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Election Central Sunday Roundup

Rove To GOP: You Lost 2006, Not Us
Bob Novak reports in his latest column that Karl Rove recently briefed a closed-door meeting of Republican House candidates, telling them to make it clear to voters that they were not involved with House corruption scandals such as Mark Foley and Duke Cunningham. Rove said corruption was the real reason for the GOP's losses last year. "In effect," Novak writes, "Rove was rebutting the complaint inside the party that George W. Bush is responsible for Republican miseries by invading Iraq."

Dems Looking At Rhode Island 2006 For Maine 2008 Strategy
Democrats are developing a strategy for knocking off Senator Susan Collins (R-ME): The idea is to use last year's successful toppling of Rhode Island GOP Senator Lincoln Chafee as a model for 2008's Senate race in Maine. The idea is to tie her as tightly as possible to President Bush, whose popularity in the New England region could scarcely be lower. But GOP sources dispute that such a strategy will work in Maine, which has tended to be much more favorable ground for the Republican even if it is Dem-leaning. "People, sort of from a distance, compare Rhode Island and Maine, but the only thing we really have in common is both root for the Red Sox," said Collins' chief of staff Steve Abbott.

Richardson: If Nominated, I Will Name A Shadow Cabinet
Bill Richardson told a New Hampshire crowd that if he is nominated, he will publicly name the members of his potential cabinet during the general election campaign. The practice of the opposition party naming a shadow cabinet is a mainstay of politics in parliamentary systems, with shadow secretaries actively involved in enunciating what the party's policies would be if they were put in charge of the government.

Vilsack Hits Obama On Hillary's Behalf
Tom Vilsack, who endorsed Hillary Clinton after dropping his own campaign for president, is joining the Hillary/Obama fight over whether to meet hostile foreign leaders and under what conditions. Notably, Vilsack is accusing Obama of some double-talk on this issue, noting some contrary comments Obama had made only one day before last week's debate. "I would hope the senator would clarify his comments as to whether or not he is for preconditions or not and would cease and desist from distorting the record and comments of Senator Clinton," Vilsack said.

NYT Looks At Hillary's College Letters
An old pen pal of Hillary Clinton from her college days has supplied the New York Times with all the letters she sent to him during those years, proving an in-depth look at Hillary as a human being. The letters in part detail her drift away from the Republican Party of her youth and her conversion to the Democrats. One line, discussing the existential crises that confront everybody at that age, might just be exploited by the right wingers: "Since Xmas vacation, I've gone through three and a half metamorphoses and am beginning to feel as though there is a smorgasbord of personalities spread before me."

Bush Administration Removes Partisan Attack From Weekly Address
CNN reports that the Bush Administration removed a section of the president's weekly radio address, attacking Democrats for delaying passage of a FISA reform law, after Democrats saw the early transcript. The full section, initially recorded by President Bush: "Every day that Congress puts off these reforms increases the danger to our nation." After Democrats complained, the White House ultimately decided to go back and edit out that section of audio, in an effort to improve relations and actually get the law passed.

NYT Looks At Trouble In Thompsonland
In an article published yesterday, the New York Times looks at the troubles in Fred Thompson's undeclared campaign, with fundraising reportedly be less than what they'd expected and prominent staffers resigning. The troubles seem to be coming from two sources: An overall lack of structure and uncertainty over when Thompson will officially declare, plus frustration that too much power has been given to Thompson's wife Jeri, herself a former political operative.

Union Leader Profiles A Passionate Paul Head
In a feature story published today, the New Hampshire Union Leader profiles Kelly Halldorson of Dover, a dedicated Ron Paul supporter and working-class libertarian with her own novel idea of how to spread the word about her candidate: Walking from Dover to Concord in one day — a distance of 38 miles — handing out Paul literature all the way. Whether she actually makes it the whole way, and whether or not she actually wins any votes for Paul, Halldorson will nevertheless get a great workout.


28 Comments

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Re: Rove's spin

Rove knows that any hope of the Administration regaining its political viability is over. All that remains is for him to attempt to affect the Bush legacy through revisionist distortion.

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Does Rove actually believe that even Republican loyalists will buy his strained distinction between Iraq and GOP corruption? Iraq is the crowning achievement of GOP corruption: the product of oil and defense industry special interests, lies, waste of funds, incompetence, cronyism, NeoCon indulgence. And the Iraq war will stand in history as the "glorious" centerpiece of the Bush legacy, enhanced every one of his remaining days in office by irrationality and arrogance. Karl may be spun out.

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Rove is a cheat. Cheaters win for a time but then they get kicked out of the game.

The'publican party will only regain their moral stature when they distance themselves from both the monetary corruption involved in Rove's Iraq and the political corruption he has imported into all branches of our government.

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obama campaign tries to communicate what preconditions mean to them.

Vietor said the difference is between the definition of "preparation and precondition. Precondition comes with stipulations, such as demands to sign treaties, he said.


I don't know about anyone else but I can think of a few preconditions that i might consider before meeting with the leaders of rogue nations. and they're not demands to sign treaties either.

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Stewieeeee, I hope you are aware that the number one rogue nation in the world, by a big margin, is our country, the USA. Other countries would be equally demanding of preconditions before meeting with a US president, or at least before meeting with Bush.

In case anyone is forgetting, diplomacy is a process where representatives of nations talk about their problems and differences, trying to seek solutions and middle grounds. When you take discussions off the table you are saying no to diplomacy. That isn't the way to world peace.

Hoppy in Sacramento

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"Such as" means "for example", right? He didn't limit "precondition" to signing treaties. The Bush administration sets preconditions with Iran, "such as" stopping the development of weapons-grade nuclear fuel. Obama said, he would be willing to meet without preconditions, but not without preparation. Makes alot of sense to me.

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Yeah. Leadership, Fred. From the NYT article (and this is coming from a guy who started a popular Fred Thompson website):

“This support should be nurtured, not pushed aside and asked to stand-by forever,” Mr. Harper said. “Enough with the ambiguities. Enough with those around you being more decisive than you are. Let’s hear it, Fred.”

Fred's going nowhere. He'll be back on Law & Order pretty soon.

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People are forgetting that Karl Rove has the Truth. Just like he had the math in '06. How quickly we all forget.

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I always thought John Kerry would have done much better in the last election (as in, won by an unassailable margin) if he had simply announced his cabinet picks in advance (Secretaries of State and Defense would have been enough). No matter what people thought of president Bush, it would have been nearly impossible to do worse than Bush's cabinet. It's implied in the process that you're voting for a team. Kerry would have won if he'd let us know in advance who his team was going to be.

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Very interesting point. A risk might be in alienating some swing voters concerned about a specific cabinet nominee. A strong advantage, as you suggest with State and Defense, would be advanced preparation time for policy change and transition in war time.

It would be an intriguing innovation, parrticularly in 2008, when the effects of the incompetence/corruption/cronyism of Bush's cabinet choices are so evident. The Kennedy cabinet was widely viewed, I believe, as some of the best and brightest of the day. Producing that quality of excitement before the election could really fuel a voter mandate for change.

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Of course, the flaw in the Kerry hypothetical is that it assumes he could have actually made a decision about his cabinet. His inability to make decisions was one of the many flaws of his candidacy. In fact, his ability to do much of anything in his Senate career was probably a leading indicator of his weakness as a candidate.

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If Rove is right about GOP corruption losing the election, the Dems need to get busy and uncover more of it.

Maybe if AG Gonzales goes, some of these stagnating corruption cases will move forward. I suspect that the Curt Weldon investigaton will yield some really juicy scandals.

Rep. C. W. Bill Young's daughter-in-law, Cynthia, is a partner in a lobbying firm, Grimes & Young, with Weldon "acquaintance", Cecelia Grimes. On the same day, both Grimes and Young contributed to Rep. Andrews as execs of defense contractor, Galaxy Scientific while they were "lobbyists".

Grimes, of course, is the blonde, attractive, fortyish Media PA real estate agent-turned-lobbyist who supposedly met Weldon when she coached one of his kids. Weldon then met Grimes again when she sold him his house im 2000 or so the story goes.

What never came out in the news was the fact that Grimes had been appointed to a three-year term on PA state commission in 1997.

Is it ethical to be both a lobbyist and a defense contractor exec when your father-in-law is the longest serving member of Congress? Let's ask Cynthia Young.

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Comment moved upthread. (I clicked the wrong link.)

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Kerry has accomplished next to nothing in his Senate career. Well sure, unless you count the investigations that uncovered the BCCI scandal, and Iran-Contra thing and Manuel Norriega's drug dealing ways. Then of course there was teaming up with John McCain and clearing the way for normalization of relations with Vietnam. Oh and coming within an ace of beating a sitting president during wartime -- one who was widely regarded as unbeatable and polling 10-20 points ahead of any hypothetical opponent when the primary season began. Those are all things.

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sure. i guess "such as" could mean there are other things.

but they haven't communicated any as such.

exactly. bush says "stop building nukes" and that's a precondition that prohibits talks.

what obama has yet to make clear is that a precondition like "tighten up border security" might make sense.

when he says "such as" it's clear to me the obama people simply can not imagine a precondition that would help establish good faith between two distrusting parties.

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Whatever happened to the FBI investigation of Arlen Specter's senior aide, Vicki Siegel Herson, in connection with $50 million in earmarks that benefited her lobbyists husband's clients? Paul Kiel wrote about it in the TPM MR once in October 2006 and then it seemed to drop off his radar

Vicki Siegel Herson is married to Michael Herson, the president and founder of American Defense International. an $8 million Washington DC lobbying firm which represents about fifty defense contractors including BAE Systems, L 3 Communications, Raytheon Missile Systems and Sweden's Saab.

Specter preposterously claimed that he didn't know Vicki Siegel Herson was married to a lobbyist who represented clients in Specter's district despite the fact that Michael Herson had been a member of the Reagan administration and had run unsuccessfully for Congress.

How about an update?

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"The Kennedy cabinet was widely viewed, I believe, as some of the best and brightest of the day."


And yet it produced some of the chief architects of the Vietnam War.

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"The Kennedy cabinet was widely viewed, I believe, as some of the best and brightest of the day."

And yet it produced some of the chief architects of the Vietnam War.

You meant to tell us that Robert McNamara and his "Best and Brightest" weren't? How horrid!

Like Bush they didn't need no stinking experts on Vietnamese culture. The old Joe McCarthy fan had the original neocons to tell them how to do things right.

Best, Terry

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I'm sure there is still corruption lurking, but Rove is just wrong here. People voted on the war. There is a reason there was such an uproar when Bush sacked Rummy so soon after the election. I'm not saying corruption didn't cost a few votes, but it didn't swing the 2006 election, one need only look at the approval numbers now that the GOP has put a stalemate on the war in Congress/the Executive to see that.

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...and this had something to do with the 2004 election? Do tell.

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Oh, dearie-dear. Still rewriting the English language, are we?

You know after reading that Miami Herald article the other day I'm more than willing to concede that what Obama said in the debate was not what he really meant. I'll bet if he had been out doing damage control the next morning instead of throwing tantrums and calling people names, it probably would have been a one-day story with pretty a negligible effect on the larger scheme of things.

But these endless, torturous contortions of logic and linguistics to try and make the case that what he said was not what he said, are downright painful to watch. I'm almost getting a stiff neck from watching people tying themselves up in such knots with it. The longer it goes on, the sillier and more peevish and volatile it makes him look. So you know Clinton's people are just going to keep on chumming for him as long as he keeps rising to the bait. Rolling out Vilsack even suggests a possible calculation that keeping this exchange going could help them in Iowa, where Edwards is the guy to beat.

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I'm more than willing to concede that what Obama said in the debate was not what he really meant.

Obama meant exactly what he said, dearie-dear, but you have to be a grown-up to understand the difference between "preconditions" and preparation I suppose.

BTW most people are showing they are all grown up. Polls show that most of those with an opinion support Obama.

The bubbleheads on TV are still trying to figure it out too. You may not be in the best company in your confusion.

Best, Terry

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I tend to think to think picking off Susan Collins in Maine would be a long shot at best. That 73% job approval rating of hers (the last anyone knew at least) is daunting. About the only major things in Allen's favor are the 22% support for the war in the state and the fact that Collins is marginally more conservative than Snowe. But you would have to lay an awful lot of blame for the Bush administration at her door to overcome her popularity. I guess it's probably too much to ask for the Club for Growth (or whatever their name was) to dump a bunch of money into a nasty and divisive primary challenge to soften her up a little, as they did with Chaffee.

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"Obama meant exactly what he said, dearie-dear, but you have to be a grown-up to understand the difference between "preconditions" and preparation I suppose."

LOL! Yeah. Or own a dictionary. (Duh.)

But thanks very much for illustrating my point so eloquently and precisely.

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The Open Secrets 2006 Electon Analysis agrees with Karl Rove:

"Officeholders tied to Washington scandals, however, lost in greater number Tuesday. In national exit polls, voters said corruption and ethics in government were extremely important factors in their vote, outranking (by a small margin) terrorism, the economy, Iraq and illegal immigration."

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saying "unsure" doesn't mean you don't have an opinion.

it just means the question isn't specific enough.

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I think it would have been a good idea for the Dems to have had a Shadow Cabinet in 2002-2006 generally, done in such a way that the Cabinet members are seen as party point persons on certain policy topics, but not specifically tied to Dem members of Congress or the 2004 Dem candidates and eventual nominee.

It would have been extremely useful for getting the Dem message out, at a time when the MSM was constantly just regurgitating the GOP and Bush/Cheney administration talking points, esp. on foreign policy.

If the nominee does have a Shadow Cabinet, the campaign will then have to spend a ton of time vetting each potential person, and any past misstep that person has made will be attributed to the candidate. It would be distracting.

The same thing goes with Democratic fetishization of detailed policy prescriptions. It's just unrealistic to make every candidate put out detailed plans on every topic. We all know the plans aren't going to be adopted as written, so it ends up providing fodder for the GOP to distort and use against the Dem nominee in the general election.

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Collins is extremely vulnerable. Rhode Island is certainly not Maine (RI is the most Democratic-leaning of the 50 states), but Collins is most certainly not Lincoln Chafee either.

Chafee was a moderate Republican, perhaps the only one left, with a voting record to back it up. Collins claims to be a moderate, but she has little actual evidence, and the unpopularity of Bush and the Iraq War are going to be devastating to her.

I've heard that polls already show popular Maine Rep. Tom Allen within striking distance. He's also pointing out that Collins is breaking her promise that she made in her original campaign for Senate in 1996 to only serve two terms.

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