New Polls Show Bloomberg Candidacy Would Flip More States To Blue
A new batch of polls just out from SurveyUSA provides us with the first detailed snapshot we have yet of the state-by-state effect a Bloomberg candidacy would have on the 2008 Presidential race.
Bottom line: Bloomberg's impact depends entirely on who the Dem and GOP nominees are, but it's clear that in more cases, his entry actually flips the states from red to blue than the other way around.
One other interesting point: The polls suggest that the two candidates who would be most hurt in a general election by a Bloomberg entry are Mitt Romney and, surprisingly, Barack Obama. And Bloomberg flips states when either of those two are nominated — at least for now.
We have a detailed chart on exactly how Bloomberg's candidacy would affect the race in each state after the jump.
Here are the ways Bloomberg's entry would impact each state, according to the polls:
Alabama: Would flip from red to blue in the case of Romney vs. Hillary vs. Bloomberg. With Romney vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg, the state would tie at 36%-36%, with 18% for Bloomberg.California: If it's Rudy vs. Obama, this state could potentially flip from blue to red: Rudy 42%, Obama 39%, Bloomberg 11%.
Iowa: Flips from red to blue no matter who the GOP and Dem nominees are.
Kansas: Would flip from red to blue if Romney is the GOP candidate — Bloomberg apparently eats into the Republican column the most with Romney.
Kentucky: Would flip from red to blue under Romney.
Massachusetts: Would flip from blue to red with Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
Minnesota: Stays blue by a very strong margin, no matter what.
Missouri: Flips from red to blue for all match-ups.
New Mexico: Flips from red to blue in all caes — except Giuliani vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
New York: Flips from blue to red if it's Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg.
Ohio: Flips from red to blue for all match-ups except Rudy vs. Obama vs. Bloomberg — then it is tied.
Oregon: Dems leads by a good margin no matter what.
Texas: Flips from red to blue if Romney is GOP nominee.
Virginia: Flips from rid to blue if Romney is GOP nominee.
Washington: Stays blue in all cases.
Wisconsin: Stays blue in all match-ups.





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