« Quote Of The Day | Home | Fred Thompson To Make First New Hampshire Visit »

Rudy's Strategy: Refighting The War With Liberals He Won In The 1990s

As noted below, Rudy attacked John Edwards over terrorism today, hitting the Dem for the speech he gave yesterday unveiling his anti-terror policies.

But before getting too caught up in the politics of this, it's important to note that Rudy is making a substantive argument about terrorism that -- as absurdly simplistic as it is -- needs to be rebutted.

Rudy:

"We are not in a war, where the root cause of this war is poverty. Bin Laden comes from one of the richest families in the world," Giuliani added. "Mohamed Atta, who was the guy principally responsible for 9/11 was based in Germany and he was well educated. I don't think he was exactly drinking dirty water. And the reality is, is that [Dems] are coming at it from their liberal mindset of what must cause crime and they are not wrong about that. But terrorism is not caused by poverty. The Islamic terrorist movement, the root cause of it has to do with ideology and a perversion of religion, an idea that they are intolerant of the way we live. And to be a leader, if you lack clarity it is very very dangerous."

The Rudy game plan here, we think, is to refight the war with liberalism he fought over crime in New York City in the 1990s.

Back then Rudy argued that poverty wasn't the root cause of crime, casting his foes as pansies who cared about the welfare of criminals and thugs and didn't have what it takes to deal with them. Now he's merely parroting the same points that worked for him last time, replacing the word "crime" with the word "terrorism." Indeed, he actually used the word crime in the above excerpt.

Rudy's broadside today was the same stuff: He knows what it takes to deal with them and understands that the only thing they understand is a kick in the teeth. Dems are wussies who don't get this.

This is clearly Rudy's emerging strategy. Despite having exactly zero national security experience, he's audaciously positioning himself as the most trustworthy and credible voice on terror and what to do about it. And incidentally, the political media is already signaling that it may let him get away with this monumental ruse. The media appears willing to cede Rudy an aura of national security experience based on nothing more than the fact that he held a bunch of press conferences in the aftermath of 9/11.

Rudy's argument may be absurd and simplistic and reveal that he has, well, no idea what the heck he's talking about. But it's an argument all the same. We'll be hearing a lot of it. And if Dems don't rebut it, no one will.

Which gives rise to a question: How should Dems handle it? We're the first to admit that we're not terribly qualified to address this (we're hoping to do some reporting on the question going forward). But we're not sure whether the responses we've seen thus far -- not the terrorism speeches, the responses -- will cut it in the long run. Sure, it's cool that Edwards is making the point that Rudy equals more of Bush's disastrously awful policies. And perhaps Rudy can be counted on to reveal his inner buffoon and blow himself in some way or another.

But should Dems really bank on that? Isn't more called for here, response-wise? Or is this sufficient for now? That's a question for all of you. Thoughts?


71 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic
Despite having exactly zero national security experience, he's audaciously positioning himself as the most trustworthy and credible voice on terror and what to do about it.

Issue a broadside that starts attacking this. Mention Bernie Kerik, repeatedly. Mention that Rudy chose to house emergency operations in a building that had already been attacked in a terrorist attack. Don't be afraid to mention 9/11. Rudy's going to. Attack his perceived strengths. Wonder out loud to the media why no one is really taking a critical look at Rudy's claims. Highlight the fact that heroic NYFD firefighters think Rudy's crap. Get down and dirty and start rolling around in the muck.

Hell, pay Paul Krugman to write about it--he did a great job in today's Times about Romney.

user-pic

yes, agreed, Dems do need to undercut Rudy's 9/11 credentials. the media certainly won't do it...

user-pic

The myth of Rudy. Although Giuliani alienated minorities, especially Blacks, he was a pretty good Mayor. However, it was Ed Koch, not Guiliani who really waged the war with the Far Left. Koch helped right the City after the financial crisis and showed it could be governed.

Koch's successor was a terrible mayor. However, many of the crime reduction tactics that Guiliani takes a bow for was started by Ray Kelly, the then and now police commissioner, under Dinkins.

It is just true that rising crime rates, services that seems unworkable and growing desertion by the middle class led New Yorkers to be fed up with the "lets solve the social causes" argument. Guiliani benefited from that and the fact that Blacks and Hispanic Democrats would rather fight with each other than elect a White Democrat.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

user-pic

This is exactly right.

Mention Kerik and the clueless Van Essen.

Mention the incompetence after the 1993 attack placing the city's emergecy management in the towers.

Mention the total lack of coordination between FDNY and NYPD in the 9/11 response because he (rudy) wanted to be the center of all decisions and appointed incompetent yes-men as fire and police commissioners.

Mention the total disorganization in the recovery process (until FEMA took control)

Mention the despise felt by the NYPD and FDNY. interview the retired chiefs and commissioners!!

He has absolutely no terrorism credentials.

C

user-pic

Well, for one thing, the argument slips right past an important distinction. "Terrorism" in these instances is a movement with (at least symbolic) leadership. Street crime of the kind Giuliani claims credit for suppressing has no ideology and no management.

Furthermore a figurehead like Bin Laden may be rich. The followers probably aren't. It seems to be the case that some suicide bombers are motivated by the benefits their martyrdom brings to their families.

The analogy falls apart when you pick at any of its loose threads.

user-pic

To my mind, Giuliani's "game plan" might really work. Giuliani understands that no one has ever won an election by having a more profound, empathetic understanding of one's "enemies." While understanding the roots of terrorism has great utility, it is a political dead end; better to attack Giuliani and Bush camp for incompetence and our lack of allies in fighting Terrorism.

user-pic

yes, in fact the Iraq Study Group report says that poverty fuels recruitment opportunities...

user-pic

Giuliani has to be discredited. More importantly, he has to be made an object of ridicule. The bully that cows his opponents is powerful. The bully that gets meets forceful opposition can marshall supporters. The bully that is successfully mocked and ridiculed is impotent. That doesn't mean that discrediting his argument on an intellectual level is unimportant, but it does mean that he must be an object of derision to be discredited thoroughly.

user-pic

And the reality is, is that

[Dems] are coming at it from their liberal mindset of what must cause crime and they are not wrong about that.
But terrorism is not caused by poverty.

Geez Greg how could you screw that up? He says Dems are right in that poverty causes crime. But he further says poverty doesn't cause terrorism and goes on to cite Bin Ladin's family's wealth and Atta's family, (dad a doctor, sister a lawyer I think).

What Guiliani gets completely wrong is that it doesn't matter if you are rich or poor if you hold yourself up as a champion of the downtrodden and oppressed. Personal wealth is irrelevant. There's nobody ridiculing Bin Laden in the Arab world for being rich. And the only people who mock Edwards here for his wealth while he fights poverty are Repubs.

Another thing Guiliani and about everybody else gets wrong is that they hate us for our "freedoms". I'm sure those angry alienated kids in Cairo and Riyadh would like a little of our freedom to protest, or free elections without getting their heads caved in or worse. Intolerant of the way we live? Bullshit, they love our movies, music and Oprah is one of most popular tv shows in Baghdad.

They hate us because we're hyporcrits propping up tinhorn dictators in their countries at their expense. They hate us because we torture and bomb people juts like them. They hate us because they see us stealing their only patrimony: oil for a relative pittance.

user-pic

If 7 years of Bush have taught us anything, it is that there's a fine line between tough and dumb. Rudy is further across that line than Bush and McCain combined.

This is the guy who couldn't get the police and fire dept. radios to communicate with each other.

user-pic
Blacks and Hispanic Democrats would rather fight with each other than elect a White Democrat.

Jerry Brown did all right in Oakland. The idiot press also got to calling him a conservative because he was tough on crime though as far as I know his police force didn't need to sodomize arrestees or use strangers for target practice.

The idea that one is forced to choose between a law 'n order Republican and a corrupt Democrat is ludicrous.

Much of the problem arises when ethnic politics rears its ugly head. Brown had plenty of opposition as a white guy heading up an African-American enclave.

Best, Terry

user-pic

If I understand Giuliani's argument, he is saying that the root cause of terrorism is not poverty, but that it is RELIGION. So his position is that we are in a war against an opposing ideology, a CRUSADE if you will, where the only way to win is to eliminate the other side's ideas. This is a very radical position for a mainstream candidate to explicitly take. I would also say that religious wars are not something that modern first-world nations engage in any longer.

As Lincoln once said, there are two ways to get rid of enemies...one is to kill them but the best way is to turn them into friends. Sun Tzu said that the best way to defeat enemies is to take away his allies. I would say that if we combined those two strategies, we could defeat the worst of our religious enemies by not being so HATEFUL that our potential friends stay estranged from us. If it were not so obvious to the world that we did intend to KEEP Iraq, then we would find a lot more friends willing to help us pacify Iraq.

user-pic

I agree. howard said, in a comment about the previous Edwards vs. Giuliani soundbite smackdown, the following:

if there's one thing the last couple of presidential elections have shown us (and hell, maybe it was always true), it's that the more substantive candidate doesn't get his substance heard over the din of the noise machine.

so i'd say stick with the "more terrorists and fewer allies" formulation and the "you want four more years of bush? vote giuliani" formulation and leave it at that.

(Shout out to howard)

I'd like elections to be about ideas that have consequences, with serious discussions about policy decisions, the shared governance between three branches, the future of the country, etc, etc, etc.

I really would.

What I want, desperately, however, is to ensure that a Republican does not take office in January 2009. Therefore, while this sounds very much "the ends justify the means" sort of reasoning, if getting dirty and slapping out soundbites takes some of the shine off totalitarian Rudy, and "shoulders you could land a 747 on" Romney, and the Straight Talk Express, then do it, and do it often.

user-pic

I saw that, but I think what he meant is that they are not wrong for acting in accordance with their own mindset...

user-pic

Agree. Al Quaeda leaders may be rich and well educated but their recruits come from among the lower paid and unemployed of the poorer regions and neighborhoods.

user-pic

Rudy is offering Americans a prescription for perpetual war because Rudy doesn't realize that Islamic terrorists aren't Squeegee men. Unless something is done to ameliorate the economic and political conditions that turn an average person into a terrorist, no amount of military action or suppression of civil liberties at home or abroad will ever prevent the creation of more terrorists. It's perpetual despair that causes the average person to join with the ranting crazies and become willing to sacrifice their own life in a terrorist act. Simply give people hope that things will get better without resorting to bombing innocents and the crazies will be marginalized. Rudy will never do that and , unfortunately for him, he can't simply conduct police sweeps throughout the whole world and lock up everyone who he doesn't want to hear or doesn't like to look at. Americans wouldn't stand for it either, seeing as they are already tired of the occupation of Iraq.

user-pic

I'm really getting tired of Democrats not having a coherent response to this kind of nonsense. Competent policy experts have been saying for years that the proper approach to handling terrorism isn't to treat it like it's a crime wave, but rather to treat it as we treated international maritime piracy. States that support or harbor terrorists need to be sanctioned and the terrorist groups they harbor thereby contained and prevented from threatening the international community of nations. It isn't that hard to do, and it's been proven to work again and again throughout history. The fact that Democrats can't or won't bring themselves to break away from their embrace of GOP idiocy on this subject is probably the most dismaying aspect of American politics today.

—s9 ...nearly overwhelmed with despair for this topic at this point.

user-pic
It's perpetual despair that causes the average person to join with the ranting crazies and become willing to sacrifice their own life in a terrorist act.

Nawwww.

It is the frustration of rising expectations.

I think most of those historians who studied the French Revolution would agree with Marxists that it was not deteriorating conditions that sparked the revolution but the increase in wealth alongside privilege.

Giuliani's mindset would never admit of the distinction that it is injustice, real or perceived, that incites rebellion rather than ideology as such.

Best, Terry

user-pic

This should be so easy for any one with any sense to refute. Rudy is simply arguing that the enemy is a well-financed *idea*. The "idea" we are fighting is no more complex than "America sucks because of its freedoms."

The Dems' answer to this should be "duh, Cold War." How did we win the cold war? By forming unbreakable military and economic alliances; and by actively promoting our Western values. An ideology can not win if its potential adherents would rather watch MTV and drink Starbucks, than blow you up.

Even shorter: "capitalism" will save us again.

Of course, this is as simplistic an answer as Rudy's, but it is the only way to express the history of this thing without running out of time due to Paris Hilton coverage.

user-pic

Absolutely right, and good point. That's precisely what Rudy did on crime--set up a battle between mushy headed liberals intent on understanding root causes and Himself, a man well in touch with the true nature of Crime and now Terrorism.

Know thine opponent ...

user-pic

The democrats and spefically Edwards need to go hard at Giuliani's 9/11 performance. Go after his mistakes in the years preceding 9/11 with the dysfunctional radios and situating his command center in WTC 7.

On the day in question Rudy basically wandered the streets around the WTC with his entourage as the disaster unfolded.

In Giuliani's obsession with destroying and removal of the crime scene, many human remains were allowed to be mixed in with debris, some remains could have ended up filling potholes.

The Dems have to be ruthless in exposing Giuliani as a fraud.

user-pic

Also get into Giuliani Partners, who they were, and who they did business with.

"iuliani’s chosen partners at Giuliani Partners included a former FBI administrator, Pasquale J. D'Amuro, who admitted taking artifacts from Ground Zero, Alan Placa, a former Roman Catholic priest who was accused of covering up sexual abuse in the church, and Bernard Kerik, Giuliani's former police commissioner, who was later accused of having ties to organized crime."

"One of Giuliani's clients during this time included an admitted drug smuggler, Hank Asher, who according to a shareholder in the company, hired Giuliani for his "influence with the federal government to enable Mr. Asher to take an active role in Seisint as a chief executive officer despite the allegations about his drug dealing." Giuliani helped Asher's company get $12 million in government grants. After Asher's past was publicly revealed, he resigned from the company; Giuliani defended him to newspapers without mentioning that Asher was a paying client. After Asher's resignation, investors in the company, Seisint, looked into how much Giuliani Partners had been paid: $2 million a year in fees, a commission on sales of Seisint products, and 800,000 warrants for Seisint stock, which would prove valuable when Seisent was sold to Lexis Nexis for $775 million. One investor sued the board, claiming that Giuliani's contributions had not been worth the large amount paid.

In representing a pharmaceutical company, Purdue Pharma, maker of OxyContin, in a case against the Drug Enforcement Administration, Giuliani negotiated a $2 million fine and no further penalty for what the DEA called "lax security" at plants that produced OxyContin, which the DEA said was being used as a recreational drug. The lead DEA investigator later said that Purdue Pharma got off easily in the case because of Giuliani's connections to government officials. Giuliani later represented Purdue Pharma in a recently settled case in which the DEA accused the company of marketing OxyContin by playing down its level of addictive properties. Giuliani met with government lawyers six times to help negotiate a settlement in the case. Clients of Giuliani Partners are required to sign confidentiality agreements, so they do not comment about the work they get done or the amount that thay have paid for it. Giuliani has refused to talk about his clients, the work he did for them, the compensation he received from them, or any details about the company."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rudy_Giuliani#Giuliani_Partners
(not an even-handed article, but character is fate)

user-pic

.
First, I agree that the argument needs to be rebutted.

Second, and most important, is to realize that for most voters this is a gut-level issue. As Lakoff has suggested, Democrats and liberals tend to be a bit too intellectual and focussed on policy.

Previous posters are on the right track. Paint Rudy as a rube, cut from the same cloth as Bush, and associate him with the kinds of outcomes that Bush got.

For example, bring up Kerik and call him "Heckuva-Job-Bernie", to invoke Brown and the FEMA disaster in New Orleans.

The goal is not to make the "winning" argument on the facts. The goal is to get voters to feel less safe if they vote for Rudy, and more safe if they vote for a Democrat. That judgement is not made in the head, for most people. It's made in the gut.

That's why this issue (terrorism) has worked so well for so long for Rove, et al. They know how to aim for the gut.

-- ARG

user-pic

Rudy is actually doing us a favor, and dismantling the Bush web of scary lies. As stupid as he is, he is demystifying the terrorism problem.

It's no longer about a handful of inscrutible, black-hooded ideologues doing crazy horrible stuff to us. It's just plain global crime and needs to be dealt with that way. It's not a Global War on Terror, it's a Global War on Crime. Rudy knows how to deal with just plain criminals.

Doesn't anybody see an opportunity here?

user-pic

The problem is that Guiliani has a good point and we ignore it our peril. The threat posed by Islamic uber-fundamentalism is real and as he says is not caused by poverty or perceived lack of opportunity. Read carefully what he said and it easily could be the words of any of the Dems. The war...hot or cold .. or something between.. is real and progressives must never be, or appear to be dismissive of peoples concerns about the threat posed. Keep always in mind that if a Dem is in the White House and one or more 9-11's occur it will be decades before there's another Democrat elected and civil liberties will be dealt a critical blow. Be and sound tough and forceful on this issue or lose to someone with no concern for the niceties of personal freedoms.

user-pic

Shorter: Rudy coddles drug smugglers, priests accused of sexual abuse, and defends a company that thinks Oxycontin's for everyone.

user-pic

Are you the same Michael Powell who writes for the Times and wrote this cute bit of satire?

Your mama needs to reinsert the irony squiggly in your DNA. But congratulations: It's really hard to read that piece and take every single word seriously, but you done it. Another irony-immune blogger. You go dude.

Michael Powell

user-pic

Crime went down under Giuliani, but the downturn actually started under David Dinkins, his predecessor. The strategy of cracking down on low-level crime (vandalism, jumping turnstiles) was actually the creation of William Bratton, his chief of police - Giuliani ran Bratton out of the city when he started getting too much credit. In addition, the drop in crime came exactly when Bill Clinton was president and the economy of NYC improved, so maybe it really is about poverty after all.

So the rebut is easy. The way to stop him from transferring his crime-fighting reputation to anti-terrorism is to point out that the crime-fighting reputation itself is inflated and largely unjustified. Emphasize that if he does get the GOP nomination, he's not even going to carry NYC. Remind people that he ran for the Senate against Hillary Clinton but dropped out, supposedly because of his prostate cancer. That was a lie - he dropped out because he knew he would lose to her. His achievement such as it is was being the only public figure who acted responsibly on 9/11, but otherwise he's a very divisive figure. Look at his actual record when he was mayor - the pettiness, authoritarianism and needless troublemaking are all there. I've lived in New York for 25 years and watched all this happen firsthand.

By the way, calling him "Rudy" is the kind of chummy familiarity that gave us "W" and made "Arnold" the governor of California. It doesn't help. Stop it.

user-pic

It is very, very interesting that Rudy equates terrorism with crime here. For the past six years, the Bush administration has been saying: "Terrorism is NOT a crime, it is a WAR on Terror. It is for the military to handle. It is not a criminal thing. It is about rogue regimes, which need to be militarily decapitated."

Now here's Giuliani saying the oppopsite.

user-pic

Rudy's broadside today was the same stuff: He knows what it takes to deal with them and understands that the only thing they understand is a kick in the teeth. Dems are wussies who don't get this.

I was one of "them" in NYC in the 90s. Getting frisked by 3 gun toting cops while carrying an arm full of groceries. Come out of your front door and have guns drawn on you and be frisked because of "a puffy jacket". Rudolph Hitler put the mindset in place that had Abner Louima plunged and Amadou Diallo murdered.

But thanks to Rudy I left NYC for the less racist and less abusive South.

------------

I wish Edwards would mention his mafia dad, his mafia chauffeur/homeland security director or his inability to keep his own family together.

Rudy is asking for a kick to the balls. I guess he is scared of Obama and Hillary.

user-pic

I think a useful exercise would be to assume that he is correct. Let's say that the movement is headed by implacable ideologues. What would you do then?

As a separate issue one can argue whether Giuliani is the best man for the job.

Once the idea that we are up against fanatics is planted in people's minds then it can't be dislodged by sociological arguments. What is needed is some sort of appeal that reaches the same emotional level.

The US has had plenty of experience in dealing with foes seen in this light. The Nazis being the most obvious example. I think what worked at the time was a combination of demonizing them coupled with a theme that we were morally superior to that sort of behavior. The British were very good at that, no matter what sorts of horrors they inflicted on the colonial subjects they always maintained that they were perfect gentleman.

We have lost the moral high ground, and I think a candidate that promises to restore it will see support. The GOP candidates have all indicated that they would nuke Iran or increase the size of Guantanamo or sanction further torture. The public doesn't like this and a person who spoke strictly in terms of our moral superiority would be a good opponent.

As I said, what would you do if faced with implacable ideologues?

--- Policies not Politics
Daily Landscape

user-pic

Nah checkout Greg Sargent's point. Rudy has an image amongst some people as can-do guy and plays on his anti-dinkins role all the time. Big time lil runt tough guy racist mafia connected crime stopper. He's trying to transfer his crime fighter image into a terrorist fighter image. Its hilarious.

user-pic

Let's not forget to point out that crime went down in Giulliani's NYC and in the rest of the country during Clinton's economic prosperity.

user-pic

Rudy is shameless. All the GOP candidates are sloppy with their language but Giuliani is the worst. At their debate earlier in the week he said JFK airport and Ft. Dix in New Jersy were attacked by Islamic terrorists. Attacked? Really? The thousands of folks who go through JFK and Ft. Dix will be surprised to hear that. And, worst of all, Wolf Blitzer didn't correct him. The so-called plot was as far from an attack as you can get. it wasn't even a plan; it was an idea. But in fear mongerer's minds, like Giulianis, everything has to be blown out of all proportion to try to keep the people afraid. As Mayor Bloomberg said a day after the "plot" was announced, Rudy should "get a life".

The press indeed lets him get away with this crap and among the small-minded of the country he gains credibility. The press must counter this dangerous hype before we get another Bush-type in the White House.

user-pic

I agree with your last graph completely. Every time Greg says "Rudy", he's helping him. Every time a progressive calls him "Rudy", they are helping him. It was EXTREMELY frustrating in California when everyone started calling him "Arnold". (Keep in mind, the Schwarzenegger that won reelction was completely different from the Schwarzenegger who was Gov for the first two years, but the familiarizing of him gave people a way to trust him more.) I rail on this all the time.

user-pic

But terrorism is not caused by poverty.

Neither is gangsterism - for instance the variety Rudy's father had membership in - unless you count the need to do work, to do something to acquire money, as constituting "poverty."

Terrorism is a variety of gangsterism. So is the mafia. So is the Bush administration. Most people capable of being successful gangsters would also be capable of earning an honest living, and are not gangsters because the alternative is hunger.

Also, Saudi Arabia is a gangster regime - witness the kickbacks to the prince from the British. If we can define all this in terms of gansterism, it wraps up Guiliani and associates nicely.

user-pic

Poverty, alone, is not the cause of terrorism. Is it a cause? Yes. But I think its super important to recognize that there is more to it than that. Even amongst more Islamic based terrorists, there are different fundamental goals. Some want a caliphate. Some want to get the west out of the middle east. Some want to expand the reach of Islamic rule. Etc.

I'm in no way sympathetic to the GOP's rhetoric (it's more than just "hating us for our freedoms") or approach. But people on the left should be more cognizant of the realities of terrorism.

As far as Giuliani goes, we could just nominate someone like Wes Clark and it wouldn't matter what Giuliani says. But, as has been pointed out, we should challenge Giuliani's actual experiences as well as highlighing his failures (which Wes Clark has done in the past). There are decades of perceived GOP dominance in foreign policy and it's going to be tough to counter that in the next election.

user-pic

I have what I believe will be the perfect counter to Rudy's "The Only Thing They Understand is a Bullet" tough talk. Show an excerpt of Rudy saying that. Then show an excerpt of Dubya saying the same thing. Then show a few seconds of Arlington.

user-pic

I think he's saying he hates 'em all rich or poor. Remember this is the guy who pointedly rejected a Saudi sheik's gazillion dollar peace offering to New York City after 9/11.

He's trying to say war, neverending war is the only answer. You've seen Republican polls, to win the nomination he has to prove he's the toughest most non reality based SOB they've got. Kill 'em all and let God sort them out. Repubs (and therefore Guiliani) don't want to drain the swamp, they want to napalm it.

user-pic

Of course there's also a slight problem with blaming it on religious extremism- Khalid Sheikh Mohammed - the architect of 9-11. As BBC and the Philippine Newspapers reported, Khalid liked to get drunk, visit strip bars, go scuba diving, etc. go pretty much anywhere but a mosque.


But then Rudy has always had a problem with the "blame America" crowd, refusing to look into the mirror and accept the responsibility everyone else recognizes as blowback for decades of covert suppression.

user-pic

rudy is wrong is ron paul is correct.
http://www.antiwar.com/paul/?articleid=6712

get robert pape to help craft a response. he's no progressive, but he's got the empirical data to behind him. unfortuantly most of the dems seem afraid to talk truthfully about what are the causes of terrorism. probably because the american people would fundamentally reject our imperial project if we understood the risks involved.

edit - looks like i should have been more clear...

it's not poverty and it's not islam. it's the occupation..

and this isn't just some assertion based on my personal beliefs. it's what the data says. please, please read robert pape book "dying to win", he's gathered the data and done the analysis. ron paul gives a good introduction in the article linked above.

crafting messages is important - but first we have to get our facts straight. and mostly dems are NOT doing this.... we're just making assertions with no more data the the crazy republicans.

please, i beg you - read some robert pape.

user-pic

Gangsterism especially the variety Rudy's father had membership in is caused by alienation from society. What Italian wanted to call the Irish cops in a city like NYC or Chicago if a crime had been committed against them at the turn of the century? What Irishman wanted to call the American cops in 1850? The newer immigrants on the lower rungs of the ladder didn't get a fair shake so it was better to have their own neighborhood enforcement of the rules. Those organizations grew into crime families and most minority groups eventually grew as they became successful out of their need for them.

user-pic

Rudy's idea of fighting terrorism is to send Bernie Kerik to Iraq to train the Iraqi police and we all know how well that came out. Bernie cut and ran in a matter of weeks. But Rudy thought he did great and rewarded him with a cushy job. And that's the Giuliani way: talk tough and reward incompetance.
Just like George Bush.

user-pic

the media is "already beginning to show signs that they'll let him get away with it"??????

oh my god, Dems of all flavors themselves have been letting him get away with it for 5 years! of course that's the media line, have you ever, ever heard ANY media figure not refer to Giuliani as "America's Mayor" and Mr. 9/11 and all that crap?

nobody has more to do with Rudy's over inflated image today than moderate Democrats. they should all be taking it all back en masse. the public doesn't care about abner louima, bernie kerik, 3 divorces, etc etc. the public cares about remaining afraid, and Rudy is the one giving them what they want, that's why he's leading in EVERY poll!!! hello!

user-pic

can't nominate someone who isn't running.

i think Edward's approach is the way to go for Dems though. its the only approach taking the issue head-on. call it a bogus PR stunt, that's all it is and all it ever was - cover for starting war in Iraq. this is real leadership, not manufactured Rudy Giuliani self-promoting megalomaniac leadership. its also very, very risky though.

but all good Dems and Liberals should get behind Edwards on this one. the war on terror is pure, unadulterated BULLSHIT, its a way to funnel countless $$ from our "government" to their already wealthy friends. it protects no one. it helps no one. it is a sham at face value - look at our allies!! pakistan?? saudi arabia?? as IF GWB ever gave one tenth of a percentage of a shit! its hilarious that people, any people, still take this crap seriously. but most americans do, because they are addicted to fear. and they want more, and Edwards isn't giving it to them. its just a question of whether the sort of collective hypnosis American's have been under since 9/11 will wear off in time before either Mitt Romney or Rudolph Eichmann I mean, Rudy Nine Eleven, are elected.

because those two, both of them, will literally be worse presidents than Bush. they both actually know less about the world than him.

user-pic

"However, it was Ed Koch, not Guiliani who really waged the war with the Far Left."

Daniel Greenbaum

Hey Dan, old buddy, would you do us the generous favor of telling us who exactly, or what organisations make up the "far left"?

Myself, I have found chimeras remarkably easy to defeat. Maybe you could tell us why we should be afraid of the "far left". You could start by telling us who is in it.

user-pic

Were we occupying somewhere before 0911?

user-pic

Greg,

...but I think what he meant is that they are not wrong for acting in accordance with their own mindset...

It looks to me like Giuliani is trying to draw a distinction between socioeconomic crime -- ie, the mugging and burglery, and drugs and prostitution -- that we're familiar with in the kind of urban environment that made Rudy himself famous, and the ideological-political extremity of terrorism in order to convince enough voters that he is qualified to make the jump from Big City mayor to Commander-in-Chief (by the way, are any Republicans running for anything as pedestrian as "President of the United States" anymore?).  Along the way, Giuliani shows how reasonable he can be by admitting that "Libruls" are right about something (poverty and crime), but that he's the conservative big daddy most able to fight the War on Terror (but not win it... remember, we can't remain scared if we win the endless war).

We can argue over what the Democratic response should be, and we could even be correct on many points.  But none of it will matter unless and until we figure out how to engage the discourse in order to effectively respond at all.  Unfortunately, as long as the consolidated and comfortably deregulated infotainment industry controls the means of mass communication (and while only about 40% of American households have internet access), it seems unlikely that any conventional response will penetrate the necessary level of our political discourse. 

user-pic

Growing up in poverty does lead kids to a life a crime. It doesn't excuse their actions and criminals should be stopped and punished. But if you really want to stop crime (thus ending the need to stop and punish criminals) you need to make life less repressive for the kids who grow up to be criminals...or terrorists.

user-pic

There's no hard and fast formula for it either way. There have been revolutions borne of poverty, some of disparity (although, its difficult to say that isn't directly related to being a 'have-not' amongst powerful 'haves'), some of pure politics and/or ideology. That Bin Laden is rich, however, is a childish argument to use against what Edwards is talking about. Bin Laden isn't sacrificing his life for anyone. There is a tendency on the left to conflate America's past with that of other, older countries, which is a mistake that leads to incorrect assessments of situations like these. The poorest people in places like say, Afghanistan, have jack crap to do with these ideological conflicts and militant jihads. they don't benefit from them! they just want to live their lives without being worried someone's about to blow them up, they don't give a sh#t why its happening, they just want out but can't get away. the bulk of Afghanistan did and still does passionately hate the Taliban.

user-pic

Uh, yeah, we had US troops in Saudi Arabia, where Mecca is located. Bin Laden kind of made a big deal about that point.

user-pic

Fight sound bites with sound bites. For example:

1). If you're a leader, you need to understand what you're fighting. You need only look at the disaster that is Iraq to see what the lack of understanding can accomplish.

2). When Rudi Guliani said "We're not in a war..." I had to agree with him. Terrorism is a strategy not a military target.

3). Rudi thinks that terrorists are religious fanatics. That's not true. Even the Bush administration understands that's not true and classifies the IRA, ETA and other non-religious terror groups as terrorists. If you're a leader, failure to understand is very, very dangerous.

4). Rudi Guliani thinks that lack of clarity in a leader is very, very dangerous. George Bush did not suffer from a lack of clarity as a leader. He suffered from a lack of understanding what he was fighting for or why he was fighting.

I could go on and on. I think you get my point. Tie Rudi to George and point out that he could be even worse than the worst President in US history. Argue for using your brain. It hasn't worked well in the past, but I think this country is prepared for it. Too much of the absence of brain power in the last 6 years.

user-pic

1. combat troops stationed in saudi arabia
2. no fly-zones, bombing and enforced sanctions killing hundreds of thousands of iraqis
3. support for israeli's occupation of the palestinian territories

support these policies or not (that's not the point)... they are almost certainly why we were targeted by supporters of bin laden's movement.

i beg you to read robert pape's research (lots of good links in the ron paul piece). or just listen to one of his lectures, for example:
here or here

edit - i'm not advocating pape's policy recommendations (i dont' much like his politics)... i am advocating looking at his data - it's outstanding.

user-pic

Just when it hard to believe anyone can be scarier than Bush I am surprised.

We were not occupying Saudi Arabia. We were there at the request of the Saudis to protect them from Iraqi invasion via Kuwait.

The no fly zones protected, extremely well the Shia and the Kurds, both of whom were gassed by Saddem. Of course al Qaeda, and I presume their American apologist don't care much about.

Bin Laden's declaration of war on the U.S. and Jews, not Israel, was based on the Saudis decision to ask America to defend it.

More to the point so what? What justified the murder of 3,000? How about the bombings in Bali, Madrid and London?

Pape is just another of the anti-Western anti-Israeli fools who gives the Republicans an actual chance of winning election despite Bush.

Daniel A. Greenbaum

user-pic

where to start?

asking what motivates people is not suggesting there is any justification. nothing justifes the murder of 3,000 people on 911. where did you get that idea?

and pape doesn't seem to disagree with military control of the ME - he just analyzes how to do it while decreasing the risks of suicide terror attacks. you really should read him before making false assertions w/o any justification.

and, according to pape, 2002 polls show that the vast majority (95%) of saudis wanted usa combat troops off the saudi arabian peninsula. the saudi gov does not represent the people.

and you thinking that the iraq no-fly zones and sanctions were a good idea doesn't mean that the 911 attackers did. again, the point isn't whether or not our policies were good - the point is to understand what motivates a movement of suicide terror attacks.

do you object to a study of root causes?

do you have an actual argument with the data? or with his analysis? or with his conclusions?

or are you dismissing his work without any study because you don't like his conclusions?

user-pic

Guliani's comment is ludicrous. The Dems aren't suggesting poverty programs are the way to address terrorism in Iraq now. Guilani lives in a dream world where the Dems are proposing to send in the Peace Corp. There is no point in addressing Guilani's comments at all. The whole point of Guilani is to set up a nonsensical dialogue. The Dems are supposed to step up and defend poverty amelioration when the such is a complete non sequitur vis-a-vis Iraq now. The Dems best respond by charging that Guilani's policies increase terrorsim.

user-pic

How about:

"Mayor Giuliani is woefully confused, probably due to his lack of foreign policy experience. He apparently can't tell the difference between Al Quaeda and the various Iraqi factions fighting for control of Iraq. The problems we're having with the occupation aren't simply due to Al Quaeda. Our continuing presence there is inflaming broad swaths of Iraqi society, making a bad situation worse. What's really dangerous is for our leaders to be confused- as Giuliani is, about what's really going on there.

As far as his complaint about the 'liberal mindset', let him explain why Al Quaeda has gone from a handful of followers to the tens of thousands now estimated. All of this cancerous and explosive growth occurred on the watch of a Conservative, Republican-dominated government. Where's his supposed 'clarity' on that question?"

-Dave Adams-

user-pic

Edwards,like most democans and republicrats, supports lavishing arms and money on Israel along with the last half-century of overthrowing governments and supporting oppressive ones in the middle east.

He therefore has to avoid naming those as the cause of attacks on the U.S. and is a hypocritical, deceitful politician like the rest of them (Save Paul and Gravel)


It would be one thing to have the courage of your convictions and say Israel and empire are worth the cost.

But it is entirely another thing to be a mealy-mouthed coward and think you're going to make Giuliani look bad. Because as bad as Giuliani is, Edwards and company are no better until they start addressing how our foreign policy is the precise source of anti-american hatred.

user-pic

Democrats need to change the climate of fear which the "War on Terror" has produced. Do Americans really want to be known as fearful? When did the "Land of the Free and Home of the Brave" change to "Land of the Fearful and Home of the Afraid"?

Is there some way of changing the above to something that Americans can rally around that is positive? 19 criminally and socially deviant dead men should not be allowed to define the 21st century's "ideological struggle".

Rudy sounds more like he's in his backyard playing Cowboys and Indians than a candidate for one of the leaders of the free world.


On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron. H.L. Mencken

user-pic

First, it's very important that we stop this fearmongering nonsense. They're trying to create a Cold War bogey monster to justify keeping the US on a war footing. It's not just about Rudy.

How to do it? Take a page out of Rove's book. Attack the perceived strength.

Get some independent YouTube bits up that ridicule the idea that Rudy is any kind of hero. Always open and close with Rudy in drag. Start with a 30 second spot about the command center.

Open with the 93 trade center bombing. Describe the event--truck bombing in the parking garage. Then show the report that recommended locating the disaster command center in Brooklyn. Then show a shot of Rudy at a podium, insert text that say Rudy overrides, and puts the command center where? In the World Trade Center.

Need some kind of tag line about being smart rather than cocky. Close with Rudy in drag.

Do the same with communications failures--the systems didn't operate, because Rudy didn't have the guts to stand up to the unions and the contractors. Same tag line--need to be tough and smart, not play one on tv. Close with Rudy in drag again.

But after him. He will lose his temper in public. He will say stupid things. Capture those, and always close with Rudy in drag--you want it to symbolize that he's a fraud, a bully, not a tough guy.

You also want to tot up the arrests and convictions the USAttorneys in New York made in the wake of the 93 bombings. Again, tough smart intelligence and police work locks them up. Strutting around at press conferences and invading irrelevant countries increases the risk.

But, no matter what, attack him for mismanagement, malfeasance and fakery. Make him defend the record. Make him get mad. And then bring up Kerik.

user-pic

I'd also do a spot with man in the street New Yorkers. They stayed in the City after 9/11. They pulled together, and kept the City vibrant. They aren't scared.

And they voted for Kerry at about a 65 35 rate. We know what keeps us safe--and it's not a war in Iraq.

user-pic

The news media types would love to see Guiliani as President, so don't count on them exposing any of his nonsense. Republicans are all about money when they run for office or hold office, and that means they will do anything they can to change the laws or ignore the laws if it causes wealthy people to get more money. News media owners are wealthy people.

We are in this election by ourselves - no news media will gallop to our rescue.

As far as the horrendous terrorism threat we face from "Islamofascists" - many of us lived quite well thru a real threat, that Soviet Russia would launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike on our country. It wasn't Repubs in the forefront of that "war", it was mostly Democrats. The present threat is a joke by comparison, and even then the Repubs haven't shown any ability to handle it.

Hoppy in Sacramento

user-pic

The history of the last fifty years is that to mobilize Islamic terrorism there has to be a geographical local that serves as a magnet for the terrorists. Guilani is absolutely determined to give the terrorists these geographical locals. What the US has to do via terrosism is 'float like a butterfly, sting like a bee'. Such keeps the terrorists off balance until eventual defeat. OBL et al's motivations are irrelevant. 'Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee' is an excellent way to deal with Guilani for the Dems too. There is no point getting into nonsensical debates with Guilani but when there is an opening the 'punch' absolutely should be thrown.

user-pic
There's no hard and fast formula for it either way. There have been revolutions borne of poverty, some of disparity (although, its difficult to say that isn't directly related to being a 'have-not' amongst powerful 'haves'), some of pure politics and/or ideology.

Formulas are made to be disproven just as laws are made to be broken. Nevertheless I think you will be hardpressed to find a single instance of a rebellion born of poverty alone.

Did slaves revolt because they had nothing or because they were slaves?

A visit to an old coal mine in Pennsylvania might persuade you that the Irish miners were not notably better off than slaves. More interesting perhaps is a visit to the prison museum in Jim Thorpe. We thought it worth the displeasure of the touristy atmosphere of the town.

The prison officials once opened the prison doors for the joyful spectacle of "Molly Maguires" being hanged en masse. The crowds filled the street outside. The Irish were potential troublemakers, in the instance framed by the English mine owner, who himself had his own superviser murdered.

Some would say all us Irish deserve hanging with some justification. We are not unknown to riot. In fact the largest riot ever is purportedly that of the Irish in Boston, when they hanged the mayor from a lamppost.

But none were surely ever worse off than the Irish miners in Pennsylvania, who did not rebel as far as I know but were hanged nevertheless for fear they might.

Best, Terry

user-pic

From Daniel's post, I guess there's a viewpoint that even considering OBL's stated motives is dangerous because its a slippery slope that leads to the "anti-Israel" conclusion that pressuring Israel to give the Palestinians their own state is in America's interest.

Granted, much of the Arab world desires that all of Israel be given to the Palestinians. However a two state solution to the Israel/Palestine issue would defuse much of the anti-American animus in the Middle East. That it will also defuse the anti-Israel animus among Arab states-- the Arab League would recognize Israel and open trade relations-- is completely lost to the Likudittes, who see an unstable Middle East as being in Israel's interest.

user-pic

Wasn't Atta living with a stripper in Florida? Yeah, he really hated our freedoms.

user-pic

Rudy is smart and knows the Dems are stupid losers. Has anyone yet counterattacked Rudy for this? If not, you know the Dems have learned nothing since Dukakis refused to refute the Willie Horton ads, and Kerry refused to attack the Swift boaters.

The Dems show every sign of being moribund in 2008. Clinton taught us that you refute IMMEDIATELY, and you do it long, and loudly. The one winning candidate in over 30 years, and every other Dem candidate ignores this one, indispensable lesson.

Can you say "President Thompson?"

user-pic

Great ideas. The Dems are too stupid to implement them. I'm afraid they are hopeless. And, yes, by the time Rudy gets the nomination (if he does) it'll be too late to counteract his absurd assumption of national security expertise.

The Repubs know this. They are already branding the Dem candidates, viz., Edwards' haircut. It's never too early to drag the opposition through the mud, and it's easy to be too late to counterattack. The Dems have no knack for either offense or defense. They suck at politics.

user-pic

The FDNY and NYPD radios not interoperating is actually an important but small portion of the problem.

The bigger part of the problem is that NYPD and FDNY did not have any processes to talk to one another - and presumably would not even if they could (i.e., if the radios worked.

Here is one tragic example nobody seems to have locked in. Reading carefully the reports on the issue one finds out that there was a transmission in an NYPD special ops freq. that floors were collapsing high up in the towers.

That transmission never reached the FDNY guys.

user-pic

Didn't crime go down because of the legalization of abortion (per Freakanomics)? Or was that discredited?

I am not sure this is an election winning argument, but does Rudy really deserve any credit for crime reduction in NYC?

user-pic

The Dems can't do this. These have to be guerilla videos unassociated with the campaigns.

Edwards can do what Edwards is doing--speak about these things on policy terms. But he has to be asked about Rudy's 9/11 failures because of buzz caused by independent sources. The republicans have it easier--the MSM creates the buzz. Drudge reports something, it goes to the Washington Times, Politico and Fox, and then Blitzer starts asking about it.

You know, like swift boating, except using entirely accurate information.

If any clever video folks are reading this, feel free to get in touch at jay@ackroyd.org.

Leave a comment

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address