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Election Central Saturday Roundup

Romney Cites O'Hanlon and Pollack
The Des Moines Register reports that Mitt Romney told a small Iowa Republican gathering that it is too early to judge whether the surge has been a success, but also added, "I saw good news over the weekend," citing the writings of Michael O'Hanlon and Ken Pollack — long-time Iraq War advocates. "These are guys who have been critical of the handling of the war over the prior three years," Romney said. "They said the surge looks like it's working."

Poll: Most GOPers Still Don't Know Rudy Is Pro-Choice
An interesting number from yesterday's new Pew Poll: When Republicans and GOP-leaners are asked if they can name the Republican presidential candidate who is pro-choice, only 41% could correctly name Rudy Giuliani. Among self-described conservatives, the answer wasn't much better at a mere 47% correct.

Fletcher Gives Former Defense Counsel A State Appointment
Governor Ernie Fletcher (R-KY) has appointed Caroline Pitt Clark to the state's Public Service Commission. Clark's previous experience includes being a junior attorney on Fletcher's defense counsel in the state hiring scandals, where she did research and document drafting. Her father is Steve Pitt, who was one of the main defense lawyers for the scandal-plagued governor.

Beshear Defends Himself On The Ten Commandments
Meanwhile in Kentucky, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Steve Beshear defended himself for his 1981 opinion, when he was state attorney general, instructing schools to take down displays of the Ten Commandments. "It was my job to tell the school boards what the Supreme Court said. And I did. I followed the law," Beshear said. "And as governor I will follow the law. And wouldn't that be a refreshing change to have a governor that follows the law?"

Congressional Candidate Drops Out In New York, Setting Up Massa For A Rematch
Businessman David Nachbar has dropped out of the race in New York's 29th Congressional District, currently held by Republican Randy Kuhl. This seemingly leaves the Democratic nomination to Eric Massa, a former aide to General Wesley Clark, who has already declared his candidacy. Massa ran in 2006, losing to Kuhl by a 52%-48% margin.

Today Is Obama's Birthday
Barack Obama turns 46 today. The candidate is not idly celebrating, though — he's busy today at the YearlyKos convention. Congressional Quarterly has a of Obama's age and experience with other men who were elected or nominated for president since 1964.


39 Comments

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Re: Giuliani: Yeah, and there's no reason to think Republicans will become MORE aware of Rudy's pro-choice stand. The reason: they're stupid and uninformed, and don't care to GET informed. This was made clear (if it needed to be) from the extensive post-election poll in 2005 that showed Bush voters to be far more ignorant of their candidate's stands on issues than Kerry voters.

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What I'd like to know is what percentage of the public, particularly "self-identified conservatives," know that Rudy met and started "dating" his current wife while married to his previous one.

There's an article today in the NYT about Judi Giuliani and their relationship. I'm not a Moral Majority type by any means... but it astounded me that they were so matter-of-fact about how they began their adulterous relationship.

And needless to say, i doubt more than a couple percent knows the name "Cristyne Lategano." Or "Russell Harding." I guess "Bernie Kerik" is a little better known, but not much.

I think Giuliani's appeal to the Republican Base is pretty straightforward: he's a vicious prick who's willing to publicly Bring the Hate against Democrats. Since all that they agree on anymore is how much they hate us, he could get the nomination just on that grounds. But I'd still like to think that some of them would blanch at lining up behind a man whose personal and professional morality would turn many--I'd like to think most--liberal stomachs.

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Your characterization of 50 percent of the nation as "stupid", "uninformed" and "ignorant" doesn't exactly sound like enlightened discourse, either. Why sling terms that just fuel new rounds of no-win partisan warfare?

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Interesting, I didn't know that Obama is actually OLDER than Bill Clinton was at the same point in his career. Clinton was 46, if Obama is elected he will be 47.

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No way Rudy gets the nomination. No way in hell. I am pretty certain that other Republican candidates will start hammering at him on social issues pretty soon. That will piss him off, he'll insult someone or go on a rant and that'll be it. And if that is not enough, count on the other loonies to start circulating this. And by the way, this comes straight from the infamous Freep site, so there you go...
[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!

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"No-win" partisan warfare? Seems like the Republicans have been chalking up a lot of Ws in recent years for you to be declaring it a draw.

I call them stupid because they ARE stupid, and I've got facts to back it up, as in that post-election poll. What facts can you present to indicate they AREN'T generally ignorant and uninformed?

And 47% of Republicans isn't "half the nation" as you characterize it. It's half of a third. And besides, just because people are ignorant and uninformed doesn't make them bad people.

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Partisan warfare is no win because Congress is in virtual gridlock, too busy fighting, getting even and co-operating only to serve deep pocket special interests. They take no responsibility for realistically addressing health care, social security, Katrina recovery, environmental degradation, failing transportation and public works infrastructure, preditory lending, broken energy policy, broken education policy, broken farm policy, assault on the Constitution, the rule of law and international treaties, to name a few. Democrat or Republican, makes no difference.

The only hope of breaking the gridlock seems to rest in returning no incumbents of either party to Congress in the 2008 election, and finding a president with the capacity to inspire and lead more than 50 percent of the nation.

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Without comment:

Poll: 70% believe Saddam, 9-11 link
WASHINGTON (AP) — Nearly seven in 10 Americans believe it is likely that ousted Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein was personally involved in the Sept. 11 attacks, says a poll out almost two years after the terrorists' strike against this country.

Sixty-nine percent in a Washington Post poll published Saturday said they believe it is likely the Iraqi leader was personally involved in the attacks carried out by al-Qaeda. A majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents believe it's likely Saddam was involved.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2003-09-06-poll-iraq_x.htm

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Party-of-one's call for an end to partisan warfare, or almost any call for bipartisan cooperation just makes me shake my head. The Democrats have spent six years cooperating with the administration and Republicans in Congress. What have we got to show for it? Among other things: the occupation of Iraq, the Patriot Act, No Child Left Behind, the Big Pharma Medicare bill, Judge Roberts, Judge Alito....Cooperation implies compromise, and I don't think our country can take much more compromise with these economic and social extremists.

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Is that the effect of ignorance or a MSM and blogesphere being used to spin effective propoganda to people inclined to believe their leaders?

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The Democrats have been obstructionists too. They make noise and cave in, as with the latest Intelligence bill. What Democrats have absolutely failed to do is put forward reasonable, persuasive value-grounded alternatives that put the good of the nation before politics and corporate interests. They are complicit in all the bad legislation, doing nothing in a negotiated process to improve it. Republicans and Democrats have no trouble collaborating to fund each other's pork barrel projects or to slip lobbyist-favored legislation secretly into omnibus spending bills. The constant partisan warfare gives both sides an excuse for failing to govern.
We need a few real statesmen in Congress. History produced them. Why can't the future?

Poolman, are you saying there is no hope to change Washington? It's a very dismal and fatalistic outlook. I don't accept it. Peace.

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I blame the media.

If somebody reads the morning paper and watches the nightly news they should have some idea of what is going on.

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...and has more foreign policy experience right now than Clinton did on day 1 of his 1st term.

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Yep, reading Judith Martin in the New York Times leading up to the war, watching Fox News or seeing Dick Cheney unchallenged on Meet the Press gave people very accurate information.

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You know why 70% still believe that Iraq was involved in 9/11???? It's a coping strategy. They cannot come to terms with the fact that the Iraq war was all a big nothing (like Tony's mother would say). They can't wrap their heads around the fact they were deliberately lied to. It's hard to acknowledge you've been thoroughly fooled and bamboozled and that you went for it just like it was August 1914 all over again...

[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!

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actually, that 70% number is from 2003. last i heard it was about 40%


but still.

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It did sound a little high, indeed.

[CT]
One million page hits against Bush!!!

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Your reponse is just pure fantasy that plays into Republican hands. Decrying the "partisan warfare" in Congress, given the assault on democracy and the commonweal led by Republicans over the past 7 years, is ridiculous. It's been the right wing that's neglected all the issues you list, not the Democrats.

As for "returning no incumbents" being the "only hope", this just makes you sound like a fool. First of all, it's just a fantasy, not the "only hope." Second, there are plenty of capable, more or less honest people in Congress. Your fantasy of a Kumbaya Congress populated by new-age folks who just wish to get along shows a complete ignorance not only of what democratic representative government is, but of human nature.

People are normally fallible, self-interested, and short-sighted. They occasionally can rise above narrow interests when facing a common threat, or when trying to achieve common interests, and can compromise some goals in the interests of achieving others. The idea that "partisanship" is responsible for "gridlock" is just palaver, a glib excuse for not thinking. Partisanship is the essence of representative government. You vote for a Congressman in the hopes that he will be a partisan to your causes, whatever they may be. If he fails to support your causes in the interests of being "nonpartisan", you'd accuse him of selling out his constituents and his principles.

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Er, the security of 95% retention of incumbents is precisely why they realize they never have to compromise and are totally unaccountable to the public. Which, in turn, fosters corruption.

Of course politicians should be partisan, but the point of the conflict isn't some stupid game of chicken where whoever blinks first loses, the point is to eventually find the common ground between the two positions that can help build a large coalition. The partisanship currently in place is, well, somewhat broken. And most of that has to do with the power of incumbency.

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Thinking that the opposition is stupid is a potentially fatal act o' hubris.

Knee-jerk ideologues . . . Fascist fucks . . . Jack_holes . . . Yes.

Stupid . . . Inbred idiots . . . NASCAR nipple-dicks . . . Not necessarily.

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LongTom,

Your cynical pessimism leaves no room for constructive response. Rather than offer your solution or seek some point of agreement, you prefer to dismiss legitimate arguments as "ignorance", sling insults, mischaracterize and create strawmen to joust. There is no future, no progress, no hope in a nation divided in half, shouting from opposite corners and trying to destroy each other. You prefer the shouting. Good luck to you.

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I'm not pessimistic at all, and I'm not the one issuing simple-minded "solutions" like "get rid of all incumbents." It's you who are pessimistic. You think the only hope is to replace every current officeholder, a deeply cynical and pessimistic viewpoint, not to mention a hopeless task achieveable only by time's grim reaper.

You mischaracterize and generalize all current officeholders as corrupt and beyond redemption, the current system as hopelessly corrupt, your fellow citizens as hyenas braying at each other from opposite sides of the political spectrum.

My point is that reality is far more subtle than the cartoonish image of our government that you have fixed in your mind.

You don't have a legitimate argument, which is why you see no room for "constructive response." You just hold a negative stereotype of our democratic process and institutions as corrupt, and our public servants as extremist minions.

There are some of these, of course, and they're mostly Republicans. But while you sit and say "all incumbents out!", I bet I can give you a list of at least 150 out of 535 congresspeople whose biographies, political views, and legislative records even you would find acceptable.

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Well, mopper, I was responding to a poster who said that the "only hope" for our nation was to "return no incumbents", not to lower the 95% figure to, say, 75%.

And I don't think there are that many congressmen unwilling or incapable of compromising with their colleagues across the aisle. The Republican leadership (remmember DeLay?) has been particularly inflexible in recent years, but I disagree that it's due to the power of incumbency, which I'm not sure is greater now than it was, say, 50 years ago.

You say "Of course some politicians should be partisan", but party-of-one doesn't think so, and that's what I was responding to. Frankly, I'm tired of these one-note drum beaters who are "fed up with partisanship." It's just a ridiculous and unproductive position, if you could call it a position at all.

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People who vote Republican aren't the opposition, they're the people we're trying to get to change their minds. The opposition is the right wing oligarchy, a relatively tiny number of our fellow citizens.

The people they hoodwink into supporting them at the polls are mostly, well, stupid, because they're mostly voting against their own self-interests, don't know where the candidates they're voting for stand on most issues, and tend to vote (especially for president) on image and not on substance.

And I don't think it's hubris to call voters stupid, either theirs or ours. Assuming the stupidity of voters has been the key to Rove's past success as a campaign strategist.

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LongTom, you said: "I bet I can give you a list of at least 150 out of 535 congresspeople whose biographies, political views, and legislative records even you would find acceptable."

May well be true, but they are sheep. They have no courage. They have bought into a culture of antiquated rules, ineffective senority, pork barrel payoffs, peddling of influence, and corruption simply to keep their seats. Congress has become an employment and retirment plan, not a source of effective laws or governance. Districts have been gerrymanderd to be safe for incumbents, few are even challenged. That is not democracy.

I still say, kick 'em out and start again, the risk is worth the prospect for constructive change. The only defenders of the current rate of incumbancy are people with vested interests in an ineffectual status quo. For the first time in a generation, public opinion is showing unprecedented dissatisfaction not only with "Congress" but also with "my Congressman." If Congress won't change itself, voters can change it completely - one member at a time.

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Thank you for this thoughtful, sophisticated, and doable proposal. The Republicans under the tutelage of Unkle Karl will no doubt be eager to join you and strive for the removal of his kleptocracy as well. Primary voters in all parties will now rush to the polls to punish their parochial pork-providers. Gerrymanders will vanish like summer dew on a Carolina cobweb. Vested interests will desist from bolstering their hand-picked marionettes.

This is quite a visionary proposition, one that has never been put forth before. You can certainly count on me!

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Do you mean Judith Miller?

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"The people they hoodwink into supporting them at the polls are mostly, well, stupid"

How about ignorant and politically lazy?

Point: The idea that saddam was directly involved in 911 didn’t just pop in to peoples heads. Politically it was necessary for the bush admin.

Most Americans didn’t bother to dig deeper and find out what was really going on. It’s not all their fault. The media is supposed to help us. Not repeat admin talking points. The “liberal medias” lies were so thick most people couldn’t get to the truth if they had tried. But I'd say had the media done their job we might not be in Iraq.

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Indeed, I'd say the two biggest challenges to our democracy are:

1-the various rules that favor incumbents in Congress to the tune of 95% re-election rates

2-the failings of our media

It really boils down to that. Now, both those problems are incredibly complex, so I don't want to say that its "that simple", but those really are, IMO, the fundamental issues at play.

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Thanks for the eloquent sarcasm. I assure you I know the history of American politics, the ways of D.C. and am no pollyanna. I believe we need a grassroots movement to secure change in government. Targetting all incumbents is as good and practical a theme for that movement as any I have heard.

An alternative -- trust the Democrats, who will begin change soon -- was a great argument in 2006 that accomplished nothing but NOISE and inaction. Lack of veto proof majorities is not an excuse for drafting and passing no legislation. Make Bush use his veto every day and let the people see it happen. Force the Republicans into constant filibuster, and let their constituents see it happen. Do something that builds a record of ideas, proposals and legislation... and vetos, if necessary.

So my dilemma: continue to trust current incumbent, compliant Democrats, or look for new ones committed to change and willing to take bold action rather than work only to perpetually hold office. I have a cause, a quest, with Sancho Panza at my side (hehe). I will not yield to status-quo-mongers, Tankard, not even sarcastically eloquent ones. Peace.

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No no, I meant Miss Manners. Oops.

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You might want to mention this, party-of-one, from Slate's "Today's Papers" column:

The Senate approved the administration's changes to the terrorist surveillance program on Friday night, putting pressure on the House to act. The White House claimed the changes were needed after a secret court ruled that foreign communications routed through the United States could not be tapped without a court order. But the administration asked for a whole lot more than a simple fix to that problem.

The changes will give the attorney general broad authority to approve surveillance of all communications involving foreign suspects. Only if his procedures are deemed "clearly erroneous" could the special FISA court step in. Some wary Democrats put forward a separate proposal giving more power to the court, but it was defeated on Friday. It was all about politics, says the NYT and WP, and the Democrats didn't want to spend their summer vacation "fending off charges from Mr. Bush and Republicans that they left Americans exposed to terror threats." The good news for the Dems is that the changes will expire in six months, giving them half a year to grow a spine.

Awesome. Its not just about passing your agenda. Its also about being bowled over politically by the minority. The Dems cant even play obstructionist to the President's bill when they have the majority in both Houses and the President's approval rating is in the toilet.

Awesome.

story here with links to the newspaper coverage of th story

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Coincidence: Just last night I watched Peter O'Toole as the Knight of the Woesome Countenance and was moved again.

Having taken on some unbeatable foes of my own in this very Cafe, I applaud your attitude. Please fight the good fight. You'll lose, but "the world will be better for this."

But, shit, it was just so easy to mock I couldn't help myself.

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Stupidity and ignorance are revealed by behavior. Half the nation is by definition below average in intelligence and basic awareness. It's no stretch to assume that the good folks who gave us Bush, Cheney, and Fox News fit into that bottom half. In fact it would be stupid not to.

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I don't think it has anything to do with partisanship. The incumbent advantage is about access to money and about the totally broken American electoral system. "Representatives" are not beholden to the voters, but to those who bribe them with money and privilege. It would be fairly easy to break the power of the incumbency by real electoral reform, including a complete ban on advertising. But Americans like their little plutocratic setup so it's unlikey anything will change.

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I don't know if a complete ban on advertising is necessarily the way to go; rather, the rules that make it incredibly hard for a challenger to raise funds might be more appropriately tackled. And the primary system for selecting challengers. And gerry-mandering.

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Thirty years of restructuring the education system into a purely readin', righin' and rithmatic purveyor . . . Has left . . . That's not the correct word . . . righted a big portion of next coupla generations 'Mericans into potential jack-booted thugs.

Until critical thinking, art and social studies return . . . Everyone aligned with fascist plutocracy whether it is in the name of a deity, psuedo-values or the desire to inflict harm on folk a different race, creed, yada, yada . . . is the opposition. Not recognizing the opposition as opposition is as foolhardy as thinking that they are stupid.

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You know, term limits would accomplish what you're after, and that was a big right wing issue a few years back. I'm not sure what "rules favorong incumbents" you're talking about. Unless challengers are somehow legislatively favored, how are the natural advantages of incumbency going to be mitigated?

As for the failings of the media, they're bad, but they've been worse. Before the advent of radio and TV, newspapers were strident promoters of special interests and distorters of fact. Hearst started the Spanish-American war mainly as a circulation builder, just as the cable newsies loved Bush's invasion because war is such a ratings booster.

It wouldn't be too complicated to improve matters, but FCC and Congress are loathe to dictate content to media--little thing called freedom of the press--not to mention the enormous purse strings they've Still, some media trust-busting, equal time provisions and public service demands oughtta be useful.

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