Election Central Debate Roundup
• The first part of the debate transcript is available here, and the second part is here.
• This debate had many of the same sorts of questions we've seen in traditional, reporter-driven debates, and some of the same pre-rehearsed answers we're used to seeing from the candidates. The key difference, however, was that the questions from everyday people, submitted online, gave the questions a more genuine, human element, putting the candidates on the spot. Overall, it was a moderately successful experiment.
• A snap poll taken last night by SurveyUSA finds that Hillary Clinton won the debate with a solid 39%, followed by Barack Obama at 15% and Joe Biden with 14%. And as for who lost the debate, Mike Gravel leads the pack with 33%, followed by Chris Dodd's 12% and Dennis Kucinich at 11%.
• On the other hand, as Ben Smith notes, Obama won victories with focus groups at both CNN and Fox News.
• Hillary Clinton said to a soldier's mother that the Democrats have tried to convince Republicans to join them in bringing troops home from Iraq — but that it is the administration who are playing politics: "In fact, I asked the Pentagon a simple question: Have you prepared for withdrawing our troops? In response, I got a letter accusing me of being unpatriotic; that I shouldn't be asking questions."
• Barack Obama then gave backhanded praise to Hillary Clinton. "I think it's terrific that she's asking for plans from the Pentagon," he said, "and I think the Pentagon response was ridiculous." He then added, to applause, "But what I also know is that the time for us to ask how we were going to get out of Iraq was before we went in."
• Joe Biden chastised his competitors for opposing the recent Iraq funding bill, citing the vital new funds for body armor and other supplies contained in that bill: "How in good conscience can you vote not to send those vehicles over there as long as there's one single, solitary troop there?"
• Joe Biden also called out Bill Richardson for saying he would bring all the troops home in six months. "You cannot pull out of Iraq without the follow-on that's been projected here, unless you have a political solution" Biden said. "I'm the only one that's offered a political solution." And as Anderson Cooper tried to cut him off, Biden shouted to applause: "Tell the truth for a change."
• Barack Obama pledged to meet directly with the leaders of countries like Iran and Syria: "And the reason is this, that the notion that somehow not talking to countries is punishment to them — which has been the guiding diplomatic principle of this administration — is ridiculous."
• Hillary Clinton differed with Obama. "I will promise a very vigorous diplomatic effort because I think it is not that you promise a meeting at that high a level before you know what the intentions are," Hillary said. "I don't want to be used for propaganda purposes. I don't want to make a situation even worse"
• Asked by a minister how he could use his religious values to deny gay Americans the right to marry, John Edwards seemed to admit his error, saying "I think it is absolutely wrong, as president of the United States, for me to have used that faith basis as a basis for denying anybody their rights, and I will not do that when I'm president of the United States."
• After Anderson Cooper tried to cut off Chris Dodd for discussing Darfur when the subject was Iraq, Dodd responded forcefully: "Well, no, because Iraq is related to Darfur, Anderson, here. It's because we're bogged down there at $10 billion a month, we've lost our moral leadership in the world. No one listens to us when it comes to foreign policy. That has to change in this country. That's the difference here."
• When Dennis Kucinich discussed dissatisfaction with the Democratic Congress' performance on the war, he began to say, "And, Anderson, right, now if people want to send that message to Congress..." Sensing that Kucinich was about to plug something, Anderson Cooper cut him off and moved on to Chris Dodd. (In fact, Kucinich was promoting his campaign's "Text Peace" drive.)
• One questioner asked Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton to respond to accusations about their level of blackness and femininity, respectively. Clinton said "I trust the American people to make a decision that is not about me or my gender, or about Barack or his race or about Bill and his ethnicity, but about what is best for you and your family."
• Barack Obama gave a funny answer when asked about the talk that he's not authentically black: "You know, when I'm catching a cab in Manhattan — in the past, I think I've given my credentials."
• On that subject, John Edwards said: "But the first thing I want to say — and I want to speak for everybody, I believe, on this stage — anybody who's considering not voting for Senator Obama because he's black or for Senator Clinton because she's a woman, I don't want their vote. I don't want them voting for me."
• John Edwards also defended a recent statement by his wife that he was more aggressive on women's issues than Hillary Clinton. He cited his advocacy on poverty, as well as health care and the minimum wage, since "there are more women in poverty than men in poverty." Clinton praised Elizabeth Edwards and merely cited her own record in her defense, adding "But I think it is terrific. We're up here arguing about who's going to be better for women, because isn't that a nice change for everybody to hear."
• Dennis Kucinich was the only candidate to outright endorse gay marriage. Barack Obama said it was up to different religious denominations to sanction gay marriages if they choose to, with the government providing equal rights. Chris Dodd attacked the problem as a parent, saying he would want his two daughters to have equal rights should they be gay, endorsing civil unions but adding that marriage was for heterosexuals only. Bill Richardson said he would do what was "achievable" in the domain of gay rights – civil unions, allowing gays in the military, and nondiscrimination in insurance and housing.
• Dennis Kucinich was the only candidate to speak up when Anderson Cooper asked if any of the candidates endorsed reparations for slavery. "The Bible says we shall be and must be repairers of the breach," he said, "and a breach has occurred."
• Mike Gravel, channeling William Jennings Bryan, denounced the influence of bankers: "The Democratic Party used to stand for the ordinary working man. But the Clintons and the DLC sold out the Democratic Party to Wall Street. Look at where all the money is being raised right now, for Hillary, Obama and Edwards. It's the hedge funds, it's Wall Street bankers, it's the people who brought you what you have today ... It comes from the bankers on Wall Street and of course hedge funds, which is code for bankers on Wall Street. And they're lock, stock and barrel in their pocket."
• Joe Biden made a surprising move: Insulting a questioner. In response to a man referring to his prized assault rifle as "my baby," Biden responded, "I'll tell you what, if that is his baby, he needs help. I think he just made an admission against self-interest. I don't know that he is mentally qualified to own that gun. I'm being serious."
• The Chris Dodd campaign has again released a scoreboard keeping track of who got to talk the most:
















Git'em Joe! I love that guy.
July 24, 2007 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re Obama's comment: "But what I also know is that the time for us to ask how we were going to get out of Iraq was before we went in."
That is a prong of the Powell doctrine.
Unfortunately, Colin Powell disregarded his own paradigm.
July 24, 2007 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
I thought the debate was interesting and that giving real people the opportunity to ask questions was a good thing. I would, however, improve the debate overall by not allowing the frontrunners to dominate and by that I mean not allowing so many questions only directed at the top candidates.
CNN should not have allowed question after question that only called for responses from Hillary or Obama or both. The questions should be questions that all the candidates get to respond to at least theoretically and there should not be any "gotcha" kinds of questions allowed unless the gotcha is equally applicable to all.
There seemed to be a close correlation between candidates' standing in national polls and both the number of questions that were asked of them and thus, the amount of time they spoke. Now is the time during this process when we should be hearing more from those who are NOT ahead in the polls. Otherwise, the whole thing becomes even more of a fait accomplis than it already is given the compressed and frontloaded primary schedule, etc...
You can't fault the questioners really since their view is skewed mightily by the fact that very little news coverage is given to anyone running other than Obama and Clinton. Nonetheless, that is not reason enough to allow any debate to become just a part of the self-fulfilling prophecy of the media in terms of who will or should win the nomination. Personally, I think it helps to push the debate toward more substantive discussions if we hear more from Kucinich and the others who are already considered also rans by the media.
July 24, 2007 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just to step back a bit: we are seeking a president. That is a person who will have the power to use our awesome military for just about anything that appeals to him/her. It is a person who we will rely on to bring us back into the real world of people who don't all think as we do, who disagree with much that we hold dear, and who can do great harm to us. It is a person who will set the rules for how we address the many problems that have festered in our country for 7 years now.
How the H*** can a media event like last nights have any role in how we chose that president? How can any TV entertainment have any such role? Have we completely lost our senses?
The only way to judge these "pretenders to the throne" is to look at their accomplishments, their records in public office, their activities in the business world, how they have used their influence and wealth in the past, what has driven their past lives. How many times do we have to screw up by relying on the most trivial, mindless TV shows to pick who we want for president? I would think our current president would cause us to stop and rethink this question.
Surely we don't believe that these people can really change into something else just because they are running for president. We have people like Romney who flip flops from one side of an issue to another, all depending solely on what he believes will gain the most votes. Why do we think the other candidates are any different?
Hoppy in Sacramento
July 24, 2007 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think any candidate like Biden and Hillary who claimed it’ll take a year to get out of Iraq (Biden) or a month to redeploy each brigade (Hillary) did serious damage to him or herself. We now have what, 15, 20 brigades in Iraq? It took us 3-1/2 weeks to fight our way to Baghdad and it’s going to take a year or two to do what most Iraqis want us to do and get out? That’s just stupid, overly cautious, inside the beltway, serious person blather. Occupying Iraq isn’t the solution, it’s the problem.
July 24, 2007 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mike Gravel was the only to answer the question honestly about whether lives of soldiers in Iraq were lost in vain.
No serious candidate could tell the truth. If they could tell the truth, the war would end forthwith.
Best, Terry
July 24, 2007 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, but the mobilization and placement of those troops (and needless to say the discussion within the White House about going in) prior to them entering Iraq took much longer than 3 1/2 weeks. We tend to plan (if at all) for quick invasions and not for the aftermath, including the logistics of getting out.
I agree with you that the occupation itself is a big part of the problem in Iraq. But a mad dash for the exits isn't necesarily better over the short or midterm for the US solidiers who are dying there -- or for the Iraqis who are perishing in far greater numbers. US troops need to leave as quickly as is safe. I'm sure you and I can agree that it would be much better if, instead being exposed to ceaseless attacks, the troops were preparing for a safe, ordely exit right now.
As much as we want and need to leave, we also need to be honest about what is going to happen in Iraq, to average Iraqis, once we do. A haphazzard withdrawal can set all sorts of consequences in motion. Open, unlimited genocide in Iraq would be a terrible conclusion to an already disasterous invasion and occupation.
July 24, 2007 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's not just the speaking time in debates or media coverage that makes Obama and Hillary the front runners and Kucinich and Gravel the bottom feeders. Neither of the later even tries to run campaigns geared to win the nomination and both have positions they know are roadblocks to gaining support beyond a couple of percentage points. They're marginal players and seem to like it that way.
BTW there were 1600 questions submitted and CNN chose the winners. Some were good questions, but most seemed like they were chosen for entertainment value. Either way this was a CNN debate and they controlled the questions and format.
Speaking of format you'll notice how they put a little Youtube screen on the stage monitor complete with a grainy picture and scratchy sound for the questions. Don't want to encourage people to use the net to get their news and run their poltical ads instead of TV do they?
July 24, 2007 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just one point: This wasn't a debate. A mass interview perhaps. A moderated open mic. A speech-a-thon. But certainly NOT a debate. I guess it's easy to con otherwise intelligent people into accepting this hogwash as a substitute for a real debate if you get them involved in perpetrating the farce.
It's like 1984 all over again...
July 24, 2007 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Markg8:
What is your evidence that Biden and Clinton (or Joe and Hillary) are incorrect about their timelines? You mention the invasion as an indicator that rapid withdrawal is possible. Is that certainly the case? Historically, do troop pull-outs always mirror invasions from a timing perspective?
I am not insisting that you are incorrect, but I will say that neither of the Senators seems terribly uninformed on these issues. What are your qualifications, if you please?
Like most Americans, I too would like to see the war ended as soon as possible. However, "serious people," blather or no, are exactly what we need to make that happen. Winging it certainly hasn't worked out to terribly well for the past 6.5 years.
I think the field includes three or four serious candidates that would do a good job, incidentally.
July 24, 2007 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
By the way, for me, Joe Biden's response to the gun lunatic's question was the quote of the evening.
July 24, 2007 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, a year is a very good estimate. Look at a map. Look at the possible exit routes. Look at the amount of weaponry and the numbers of troops involved. We currently have millions of tons of equipment and 160,000 troops to redeploy. By what route would you have them leave? By what method? Should they hop on a bus? Do you suppose it would be a simple matter to fly them out in helicopters? Simply negotiating the escape routes could take months. We'd probably need to involve Turkey and the Kurds in the north. How many troops are you willing to lose along the way to snipers, IED attacks and suicide bombers? What's an acceptable rate of loss?
Leaving Iraq will be FAR more difficult than it was to terror-bomb our way in. A year is a good guess. At least. And any candidate who says we can get the troops out quickly isn't qualified to be president. We don't need another deluded, unrealistic nitwit in office, telling us fairy stories because that's what s/he thinks we want to hear.
July 24, 2007 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
I only saw the first hour and a half, but thought the debate was better than the preceding debates. But I don't think of it as much of an experiment. As another commenter pointed out, CNN ultimately chose the questions and there were enough submissions that they could pretty much find any question they wanted to ask among the entries. And CNN was a filter between the candidates and the people, just as all debate sponsors are. So the only real difference was the somewhat quirky videos and the fact that actual voters got to ask the questions instead of some overpaid talking head.
I came away liking most of the candidates more than I did before the debate. It's a really good field. The general election is the Democrats' to lose.
I found that I really like Joe Biden and don't understand why he gets such a media blackout. He's passionate, extremely well informed, and seems to be incredibly candid in his answers.
July 24, 2007 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your point is well taken, and I think even obvious.
But how do you do a "real" debate with 8 candidates?
July 24, 2007 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Those excuses ring hollow Evan.
Think it through, neither you, Brooks, Cheney, or I have any real idea what Iraqis will do when we leave. They may decide that killing each other is so much fun they'll do it on an even bigger scale than they're killing each other already.
Or they may decide that the major reason they're fighting each other, the occupation and destruction of their country by a foreign aggressor which they think is trying to subjugate them and steal their oil aided and abetted by the puppet government we've installed in the Green Zone has ended and instead celebrate their victory and independence.
The second scenario is more likely than the first.
But in any case no matter what might happen 160,000 US soldiers can't stop 25 million people from doing whatever they're gonna do anyway. Leaving 40 or 50,000 behind is even crazier.
As General Odom says it's gotten worse every year since we've been there. As General Petraeus himself wrote in the new US military counter insurgency manual last year we'd need at least 20 soldiers per 1000 civilians just to keep the peace let alone beat an insurgency.
George Bush knows all this. He fears Iraqis dancing in the streets of Baghdad celebrating their victory over Americans not genocide in Iraq. He knows it's inevitable and he'll do what ever he can to make sure it doesn't happen til after he leaves office so he can claim someone else lost his war. Handwringing about genocide just plays into his hands.
As for a timetable how can Hillary claim she's done a lot of research on this? She just started
trying to get the DOD to show their plans for redeployment out of Iraq.
We've rotated whole battalians in and out of Iraq for the last 4 and a half years in a matter of days. It doesn't take nearly as much planning to redeploy out of a country than it does to plan for an invasion. And nobody is calling for a mad dash for the border. But getting all American troops out - if you're not looking for excuses to stay - shouldn't take longer than a few months, 6 at the most.
July 24, 2007 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
How the H*** can a media event like last nights have any role in how we chose that president? How can any TV entertainment have any such role? Have we completely lost our senses?
To a certain extent, you're correct. But ever since the Kennedy-Nixon debates, television has been an essential part of politics. For better or worse...mostly worse, in the sense of getting beyond superficialities and debating the issues.
I think, though, that involving the YouTube crowd in this debate was an important step forward. We're moving beyond television, and hopefully getting closer to a point where the politicians speak directly to citizens, and not through the mediating effects of television journalism.
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
July 24, 2007 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Joe Biden is the only straight shooter in the bunch. That is why he's doing so poorly. Hillary probably doesn't disagree with him on much, but she's a bit smarter on how to word things and on pandering to the far left. Edwards stock rose a bit with me, but I don't think he makes the cut. Obama is better than Richardson at the "talk in generalities and don't actually say anything" game, but it's still the same game. Dodd has my respect...as a senator, not too many bold ideas there. Nothing changes in America, the far right is doing their level best to sink the Republican party, but the far left won't let them.
July 24, 2007 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
About the Survey USA poll, I think there are some things here that support the focus group conclusions about Obama winning.
Something I always check here is the spread between predictions for winning the election and who won the debate. If more people think someone will make the best president than won the debate, that might indicate an artificial inflation of their actual support. Conversely, doing better in the debate than with who would make the best president can indicate room for growth if the candidate can get his or her message heard.
There wasn't a lot of difference between the numbers for the second-tier candidates. The largest difference there was two percentage points. (Richardson and Gravel, in opposite directions.) Biden, Dodd and Kucinich were within one percentage point or even.
But the big three did show a shift. Clinton: 43% think she would make the best president, 39% thought she won the debate. Edwards: Thirteen percent think he would be the best president, ten percent thought he won the debate. Obama was the only one who did substantially better in the debate than he did in the best president poll. Only eleven percent think he would be the best president, but fifteen percent think he won the debate.
With the exception of an outlier performance by Joe Biden, Obama also had the largest swing in pre- and post-debate approval numbers, going from plus 24 to plus 41.
I'm reading this as another indication of a momentum shift from Clinton to Obama.
July 24, 2007 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
And CNN was a filter between the candidates and the people, just as all debate sponsors are. So the only real difference was the somewhat quirky videos and the fact that actual voters got to ask the questions instead of some overpaid talking head.
As I mentioned in another comment, I think there's more to what's going here on than just quirky videos.
While it's certainly not clear where things are headed, the idea of mixing the professional world of journalism with the amateur world of YouTube is, to me, a significant step forward. If people can feel somewhat closer to the political process, through posting YouTube videos or using Twitter or blogging, that's certainly a good thing.
It would have been better, of course, for CNN to be less involved in the process -- the most common complaint about this was CNN did not use the tools already in place on YouTube to allow the "top" video questions to come forward.
It's possible, for example, that one day YouTube could host this thing directly -- they really didn't need CNN, other than TV coverage.
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
July 24, 2007 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm getting a bit tired of hearing Barack Obama refer back to the vote to authorize the Iraq war EVERY time HE is asked HOW HE plans to get us OUT of there.
The fact is that since he entered the senate, almost every one of his votes pertaining to the Iraq war has matched Hillary Clinton's vote.
If Senator Obama has a feasible PLAN to get us out of Iraq, then he should tell us about it -- and not hide behind Hillary's war authorization vote to avoid dealing with the question
He has voted for almost every one of the bills authorizing funds for the war. Is not that a form of supporting the war? Yes, both he and Hillary did not vote for the latest war funding bill, but earlier on, they both did.
It's time for both Obama and TPM to get off the topic of Hillary's vote back then.
Let's hear about WHO has a REALISTIC suggestion for getting us out of there.
July 24, 2007 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
C'mon that's just Bush bullshit. We have convoy routes to Kuwait 300 miles away that are used every day. Do you think Iraqis are more likely to try and kill our soldiers if we announce we're leaving than they are now? What are you guys smoking? An orderly withdrawal shouldn't take more than 6 months at most.
Look at the damn polls. Iraqis overwhelmingly want us out. They say we make the security situation worse, not better. We're not protecting anything but the last shreds of George Bush's reputation by hanging around. Even Maliki said we can leave anytime we want. The American people want us out. Practically everybody but Dick Cheney and George Bush wants us out and you guys are making their excuses for them.
There's not gonna be a pony. There's not going to be a US ally in Iraq. There is going to be an ally of Iran in Iraq. Most of the Shia political leaders of the country spent most of their adult lives there. The second biggest business in Iraq is Shia religious tourism from Iran. George Bush has made America the enemy to most Iraqis by invading and wrecking their country. They may forgive us someday but first we have to stop trashing the place and get out.
Anything else is the fairy story. Get over it. It's not worth one more US or Iraqi life or limb trying to change it, especially not with the US military. Once again, occupying Iraq isn't the solution, it's the problem.
July 24, 2007 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
A very helpful observation.
July 24, 2007 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. I can't understand how we're supposed to believe that Clinton and Obama vote the same on everything, except for if Obama had been in the Senate at the time, on that one vote, he would have voted differently.
I don't get it.
What I also don't understand, in terms of getting off Clinton's back about the vote, is why she cannot just come out and say she made a mistake? It was the worst and most misguided vote she ever cast?
If she said that, and explained how she learned an important lesson about trusting the Executive Branch, who could have a problem with that?
July 24, 2007 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
With all respect, you're absolutely wrong. It takes about three months to rotate a division in Iraq, and that schedule is accelerated because a lot of the equipment is left for the incoming troops.
Just on the numbers, there are 150,000 uniformed troops and an equal number of non-Iraqi civilian contractors for US companies who would have to be moved out of the country if we leave. There would also be an unknown numbers of Iraqis who worked directly for the US and would have to move with us or face being killed as collaborators.
My educated estimate puts the total size of a full US withdrawal at 350,000 soldiers and civilians. To put those numbers in perspective, that would be 12,000 full jumbo jet flights out of the country. There is nowhere near that kind of spare capacity in the military or civilian air transport system. If the US could get its hands on 50 widebodies (very unlikely) and fly them 24/7 from Iraq to Kuwait, you would still be talking about a process that would take weeks to complete.
Getting people out overland is even more daunting. Even if you don't have to worry about insurgent attacks, it would take almost 9,000 day-long bus trips from Baghdad to Kuwait to get everyone out.
And this doesn't include one piece of the equipment we have in Iraq, which is measured in the millions of tons and cost billions of dollars. We either take it out with us, which will probably require more logistics than moving the people, or we abandon it.
And we will, in essence, be performing a retreat during this withdrawal and that adds an incredible amount of tactical complexity to the operation. We'll not only have to move everyone and everything, we'll have to provide protection at every step until we get it across the Kuwait border. This is going to be a real problem for overland evacuation because there is only one major road into Kuwait and it is firmly under the control of the Shiite militias.
All of this gets to something we on the left have not thought about. Any withdrawal or redeployment is going to cost a lot of money. The low estimates are in the single-digit billions of dollars. This means money will have to be appropriated for this operation, and the only way to make an appropriation is to pass it through Congress and have the President sign it, or have enough votes in Congress to override his veto.
There's no other way around it. Democrats can cut off the funding by refusing to write an authorization bill for operations in Iraq, but there is no way in hell we can pass the appropriation to get the troops out. If we cut off the funding like a lot of activists are demanding, it doesn't mean Bush has to bring them home. I personally do not trust that sociopath, if we give him that choice I think he would let them sit and run out of supplies, just to dump it on the Democrats. It's clear this administration doesn't care about the welfare of our soldiers, so we better not trust Bush to do what is in their best interest if we cut off funding.
July 24, 2007 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The idea that the prez can use the military for whatever he/she wants is exactly what's gone wrong in this country. The presidency is the executive, charged by the Constitution with carrying out the will of the people as expressed through a democratic (small "d") congress and overseen by the judiciary. It's a job like being Sheriff or CEO. The president is not a monarch.
July 24, 2007 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe its important that the public be reminded that both Edwards and Clinton voted to give Bush the authority to invade Iraq. Other Senators saw the same "evidence" and lack of planning, heard the Bush lies and, courageously, voted against Bush's War. I believe both Edwards and Clinton showed a monumental lack of sound judgment in that vote, one of the most important votes in American history. They were posturing. Edwards has at least been honest enough to call it a mistake. We need to be very careful in the next election. I don't believe either Clinton or Edwards has shown the kind of good judgment we need in a president.
There are no good options for getting us out of Iraq; all have uncertainties and major costs. That's why it's a quagmire -- "a difficult, precarious, entrapping position." Going forward, I don't want to follow the lead of anyone whose lack of judgment helped get us into this mess.
July 24, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm getting a bit tired of hearing Hillary Clinton refer back to 'her scars EVERY time SHE is asked WHAT HER Universal Health Care Plan is.
The fact is that every since her huge healthcare policy failure she has simply pandered to the insurance companies for all their lobby dollars. She is now the 2nd highest beneficiary of healthcare lobby dollars. She capitulated rather than stand up and fight for universal health care.
If Senator Clintor has a feasible PLAN for Universal Health Care she should tell us about it and not hide behind the Democrats are 'unified' to avoid dealing with the question.
Hillary has not once put forth a Universal Health Care plan all she does is talk about how the American people need to have the will for it will greedily taking lots of dollars from the pharmaceutical industry to not ever provide us with healthcare.
One thing is for sure no one will ever be able to say made promises she did not keep because she is not making any when it comes to the issue, she is simply hiding behind Barack and John's plans.
When it comes to the War she has no plan for that either. She once again is trying to hide behind words without deeds. Senator Clinton was not the one who pushed for timetables to withdraw. Barack was. Hillary kept repeating Bush's lines about not being able to set a date because of the potential for civil war, in the meantime Barack worked right along with Feingold to mold consensus for a date.
It is time for Hillary to acknowledge her lack of responsibility on the vote for the war, her lack of leadership to stand up and advocate change on the war policy rather than blaming Bush and it is time for her to come up with a plan for Universal Health care as well as produce a track record of experience other than being a spouse who traveled the world as her husband's helpmate and trying to project that as her representing the country. No she did not represent the country, she represented the president's wife, the President was elected to represent the USA and that is who the heads ofstate respected,not her. Just like the American public respected her husband as President not Hillary. Hillary polarizes Bill charms.
Let's hear about some actual deeds from Hillary instead of all this 'the Democrats are united' when she has failed to produce any plans and only Barack has deeds of merit.
I like hearing people focus on their good judgment and experience, Barack was right on the war and he needs to keep saying it so that folks do not get deceived into believing that Hillary is actually going to do anything. Because when it comes time to acting on principle and exercising good judgment Hillary doesn't.
The death of all those Americans is too REALISTC to forget. This was a dumb war and should never have been waged.
Hillary has poor judgment when it matters..she capitualated on health care and she trusted Bush. Barack needs to keep emphasizing that significant diffference especially since Hillary's poor judgment is costing people their lives whether it is due to lack of medical care or being blown up by IED's, Hillary's lack of judgment is responsible.
July 24, 2007 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know blog people generally know everything, but isn't the issue of the actual logistics and timing of a withdrawal from another nation, one that is in the middle of a civil war, simply an area of knowledge that actually requires from specific expertise?
I, for example, have no idea how long it will take to get out of Iraq. I wouldn't even know how to begin figuring it out.
I'm not at all saying us We The People sometimes don't have a better perspective on things -- often, we do. Even better than, perhaps, some of the troops who are fighting in Iraq (in terms of big picture, politics of home and abroad, etc.).
But how you come up with a figure -- 6 months, a year, etc -- for withdrawing, I don't see how you get that without some fairly specific knowledge of military affairs, and even then, the specifics of what's going on in Iraq.
Also, I'm not at all disagreeing we should get out, and get out today. The sooner we start the process, the sooner the Iraqis realize we're not there permanently, the sooner we stop being targets, and the sooner Americans stop dying.
Just how long it will take...not sure...
"Thank God George Bush is our president." -Rudy Giuliani
July 24, 2007 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very nice. I'd add to it that its somewhat absurd to ask for detailed withdrawal plans beyond, basically, what we're getting. What does that even mean, really? "We'll draw down three brigades in the first 2 months using 30 [big plane X] while moving another 2 brigades along out of Baghdad towards Anbar" or whatever, on and on...?
I mean, is the demand for "detailed withdrawal plans" even coherent? Do you want Hillary, Obama, or Edwards crafting those plans? Do we think anything even the best military minds could come up with right now would still be applicable in Jan 09 anyway? It just seems like a vacuous question, and then people get upset when they get a vacuous answer. "Gradual re-deployment while putting pressure on Iran and Syria" is the most anyone can offer. Or "complete withdrawal in [x time]." Or, "residual forces in permanent bases" or "residual forces but no permanent bases". Do some expect to learn which specific aide is going to get a job in the State Dept and what exactly they're going to say to some Iranian ambassador to "pressure" them?
I mean, c'mon. We've heard a million times where the candidates stand on this. They all want gradual troop draw-down, though their timelines are a little different. Some emphasize long term, "over the horizon" residual forces, others do not. Some are in favor of permanent bases, others are not. Some emphasize talking with regional powers, others do not. What else is there? And if you want a direct answer on any of those questions, ask it directly. "Candidates, yes or no question: permanent bases in Iraq?" Etc etc.
July 24, 2007 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because she doesn't regret it, as she's said before. She still thinks the Pres ought to have that authority, to set the agenda on national security, and basically thinks it was right to authorize him, and he was a total ass with what he did with that authorization.
She has an expansive view of executive authority...
July 24, 2007 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Clinton does have a bill in the senate to end our participation in the Iraq war. It is 'S 670 IS': "Iraq Troop Protection and Reduction Act of 2007" (introduced in the Senate February 16, 2007) -- http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c110:1:./temp/~c110phxEJV::
Why isn't Barack Obama cosponsoring this legislation?
In addition to capping troop levels, Senator Clinton's "Iraq Troop Protection and Reduction Act of 2007" would:
-- Require President Bush to begin removing the troops from Iraq within 90 days of passage, or Congress will revoke authorization for the war.
-- Put an end to the blank check to the Iraqi government and give them real benchmarks with real consequences if they fail to meet them.
-- Require the Secretary of Defense to certify that all troops sent to Iraq have the training and equipment they need.
There is a summary of the bill at: http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/z?d110:SN00670:@@@D&summ2=m&
- - - - -
On the issue of healthcare, here are some her plans to provide better healthcare: http://www.hillaryclinton.com/feature/healthcare/
And here are some of the efforts she has made on healthcare in the past: http://www.hillaryclinton.com/issues/healthcare/
July 24, 2007 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did Hillary decide to show her feminine side as a way to stand out with a loud foo-foo color because she could not distinguish herself on the issues? I have to give it to her she wins on the brightest eye catching color for the evening. I suppose this is how she represents herself as the frontrunner..the loudest color, rather than issues and fundraising dollars.
It was significant that Anderson Cooper said that the question they received the greatest number of videos about was Universal healthcare. Yet, Hillary had no answer for what she would do. Hillary has no plan for Universal healthcare!.
The last 2 debates she has not produced a plan and last night she once again claimed that the Democrats were 'united' on this issue, yet she did not provide a plan.
Is she suppose to simply be the cheerleader nominee now? Hillary cheers the field of male contenderss on with their plans and strategies since she can't play or run with the big boys on the issues. She is not a contender. Hillary stands out with the color she choses to wear and holding the center position on the stage, just like cheerleaders who are down front and center while the team carries the ball and wins the game.
Hillary is still blaming Bush and her new letterwriting campaign to the Chair of Armed Services is a fake play to draw attention away from her actually having to stand up and do something.
I've not ever liked cheerleaders since they think dresssing cute and making short staccato outbursts wins games because it draws the attention of the fans. I must admit that does work if the fan does not understand the game.
Hillary has poor judgment and it is showing loud and clear for all those willing to listen or just see it.
July 24, 2007 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary does not co-sponsor bills Barack leads. She is playing a political game. Just like the healthcare fiasco, if it is not her way...than no way. Hillary is 'in it to win it' and that means not working with the real contender for President. Hillary is outmatched politically and financial by Barack. She creates bills so as not to have to roll with his good judgment.
July 24, 2007 1:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have heard one military general after another explain that it is much more difficult to extract troops and equipment from an active battle zone than it is to get them into a war. Most generals put the time required for SAFELY exiting Iraq at at least one or two years.
Think of the extraction as something like an arrowhead -- much easier going in than coming out.
The problem is how to protect the last few thousand or hundred troops from being massacred when they are outnumbered and overwhelmed by the enemy.
July 24, 2007 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, indeed. Very true. Much worse than that though is that she trusted Bush. Exceptional poor judgment and while she acknowledges that really poor judgment she doesn't seem to get that it was even worse that she sent Americans to die without ever reading the NIE report. It is just bad judgment and worse judgement when it comes to her actions on the war.
When you couple her view of expansive executive authority with bad judgment it is horrifying, Bush is a tyrant and bully. Hillary's bad judgment will be due to her believing she is a benevolent bully and tyrant. She will do the same as she did with the Healthcare bill,create a byzantine complex structure (500 folks divided into 34 committees)and tell us she is working hard at solving it when it actuality she will be digging a ditch deeper and with more twists and detours than Dubya's dumb mind could. The end result will be the same...disaster.
We need to remember that Hillary is responsible for us being in Iraq due to her poor judgment not her intellect.
July 24, 2007 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Colin Powell did not disregard his own paradigm. He was overruled and outvoted by Cheney and Rumsfeld who hijacked the Presidency and NSA right from the start. Powell never had a chance.
July 24, 2007 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes and no. Kucinich has some very serious ideas and if he were given more than a blip of time those ideas might catch on whether or not he wins. Thus, allowing the nation to actually hear what he thinks instead of dismissing him as a loser out of hand makes some sense because his ideas and positions could change minds and therefore impact the election regardless of his ability or chance or effort to win. But more importantly, you also have people like Biden, Dodd, etc... who deserve to be heard. These folks are serious and powerful elected officials whose ideas can help shape the national debate as well as impact their chances for election.
I still think now is the time to open things up and consider them all instead of narrowing the focus so soon and so much that our choice among Democrats is no wider than the eventual choice between the two parties. Ideas count. They may not win elections, but the do influence them, but can only do so if people know what those ideas are.
July 24, 2007 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
That problem is identical whether you take one month or ten years to withdraw.
Best, Terry
July 24, 2007 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
In what way is Joe Biden an outlier?
July 24, 2007 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree BHD that the momentum is shifting to Obama. Clinton is a tough competitor and has loads of experience being on the national stage for politics. I think though that America is recognizing that her polished appearances have more to do with that than they do with her actually having any policies or issues that are heartfelt. I think people look to see what she has championed since coming on the National scene and they find nothing there. Whereas, Barack they are beginning to know and understand that he has been a grassroots organizer since he received his first degree. That speaks loudly of committment. It may very well be that her ability to appear 'statesman' like is going to wind up coming across as Washington Insider vs. Baracks new face for a new attitude in Washington ..he is not politics as usual.
I was also struck by the very strong support Obama received in the Luntz Fox focus groups. I wondered if this is Fox news trying to get back in the game when it comes to coverage as Barack a candidate. For Fox news that focus group coverage was balanced and not scripted talking points. Especially, the way Luntz kept bringing up the contrast between personality and issues.
Luntz emphasizing that it is emotional connections that win elections not the fine details of policys.
July 24, 2007 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It certainly takes more expertise than it takes to look in a cracked crystal ball and prognosticate the same talking points about genocide after we leave that the Bush Administration and the war supporters do. The Bush Administration which BTW has gotten virtually every single thing they've said about Iraq wrong.
It's a 300 mile drive to Kuwait. There is more than one highway. There's a couple of big runways at the Baghdad Airport. Load 'em up on transports and trucks, set up marines and special forces along the route for force protection and get the hell out. Halliburton has plenty of trucks we've paid for to supply 160,000 troops that can be used redeploy. Moving an army isn't rocket science and the US military is very good at it. The Iraqis are fighting us to get us out. Somebody explain to me the logic of them fighting us to get us to stay.
Abandon those big bases and the Vatican size embassy complex in the Green Zone, the Iraqis need the housing anyway and it's the least we can do.
Apologize for the mess, congratulate them on their freedom, and tell them we'd love to have diplomatic relations with them when things settle down. When it does we'll come back (if they'll have us) with an ambassador and staff and about 50 marines to protect the embassy gates like we do everywhere else.
It's a sovereign country with a democratically elected government. It's about time we started treating it like one.
July 24, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Powell had the option of resigning if he felt the administration's policies were headed in a direction he could not support. Instead he went to the United Nations and parroted their line about WMD, and never voiced his concerns until much, much later.
William Jennings Bryan resigned as secretary of state when he objected to Woodrow Wilson's military buildup. Bryan saw that Wilson was preparing to enter World War I, and his differences with that policy meant that resignation was the only honorable course. Powell should have paid heed to that example.
July 24, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't have a camera, but the burning question all presidential candidates need to answer is "How soon do you intend to restore the Constitution of the United States of America as the prevailing law of the land? Senators, do you think NOW is too soon?"
July 24, 2007 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
In a comment above, Poetry asked why Obama didn't cosponsor Hillary's bill entitled "Iraq Troop Protection and Reduction Act of 2007" which Hillary introduced on February 16th, 2007.
Poetry, you failed to note that Barack Obama had already introduced a much more substantial 'withdrawal' bill more than two weeks before Hillary's bill. On January 30th, 2007, Barack introduced legislation, entitled "Iraq War De-escalation Act of 2007 which comprehensively laid out plans for withdrawal of troops and timetables. His legislation constrasts a lot with Hillary's subsequent bill which only focused on capping troop levels at the January 1, 2007 level, called on Bush to begin to pull troops out [threatening a de-authorization bill], and withheld further support to the Maliki government, forcing the Iraqis to 'make progress'.
Now that you know that Barack introduced legislation ahead of Hillary, do you think Hillary should have co-sponsored his? Of the two bills, which do you think is the most rigorous in terms of protecting our troops and bringing them out of Iraq?
July 24, 2007 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not buying it. Where there's a will there's a way. The US military has plenty of airlift capacity that can be shifted temporarily. Even you say flying them all out (which I don't envision) is a process that would take weeks to complete. I'm not talking weeks, I'm talking 6 months max.
On top of that we're already contemplating renting big Russian airlifters. If we announced we've wised up and needed jumbo jets to exit Iraq half the world would be standing in line to offer up their national airlines starting with Brown in the UK.
Tell me again why the Shia in the south who want us out as badly as everybody else but the Kurds would stop us from exiting thru Kuwait. And in the unlikely event they did try to shut down the road what's to stop us from doing to them what we did to Saddam's army on the way in?
I don't expect we'll have to fight our way out of Iraq if we announce a withdrawal this year. But the longer we stay the more likely - not less likely - that scenario becomes.
July 24, 2007 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is sad that neither bill seems to be going very far. There are good things in both bills and, yes, I wish not only Hillary but many more senators had signed onto Obama's bill. I also wish Obama and additional senators had signed onto Senator Clinton's bill.
(I am not a Hillary supporter; I have not decided on a candidate. I am just very pleased that we have such a good group of candidates, and it pains me when they waste their time bashing one another when the point is to DISHEARTEN the Republicans, not the Progressives, leftists and Democrats.)
The FACT is that NO bills extricating us from Iraq will go anywhere unless and until a large number of Republican senators decide to cut the cord from Bush and do the right thing.
But, please bear in mind the Democrats have only 49 somewhat reliable votes in a senate where it takes 51 votes to pass anything, 60 votes to even have a vote on anything the Republicans don't want a vote on, and 67 votes to override a veto by Bush. Democratic senator Tim Johnson is still out on sick leave and not voting, so this puts the senate Democrats one more vote down from the number they need to push any legislation through.
The Democrats may have a majority in the senate, with the help of the two Independents who caucus with the Democrats, but since one of those Independents is Joe Lieberman, the Democrats do not have much power in the senate.
July 24, 2007 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. Well said.
July 24, 2007 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I too agree that Powell had the option of resigning. I don't think a lack of resigning means there was a fundamental shift in his philosophy though.
July 24, 2007 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Hillary should have co-sponsored but she lacks the strength of character to stand with Barack to do what is best for the country.
Donna were their others who did sign on to support Baracks bill.
July 24, 2007 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink