« July 15, 2007 - July 21, 2007 | Election Central Home | July 29, 2007 - August 4, 2007 »

July 22, 2007 - July 28, 2007

Election Central Saturday Roundup

Rudy And Romney Pull Out Of Debate — But Organizers Aren't Giving Up
Rudy Giuliani's and Mitt Romney's campaigns have both confirmed they will not be participating in the CNN/YouTube debate scheduled for September 17, citing scheduling conflicts. However, CNN says it is determined to work with the campaigns and set a new date if necessary. Yesterday, Greg Sargent and I wondered if there might be another reason for Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney to be avoiding YouTube.

Poll: Plurality Agree With Obama On Meeting Foreign Leaders
A new Rasmussen poll finds that more Americans agree than disagree with Barack Obama's proposal on meeting with leaders of hostile foreign countries without setting preconditions. The poll shows 42% agreeing such meetings should take place within the first year of the next president's term, versus only 34% who disagree, with the remainder undecided.

Activists: Fred Thompson Dodging Campaign Laws
The Boston Globe reports that Fred Thompson's campaign is coming under the scrutiny of campaign reform advocates, who complain that he is using his "testing the water" committee as a massive loophole to raise large donations without having to report on the sources of the money. "This is supposed to be a grace period by the [Federal Election Commission] to explore a candidacy, and it certainly appears he has gone beyond that," said Common Cause spokeswoman Mary Boyle. Meanwhile, Thompson spokeswoman Linda Rozett told the Globe that Thompson's comment to Sean Hannity on July 10, that his decision had been made, was "in jest."

Washington Post Looks At New Generation Of Black Politicians
In a new article today, the Washington Post looks at Barack Obama's candidacy — the first such campaign by a black candidate that is widely seen as having a realistic shot of winning — in the context of a newer generation of black politicians who came of age after the civil rights struggles of the 1960's and 70's. This new group of politicians have their political base in the black community, to be sure, but have also demonstrated an ability to move outside that demographic and appeal to white voters, as well.

Hillary Makes Pitch To Minority Audience At The Urban League
During her speech yesterday at the National Urban League — a naturally good audience for Barack Obama — Hillary Clinton discussed her commitment to jobs, education and healthcare for younger African-Americans and Hispanics. "It is time for America to begin a conversation about 1.4 million future workers, entrepreneurs, taxpayers, community leaders, business executives," Hillary said to applause, referring to the number of black and Latino males ages 16-24. "A conversation about 1.4 million husbands and fathers and role models."

Edwards: Hillary/Obama Spat Over Foreign Leaders A Distraction From Real Issues
During his own speech yesterday before the National Urban League, John Edwards denounced the current fight between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton over what conditions should be met before meeting with hostile foreign leaders, calling it a distraction from issues of poverty and other domestic concerns. "We've had two good people — Democratic candidates for president — who spent their time attacking each other instead of attacking the problems that this country is facing," Edwards said. The Associated Press says the remark was met by "a mixture of groans and applause."

McCain Bringing Out New Book — With Very Familiar Themes
John McCain has a new book coming out, Hard Call: Great Decisions and the Extraordinary People Who Made Them. The book explores the bold decisions made by various figures ranging from statesmen like Abraham Lincoln and Winston Churchill, to sports figures such as Branch Rickey and Gertrude Ederle. Quite frankly, this seems an awful lot like John F. Kennedy's own ghost-written classic, Profiles In Courage.

Hillary Clinton Jokes About Hair
Speaking to the National Beauty Culturists' League Convention last night, Hillary joked about her experience in the public eye, and her many changing fashion decisions over the years. "Now, you know, when you get to be my age, there are three things you know you have to have — good friends, a good sense of humor and a good hair stylist," Hillary said. "If there’s ever been anyone who exemplifies the need for help on many occasions when it comes to hair, I am that person. I am really here, in part, to say thank you for dedicating your life to helping take care of people like me." The New York Times treats this as a funny story, but one has to wonder how the media would treat it if John Edwards — who has been pilloried for his expensive haircuts — had made the same jokes.

Happy Hour Roundup

Obama One Day Before The Debate: Would Only Meet With Chavez "Under Certain Conditions"
In an interview with the Miami Herald one day before the debate that sparked the dustup between Barack Obama and Hillary, Obama said that he would only meet with Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez "under certain conditions." Obama's comments, which have thus far passed unnoticed, are potentially significant.

That's because ever since Hillary began criticizing him for saying he would meet with leaders of rogue nations during his first year without preconditions, Obama has been hammering her as representing a "Bush-Cheney lite" worldview and presenting himself as the race's real change agent. The Herald columnist who conducted the interview, Andres Oppenheimer, concludes Obama "would have done much better" if he'd stuck to the caveat he'd added in the interview a day earlier.

Edwards Alleges Corporate Conspiracy To Silence Him
Ben Smith notes that John Edwards' campaign is propagating a video in which Edwards, at a town hall in Iowa, contends that the media are conspiring to keep him and his focus on poverty out of the headlines. "Nobody in this room should think this is an accident. You know, I'm out there speaking up for universal healthcare, ending this war in Iraq, speaking up for the poor. They want to shut me up. That's what this is about. 'Let's distract from people who don't have health care coverage. Let's distract from people who can't feed their children ... Let's talk about this silly frivolous nothing stuff so that America won't pay attention.'"

Do Polls Back Up Hillary Campaign's Contention About 2002 War Authorization? No.
Mark Blumenthal deconstructs a claim by Hillary Clinton advisor Howard Wolfson. Appearing on Hardball yesterday, Wolfson alleged that many Americans shared Hillary's professed belief that President Bush would take the Iraq authorization and use it as diplomatic leverage, exhausting the alternatives before going to war. In fact, Blumenthal says, polling in November 2002 showed that 58% of Americans believed the president had already made the firm decision to invade Iraq.

Fox News Reporter Joining Fred Thompson Campaign
Fox News Congressional producer Jim Mills will be leaving the channel and joining Fred Thompson's campaign. Between Tony Snow becoming White House press secretary and now this, we have to wonder if Fox News is in fact a farm team for Republican presidents and candidates' press flacks.

Obama: When I'm President, "The Country Looks At Itself Differently"
Barack Obama, speaking at the National Urban League conference this morning, appealed to the black organization's members by overtly bringing up the subject of his race and the significance of his candidacy, something he's generally refrained from doing in the past. "The day I'm inaugurated, the country looks at itself differently, and don't underestimate that power, don't underestimate that transformation," Obama said. "When the state of Black America comes out, I want it to say the state of Black America is strong. In order for that to happen, we've got to to form that base."

Biden Invites Giuliani To Debate, Says He Is "Absurd," "Doesn't Get It"
Joe Biden has struck back at Rudy Giuliani's "party of losers" comment with a statement deploring Republican efforts on the war on terror and in Iraq. "Tough talk and cheap shots won't make America any safer.... It is absurd for Rudy Giuliani to call Democrats ‘losers' after five years of failed Republican policies in Iraq.... Giuliani and the rest of the Republican candidates continue to cling to this Administration's failed policy that a strong central government can be propped up in Iraq. If these are the positions he wants to defend, I invite him to debate me on these important topics."

Stumbo Will Test Fundraising In Run Against McConnell
Kentucky Attorney General Greg Stumbo tells the Lexington Herald-Leader that he will judge the success of his exploratory committee's fundraising before deciding to officially enter the race against Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY). Stumbo said he is looking for $100,000 in small donations and expects that 60 percent of the money will have to come from outside Kentucky for a successful bid, which also may be complicated by a paternity suit that has been a black mark on his political career. "We'll know more at the end of this whether Sen. McConnell's really vulnerable or not," Stumbo said, "and we'll know what kind of person can beat him — whether it's me or somebody else."

Brownback Supporter: Pray For Success In Ames
One Brownback supporter, self-proclaimed "prayer coordinator" Lonnie Berger, has a strategy of his own for helping the candidate in the Ames straw poll: USA Today reports he's sent out an e-mail asking supporters, "Pray that God would supernaturally activate the Christians in Iowa to pray and go to the straw poll to vote for Sam." The Brownback campaign has disavowed any connection to this man's activities. But while Brownback may be in the lower tier, nobody can credibly claim that he doesn't have a prayer.

Romney Demonstrates Campaign Values With An Actual Three-Legged Stool
Mitt Romney is keeping his stump speech nice and simple, real simple. In fact, Romney has taken to unscrewing one leg of a "conservative three-legged stool" – representing "strong military, strong economy and strong families" – and watching it fall to the floor. "Now there are some who say, strong family values, you better put that aside, to win the election," he said this morning. "But if you take off one of the legs of that stool, like I just did, something happens. The stool falls down. That's not the answer. The answer for our party and for our country is to continue to fight for all three legs of that stool."


Hillary Raising Bucks Off Of Obama's "Bush-Cheney Lite" Attack

Hillary's now raising money off of Obama's comparison of her to "Bush-Cheney lite." From her latest fundraising email, sent out by campaign manager Patty Solis Doyle:

Dear Friend,

Last week, one of the leading Republican candidates equated Hillary with Karl Marx. Yesterday, one of the leading Democratic candidates called her "Bush-Cheney lite."

Can you imagine?? Hillary like George Bush??!! Or Dick Cheney!!...

Why is Hillary the target of attacks like this? Because, like you, her opponents know Hillary is the candidate with the strength and experience to make change happen.

Thus associating Obama's attack with the rich litany of attacks from the right she's endured over the years -- a history that of course resonates for Dem primary voters.

At this point, it's unclear to me whether Camp Hillary thinks that this is a winner for them. They want to take the bloom off of Obama's high-mindedness, but it's unclear whether this is worth drawing attention to the fact that Obama's delivering the message that he, not she, is the race's genuine change agent. Note that there's no mention of Obama here, so the email is just capitalizing off the fact that Hillary's being attacked, with no mention of the attacker.

Update: I should add that I don't have any particular indication that the Hillary camp is worried about how this is playing out.

Report: Fletcher Administration Deliberately Blocked Liberal Site

For years now, Governor Ernie Fletcher's (R-KY) detractors have suspected that his administration blocked state computers' access to a well-known liberal Kentucky blog called BluegrassReport.org, a longtime foe of an administration that has become something of a TPMmuckraker All-Star.

Fletcher's people have long denied this charge, saying that they were simply blocking access to all sorts of sites, from blogs to ESPN.com, in order to stop state employees from wasting time.

But now, for the first time, the charge has been corroborated by testimony in a sworn affidavit associated with a Federal lawsuit.

National Journal reports that former state technology commissioner Michael Inman has testified in an affidavit that BluegrassReport.org was always the real target of the adminstration's blog crackdown, and the state's current chief information officer Mark Rutledge even bragged about it.

Read more »


Why Is Rudy Skipping Debate? His YouTube Greatest Hits May Explain All!

So why is Rudy skipping the YouTube debate?


A rival campaign has sent Election Central a collection of Rudy Giuliani's greatest YouTube hits. The idea is to show that the real reason Rudy is threatening to bail on the YouTube debate is because there's too much video ammo from his past that could be used against him by citizens asking tough questions.


As noted below, the rival campaign earlier today sent us a bunch of YouTubes of Mitt Romney in order to make the same argument.


Now the rival campaign has done the same thing again, this time for Rudy. The only Republicans who have agreed to participate in the debate so far are John McCain and Ron Paul.


The YouTubes being circulated of Rudy detail Rudy's pro-Roe v. Wade stance, his positions in favor of gun control, campaign-finance reform, gun control, gays in the military, etc. At one point he even jokingly says he'd like to win the Democratic ballot line in New York's fusion system!


Videos after the jump. Enjoy.

Read more »

Why Might Romney Skip Debate? His YouTube Greatest Hits May Explain All!

So why is Mitt Romney really threatening to skip the YouTube debate?


A rival campaign thinks it's got the answer, and it has sent Election Central a whole bunch of YouTubes of Romney's greatest moments to prove it.


The YouTubes the rival campaign sent us -- which we've got for you after the jump -- provide a fusillade of evidence of Romney's assorted flip-flops, ideological contortions and excursions into social liberalism. It would be simple for any knowledgeable YouTube user to take just one of these moments, edit out a small excerpt, and use it in a question within the YouTube debate format, in order to confront Romney.


Only John McCain and Ron Paul have agreed to attend.


In the Romney videos, you can watch Romney...Pledge not to impose his moral beliefs on others. Praise his mother's 1970 Senate campaign in Michigan as a pro-choice candidate. Discuss the experience of an in-law who died from a botched illegal abortion. Say the Boy Scouts of America ought to allow gays to participate. Completely distance himself from Ronald Reagan. And much, much more!


All the vids are after the jump. Enjoy!

Read more »

Another Man Overboard! Dole Says He's Likely To Ditch McCain

Still more awful news for John McCain: Now one of his highest-profile supporters is publicly musing about ditching him -- and joining rival Fred Thompson, who hasn't even declared his candidacy yet. From Bloomberg News:

Bob Dole says his preferred presidential candidate, Arizona Senator John McCain, is fading and that his support is likely to be "picked up" by Fred Thompson, who is expected to announce his candidacy for the Republican nomination in September.

"My heart has always been with my good friend John McCain," said Dole, former Senate majority leader and Republican presidential nominee. "But it's just not happening, the buzz is gone."

Ouch. Dole's interview comes as McCain lost yet another senior staff member today -- media consultant Fred Davis, who departed with this pithy explanation: "When there's not much media, there's not much need for media people."

Dem Polling Firm: Younger Voters Set To Realign American Politics

Are younger voters alienated by the current crop of conservative leaders driving a massive realignment of the country towards the Democrats?

That's the clear conclusion of a new study of younger voters by Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.

"Partisanship and political participation are both habit-forming and this population has the numeric strength to change American politics for the next 20 to 30 years once fully engaged," the authors argue. "Given the Republican brand crisis among younger voters, progressives are very close to locking down this vote."

The poll finds some strong shifts towards liberal positions among voters ages 18-31 that really are worth a look — check them out after the jump.

Read more »

Quote Of The Day

"Mitt's all about more, more, more for the people who already have the most -- and that's just wrong. Mitt Romney shouldn't pay lower taxes on the money he makes from his money than middle-class families pay on the money they make from hard work. Neither should I."

-- John Edwards, in a statement just released by his campaign hammering Mitt Romney for ridiculing Edwards' plan to cut taxes for working and middle-class Americans. Instead, Romney wants to make Bush's tax cuts permanent and do away with the estate tax.

Edwards' full response to Romney after the jump.

Read more »

Poll: "Undecided" Running Strong In Florida

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Florida shows "Undecided" is running strong in both parties, leading the GOP field with a strong plurality and statistically tying Hillary Clinton for the lead on the Democratic side:

Republicans
Undecided 34%
Giuliani 21%
F. Thompson 18%
McCain 11%
Romney 7%

Democrats
Clinton 31%
Undecided 30%
Obama 17%
Edwards 12%


The numbers provide yet more evidence of just how wide open the primaries on both sides are right now. In this crucial state, Rudy Giuliani is apparently holding on to the slimmest of leads, and even a small movement from the undecided could change things. And as for the Democrats, Hillary Clinton certainly does have a substantial lead over Barack Obama and John Edwards for now — but there remain a whole lot of voters who are still up for grabs.

Edwards Pooh-Poohs Obama-Clinton Flap

John Edwards does exist! We've had a sighting!

Here he is, weighing in on the Obama-Clinton flap this morning:

"If you’re looking, if you're looking for what’s wrong in Washington, why the system is broken, why the system doesn’t work, one perfect example is what's been happening over the last four days. We’ve had two good people, Democratic candidates for president, who’ve spent their time attacking each other, instead of attacking the problems that this country’s faced."

Hillary Using Washington Post "Cleavage" Article To Raise Bucks

As we've noted here at Election Central before, one of the more interesting sub plots of Campaign 2008 is the ways in which the Dem candidates are raising money by attacking media figures to an unprecedented degree. Remember Edwards' Coulter-cash fundraising appeal?

Now Hillary Clinton's got one, too. Her campaign just sent out a fundraising email decrying a recent Washington Post Style-section article about her showing cleavage on the Senate floor. From the letter:

Would you believe that The Washington Post wrote a 746-word article on Hillary's cleavage?

Apparently, it was showing when she gave a speech in the Senate about the skyrocketing cost of higher education. Now, I've seen some off-topic press coverage -- but talking about body parts? That is grossly inappropriate...

By now, the media should know better. But they don't.

NRSC Launches Site Attacking Franken

Are national Republicans increasingly worried about the vulnerability of GOP Senator Norm Coleman and the threat posed to him by Al Franken's unlikely Senate bid?

Looks that way – the NRSC has launched a new Web assault on the comedian-turned-candidate.

The Republican senatorial committee has unveiled a new Web site – FranklyFranken.com – accusing Franken of A) being a loser, B) not being a true Minnesotan, and C) flip-flopping on funding the war. We've got reaction to all three criticisms after the jump.

Read more »

Obama In New Web Ad: "Judgment Matters"

Adding yet another chapter to the ongoing skirmish between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton over foreign policy, Obama is launching a new banner ad on news web sites in Iowa and New Hampshire touting his foreign policy judgment.

The ad, which is called "judgment matters" and which you can view here, flashes the following phrases on the screen in succession:

"One candidate had the judgment to oppose the war from the start."

"One candidate knows it's irresponsible to send troops to war without a plan to bring them home."

"One candidate knows it's naive to believe we can resolve conflicts without talking to our adversaries."

"Ready for a new direction? Barack Obama."

Note the appropriation of "naive," the word Hillary used to describe Obama's remarks about foreign leaders at the debate.

View the new web ad here.

Video Postcript: Hillary Pats Obama On The Head, Says, "Yes, Dear"

That, at least, is what the Clinton camp wants people to take away from this story. I personally don't have any idea how Dem primary voters are reading this exchange, but the Hillary people are working very hard to make sure it's seen this way.


Indeed, over at her official news site, HillaryHub.com, they've posted these two videos side by side -- on of Obama attacking, one of Hillary responding -- highlighting the exchange the way they want it seen. Videos after the jump -- take a look...

Read more »

Election Central Morning Roundup

Rudy Joins Romney In Trying To Duck YouTube Debate
Rudy Giuliani's campaign has noted the candidate has a likely scheduling conflict with the upcoming CNN/YouTube debate in September, which was announced months ago and is sanctioned by the national party. Romney said yesterday he is considering skipping the forum on principle because he felt presidential candidates shouldn't have to answer questions from snowmen.

Poll: Edwards, Romney Lead In Iowa
A new Research 2000 poll shows John Edwards and Mitt Romney leading their respective caucuses in Iowa. Among Democrats Edwards takes 27%, followed by Hillary Clinton at 22%, Barack Obama 16%, and Bill Richardson at 11%. The Republican numbers: Romney 25%, Fred Thompson 14%, Rudy Giuliani 13%, and John McCain 10%.

Fred Thompson Plans New Web Site, Weekly E-mail To Go To "Different Level"
Fred Thompson continues to dance around the issue of his all-but-declared presidential bid. His latest e-mail to supporters, which promises a new campaign Web site (version "2.0") and weekly e-mail updates, praises the prolonged "testing the waters" phase of the campaign. "It's allowed us to start laying the foundation of a good team across the country and to keep up this national conversation we've been having. Now we're going to take that conversation to a different level."

McCain Apparently Sides With Clinton
John McCain, speaking in a New Hampshire town hall meeting, appeared to side with Hillary Clinton in her squabble with Barack Obama's campaign over whether to be a tool of propaganda for hostile leaders (a position they agree on). "Are we going to come out of this meeting," McCain said, "and the president of Iran is going to say, 'I'm stopping the IEDs, I'm going to stop developing nuclear weapons, I will agree that Israel is going to exist,' then fine. Then lets set up the meeting." Hillary will likely point out John McCain's support of her view every opportunity she gets. Or not.

GOP Morale Low Heading In To Election Season
The Hill reports that the mood among Republican candidates, consultants, lobbyists and supporters ahead of the upcoming elections shows little hope for a turnaround after a rout last year. An unpopular president and a raft of scandals have all undermined the GOP, but perhaps not as much as their position on the war. "The environment is still not good because you have this 900-pound gorilla in the room," said Dick Armey, the former Republican House Majority Leader from Texas.

Poll: Missouri's GOP Governor, Son Of House Minority Whip, Way Behind
A new SurveyUSA poll finds first-term Governor Matt Blunt (R), son of House Minority Whip Matt Blunt (R-MO) and at age 36 the youngest governor in the country, trailing presumptive Democratic nominee Jay Nixon by a 57%-38% margin. Nixon, the state attorney general with a peculiar name for a Democrat, has previously run for Senate and lost in both 1988 and 1998, but 2008 might just be his year to become governor.

Illinois Republican Ray LaHood Retiring
Rep. Ray LaHood (R-IL) announced yesterday he will retire after 7 terms in Congress. LaHood represents the state's 18th District, which President Bush won by 16 percent in 2004, and was not facing any serious opposition.

Hillary To Appear On Letterman
Hillary Clinton will be a special guest on The Late Show With David Letterman on August 30, an episode marking Letterman's 14th anniversary with CBS.

Romney Mistakes YouTube For MySpace
We've written about how Mitt Romney's quest against internet porn spawned from his computer continually giving him unintentional pop-ups. Well, it seems Mitt has other problems with the Internets. "YouTube is a website that allows kids to network with one another and make friends and contact each other," Romney said. "YouTube looked to see if they had any convicted sex offenders on their web site. They had 29,000." The site Romney is referring to is, of course, MySpace, not YouTube. The gaff is especially odd given that Mitt is supposed to have logged into his MySpace page that same day!

Happy Hour Roundup

Thompson Campaign Has Fundraising Woes, More Resignations
Fred Thompson is expected to report about $3 million in contributions to his undeclared presidential bid at the end of the month, about 60 percent of what was expected, according to "sources," who also described a recent leveling off in donations. These sources said Thompson's wife, Jeri, has a central role in the campaign and she is furthermore "running it like a congressional campaign" from the "kitchen table." That is attributed as the reason for a rash of resignations, such as the most recent, Sam LeBlond, a Thompson advance man and nephew of George W. Bush, who joined the campaign less than two weeks ago. More are expected tomorrow.

Edwards Calls For Big Increase In Capital Gains Tax
In a speech today in Iowa, John Edwards called for a massive overhaul of the tax code, perhaps most notably with an increase in the capital gains tax rate to 28 percent, almost double its current rate of 15 percent — but the same rate it was during the Reagan years. Edwards also called for increasing the rate on family incomes of over $200,000. The campaign claims the plan would generate about $50 billion in new revenue, which would then be focused toward tax cuts for those at the bottom, as well as new social spending.

Rudy's Strategy For Iraq: "I'm For Victory."
Articulating his entire campaign strategy -- and perhaps his entire approach to foreign policy, too -- in three words, Rudy Giuliani told a gathering in Texas that what distinguishes him from the Dem Presidential contenders on Iraq is that "I'm for victory." Rudy also tagged the Dems as the "party of losers" and claimed that the Democratic candidates are "living in a world where they refuse to admit the existence of Islamic terrorism," which isn't, you know, true.

Dodd Releases Health-Care Plan
Democratic presidential candidate Chris Dodd unveiled a plan to achieve universal health-care in four years using a "HealthMart" marketplace, based on the Federal Employee Health Benefit Plan and basing individual and corporate contributions on the ability to pay. The plan would cost $40-50 billion annually in the first two years, and then $70 billion annually for the next two years.

New Site Tracks Presidential Bundlers
A new Web site lists 1,900 people pledged to bundle contributions for the presidential candidates, using voluntary campaign disclosures and news reports. Overall, the site has discovered more bundlers for Democrats, 1068, than Republicans, 810. John Edwards has the highest number with 543, followed by McCain, 440, Obama, 262 and Clinton, 220.

Tancredo, Hunter Cheer Amendment Freeing Border Guards
Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter have released statements cheering an amendment to a justice and commerce appropriations bill that would essentially free two U.S. border guards convicted of shooting an unarmed drug smuggler and not reporting the incident, by barring the use of any federal funds to actually imprison them. "Last night we sent a clear message to the Administration to put the pressure back on criminals who smuggle drugs across our border rather than the people who protect us from them," Tancredo said. Election Central wonders how this amendment will fare in conference.

Sharpton: GOP Candidates Not Courting Blacks
Al Sharpton rebuked the Republican presidential candidates for refusing to attend forums held by black organizations like the NAACP and the National Urban League. "We can only assume you weren't courting us," Sharpton said. "Republicans have to lay out their policies and court the African-American vote. We need to have our interests debated in the market place." And Sharpton said that blacks simply have no choice but to stick with the Democratic Party otherwise. "When I was in high school, I may not have gone to the prom with the girl I wanted, but with the girl I could get." (FYI: One GOP candidate did attend the NAACP's conference — Tom Tancredo.)

Gingrich: The "Pygmies" Line Was Taken Out Of Context
Newt Gingrich is now saying that he was misquoted in reports that he compared the current Republican presidential field to "pygmies." In fact, Gingrich says he was quoting the late French statesman Charles de Gaulle's sarcastic line, "Don't you want to rush in and join the pygmies?" in an allusion to what he sees as the current broken political system. Thus Gingrich says he was not insulting the candidates, but rather the process they are working under, and explaining his own reluctance about running. (And on a side note, we should again point out that the African peoples who were given the label "pygmy" widely consider it to be a slur.)

Did Romney Claim To Have Flown An F-16? Probably Not

A new line of mockery is already beginning to spread about Mitt Romney: That he made the amusingly boastful claim that he's flown F-16 fighter jets. It's a tempting one: Another chickenhawk swaggering around like Bush in the flight suit!

But here at Election Central we've looked over the record, and it's looking like Romney probably didn't make such a bold claim, after all.

Read more »

Hillary Raps Obama: "Whatever Happened To The Politics Of Hope"?

In an interview on CNN which will be broadcast momentarily, Hillary hits back at Obama's repeated efforts to liken her criticism of his debate comments to a "Bush-Cheney lite" approach.

Clinton spokesperson Phil Singer has just emailed out a chunk of the upcoming interview, in which Hillary responds to Obama's criticism as follows:

SEN. CLINTON: "Well, this is getting kind of silly. I've been called a lot of things in my life but I've never been called George Bush or Dick Cheney certainly. We have to ask what's ever happened to the politics of hope?

"I have been saying consistently for a number of years now, we have to end the Bush era of ignoring problems, ignoring enemies and adversaries. And I have been absolutely clear that we've got to return to robust and effective diplomacy. But I don't want to see the power and prestige of the United States President put at risk by rushing into meetings with the likes of Chavez, and Castro, and Ahmadinejad."

Ben Smith thinks that "this is the sharpest and most direct exchange of the campaign." I'd also add that this is the first time to my knowledge that Hillary herself has argued that by engaging in the natural rhetorical blocking and tackling of campaigns, Obama is compromising his promise of a new politics.

Until now that strategy -- which is designed to take the bloom off Obama's high-mindedness, and to box Obama in and make it tougher for him to launch aggressive arguments her way -- had been left to her surrogates. At the very least, yet another sign of how deeply each side is getting dug in here.

Romney Parachutes Into Hillary-Obama Dustup

We're sure Hillary is really going to thank Mitt Romney for this one.

Romney has now parachuted into the Hillary-Obama spat, coming down squarely on the side of Hillary while speaking to reporters today in Iowa:

"She's right on that. He happens to be wrong."

Read more »

Poll: Obama Stronger Nominee Than Hillary

The new Battleground poll — a joint project of George Washington University, Democratic polling firm Lake Research, and GOP polling firm the Tarrance Group — would indicate that Barack Obama is a much stronger general election candidate than Hillary Clinton. While a generic Democrat has an 11-point lead over a generic Republican, Hillary loses to Rudy Giuliani and only leads Fred Thompson by two points. Obama, meanwhile, beats Rudy by a nine-point margin, and Fred Thompson by an even wider edge:

Democrat 49%, Republican 38%
Giuliani (R) 50%, Clinton (D) 44%
Clinton (D) 47%, F. Thompson (R) 45%
Obama (D) 52%, Giuliani (R) 43%
Obama (D) 56%, F. Thompson (R) 36%

Obama Keeps Hitting Hillary, Suggests Her Approach Is "Bush-Cheney Lite"

Readers, we need a bit of help from you.

Barack Obama is continuing today to try to turn his standoff with Hillary to his advantage. In a conference call with reporters this morning, Obama kept up his attack, likening her criticism of him to support for the "Bush doctrine" and decrying her approach as "Bush-Cheney lite."

Read more »

Reid Slams Bush: "President Shamelessly Hiding Behind Our Brave Troops"

Harry Reid appears to be amping up his rhetoric a notch amid the Dem Congressional leadership's standoff with the GOP and the White House over Iraq.

This morning, Bush sharply criticized the Dem Congress, demanding that it pass the Defense Authorization Bill that Reid yanked off the floor when the Senate GOP refused to allow a vote on the recent Reed-Levin Iraq withdrawal bill. Bush demanded that Congress pass the bill now for the sake of the troops, even though the bill's short-term non-passage simply wouldn't impact the troops in any meaningful way.

Moments ago, Reid emailed out a statement containing the following:

“The President’s call today to pressure Congress to quickly complete a defense spending bill that does not take effect until October is simply the latest example of the President shamelessly hiding behind our brave troops in an effort to distract attention from his failed national security record and failed conduct of this war. It is time for the President and the Republicans to do more than just say the right thing -– it is time they worked with us for the good of the country and our security. If the President and Republicans were as committed to this priority as they profess to be, they would not have placed our troops in harm’s way without a strategy for success or the equipment and support they need to do their mission."

Quote Of The Day

"I think the presidency ought to be held at a higher level than having to answer questions from a snowman."
— Mitt Romney, telling the New Hampshire Union Leader why he might not participate in the CNN/YouTube Republican debate. That should make Romney popular with the YouTube generation.

Bloomberg Appears To Rule Out Presidential Bid – Really!

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg this morning gave an interview to ABC News in which he really, truly, seriously appeared to rule out a Presidential run.

Here's what Bloomberg said:

"I'm going to fill out my term as mayor of the city of New York, and not run for president," he said. "But … I live in this country. I'm one of 300 million people and I think that I have an obligation to speak out."
Bloomberg in the past has said that he isn't running, but routinely stopped short of explicitly ruling out the possibility. Here, however, he said: "I'm going to...not run for President."

Right?

Breaking: In Letter To Hillary, Gates Confirms "Planning Taking Place" For Withdrawal

Defense Secretary Robert Gates has written a long letter to Hillary Clinton in which he confirms that "planning is taking place" for withdrawal from Iraq.

While the fact that such contingency planning is underway of course doesn't mean that withdrawal is imminent, it's noteworthy that Gates confirmed this. Clinton had repeatedly asked for confirmation of such planning, resulting in her standoff with the Pentagon last week.

This letter represents Gates' official reply to Clinton's criticism, and the Senator's office believes this is the first time that Gates has publicly acknowledged that such planning is underway.

"[Y]ou may rest assured that such planning is indeed taking place with my active involvement as well as that of senior military and civilian officials and our commanders in the field. I consider this contingency planning to be a priority for this Department," Gates writes in the letter, which was obtained by Election Central.

Clinton's office welcomed Gates' reply.

"Senator Clinton...welcomes the disclosure that the Department of Defense, according to the Secretary, is indeed planning for the redeployment of U.S. forces from Iraq, and looks forward to receiving the department's briefings," Clinton spokesperson Philippe Reines emailed us.

In the letter, Gates also writes that he stands by Under Secretary Eric Edelman, who recently suggested that Clinton's requests for info about the Pentagon's contingency planning for withdrawal were aiding enemy propaganda.

Gates does, however, reiterate that he strongly supports Congressional oversight and adds that "I emphatically assure you that we do not claim, suggest, or otherwise believe that Conressional oversight emboldens our enemies."

You can read Gates' full letter in our TPM Document Collection.

The full text of the letter -- and the full response from Clinton's office -- are both after the jump.

Read more »

Fun Times! Hillary Camp Raps Romney Over "France" Crack

One entertaining little Campaign 2008 subplot that's worth noting is the fun that the Hillary campaign is having with Mitt Romney.

Yesterday Romney yukked it up by saying that Hillary is so liberal that she couldn't get elected President of France.

To which Hillary spokesperson Phil Singer has now replied:

“Considering how often Gov. Romney flip-flops, he’ll be wearing a beret and eating baguettes on the Champs-Elysees next week.”

That response follows the same formula as a Hillary spokesperson's recent response to another Romney attack to the effect that Hillary was a Marxist:

"Given how often Romney flip-flops, tomorrow he will be touting his membership in the Communist Party."

Looks like we've got a running series here. Stay tuned for the next installment.

Election Central Morning Roundup

Richardson: I Have Already Met Dictators
While Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama hit back and forth over whether to meet leaders of hostile governments and how to avoid becoming a propaganda tool in the process – a policy question they appear to largely agree on, though they sure are arguing about the details – Bill Richardson already has met with some of the U.S.'s greatest enemies, and is more than willing to note that fact. "You know I've actually met a lot of these guys already - I've met Castro, I've met Chavez," Richardson said. "But I'm not just going to say,'Yeah, I'll meet with you - for what? For coffee?' No, you have to have hard-nosed negotiations," he said.

Thompson, Close To "Final Decision," Has Questionable History As Trial Lawyer
Undeclared presidential candidate Fred Thompson's history as a trial lawyer, when he argued against the government's authority to regulate drug paraphernalia and search a boat packed with 14 pounds of marijuana, may give him a controversial stance on tort reform. Yesterday, at a fundraiser for his campaign, Thompson seemed to barely be able to maintain the charade of his own indecision, contradicting himself in the span of two sentences. "As you know, I've got some plans," he said. "I'm going to make a final decision in the not-too-distant future."

Brownback's Anti-Romney, Anti-Tancredo Robocall Scuffle Continues
Sam Brownback defended his use of robocalls questioning the pro-life positions of Mitt Romney and his wife Ann. "Nothing I'm saying is untruthful," Brownback said. "They haven't been hesitant about pointing these issues out on me." Meanwhile, conservative icon Phyllis Schlafly has defended Tom Tancredo after he was also attacked by Brownback's automated calls in Iowa for accepting contributions from an abortion-rights advocate. "I want to go on record as saying I've known Tom Tancredo for 30 years and I know for sure he has always been a champion of the right to life of the unborn," Schlafly says in yet more robocalls going out to Iowans.

Bloomberg Again Says He's Not Running For President
Speaking at yesterday's National Urban League conference in St. Louis, Mike Bloomberg again denied that he's planning to run for president. "I'm going to serve as mayor for 890 days at which point I will be 67 years old, and there will be a new president, a man or a woman, who presumably will serve for a long time," Bloomberg said. "I only hope whoever the public elects, that the next president does a great job."

Former Kansas City Mayor Coming To Washington For House Campaign Funds
Roll Call reports that Kay Barnes, former mayor of Kansas City, Missouri, will be visiting Washington next week for fundraising with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, labor unions and other Dem money sources in her campaign against four-term GOP Congressman Sam Graves, who has not faced a tough challenge since his narrow first election in 2000. Barnes raised $330,000 last quarter, $80,000 more than Graves' own take for the period.

Kucinich "Hot Fuels" Crusade Questioned By Industry Group In District
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) has been on a crusade of sorts against what he has called a conspiracy by big oil to defraud customers, charging them the same amount for fuel they bought at a discount because of thermal expansion. The Ohio Petroleum Marketers and Convenience Store Association has given data to the Cleveland Plain Dealer that shows once colder months are also taken into account the picture is not clear cut.

Rothenberg: Don't Count Franken Out
In his latest column at Roll Call, Stuart Rothenberg takes on the conventional wisdom that Al Franken's campaign against Senator Norm Coleman (R-MN) is a non-starter. "I don’t know if Franken will win, but I definitely think he can win — under the right circumstances," Rothenberg writes, citing a combination of factors such as Bush's high unpopularity plus Minnesota's history of electing quirky politicians like Paul Wellstone and Jesse Ventura. "Democrats once hoped to face Ronald Reagan for the White House in 1980. They got their wish and eventually were sorry about it," Rothenberg concludes. "Politics, you see, is a funny, unpredictable business, which is why I’m not writing off Al Franken just yet."

Broun Sworn In
Physician Paul Broun (R-GA) was sworn into Congress yesterday, having won a shocking upset over a fellow Republican in the special election runoff to replace the late Congressman Charlie Norwood (R), who died of cancer earlier this year. Broun hails from Athens, Georgia, a college town and liberal bastion in the Republican district, and won due to overwhelming support there after his establishment GOP opponent routinely insulted the town and even joked about it being bombed.

Harry Reid Rips Washington Post Editors As "War Cheerleaders" Unconcerned About Facts

Good stuff.

In an unusually confrontational move towards a major news organization, Harry Reid has come out swinging against The Washington Post, accusing the paper's editorial writers of being "eager cheerleaders" for Bush's Iraq War and slamming them for a "disregard for the facts."

Reid's attack on the Post came in a letter to the editor, published in this morning's paper, responding to a July 21st Post editorial arguing Reid for not allowing debate on various nonbinding amendments that would foster a "bipartisan" solution to the war -- in other words, a solution that would give GOP members of Congress a way of voting against the war that wouldn't really change Iraq polilcies.

Reid's response, in effect, was this: Stop lying. Democrats are basically alone in their desire to force a real change in Iraq.

"On reading the July 21 editorial "The Phony Debate," it became clear why The Post's editorial writers have been such eager cheerleaders for the Bush administration's flawed Iraq policies -- the two share the same disregard for the facts en route to drawing dubious conclusions," Reid wrote in the letter.

Full letter after the jump.

Read more »

Happy Hour Roundup

McCain's Ad Team Resigns

Russ Schriefer and Stuart Stevens have quit John McCain's campaign just as the wave of bad news appeared to be behind his flagging presidential bid. Both worked for George W. Bush in 2004.

Fred Thompson's Team Has Its Own Shake-Ups

Fred Thompson has lost the services of J.T. Mastranadi, who signed up to be his undeclared campaign's director of research — as in opposition research — only a week and a half ago. As it turns out, the undeclared status of the campaign seems to be the very thing leading to shake-ups for Thompson, as Mastranadi reportedly left due to being "fed up" with the campaign's "lack of structure." Mastranadi previously did oppo research for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, and worked with David Bossie on an anti-Hillary documentary.

Poll: Clinton Surges In South Carolina

Hillary Clinton is up 18 points in the latest Insider Advantage poll of South Carolina. She trailed Barack Obama by three points back in June, but now leads him by 15 percent. The two are even among blacks while Clinton captures 51 percent of white voters, a commanding lead over Edwards, the next highest in that demographic with 18 percent.

Source: Romney Could Give Up To $60 Million To Himself

The Fix looks at Mitt Romney's ample wealth and his abundant generosity to his own presidential bid. One source said Romney, who is worth $190 to $260 million, could self-finance to the tune of $40 to $60 million, a huge advantage if his campaign gets into a tough spot as was demonstrated by John Kerry, who lent himself $6 million just before a comeback.

Feinstein Endorses Clinton

Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) announced today she is endorsing fellow female Sen. Hillary Clinton for the presidency. "Hillary Clinton, I believe, has the experience, the heart, and the strength to be a great American president," Feinstein said. "There has been no election for President where change is as defined and necessary as this one. The question is who is best equipped to lead that change. I believe it is Hillary."

Biden Also Gets Decent New Hampshire Endorsement

Joe Biden has been endorsed by New Hampshire state Representative Steve Shurtleff, the assistant majority leader in the state House. Shurtleff will serve as the regional field director for Merrimack County and the Lakes Region (Concord and the surrounding area) and advise the campaign on veterans' issues.

Huckabee Weighs In On Sex-Ed For Kindergartners

A few days after Barack Obama and Mitt Romney sparred over comments Obama made about sex-education for kindergartners, Mike Huckabee has entered the fray: saying it just adds to the "game show" quality of the race. "That's an issue that ought to be decided, first, by mothers and fathers," Huckabee said. "If it's decided at all by any level of government, it needs to be at the local and, at best, the state level. I'm not sure that the President of the United States needs to be refereeing over everything that's taught in every community in America."

Tommy Thompson: "I'll Be Shocked" If I Don't Win Ames

Discussing the upcoming Ames straw poll, Tommy Thompson told Pajamas Media, "If I don't win, I'll be shocked." He backed off a bit, though, and also said, "I wouldn't say Romney's in trouble. But I'd say I think it's going to be between Romney and myself." It may just be a strong possibility that Tommy Thompson will be shocked after Ames.

Surprisingly Tom Tancredo's First TV Ad Focuses On Immigration

Tom Tancredo's campaign just posted a new TV ad focused on the Iowa straw poll and his signature issue, immigration – well, his only issue. "Friends we're losing our country," Tancredo says on the 30-second spot with purple lettering. "Fifteen million illegal immigrants have invaded our land."



Top New Hampshire Dem Paul Hodes Endorsing Obama

This is big. Freshman Congressman Paul Hodes (D-NH), who defeated a 12-year incumbent GOPer in last year's Democratic wave, will endorse Barack Obama. Hodes will announce his support tomorrow morning, at a rally in his hometown of Concord.

Picking up the endorsement of a top New Hampshire Democrat will give Obama a huge boost in organizing his campaign on the ground there — especially given that Hodes represents half the state in the House, it having only two Congressional districts.

In past years, it might have been surprising that such a high-ranking Dem in a key primary state would endorse so early. But this cycle has been different — Hillary Clinton already has the endorsements of the state House Speaker and Senate President. So it only makes sense for Hodes to come out early for his favored candidate.

Obama Escalates Battle With Hillary

In an interview with NBC News outside his Senate office a little while ago, Barack Obama just escalated things considerably in his ongoing skirmish with Hillary:

"I think what is irresponsible and naive is to have authorized a war without asking how we were going to get out -- and you know I think Senator Clinton hasn’t fully answered that issue.

"The general principle that I was laying out is that we should not be afraid as America to meet with anybody.

"Now, they may not like what we want to hear -- so if I’m talking to the President of Iran, I’m going to inform him that Israel is our stalwart ally, and we are going to do what's necessary to protect them -- that we will not accept a nuclear bomb in Iran, but that doesn’t mean we can’t say that face to face. And obviously, the diplomatic state work has to be done ahead of time.

"The notion that I was somehow going to be inviting them over for tea next week without having initial envoys meet is ridiculous.

"But the general principle is one that I think Senator Clinton is wrong on -- and that is if we are laying out preconditions that prevents us from speaking frankly to these folks, then we are continuing with Bush-Cheney policies, and I am not interested in continuing that.

"I know that she has said in the past that we have to talk to our enemies -- well that’s what this is about. And if we say that we will not talk to them unless they meet a series of preconditions, then that’s the same position that Bush and Cheney have maintained over the last six years, and it has made us less safe. And that’s what I think is going to be a significant part of this debate in 2008.

"We responded to her in this situation, and I think there is a genuine difference, if there isn’t a difference, then Senator Clinton should explain it. I think that we should talk to everybody.

"That ultimately is what’s going to create the environment in which we can reduce some of the threat levels we are facing. To fail to do that is the same conventional Washington thinking that led many including Senator Clinton to go ahead with the war without having asked adequate questions."

What makes this a serious escalation is the linkage of Hillary to Bush-Cheney not once, but twice -- a hard smack in the context of Dem primary politics, of course.

Immediate reaction: Obama's implication that Hillary's advocating for a continuation of Bush-Cheney policies strikes me as being perhaps as over-the-top as Hillary's initial criticism of Obama as "naive." After all, Hillary didn't say she'd impose preconditions for "talking" to these foreign leaders.

Yes, Hillary's criticism of him carried echoes of Bush-Cheney Pelosi-to-Syria claptrap. Nonetheless, agree or disagree with her position, what she actually said was that she wouldn't commit to meeting with leaders of rogue nations in the first year, and rapped Obama for supposedly committing to the same. This of course in itself was fudging it on her part over a not terribly meaningful distinction.

Bottom line: Both sides are dug in now, and this isn't going away any time soon.

More in a bit.

Update: Another take worth checking out on a different aspect of this is right here.

McCain Sarcastically Raps Obama Over "Judgment" Line

John McCain, who tends towards flights of less-than-subtle sarcasm when picking fights with Obama over national security, has now responded to Obama's assertion that he has the best foreign policy judgment of anyone in the race.

On the trail in New Hampshire today, McCain said:

"Well, I also think I'm the most qualified to run the decathlon because I watch sports on television all the time."

Look, not to put too fine a point on it, but on the most important foreign policy decision of their lifetimes Obama was right and McCain was wrong -- repeatedly, disastrously, unfailingly so, in fact.

So if McCain's suggestion here is that Obama's inexperience in foreign policy means he's less qualified for the gig of President than McCain is, this is a bit like an athlete who'd failed disastrously and committed all manner of pratfalls in a dozen decathlons in a row arguing that his experience in them means he's more likely to win one next time around than a newcomer is.

Quote Of The Day

"The notion that somehow from Washington you get this vast foreign policy experience is illusory."

-- Barack Obama, speaking last night at a private gathering in New York.

Question for readers: Which very serious foreign policy types in Washington do you think this best applies to? There are so many to choose from...

Obama: My Judgment On Foreign Policy Is Best Of All Candidates

The skirmishing among the Dem candidates continues today, with Barack Obama telling a private gathering in New York last night the following:

"Look, one thing I'm very confident about is my judgment in foreign policy is, I believe, better than anyone else in this race, Republican or Democrat."

The campaign has just sent out a transcript of Obama's remarks, and they're well worth a look. The campaign released them because Drudge reported this morning that Obama had made similar comments at a private discussion at the Time Warner session: "I am the most qualified candidate, in either party, on foreign policy."

Turns out Drudge didn't have the quote right, but what Obama actually said is still worth reading, particularly since Hillary has worked so hard to get out front of Obama on foreign policy of late. Obama, for instance, says this:

"The notion that somehow from Washington you get this vast foreign policy experience is illusory."

Full transcript after the jump.

Read more »

Report: GOP Muck-King Renzi Has A New Dem Challenger

Wow, the news on the 2008 Congressional races is coming fast and furious today. The latest: Muck-encrusted GOP Rep. Rick Renzi has got himself a new Dem challenger on his hands.

The Arizona Republic reports today that Dem State Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick resigned yesterday to take on Renzi. She faces at least two other Dems intent on running -- a surprising degree of interest in the seat this early in the cycle, probably the result of Renzi's muck-king status.

It's unknown whether Renzi will run again; a few months ago he was rumored to be resigning, though he strongly denied it. Check out our full coverage of Renzi over at TPMmuckraker.

Poll: WINO Senator Norm Coleman Slips Deeper Into Danger Zone

Looks like GOP Senator Norm Coleman's WINO status is dragging him deeper into the danger zone, with a new poll out today finding that his approval rating in Minnesota has plunged to 43% -- down five points since last month and well below the 50% mark.

The new Survey USA poll also finds that Coleman's disapproval rating has climbed an astonishing seven points since June, to 48%.

It seems awfully likely that Coleman's sagging numbers could be directly related to his status as a proud member of the WINO caucus -- a Waverer In Name Only who is said to be "wavering" in his support of Bush's war policies but won't vote to change them. Last week Coleman voted against letting the Iraq withdrawal bill go to a vote.

“Norm Coleman is starting to discover that voting with George Bush 90% of the time just isn’t a winning formula in Minnesota,” is how DSCC spokesman Matthew Miller puts it.

Comedian Al Franken and two other challengers are squaring off for the chance to run against Coleman. Franken startled political observers recently by substantially outraising the incumbent Senator in the most recent fundraising quarter, though he trails Coleman in polls.

Poll: Bush Within One Point Of Nixon's Highest Disapproval Rating Ever

Still more numbers have been released from this week's Washington Post poll, and the latest slew of figures contains an eye-opening fact: President Bush is within one point of tying the highest disapproval rating of Richard Nixon's entire tenure.

"The latest Washington Post-ABC News survey shows that 65 percent of Americans disapprove of Bush's job performance, matching his all-time low," writes The Post in its article today on the latest numbers. "In polls conducted by The Post or Gallup going back to 1938, only once has a president exceeded that level of public animosity -- and that was Richard M. Nixon, who hit 66 percent four days before he resigned."

In other words, Bush's current unpopularity is roughly the same as Nixon's was when he faced certain impeachment amid Watergate.

One interesting footnote: Bush's current disapproval number of 65% ties Harry Truman, who reached his highest disapproval level in February 1952 amid the unpopularity of the Korean War.

GOP Senator Gordon Smith Facing New Democratic Challenger

Uh, oh -- looks like GOP Senator Gordon Smith may be facing a new Democratic challenger: Oregon House speaker Jeff Merkley.

Smith is vulnerable to a 2008 challenge in larger part because of Iraq, though he is not a member of the GOP WINO caucus, having voted in favor of withdrawal timetables. The question now is whether his votes in favor of withdrawal will cancel out his previous support of the war and the generally dismal level of popularity the GOP brand is enjoying these days.

From the Associated Press:

SALEM, Ore. (AP) — Oregon House Speaker Jeff Merkley plans to file notice with the Federal Election Commission by Aug. 1 that he'll be running for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Republican Gordon Smith, two sources close to the campaign told The Associated Press Tuesday.

Merkley is on vacation in Central Oregon with his family this week, and wants to consult with them one last time before making the final, firm decision to challenge Smith, according to a strategist who has been advising Merkley.

"He could come back and say, 'We've decided that we are just not ready for this," the strategist said. "I strongly believe that is not going to happen."

Oregon is a Democratic-leaning state, and Merkley, a Portland Dem who led the Democratic takeover of the Oregon House last year, appears to be a top choice of national Democrats, who have been searching for a high-profile challenger to Smith for months now.

National Dems unsuccessfully tried to recruit U.S. Rep. Peter DeFazio to challenge Smith, but that fell through. Merkley has been meeting with freshman Dem Senators around the country, all of whom are encouraging him to run.

Election Central Morning Roundup

Giuliani: Judges Threaten American Democracy
Rudy Giuliani upped his rhetoric on judges at a California news conference yesterday. "What 'strict constructionist' means is that a judge will interpret the Constitution in accordance with what someone else meant when they wrote those words and not try to legislate," said Rudy. "If you are not a strict constructionist, I believe you imperil the American democracy because you take the role of a legislator."

Conservative Activists To Bush: Talk About "Leaving" Iraq
The Hill reports that some major Republican activists in Washington are telling the Bush Administration to shift their rhetoric (if not their policies) on Iraq to focus on an eventual departure from the war-torn country. "The one-paragraph explanation of what we're doing in Iraq has to have the word 'leaving' in there," said Grover Norquist, the head of the right-wing Americans for Tax Reform. "If Bush would move to 'leaving,' then other people, including the MoveOn.org people and the [Democrats], move to a more extreme position than you have, because they have put themselves in the anti-Bush position."

McCain Responds To Gingrich's "Pathetic," "Pygmy" Comments
John McCain has chalked up former House Speaker New Gingrich's comments on the GOP presidential field, which he said yesterday he considered a "pathetic" bunch of "pygmies," as nothing more than an old rivalry. "I see the former member of the House of Representatives as a person who has many, many comments to make and he's made many, many comments critical of me in the past," McCain told reporters Tuesday after attending a fundraiser in Grand Rapids. "We had a fundamental disagreement about the role of money in politics." (And on a side note, the African peoples who have been given the label "pygmy" widely consider the term to be an ethnic slur.)

YouTube Debate Had Less Viewers Than Previous
Despite the novel format and all the silliness, slightly less Americans tuned into the YouTube/CNN debate Monday than the previous CNN debate. About 2.6 million viewers tuned in Monday, compared to 2.8 million that watched a June 3 CNN debate. The New York Times interviewed CNN Washington Bureau Chief David Bohrman about the debate and the quality of the video. "I'm amazed we were able to make them be about 10 feet across," Bohrman said of the logistics of putting the low-resolution YouTube format on a large screen for the debate audience. "It's not TV yet. It's YouTube."

Poll: Rudy Way Ahead Of GOP Pack
The new Washington Post/ABC News poll finds Rudy Giuliani maintaining a large lead over his Republican competitors. Rudy has 34%, followed by Fred Thompson 16% and John McCain's 14%, plus Mitt Romney at 8%.

Edwards Camp Returns Lobbyists' Contributions
John Edwards has returned $3,400 donated by three registered lobbyists after an inquiry from the Associated Press. "We take every precaution possible, but sometimes people slip through, and when we find lobbyist money we refund it immediately," said Colleen Murray, a spokeswoman.

Thompson Starts Big Week Of Fundraising For His Undeclared Candidacy
Fred Thompson seems to be anticipating a need for large sums of cash to accurately test the waters for his presidential bid. Friends of Fred sent an e-mail to supporters plugging tickets for the week-long, seven-stop, cross-country tour today at $1,000 a plate and $5,000 for PACs. Thompson will hold the big-money fundraisers in: Houston and Dallas, Texas; San Diego, California; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Washington, D.C.; and Newport Coast and Bel Air, California.

D.C. Voting Rights Bill Tabled Until September
A bill that would give the District of Columbia one voting member in the House has been put off until September, Majority Leader Harry Reid said yesterday. Joe Lieberman, the bill's chief backer in the Senate, is lining up the 60 votes needed to ensure a vote on the measure, which as part of a compromise also adds an additional House seat for Utah.

Bloomberg Insists That Mike2008.com Not Related To White House Run
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has bought the domain name "Mike2008.com" and had it redirect to his current homepage, which in turn caused a stir when it was redesigned with content touting the mayor's credentials on national policy issues. Of course, this does not mean Mayor Mike is running for president. "The Web administrators control a number of Bloomberg-specific [addresses] to prevent cyber-squatters and redirect users to MikeBloomberg.com," said spokesman Robert Lawson.

Happy Hour Roundup

Thompson Names New Manager

Fred Thompson has appointed both former Senator Spencer Abraham (R-MI) and Republican strategist Randy Enright to be the new campaign managers for his yet-to-be-declared campaign. They replace Tom Collamore, former vice president of food and tobacco giant Altria.

Tancredo, Romney Demand Brownback Apology Over Abortion Robocalls

Tom Tancredo and Mitt Romney are both demanding an apology from Sam Brownback over robocalls his campaign is making in Iowa highlighting Romney's past stance on abortion and the fact that Tancredo accepted money from a doctor who founded a branch of Planned Parenthood. "Mitt Romney is telling Iowans he is firmly pro-life. Nothing could be further from the truth," the call says, adding that Ann Romney donated to Planned Parenthood at one point. Tancredo called the calls "despicable." Brownback apologized to Romney once before when a staffer attacked his Mormon religion.

AFL-CIO Moves Democratic Debate To Larger Venue

The AFL-CIO is moving their August 7 Democratic debate in Chicago to a larger venue, from McCormick Place to Soldier Field. "Moving to Soldier Field allows us to have thousands more than we expected to have," said AFL-CIO president John Sweeney. "We’re going to be up to over 15,000."

The Club For Growth's Next Targets: Ted Stevens And Don Young?

Roll Call reports that the conservative Club For Growth, which frequently works to not only take down Democrats but also finances primary challenges against Republicans, has been busy doing polling work against Alaska Senator Ted Stevens and Congressman Don Young, two of the most prolific pork dealers in Congress. A recent CFG poll finds that 66% of Alaska GOP voters, for example, disapprove of Stevens' infamous "Bridge To Nowhere" project. CFG has not committed yet to financing a primary challenger against either of them, but it could well happen. The Democrats are also looking at these races, and are trying to recruit Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich to run for the House or the Senate.

Shays Opponent Attacks Him For Cursing Out Capitol Policeman

Jim Himes, chairman of the Democratic Party in Greenwich, Connecticut, is attacking Congressman Chris Shays, the last Republican House member from New England, for cursing out a Capitol Hill police officer on Friday. "The fact that Chris Shays would verbally assault [an officer] is an embarrassment to himself and the people of Connecticut," said Himes, who is mounting his own candidacy against Shays.

Lamborn Could Face Unified Primary Challenge Next Year

Freshman Congressman Doug Lamborn (R-CO) won the Republican primary for his safe GOP seat last year with only a 27% plurality in a six-way field, helped in large part by funding from the Club For Growth. But Roll Call now reports that two of his opponents from last year, former Congressional aide Jeff Crank and retired Air Force Maj. Gen. Bentley Rayburn, are each considering another run against Lamborn. And sources tell the paper that Crank and Rayburn will not both run — one shall yield to the other, in order to put up a united front against Lamborn.

Head Of New Jersey Greens Expects Nader/McKinney Ticket For 2008

George DeCarlo, chairman of the New Jersey Green Party, told PoliticsNJ.com that the Green Party will likely run a 2008 ticket of Ralph Nader for president, plus former Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney (D-GA) for vice president. McKinney lost her seat last year in the Democratic primary after hitting a Capitol Hill policeman, and has been touring Green Party events since then.

Manchester, N.H. GOP To Hold Fundraiser While Shooting Guns

The Manchester, N.H. Republican Committee will host it's next fundraiser at a shooting range, where attendees will be able to shoot "a range of submachine guns, including Uzis, MAC-11s and Swedish K's, as well as M-16 and AR-15 rifles." Chris Pappas, the city's Democratic party chairman, said the event was "not just in poor taste, it is downright offensive," especially in light of an increase in gun violence in the city. The Republican chair said he invited all the GOP presidential candidates but all declined. "I really tried to get Rudy Giuliani there," he said. "Because I'll tell you, this is a guy that can't relax."

Obama Campaign Running Radio Ad Targeting South Carolina Black Voters

Barack Obama has a new radio ad, set to begin running tomorrow in South Carolina, specifically running on stations with largely African-American audiences. Half of South Carolina's Democratic primary electorate is expected to be black, making it a must-win for Obama. The piece describes the candidate as "a Christian family man, community organizer, civil rights lawyer, courageous legislator, and U.S. Senator who's told the truth as a soldier for justice," followed by Obama discussing the issues of poor health care in the black community, and the lack of attention given to the issues of race and poverty.



John Edwards Doesn't Exist. Why? Because He Just Doesn't.

Yes, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton duking it out over Obama's comments yesterday on negotiating with world leaders is a compelling story, so it's perhaps understandable that the media is going nuts over the battle between the two of them.

But can we pause for a second to recall that John Edwards also offered an opinion on the whole question?

Read more »

Republican Leaders Preview Attacks On Harry Reid

Today's Washington Times reports:

Senate Republicans are preparing to take aim at Majority Leader Harry Reid over the August recess for being "all talk but no action" and helping drag the Democrat-led Congress' approval rating to a historic low, according to a document distributed to caucus members.

Sen. Jon Kyl of Arizona, chairman of the Senate Republican Conference, is meeting with members yesterday and today to disseminate a message critical of Democrats for endlessly debating the Iraq war, stalling judicial nominations and squandering time on at least 300 investigations of the Bush administration.

"We really ought to be asking why this Democrat leadership won't allow Congress to move forward on serious policy debates," Mr. Kyl said, when asked about the talking-points memorandum he is circulating.

The pushback, of course, is obvious: The Republicans are filibustering legislation in Congress at a record pace. As McClatchy recently reported, the number of cloture motions in the 110th Congress are running at nearly three times the previous high.

If the pace keeps up, McClatchy predicts, we'll have seen 153 attempts to cut off debate, which are prompted by a filibuster, by the end of the term. The previous high was 58, set in 1999-2000 and then tied in 2001-2002.

New Obama Radio Ad Targets South Carolina Black Voters

Barack Obama has a new radio ad, set to begin running tomorrow in South Carolina, specifically running on stations with largely African-American audiences. Half of South Carolina's Democratic primary electorate is expected to be black, making it a must-win for Obama. The piece describes the candidate as "a Christian family man, community organizer, civil rights lawyer, courageous legislator, and U.S. Senator who's told the truth as a soldier for justice," followed by Obama discussing the issues of poor health care in the black community, and the lack of attention given to the issues of race and poverty.



Dueling Memos: Hillary And Obama Camps Club Each Other

Okay, as noted below, the story of the day in Dem primary politics is the big brawl today between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton over his comments at the debate last night.

Since events are moving fast, I thought it would be useful to reproduce the memos sent out today by both the Obama and Hillary camps, so you can judge their full arguments for yourself.

One key point: When Hillary denounced Obama today as "naive" over their difference last night, this reading of what Obama said seems way overstated, as Matthew Yglesias argues. It drifts into at least the vicinity of Pelosi-to-Syria La-La Land.

But while Hillary did draw the contrast between them first last night, it should be noted that the Obama camp also escalated matters early today with a memo hitting Hillary for having "reversed" herself since April.

This hit, which came before Hillary's "naive" comment, is a bit of a Drudgy attack -- indeed, Drudge has for many hours now been flacking the same alleged contradiction the Obama people pushed this morning.

So Obama's no wallflower here. Nor should he be; these guys should be arguing with each other.

Anyway, the memos are after the jump; the attacks are in bold. Who's right? Readers, let us know what you think in comments.

Read more »

Drudge Catches Hillary In Massive Flip-Flop! Not.

The story of the day in Democratic politics is the skirmishing that's going on between the Hillary and Obama campaigns right now over the meaning of Obama's claim last night that he'd meet with leaders of rogue nations like Iran or North Korea.


Amid the battle, MSM assignment editor Matt Drudge is instructing the big news orgs to report that Hillary has been caught in a massive, glaring flip-flop:




This wouldn't be a big deal if the big news orgs weren't already picking up on this meme.


Tim Russert, for instance, grilled Hillary spokesperson Howard Wolfson over this alleged contradiction on MSNBC this morning. (It's unclear whether Russert got this from Drudge or from the Obama campaign, which is also pushing the contradiction.)


But look, if you actually click through to the stories Drudge is directing people to, there's just no contradiction here.

Read more »

Rudy: Dem Candidates "Think It's Bad To Make Money"

The Associated Press uncritically quotes this trancendent piece of idiocy uttered by Rudy Giuliani at an event last night:

"This is one of the things they do not understand, whether it's Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or John Edwards — they do not understand a capitalistic economy. They think it's bad to make money," he said, adding that he sees no shame in someone wanting to be rich.

Edwards' assets: $29.5 million.

Hillary's assets (including Bill's): $10 million-$50 million.

Obama's assets: $456,000-$1.1 million. Okay, so we've got one Dem candidate who is a Commie, then. But only one.

Hard to know what's more dispiriting here: The fact that the AP is willing to print garbage like this without the simplest of fact-checks, or the fact that the author of such sublime foolishness is the frontrunner for the Presidential nomination of one of the two major political parties.

Update: As commenter Eric notes below, Rudy apparently didn't get the Republican National Committee memo saying that a key GOP talking point against Edwards is that his extreme wealth shows that his antipoverty work is driven by pure hypocrisy.

Poll: Overwhelming Majority Wants Congress To Force Bush's Hand On Iraq

Here's some more evidence that there's overwhelming support for Congress confronting Bush over Iraq -- and more evidence that Congress' low approval rating is directly connected to its failure to do enough to rein in Bush and his war policies.

Take a look at this question from the new Washington Post/ABC News poll:

Do you think the Democrats in Congress have done (too much), (too little), or about the right amount to get Bush to change his Iraq war policy?

Too much 17%
Too little 49%
About the right amount 31%

So 80 percent -- that's four in five -- think that Congress is doing the right amount or too little to confront Bush's Iraq policies. And nearly half think Congress isn't doing enough.

Now let's do the math.

Read more »

Another Romney Aide Caught Play-Acting -- This Time As A "Special Ops" Guy

Looks as if you have to have a bizarre delusional view of yourself as a Dirty Harry tough guy in order to qualify to work for Mitt Romney.

As you know, Romney has already seen one aide resign amid charges that he played the role of cop and helped fake badges. Now Romney's revealing once again his peerless talent for making personnel choices.

From the Boston Herald:

An aide to former Gov. Mitt Romney who was linked to the campaign’s alleged use of phony badges has created personal Internet pages where he boasts that he’s a top secret “special ops” employee who toils in the “underbelly of politics.”

Will Ritter, who helps plan Romney’s presidential campaign events, included the bizarre, Jason-Bournesque job description on Internet networking pages that also contain boisterous pictures of him hoisting a champagne bottle in a hot tub and other party shots.

The response from Romney's spokesperson is priceless: “We tell all our employees to be careful of what they post on these networking sites because some reporter will write about it. But I must admit this is pretty tame stuff. It’s a poor attempt by Will to trick people into thinking he’s cool." Indeed.

Next up: Romney aide caught at a plush hotel bar talking in a Brit accent on a cell phone to someone named "M" while ordering a martini "shaken, not stirred."

Rudy's Comic Dissembling About Dems And Terror

This is par for the course, perhaps, but you really have to check out the latest exercise in dishonest hilarity from Rudy Giuliani about the Dem presidential candidates and terrorism. It's very, very special.

Take a look at these comments Rudy has now made about last night's debate in a statement released moments ago:

“Last night, the leading Democratic candidates once again failed to even utter the words 'Islamic terrorism' at their fourth debate...

“The terrorists are at war with us -- whether or not Democrats in Washington and on the campaign trail choose to acknowledge it -- and we must stay on offense to prevail.”

Rudy is beginning to make this line about Dems and "Islamic terrorism" a staple on the stump, so it's worth a moment's attention.

Rudy says here that because the Dems didn't mention "Islamic terrorism" last night, this shows that they don't acknowledge that there's a War On Terror going on.

It's really hard to imagine a grown-up candidate for the post powerful position in the world doing something this buffoonish and childish, but Rudy really appears to be trying to slip this one past people by saying that none of the Dems literally uttered the two words "Islamic" and "terrorism" next to each other. Because the Dems did in fact talk about terrorism last night.

Read more »

Poll: Bush Approval Lower Than Cheney's

It's hard to imagine that anyone in public life is less popular than Dick Cheney, but a new poll finds that one politician has managed to pull it off: George W. Bush.

Take a look at these numbers in this week's new Washington Post/ABC News poll:

Bush
Approve 33%, Disapprove 65%

Cheney
Approve 34%, Disapprove 59%


The last time we know of that a poll found Bush worse off than Cheney was back in January, when a Fox News poll put President Bush's personal unfavorability at 58%, compared to Cheney's 53%.

Meanwhile, the poll also finds that Congress' approval rating is 37%, which is dismal but not as bad as Bush's or Cheney's. Congressional Republicans, however, are faring significantly worse than Congressional Democrats:

Congressional Republicans Approve 34%, Disapprove 64%

Congressional Democrats
Approve 46%, Disapprove 51%

Election Central Debate Roundup

The first part of the debate transcript is available here, and the second part is here.

This debate had many of the same sorts of questions we've seen in traditional, reporter-driven debates, and some of the same pre-rehearsed answers we're used to seeing from the candidates. The key difference, however, was that the questions from everyday people, submitted online, gave the questions a more genuine, human element, putting the candidates on the spot. Overall, it was a moderately successful experiment.

A snap poll taken last night by SurveyUSA finds that Hillary Clinton won the debate with a solid 39%, followed by Barack Obama at 15% and Joe Biden with 14%. And as for who lost the debate, Mike Gravel leads the pack with 33%, followed by Chris Dodd's 12% and Dennis Kucinich at 11%.

On the other hand, as Ben Smith notes, Obama won victories with focus groups at both CNN and Fox News.

Hillary Clinton said to a soldier's mother that the Democrats have tried to convince Republicans to join them in bringing troops home from Iraq — but that it is the administration who are playing politics: "In fact, I asked the Pentagon a simple question: Have you prepared for withdrawing our troops? In response, I got a letter accusing me of being unpatriotic; that I shouldn't be asking questions."

Barack Obama then gave backhanded praise to Hillary Clinton. "I think it's terrific that she's asking for plans from the Pentagon," he said, "and I think the Pentagon response was ridiculous." He then added, to applause, "But what I also know is that the time for us to ask how we were going to get out of Iraq was before we went in."

Joe Biden chastised his competitors for opposing the recent Iraq funding bill, citing the vital new funds for body armor and other supplies contained in that bill: "How in good conscience can you vote not to send those vehicles over there as long as there's one single, solitary troop there?"

Joe Biden also called out Bill Richardson for saying he would bring all the troops home in six months. "You cannot pull out of Iraq without the follow-on that's been projected here, unless you have a political solution" Biden said. "I'm the only one that's offered a political solution." And as Anderson Cooper tried to cut him off, Biden shouted to applause: "Tell the truth for a change."

Barack Obama pledged to meet directly with the leaders of countries like Iran and Syria: "And the reason is this, that the notion that somehow not talking to countries is punishment to them — which has been the guiding diplomatic principle of this administration — is ridiculous."

Hillary Clinton differed with Obama. "I will promise a very vigorous diplomatic effort because I think it is not that you promise a meeting at that high a level before you know what the intentions are," Hillary said. "I don't want to be used for propaganda purposes. I don't want to make a situation even worse"

Asked by a minister how he could use his religious values to deny gay Americans the right to marry, John Edwards seemed to admit his error, saying "I think it is absolutely wrong, as president of the United States, for me to have used that faith basis as a basis for denying anybody their rights, and I will not do that when I'm president of the United States."

After Anderson Cooper tried to cut off Chris Dodd for discussing Darfur when the subject was Iraq, Dodd responded forcefully: "Well, no, because Iraq is related to Darfur, Anderson, here. It's because we're bogged down there at $10 billion a month, we've lost our moral leadership in the world. No one listens to us when it comes to foreign policy. That has to change in this country. That's the difference here."


When Dennis Kucinich discussed dissatisfaction with the Democratic Congress' performance on the war, he began to say, "And, Anderson, right, now if people want to send that message to Congress..." Sensing that Kucinich was about to plug something, Anderson Cooper cut him off and moved on to Chris Dodd. (In fact, Kucinich was promoting his campaign's "Text Peace" drive.)


One questioner asked Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton to respond to accusations about their level of blackness and femininity, respectively. Clinton said "I trust the American people to make a decision that is not about me or my gender, or about Barack or his race or about Bill and his ethnicity, but about what is best for you and your family."

Barack Obama gave a funny answer when asked about the talk that he's not authentically black: "You know, when I'm catching a cab in Manhattan — in the past, I think I've given my credentials."

On that subject, John Edwards said: "But the first thing I want to say — and I want to speak for everybody, I believe, on this stage — anybody who's considering not voting for Senator Obama because he's black or for Senator Clinton because she's a woman, I don't want their vote. I don't want them voting for me."

John Edwards also defended a recent statement by his wife that he was more aggressive on women's issues than Hillary Clinton. He cited his advocacy on poverty, as well as health care and the minimum wage, since "there are more women in poverty than men in poverty." Clinton praised Elizabeth Edwards and merely cited her own record in her defense, adding "But I think it is terrific. We're up here arguing about who's going to be better for women, because isn't that a nice change for everybody to hear."

Dennis Kucinich was the only candidate to outright endorse gay marriage. Barack Obama said it was up to different religious denominations to sanction gay marriages if they choose to, with the government providing equal rights. Chris Dodd attacked the problem as a parent, saying he would want his two daughters to have equal rights should they be gay, endorsing civil unions but adding that marriage was for heterosexuals only. Bill Richardson said he would do what was "achievable" in the domain of gay rights – civil unions, allowing gays in the military, and nondiscrimination in insurance and housing.

Dennis Kucinich was the only candidate to speak up when Anderson Cooper asked if any of the candidates endorsed reparations for slavery. "The Bible says we shall be and must be repairers of the breach," he said, "and a breach has occurred."

Mike Gravel, channeling William Jennings Bryan, denounced the influence of bankers: "The Democratic Party used to stand for the ordinary working man. But the Clintons and the DLC sold out the Democratic Party to Wall Street. Look at where all the money is being raised right now, for Hillary, Obama and Edwards. It's the hedge funds, it's Wall Street bankers, it's the people who brought you what you have today ... It comes from the bankers on Wall Street and of course hedge funds, which is code for bankers on Wall Street. And they're lock, stock and barrel in their pocket."

Joe Biden made a surprising move: Insulting a questioner. In response to a man referring to his prized assault rifle as "my baby," Biden responded, "I'll tell you what, if that is his baby, he needs help. I think he just made an admission against self-interest. I don't know that he is mentally qualified to own that gun. I'm being serious."

The Chris Dodd campaign has again released a scoreboard keeping track of who got to talk the most:



Edwards Campaign: What Matters, Hair Or The Issues?

The Edwards campaign just posted their YouTube promo video, hoping to cut through the media discussion about his hair, and refocus the coverage to his actual issue positions. The ad plays the theme song from Hair, along with pics of the haircuts of Alberto Gonzales — being grilled in a committee hearing; and President Bush — during his "Mission Accomplished speech; plus images of suffering in New Orleans, Iraq and elsewhere. Finally, the ad asks: What really matters?




Happy Hour Roundup

Tonight: The Dems Debate
Be sure to tune in tonight to CNN at 7 p.m. ET, for the CNN/YouTube Democratic debate, in which the Democrats will take questions from ordinary people who have submitted their questions online. A question: Will the questions manage to be more intelligent and incisive than the ones the candidates have received gotten from the reporters moderating the past debates?

Poll: Attitudes About Iraq Terrible — And That's An Improvement
The new CBS/New York Times poll finds continued pessimism from the American people about the war in Iraq. Only 32% believe the war is going well, compared to 66% saying it is going badly — and that is a seven-point improvement from last week. Also, only 19% of respondents felt the surge is making things better, and 63% want a timetable for withdrawal.

Sheehan Gives Pelosi An Impeachment Deadline Of Midnight Tonight
Cindy Sheehan led a demonstration of 200 protesters today, heading from Arlington National Cemetery to the office of House Judiciary Chairman John Conyers (D-MI), demanding the impeachment of President Bush and Vice President Cheney. "Impeachment is not a fringe movement, it is mandated in our Constitution; Nancy Pelosi had no authority to take it off the table," Sheehan told the crowd. "If Nancy Pelosi doesn't do her constitutionally mandated job by midnight ... I will announce that I'm going to run against her."

RNC Out-Raising DNC — But The GOP Is Still Behind Overall
There is some consolation for the Republicans in recent fundraising reports: In the first half of the year, the Republican National Committee has raised $46.4 million, with $15.9 million on hand, compared to only $28.8 million total and $4.7 million on hand for the Democratic National Committee. It is, however, a small consolation — for all federal candidate and party committees, the Dems are ahead of the Republicans by over $100 million.

Outgoing Kentucky Attorney General To Explore Senate Bid Against McConnell
Kentucky Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D) says he will form an exploratory committee for a run against Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R). "It is time we remind Mitch McConnell that he represents Kentucky not George Bush," Stumbo said in e-mail to reporters. Stumbo has served one term as attorney general, marked by ethics investigations against GOP Governor Ernie Fletcher, but lost this year running for lieutenant governor in the Democratic primary, on a ticket with gubernatorial candidate Bruce Lunsford.

New Hampshire GOPer Quits State Government — Rumored To Run For Congress
New Hampshire Commissioner of Health and Human Services John Stephen has announced his resignation, effective August 14. A conservative Republican appointed by Lynch's Republican predecessor, Stephen was not expected to be re-appointed when his four-year term would have ended this October. Sources say he is considering a run for Congress against freshman Democrat Carol Shea-Porter — which would set up a primary with former Congressman Jeb Bradley (R), whom Shea-Porter defeated in a shocking upset last year, and is himself running again.

Brownback Attacks Romney On The Boy Scouts
Sam Brownback has a new press release out attacking Mitt Romney for his pro-gay stances in his 1994 Senate campaign, specifically that he supported service by gay Boy Scout leaders (though he did say the organization had the legal right to exclude them). "Romney's openness to gay scout leaders conflicts with the Scout Oath, which requires Scouts to be 'morally straight,'" the release declares. Romney spokesman Kevin Madden shot back, via David Brody: "Some other campaigns will resort to negative attacks and distortions which is an unfortunate reflection on their campaign's conduct. Governor Romney has been a supporter of the Boy Scouts and has said he supports their right to decide scouting policies."

Dodd To Walk In SEIU's Shoes
Chris Dodd will participate in SEIU's "Walk A Day In My Shoes" program, working as a Head Start teacher this Thursday in Iowa. SEIU has declared that any candidate seeking their endorsement must participate in the program and put forward a health care program. So far John Edwards and Bill Richardson have worked a day. Also intending to take part this summer are Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama — plus Republican candidate Mike Huckabee.

Biden And Edwards Meet Up In Charleston
John Edwards' and Joe Biden's paths accidentally crossed today in Charleston, South Carolina, as the candidates were shaking hands and posing for photo opportunities in the same neighborhood. Both camps seemed unsure of how to handle the public meeting, and to avoid what might look like an ugly confrontation. Finally, Biden joined the crowd around Edwards, with Edwards apparently ignoring Biden's presence. Biden declared to the autograph-signing Edwards, "John, I need one too!"

Finally, the candidates then shook hands and smiled for the cameras.

Althouse Continues Screaming -- Sorry, "Shouting" -- About Our Rudy Video

Whew -- thanks for the warning, Atrios!

The epithets are still flying over in the Wingnut Animal House over our posting of video the other day of Rudy Giuliani screaming "bulls#$t" at a cop rally 15 years ago, with Ann Althouse leading the snarling pack. They're mad about this post asking them if they still think the Rudy vid is irrelevant now that the larger racial context has been spelled out.

Intriguingly, Althouse again argues in a very, very long post that Rudy Giuliani didn't "scream" in the video, but was merely "shouting." After making that case at length, Althouse then gets real tough:

Now get up off your ass and write a real response to me. I'm sick of these cranked out non-responses that pretend you've suffered no real attack. You have!

Okay! Okay! Uncle! I have suffered a real attack! Hellllllllppp! I'm under real attack! Althouse told me so!

Althouse also adds:

Now, do a proper update and apologize to me.

Er, no?

This really is blog-clowning at its most sublime. Just for the fun of it, let's take a look at the New Oxford American Dictionary definition of the word "scream."

Read more »

Great Moments In Political Photography

There's already reason to believe that The New York Times's editors -- with an assist from reporter Leslie Wayne -- may have stopped feeling obliged to even pretend they see the need to cover the Edwards campaign fairly. Now check out the picture the paper ran with its latest piece on him:




Um, half the photo is taken up by: "Hillary, Hillary..."


Photos like this, it should be noted, are the sort of thing that drives some campaign staffers mad with grief -- and makes other campaign staffers high-five each other. I don't need to tell you which campaign is fuming and which is high-fiving here.


Really, now. Is this angle the only pic of Edwards The Times had at its disposal?

Quote Of The Day II

"Fred Thompson has departed the world of television in order to enter the world of television."
— Newt Gingrich, quoted by National Review at an American Spectator breakfast this morning.

Breaking: Hillary, Webb Demand Hearings On Pentagon's Iraq Withdrawal Planning

Game on. Again.

Ratcheting up her war with the Pentagon, Hillary Clinton is joining with Senators Jim Webb, Evan Bayh, and Robert Byrd to demand that the Senate Committee on Armed Services hold hearings to determine the status of the Pentagon's contingency plans for withdrawal with Iraq.

"The need for the Committee to know the status of Department of Defense redeployment planning is clear, yet past efforts by individual members to obtain this information were rebuffed," the Senators have written in a letter just sent to Armed Services chair Carl Levin.

The demand could dramatically increase the public attention on the standoff between Senator Clinton and the Pentagon over Defense Department contingency plans for the withdrawal of troops from Iraq.

This could have the effect of putting more pressure on the Pentagon to release info to Congress about its planning for the possibility or eventuality of withdrawal -- as well as draw increased media attention to a standoff that carries obvious political benefits for Hillary in the context of Democratic Primary politics.

More after the jump.

Read more »

Fox News: Number One Winner In Iraq Debate Is...Joe Lieberman!

Fun times in Joe-land.

Fox News offers its choices for the winners and losers in last week's Senate debate, which led up to the GOP's successful effort to block a vote on the Reed-Levin Iraq withdrawal measure:

WINNERS:

1. Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.): Lieberman has proven to be a strong advocate of winning the war in Iraq. Early on in the faux filibuster, he noted that “the fanatics that run Iran, who exhort the tens of thousands to shout ‘Death to America’ ... don’t distinguish between Republicans and Democrats ... and we should have the common sense, let alone the sense of responsibility to our country, to come together to defend our nation against those who want to destroy us."

Maybe this, via Atrios, is the real reason for Fox's gratitude:

Lately, though, Lieberman has taken his alliance with GOP leaders up a notch. During the abortive debate on the defense authorization bill, he attended daily tactical sessions to help them plan their strategy for combatting anti-war amendments and their rhetorical points for use against the Democrats. And in a fitting symbolic twist, some of those meetings convened just down the hall from the office of Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada, who essentially owes his 51-seat majority to Lieberman’s continued caucusing with the Democrats.

Quote Of The Day

"Given how often Romney flip-flops, tomorrow he will be touting his membership in the Communist Party."

-- Hillary spokesperson Kathleen Strand, responding to Mitt Romney's eye-openingly buffoonish charge that Hillary's economic policies make her akin to Karl Marx. As a general rule we avoid awarding the Quote of the Day to campaign spokespeople, but that's a darn good one.

Rudy Launches First Ads In Iowa And New Hampshire

Rudy Giuliani is going up on the radio waves with his first targeted ad buy of the primary, producing a trio of radio ads that are set to start running tomorrow in Iowa and New Hampshire.

None of the three ads focus on his 9/11 performance. Rather, they're all focussed on his record as mayor on the economy and crime. This suggests that his campaign is taking steps to ensure that his record, and not just his alleged 9/11 heroism, is front and center before the voters -- and perhaps that his campaign is wary of being perceived to be politicizing 9/11.

The ads, unsurprisingly, are tailored to the conservative activists who drive GOP primaries, striking conservative themes on tax cuts, fiscal discipline, and law and order. One ad quotes consevative columnist George Will describing Giuliani's tenure as mayor as "the most successful episode of conservative governance in this country in the last 50 years.”

We have audio and transcripts of the ads for you after the jump.

Read more »

Bush Sinks To Record Low Of 25%

A new ARG poll finds that President Bush's approval number has officially hit the mid-twenties mark -- 25% -- for what appears to be the first time ever. According to the calculator, this means that precisely one in four respondents now approves of his performance.

ARG says that's a new low in its polling, and indeed, we can't find any other poll in our trusty Election Central Poll Tracker with as low a number for Bush. Still looking.

Oh, and ARG also finds that Bush also smashed a second record in its poll: His disapproval number has soared to 71%, the highest yet in ARG polling.

More Adolescent Fibbing About Hillary From Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney often seems a bit like a kind of cross between an oily confidence man and a snickering adolescent. You can easily imagine him running a Three-Card Monte scam in a high-school cafeteria.

Case in point: Romney's latest attack on Hillary, in which he tries to portray her as a Marxist by distorting a recent Hillary speech with an almost comically childish level of dishonesty. Here's Romney:

"Hillary Clinton just gave a speech the other day about her view on the economy. She said we have been an on-your-own society. She said it's time to get rid of that and replace that with shared responsibility and we're-in-it-together society," Romney told the crowd. "That's out with Adam Smith and in with Karl Marx."

Yuk, yuk, yuk...Karl Marx...

...yuk, yuk...

...yuk...

The Hillary speech Romney appears to be referring to is here. She said:

It's time for a new beginning, for an end to government of the few, by the few and for the few, time to reject the idea of an "on your own" society and to replace it with shared responsibility for shared prosperity. I prefer a "we're all in it together" society.

Now, there is no greater force for economic growth than free markets, but markets work best with rules that promote our values, protect our workers and give all people a chance to succeed.

Man, that's good. Hillary praised free markets in the sentence just after the one Romney quoted in order to prove that she's a Marxist!

And it isn't even the first time Mitt's done this, either -- this gag seems to have become a standard in Mitt's repertoire. Truly, Bart Simpson couldn't top this one.

Election Central Morning Roundup

Tonight: The First Democratic Debate?

The Washington Post writes this morning about how tonight's CNN/YouTube debate is in fact the first debate officially sanctioned by the national Democratic Party, out of six total sanctioned events. On the other hand, the demand for debates by various interest groups and media outlets has resulted in the Democratic meeting three times already. And there will be more unofficial debates — in a single week in August alone, there will be three debates planned for Detroit, Chicago and Los Angeles.

Poll: Hillary Continues To Enjoy Large National Lead

The new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows Hillary Clinton maintaining a large national primary lead over the other Democrats. Clinton has 39% support, followed by Barack Obama at 28%, Al Gore with 14%, and John Edwards at 9%. Without Al Gore in the race, Hillary's lead only grows: Clinton 45%, Obama 30%, Edwards 12%.

Poll: Rudy Leads In Florida, But Other GOPers Lose To The Dems

A new Quinnipiac poll of Florida shows Rudy Giuliani enjoying leads over the Democrats, beating Hillary Clinton 46%-44% and Barack obama 47%-39%. However, Clinton defeats John McCain 46%-40%, and Obama beats McCain 42%-38%, and both of them beat Fred Thompson by even wider margin. If Mike Bloomberg is thrown into the mix as an independent, he appears to draw more support from the Republican column, with Hillary Clinton taking 41% to Rudy Giuliani's 39%, and Bloomberg at 9%.

Democrats Winning The Money Race Big Time

The Wall St. Journal reports that Democratic candidates for the House and Senate have out-raised their Republican counterparts by an astonishing $100 million margin, $388.8 million to $287.3 million thus far in the cycle, "putting them on track to win the money race for the White House and Congress for the first time since the government began detailed accounting of campaign fund raising three decades ago." In the presidential race alone, Democrats lead $179.3 million to $118 million.

Hillary Camp Hits Back At Romney For Calling Her A Marxist

At a New Hampshire GOP fundraiser yesterday, Mitt Romney said of Hillary Clinton, "She said we have been an on-your-own society. She said it's time to get rid of that and replace that with shared responsibility and we're-in-it-together society. That's out with Adam Smith and in with Karl Marx." Hillary spokeswoman Kathleen Strand shot back via the Associated Press: "Given how often Romney flip-flops, tomorrow he will be touting his membership in the Communist Party."

McCain: I Will Repeal The Alternative Minimum Tax

At a speech today before the Detroit Economic Club, John McCain will reportedly call for the repeal of the alternative minimum tax, first enacted in 1969 to make sure the very wealthy do not take advantage of loopholes in order to avoid paying taxes. McCain will base his argument on the fact that the tax has never been indexed to inflation, and could affect as many as 30 million people by 2010. "I am committed to repealing this tax before millions of American families are forced to devote even more of their hard work to paying for the spending largesse in Washington," McCain will say, according to excerpts of his prepared remarks given to the Associated Press.

Rudy To Travel To England, Seek Thatcher's Approval

Rudy Giuliani will visit London this September, where he will deliver a lecture organized by the think tank Atlantic Bridge, and meet with former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney have already met with Thatcher, who was closely allied with Ronald Reagan during her time in office and is viewed by many conservatives as a link to their period of dominance in the 1980's.

Romney On The "Obama Osama" Sign: Lighten Up

At a town hall in New Hampshire yesterday, Mitt Romney was faced with a question about the photos of him holding up a sign likening Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton to Osama bin Laden. "I get a lot of pictures taken with you [waving to indicate the crowd as a whole], and I don't really spend a lot of time looking at the signs, and the T-shirts and the buttons," Romney said. When the questioner continued to yell out his moral outrage, Romney answered back sharply: "You know what? Lighten up slightly."



Late Update: This post originally said the Romney town hall event was in Iowa. It was in fact in New Hampshire.

Election Central Sunday Roundup

Romney Aide Resigns Over Accusations Of Cop Impersonation
Jay Garrity, a top aide to Mitt Romney, has resigned amidst accusations that he not only impersonated a police officer in pulling over a New York Times reporter, but even allegedly had fake badges made for other staffers. "I have resigned from the Mitt Romney for President campaign so that the media attention on me will not become a distraction to the campaign’s efforts," Garrity said in a statement. "I am completely confident that I will be cleared of any wrongdoing because the allegations being made against me are demonstrably false."

New York Times Looks At Rudy's History In Racial Politics
A new piece in the New York Times looks at Rudy Giuliani's experiences in New York race relations. A key turning point seems to have been the 1989 race for mayor. Going into that campaign, Rudy had been a long-time civil rights advocate who hoped to harness the black vote against Ed Koch — for example, he attacked Koch for referring to Democratic primary challenger David Dinkins as a "Jesse Jackson Democrat," calling it a racial code word. But after Dinkins won the Democratic primary, Giuliani himself called Dinkins a "Jesse Jackson Democrat," and his narrow loss in the face of a monolithic black vote for Dinkins then propelled him to his new strategy of courting Jews and other white ethnics. Another analysis of Rudy's exploitation of New York's racial tensions as he rose to power is right here.

Wingnut Bloggers On Rudy's Racially-Charged "Bull#$t" Moment: Who Cares?
Still more clowning from the winger bloggers -- this time on the topic of Rudy and race.

Obama To AFSCME: I Will Walk The Picket Line
Seeking to win over the labor crowd at the Iowa state AFSCME convention, Barack Obama told the assembled union organizers that he would personally walk a picket line as president. "I stood on the picket line and marched with workers at the Congress Hotel in Chicago last week," Obama said. "I had marched with them four years earlier and I told them when I left that if they were still fighting four years from now, I'd be back on that picket line as president of the United States and we'll get the Congress Hotel organized."

Romney Scaling Back Spending On The Straw Poll
Mitt Romney's campaign is planning to spend less money on the Iowa straw poll next month. While this is officially because of the decisions by John McCain and Rudy Giuliani to pull out of the straw poll, it may also be an effort to tamp down expectations that Romney has to win it by an overwhelming margin against Sam Brownback, who is giving his all to bring out social conservatives who do not yet trust Romney.

McCain Loses South Carolina Supporter To Fred Thompson
John McCain has lost the support of Cyndi Mosteller, former chair of the Charleston County Republican Party and a key backer of McCain's 2000 campaign. Citing McCain's support for the immigration bill, which she called "a national security issue," Mosteller now expects to support Fred Thompson when he officially becomes a candidate. And in other news, Patrick Anderson, who served as John McCain's coalition director of field operations for the Iowa campaign before the recent shake-ups, has signed up to be Duncan Hunter's Iowa director.

California PAC Raising Money For Independent Expenditures For Obama
Despite Barack Obama's vow not to accept donations from political action committees, a PAC has formed in California, called Vote Hope 2008, dedicated to helping him win the state's primary whether he wants their help or not. The PAC's spokeswoman, Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, told the Boston Globe that they have thus far raised $108,000, and are well on their way to their goal of raising $2 million. Although federal law prohibits a PAC from donating more than $5,000 to a campaign, Vote Hope 2008 appears to have found a loophole: There is no restriction on activities that are not coordinated with the campaign they're supporting. Individuals can donate up to $5,000 to the PAC, thus enabling donors who have already given $2,300 to Obama the chance to more than triple their financial support.

DCCC Raising Money To Retire Candidate's Personal Credit Card Debt
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee will hold a fundraiser on August 1, featuring chairman Chris Van Hollen and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, to retire the $35,000 in personal credit card debt that Democratic candidate Larry Kissell ran up in his near-miss campaign last year against Congressman Robin Hayes (R-NC). Kissell lost by 329 votes out of 121,523 cast, despite being outspent more than 3-1 by Hayes, and has the DCCC's full backing in his new campaign for the seat in 2008.

Tommy Thompson: Romney Is Copying My Iowa Bus Tour
During an Iowa campaign stop yesterday, Tommy Thompson charged that Mitt Romney's new bus tour of the state is going to all the same places that Thompson himself has visited on his current tour. "I’m the one that started the bus tour, and Romney is copying me," Thompson said. "And what’s the best sense of flattery? It’s when they copy you ... He’s following me around the state because I think he’s seeing the polls and seeing we’re starting to grow, and that’s going to be threatening to him."

Wingnut Bloggers Rush To Dismiss Rudy's Racially-Charged "Bulls#$t" Moment

Really, it almost seems at times as if the wingnut bloggers delight in setting themselves up for mockery and parody.


The latest winger pratfall-in-the-making concerns the video we posted the other day of Rudy screaming "bulls#$t" at a cop rally 15 years ago.


Bloggers Michelle Malkin, Ann Althouse, and Ace of Spades are all taking shots at us for posting the vid, arguing that it was absurd to do so because it has no significance in any way.

It's the usual ham-fisted and heavy-handed stuff. Malkin says it "makes the Left-o-sphere look even more ridiculous than they already are." Althouse says we're simply "trying to hurt" Rudy (sniffle, sniffle) and even tries to claim that Rudy isn't "screaming," but rather is "shouting" (now there's a critical distinction). And Ace of Space grinds the gears furiously to produce something that is apparently supposed to constitute some sort of satire -- truly something you don't want to miss.

Memo to wingnuts: There's a little something about Rudy's "bulls#$t" moment that we know and that you don't know.

Read more »

The Real Meaning Of Rudy Screaming "Bulls#$t"

Is it relevant at all that Rudy screamed "bulls#$t" at a cop rally 15 years ago, as the video we posted the other day shows? Does it matter? Should we have bothered taking note of it at all?


Several TPM Readers have written in to answer these questions with a resounding "No." One reader said that focusing on that moment was "petty" and that his "bulls#$t" moment paled alongside his more glaring flaws.


But there's a larger significance to Rudy's outburst that day that many who aren't from New York will completely miss. In many ways that aren't immediately apparent, that little moment, which had strong resonance in New York for years and years, embodies to a surprising degree Rudy's whole story -- his overwhelming drive, his monumentally flawed character, and his willingness to exploit the city's racial tensions in order to take power.


Indeed, as if right on cue, today's New York Times has a lengthy article on Rudy and race that has a sizable description and analysis of, yes, just this "bulls#$t" moment and its larger significance. As The Times notes, this moment resonated in New York for many, many years.

Read more »

« July 15, 2007 - July 21, 2007 | Election Central Home | July 29, 2007 - August 4, 2007 »

Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address