and get what they want behind the scenes. It really hasn't mattered what party is in charge: Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton = status quo. Obama, potentially, represents change, a break with corporate governance, and moving forward.
August 11, 2007 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Such BS. The most prevalent comment I have heard here is "oh, so he's not gay after all".
Come see TV from the Reality-Based Community at http://RealityBasedTV.com
August 11, 2007 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
why can't the Clintons find someone without a scandal to endorse them?
Offhand, I can only remember one thing Ronald Reagan said that I agreed with, and that was in response to someone asking him about an endorsement from someone less than admirable. He said something like...When someone endorses me, it's because they agree with me, not because I agree with them.
I'll probably be voting for Kucinich or Edwards in the primary, not because either has much of a chance, but to make it known who I agree with. If Hillary wins, I'll be behind her 100%. I hope all the Hillary bashers here, and elsewhere on the web, will make the same pledge.
August 11, 2007 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
"My party, right or wrong" is a lousy slogan IMO.
Telling the truth is not bashing. In fact it is quite admirable in my view.
If you could provide a logical case why anyone who thinks a Kucinich or Edwards are good choices should vote for an establishment DINO, who threatens to wreck further havoc on the Democratic Party and the country, then I would have to reconsider.
When the DLC made the Democratic Party an auxiliary of the Republicans they did enormous harm to the Democrats and the country and indeed the planet. Why would any liberal support that?
Just my own view. I advise you only to vote as you think best.
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
If opposing Hillary on the basis of her record, character, and capacity for good judgment is "Hillary bashing," I'm guilty. I speak out now because I could never vote for Hillary for president. I believe that there are many other Democrats/progressives/independents who feel the same way.
If for Democrats, the ultimate good is noiminating Hillary, and winning the presidency is only secondary, then the "Hillary is inevitable" machine should push forward full speed. If securing the presidency with vision, substance, capacity for constructive change to end the status quo is the priority, however, agressive Hillary supporters might listen to her critics instead of calling them names.
August 11, 2007 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
To tell the truth, merely entertaining the thought that I have to listen to 16 more months of politician's elevator music is revolting. I heard some idiot Republican shout today that he's pro-growth. Is that in answer to some idiot Democrat shouting that he's pro-stunt?
The only positive thing going for this apparently established 'permanent campaign' for president is, if I were a television media magnate I'd be getting a lot richer.
The American people are sick to death of politicians, their stale rhetoric, their empty promises. We've got an Executive Branch full of them, a Congress full of them and we've put them there because we believed those promises.
And the bunch coming up? Yeah, right, they'll be different? I'll eat my car if it happens.
August 11, 2007 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand that if Hillary gets elected, she will receive only 71% of Bush's salary.
Will everyone in the West Wing claim that she screwed her way to the top?
August 11, 2007 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama not only uses his disarming charm very well, he goes farther by inviting folks into new perspectives. I have never witnessed a politician with the brain power/wisdom/thinking on his feetness of Obama. It is like he can take whatever appears to be an unfavorable climate, and before he's finished, he not only prevails in the traditional sense, he has quietly fostered the awakening of the ability to make finer distinctions in his audience. I suspect that he is/was a talented teacher of constitutional law.
August 11, 2007 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Insightful, but unsettling observations.
Beyond the media magnates, advertising companies, there is a huge industry of "stategists," "advisors," fundraisers and pollsters who also have a major vested interest in the "permanent" campaign.
Intensly partisan politicians not only populate the Executive Branch and Congress, but increasingly the judicial system and even the judiciary.
August 11, 2007 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
For people like us (registered members of an election blog) the heuristic of a "D" or "R" under someone's name should really be irrelevant. Politics, particularly presidential politics, should be about ideas and values. As a Democrat, I care more about a candidate's intelligence, integrity, honesty, and leadership than his (or her) soundbite party plugging ability.
August 11, 2007 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
So if I think Obama is too much of a centrist and Christian it would be okay with you guys if I vote for Nader even if the election is close in my state?
August 11, 2007 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check out on-line vote on the Iowa GOP site....
http://www.iowagop.net/
Sam Brownbeck 1.34%
John Cox .46%
Rudy Guliani 1.74%
Mike Huckabee 10.88%
Duncan Hunter 1.6%
John McCain .62%
Ron Paul 67.37%
Mitt Romney 11.36%
Tom Tancredo 1.46%
Fred Thompson 2.38%
Tommy Thompson .79%
August 11, 2007 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's not my preferred candidate, but that's not a fair question you're asking. Anyone can endorse anyone. If Charles Manson endorses whatever candidate I support it won't change my view of them...
August 11, 2007 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine with me if you vote for Nader, Giuliani, Mickey Mouse, King George, David Duke or even - Lord help us - Hillary Clinton.
Your vote, your conscience.
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
right, but within your argument is part of its' own answer: "...a black who has not lived with...legalized discrimination..." - there is no reason to believe that Obama hasn't faced the same level of discrimination that black Americans commonly experience. he addressed that at one point recently saying that as far as he could tell, when he was in New York City trying to catch a cab, he was pretty sure he must have looked black.
i like how he's addressing it seriously while using humor at the same time, its a smart move because it takes what could be dry social commentary and makes it more indelible, and it gives extra dimension to him as a person and a candidate.
in a way, wondering if someone is not "southern enough" is a kind of a parallel to what we're seeing here. it seems to mean something like "is this person white enough to win over voters who support the GOP for its' regressive policies and views with regard to civil rights and its' legislative track record during the civil rights movement?"
not sure about the distinction i'm a bout to make but here goes - I've never heard Thomas being referred to as "not black enough", I've really never heard that, although I wouldn't doubt anyone who says they have. what i've heard is that his views are "too white". some kind of grey area both in terms of what the difference is, and what Obama is talking about re: a black kid with a book or attending an Ivy League school...
August 11, 2007 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
you must immediately watch Obama's speech at the Democratic National Convention in 2004.
August 11, 2007 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
i agree with what you're saying, but only outside of politics! in the House and the Senate, numbers matter as much as anything, by definition. although the current Congress seems to be trying unnecessarily hard to disprove that notion...but in a way its a perfect example of the lesson. if Dems had a veto-proof majority, things would be very, very different right now.
August 11, 2007 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you're put off by his Christianity, well...by all means, vote for someone else. I don't see why (he's a staunch advocate of church/state separation), but as Terry said, your vote, your conscience.
That being said...centrist is not the first word that comes to mind when perusing Obama's legislative record...
August 11, 2007 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Democrats do have a veto proof majority.
No law can be passed without consent of the Democratic majority (including two independents in the Senate). Yet Bush was given a blank check to continue the occupation of Iraq and we have Alberto given authority the courts refused to.
It matters a great deal whether you elect a DINO or a D.
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sooooo sick and tired of African Americans and their overwheening self-obsession. "...Black enough...?" For what?
August 11, 2007 10:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Hillary machine supporters scare me a little, mainly because I believe they're using gender as the only criteria for selection. Excuse me? Isn't that the same kind of thinking women have complained about from men?
I have heard it said --in my own family... the discussion was in the car today -- that if Hillary is nominated, we would vote for her. That was the position.
After a great deal of discussion, we decided that an automatic vote for Hillary might not be the best choice. We're all sick of "he may be (or she may be) a SOB, but s/he's OUR SOB mentality. That's brought us a two party system of mediocre talent for a long time.
It could be argued that, from a very cold and calculating point of view, a Republican in the WH for another 4 years, especially someone that'd continue Bush's ideas, would pretty much destroy the GOP from federal to local levels for at least a generation, if not more. Might be worth it.
But I'm not looking forward to that. A Bush or a Clinton has been in the White House since 1980, after all. That was the year of the Lake Placid Olympics, for God's sake. My oldest was born that year! Is it really the argument here that Hillary deserves to continue this family dynastic story just because she's a woman? That there just couldn't be anyone else as good, that it's just a 'woman's time'? You mean the Democratic Party can't find another woman just as capable? That's a ridiculous argument.
She's unlikely to win in a general election. If the Democrats select her in this royalistic march of inevitability, we'll see the party steered onto the rocks again by the old farts who seem to be running everything these days.
August 11, 2007 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
My conscience about what? If it is just about everyone grooving to their own tune, that's cool, man -- why should it be a matter of conscience rather than simply of taste?
Why argue for one candidate over another, if it is simply about how pleasing their positions may be to a particular voter?
Votes have real world consequences: I should have added in my hypothetical that the race was close nationwide. I have seen elections decided by a single vote. So to make it more pointed, suppose I hold that single vote, I think Nader would make a much better President that Obama, and if I don't vote for Obama, Tancredo gets it.
Than what?
August 11, 2007 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re-electing ReThugs would not only destroy whatever remains of the GOP, it would destroy the United States as a democracy. So far the ReThug's ability to tilt and steal elections is not absolute: if they take Congress and mandate that only Diebold machines can be used it would be absolute. Tilting those machines by a few percentage points within the margin of error of the exit polls would be virtually undetectable.
(Breaking news: Diebold machine failed at the Iowa Caucus -- ROTFL and hoping this puts a spike in ReThug's affections for this plan.)
We have many good candidates and all of them are better than any of the ReThugs.
Hillary was judged unlikely to win election to the Senate in New York as well. If Democrats select her it will be because they
believe she will do a good job.
August 11, 2007 10:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your comment above "Hillary's new slogan "Why elect a man, when a girl can do the job?" hehe" says far more about your character than about hers.
August 11, 2007 10:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine with me if you vote for Nader, Giuliani, Mickey Mouse, King George, David Duke or even - Lord help us - Hillary Clinton.
You had me with you right up to the very end, Terry. But that last one -- say it ain't so!
August 11, 2007 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're right. I got carried away. Scratch Hillary. LOL!
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
AJM,
I am going to give you an at least semi-serious reply against my better judgment.
(You should understand I agree with Winston Churchill that Democracy is the worst of all governments except for all the others.)
I refuse to vote for someone I think will be really bad for the country unless I am reasonably sure they won't be elected.
We had just moved to Missouri and couldn't register to vote there. Missouri had a law that you could vote for president at the registrar's office in such a case but only for the president.
We were given a ballot with two choices: a crook (LBJ) and a fool (Goldwater). It wasn't quite as bad a choice as the governor's race in Louisiani when the voters got to choose between the Wizard (David Duke) and the Lizard (Edwin Edwards) but somewhat similar in my view. I was told I couldn't write in a name. Thought about casting a blank ballot. I ended up voting for the crook and thousands died in vain because of the vast ego of LBJ.
Maybe even more would have died under Goldwater too but I think the Tonkin Gulf Resolution (a con) would not have happened. I don't think Goldwater would have used "tactical" nuclear weapons but who knows really? What a gawdawful choice.
When faced with such gawdawful choices afterwards, I simply passed and will again.
Just my way.
You want to be responsible in any way for the needless deaths of thousands, have at it. I don't and won't to the best of my ability.
I was a soldier in Vietnam under
Eisenhower. I saw what was coming and could do nothing at all about it.
It was something like watching a terrible collision occurring over years with no ability whatever to do anything but watch.
Who could possibly want to relive such a nightmare?
Best, Terry
August 11, 2007 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have been a progressive activist for over thirty years. In that time period, I have worked with a lot of people with a lot of different points of view . For the most part I strive to be tolerant and respectful of other people with other points of view....
.... however, I must confess that my reaction to your posts and others of similar ilk is far less tolerant than the ideal to which I aspire. Frankly, your post pisses me off.
Obama has a 96% lifetime voter rating from the AFL-CIO.
Obama has an 84% voter rating from the ADA, the highest of any of the Senators (including Edwards) running for President.
Obama is the first national candidate with a community organizing background and a demonstrated commitment to bottom up social change.
Between his years as a community organizer and his eight years as a civil rights lawyer and State Senator Representing a primarily low-income minority district, Obama probably has more hands on experience working with and for poor people than any candidate I can think of at any time in our country's history.
These are the facts, and yet you have the gall to question whether Obama is even "enough of a Democrat."
IMHO, your question is insulting and disrespectful. One does not have to be a foaming at the mouth partisan to be fully committed to Democratic Party values. The premise behind your question and your attitude is flawed.
August 11, 2007 11:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm surprised that nobody is even considering the president's prerogative to nominate Supreme Court justices. We just cannot afford *another* Roberts or Alito or Scalia or Thomas. And it's highly unlikely that there'll be no new opening between '08 and 12; certainly, there will be one between '08 and 16.
Which is why, although I'm an ABC Dem (anybody but Clinton) I'll limit my self expression to the primaries. If the gets nominated... So be it; a half loaf is better than none.
August 12, 2007 12:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look at the history of major social change in this country. What does it tell us about the path to future change?
Passage of the 14th-16th Amendements came after the Civil War when the Repubs (then the progressive party) had large majorities in Congress.
The New Deal in the 30s when Dems had huge majorities.
The 60s Medicare, Medicaid and Civil Rights again the Dems had huge majorities.
What we need is a substantial Dem majority in order to pass significant progressive legislation. Obama is trying to build the Dem base while Edwards is trying to rally the existing Dem base and Hillary is trying the DLC corporatist path that BC took in the 90s.
Based on history, Obama's approach looks the most promising to me.
August 12, 2007 2:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
AJM, Hillary is the one who introduced the epithet of "girl" to describe herself. My comment was a joke, playing on that. For me,"hehe" means I'm not serious. Get a grip.
You are demonstrating the typical Hillary-us-or-them view of the world. If someone criticizes you, trash them. My character is not an issue in this election, thank goodness. Hillary's character is a major issue and vulnerability. Maybe you have some constructive advice for her?
August 12, 2007 4:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Libra, your point that the balance of the Supreme Court may well ride on this presidential election is major. It leads me to wonder, again, why the Democrats would risk that by nominating so polarizing a candidate as Hillary Clinton. Unlike you, I am active in the primary because I want a progressive president, but will not vote for Hillary if she is nominated. Too much baggage.
August 12, 2007 4:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
AJM, To be fair, Hillary had no substantial competition in either of her Senate elections. She was running against Hillary, and to her credit she pulled it off, with two of the most expensive, nationally-funded Senatorial campaigns in history. Her elections in New York certainly helped her improve her campaigning skills and keep Bill Clinton's machine employed.
Two questions about Hillary:
If she were male with similar credentials, would she even be a contender?
If she was a female senator with a similar "record" and not Bill Clinton's wife, would she be a serious candidate?
AJM said: "If Democrats select her it will be because they believe she will do a good job." My hunch is, if she is nominated, it will be because (1) she is a woman, and (2) many Democrats want Bill Clinton to have a third term. If elected, Hillary will be "George", and Bill will be "Cheney."
August 12, 2007 4:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
What sort of majority does George Bush have this very day as he undermines the Constitution and institutes a reign of terror with the approval of Congress?
What sort of majority did Harry Truman have when he integrated the Armed Forces and took the initial steps toward destroying Jim Crow?
Wasn't Eisenhower a Republican when he enforced Brown vs. Board of Education against the solid opposition of the Democratic segregationist South, a decision rendered by the court under the chief justice Eisenhower appointed?
Are you certain more rightwing Democrats in the mold of Joe Lieberman in Congress will be helpful to the cause?
While our aims seem to be very much the same, our reading of history could hardly be more different.
I offer you this oddity in support of a contrarian doctrine:
Populism draws its main support not among the coastal liberal elites in but rather from even deep red states of the South and Midwest. A wag has said the Berkeley radicals consider the Wisconsin Progressives communists.
I will make a concession to your point of view. Roosevelt came not from the liberal wing of the Democratic Party but the conservative side. Roosevelt promised to shrink government, cut expenditures and taxes and make it more efficient in the mold of Jimmy Carter, who initiated the rightward drift that has culminated in King George. Roosevelt offered the unemployed moral support and told them to stop being afraid. His first order of business was to save the bankers from their depositors.
Then things kinda got away from Roosevelt, maybe with a lot of nagging from Eleanor. Eleanor was not much of a support your man kind of gal, like Hillary. :-)
Take care, my friend. I prefer the populist but your "conservative" will do just fine.
Best, Terry
August 12, 2007 5:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Itsbenj, just to clarify: When I said "legalized discrimination" I was not thinking of "hailing a cab in NYC", but rather because of specific, once existent laws not being able to vote, or choose school/college, or order at a lunch counter, for example. All of these represent a part of the life/cultural experience of many U.S.-born African-Americans. Significant or not, these direct experiences, critics note, are not known to Obama or his family.
Also, you chose a negative, racial spin for the analogy to "not being Southern enough." It is an apt analogy, but not because of white vs. black, as you suggest. There is a deep, in many ways positive, cultural experience shared by many in the South of all races that includes distinctive history, aspects of language, music, food, and a bonding experinece in response to external hostility.
August 12, 2007 5:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your example from history is very telling. Republicans were the progressive party in the second half of the 19th century. Democrats WERE the progressive party in the 20th century. But in the 21st century, the Democratic party no longer offers ideas, courage or leadership, and a larger Congressional majority won't change that. Current Congressional incumbents only think about how to get re-elected: do the bidding of generous lobbyists behind the scenes, make noise and pad the Congressional Record, grab pork, but don't change the status quo. If you can turn out the tired and special-interest-owned leadership, then a new Demcoratic majority might recapature the values and capacity for change you are seeking.
August 12, 2007 5:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
AJM said, "I have seen elections decided by a single vote." Are you talking about major elections, or classroom president?
Would you give more details: specific elections, dates, locations. Thanks.
August 12, 2007 5:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Please, Merle, to honor this wonderful lady, spell her name right. It is Molly Ivins. I-V-I-N-S Thanks. [I miss her wonderful, wacky words, too]
August 12, 2007 7:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Terry,
As usual your responses are interesting and provocative. You know from our previous discussions that I think Obama is very committed to progressive change and that he simply has a different strategy for getting there than JE.
I have been urging the Dems to be more populist for most of the past 30 years, so in a way, my preference for Obama over JE is a bit of a personal flip-flop. If Obama had not gotten in this year, I would be supporting JE whole-heartedly and lapping up the populist rhetoric.
However, I think JE's struggles over the past six months have been illustrative of some basic truths:
1) The number of self-identified liberals in this country stands at about 20-25%. We are two few in number to win by simply mobilizing those who already agree with us. We have to reach out somewhere. I agree that attempting to bring home the white working class by stressing populist economic themes needs to be a big part of that outreach. Dems weakened their defense of the economic interests of the working class with their embrace of corporatist, free-trade policies. If we do a better job of advocating for the working classes economic interests perhaps they will be more inclined to forgive us for our social liberalism. On the other hand, Obama with his ability to talk about his faith and his commitment to stressing areas of agreement over areas of conflict is trying to package liberal values and policies in ways that are accessable and acceptable to many who are not self-identified as liberals. I think the jury is still out on which approach or combination of different approaches is going to be successful.
2) The corporate media in this country plays a significant "gatekeeping" function. They are inclined to protect the interests of their owners and advertisers by discounting the chances of anyone with the brass to challenge corporate intersts head-on. JE has gotten lousy press and I suspect it will only get worse. I view Obama's approach as highly subversive. He emphasizes the need to change the "political process" rather than directly emphasizing substantive policy changes that assault the interests of the rich and the corporations. Many here, and on the left in general, confuse Obama's emphasis on process as a lack of substance. I think this is a fundamental misreading of Obama's intentions.
The bottom line is that I believe the money chase, the poll numbers, the grass-roots energy, and the media coverage over the past few months have demonstrated that Obama's approach has more potential to achieve success than JE's more direct approach.
You prefer JE, but would be happy to see Obama. I prefer Obama, but would be happy to find that I am wrong and that JE can win the nomination.
Take Care.
August 12, 2007 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Kenneth Starr.
August 12, 2007 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
FYI:
SF Mayor Newsom Maintains 80 Percent Approval Rating After Sex And Alcohol Scandals.
See the story.
August 12, 2007 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me guess: Whitewater? Vince Foster?
August 12, 2007 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL! How about a male senator with one term (or less) under their belt? I can actually think of a couple of those whom some seem to regard as fairly serious contenders.
August 12, 2007 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Generally speaking, politicians have the same kind of admiral qualities, dismal failings, and general strengths and weaknesses as any other group of people -- probably because they are in fact, people. Just like doctors, most go into the field because they want to help people and believe they have a talent for it. Some do go into the field because they want to be admired, make a lot of money and drive a jaguar. I'll admit I'm a little relieved that none of my sisters married a politician, but I've thought about it long and hard and still haven't figured out a way you can have a democracy without them. People should really lighten up on politicians a little (while still watching them like a hawk).
As for the permanent campaign industry, I agree it's a problem that's getting bigger by the day but ask yourself this: If that's what it takes to get elected to public office then who's fault is that? The politicians? The consultants? Or do voters share in some of the blame? I'm not sure I know the answer either but I can tell you for sure. As long as it remains the case that the things people respond to most in choosing their elected representatives are sound bytes and TV ads, you're going to continue to have an entire industry of people making it their business to produce ever more and better sound bytes and TV ads.
August 12, 2007 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know where you're getting your information but Obama's lifetime voting record from the ADA (all two years of it) would be 97.5%, not 84. He voted their position on 19 out of 20 bills (95%) in 2006 and scored 100% in 2005, same as Hillary Clinton. Clinton also scored 95% in each of the previous four years of her term for an average of 96%. You can look this stuff up online at the ADA's web site.
You're right about the rest though. On the AFL-CIO score card, Obama's lifetime average was 96% as of 2006, compared to Clinton's 93%. Obama has missed four of the votes on their interim score card for 2007 so that may cost him a little this year even though he has actually voted against only one of their bills so far (same as Clinton who is 23/24 for the year).
As for Edwards -- I know no one asked but I'll tell you all anyway -- he missed a lot of votes while on the campaign trail in 2003 and 2004 but tended to vote the ADA and AFL-CIO's position when he was there. It's fairer to look at his scores for 1999-2002 when his ADA average was 85% and his AFL-CIO score averaged 94%.
Biden, whom no one also asked about averages 87% with the ADA and 88% for the AFL-CIO for 1996-2006. Dodd's average ADA score for that same period was 93% and his AFL-CIO average was 89%.
Anyway, all of the above good Democrats, as are the rest of the guys running, and anybody who tries to tell anyone otherwise is a troll.
August 12, 2007 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
party-of-one, if you don't vote for Hillary under any circumstances (ie if she's nominated), how's it going to help anything? It's *because* of her "baggage" -- some real, some manufactured and, possibly, blown out of proportion by the media -- that she would need every ounce of support in the general elections. After we've done all we could in the primaries to stop her from reaching that stage.
If she's nominated and you stay home and pout, all you're achieving is a Repub president for certain-sure, instead of a perhaps-maybe. With the certainty that the SCOTUS will be even more entrenched in ultra-conservative and pro-corporative attitude. How's that help the country?
Making sure that the Congress -- in both houses -- is as full of *real* Dems as possible is a partial solution. But, even then, they'd have an easier time pushing the progressive agenda through if they had to deal with a half-Dem than if they had to deal with a whole-Repub.
August 12, 2007 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Libra, I understand your commitment to support the Democratic nominee. I cannot make that commitment because I do not believe that moving all the Clintons' baggage, however it was acquired, back into the White House can in anyway be good for the nation. It will be a partisan war for four years, at a time the nation must have a unifier as president. So, I work hard now, in hopes that someone other than Hillary will be the nominee. If she is the nominee, and the republican is unacceptable, I will hope for a third party centrist.
August 12, 2007 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is one male Senator with less than a full term of experience. In my estimation, he has qualities and qualifications that combine to make him a far more promising and appealng presidential candidate than Hillary. I would note his broader life experience and perspective, brilliant intellect, vision, charisma, capacity to articulate ideas and clear policy initatives persausively, sound judgement and courage to oppose the Iraq War before began, capacity to bridge differences, and personal integrity.
August 12, 2007 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe we are seeing a change in the TV ad/sound bite culture with the rise of the internet and sites like youtube. At least it is an equalizer, not requiring mega millions and Madison Avenue execs to produce.
August 12, 2007 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's political instincts are probably better than Bill's although he has more charisma.
If she were not Bill Clinton's wife but instead had had a formalized position as a senior advisor -- a position she held de facto -- she would indeed be a serious candidate. Think of the Kennedy brothers.
If Democrats want Bill a third time and this is the only way they think they can get him, why not?
Both your claim that if she is nominated it will be because she is a woman and your claim that Bill will be the power behind the throne illustrate just how far this society has yet to come in dropping sexism.
It is not clear that being a woman is an advantage in this race.
August 12, 2007 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
"probably" equals not proven.
"position she held de facto" - prove it.
"why not?" Bill isn't running and it's certainly not an accomplishment for feminism that our first female president comes to us by virtue of marriage and nepotism.
August 13, 2007 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
So which 'Publican party unifier's baggage do you think would be a better deal for the country and less likely to lead to less partisan strife?
My personal criteria for Republicans is not the sanity of their opinions but rather whether they would conduct honest elections and so far I am unsatisfied.
August 14, 2007 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink