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Audio Of Obama's Slam Of Hillary's Vote For War

Here's some audio of the Obama criticism of Hillary on Iraq we referenced below:




Listening to it, Obama's criticism comes across as tougher than I'd originally thought -- asked if this highlighted a difference in the judgment of the two candidates, Obama replied flatly: "It does."


We think this is a significant moment in the campaign -- the first time to our knowledge that Obama has sought to highlight his pre-war differences with Hillary in such stark terms.


It'll be interesting to see: (a) If Camp Obama will continue to press this point; and (b) If it'll have resonance with voters. Polls seem to suggest that the Dem electorate is less inclined to hold Hillary's initial war vote against her than the pundits predicted. We'll see.


42 Comments

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May I suggest that you are making too much out of this? This was in response to Bill Clinton's claim that Obama's and Hillary's records are identical. A fact which obscures a real difference between the two --- their respective stances on the war.

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how the hell do you call this a video of obama's criticism. this is an audio of obama. calling it anything else is soooo republican.

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Greg, I completely agree. I heard Senator Obama with David this morning. When he spoke with just force I was shocked! I could see Chris Matthews smiling, because he said Senator Obama MUST "engage" with Senator Clinton to beat her.

I definitely see this as engaging.

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Obama's point gets lost in subtleties. The fact is, no one wants to say out loud that the war was a stupid idea, and the world (and that includes Iraq) was better off with Saddam in power. But it's a fact. Obama hints. Hillary avoids. But the point is, Obama was against removing Saddam and Hillary was for it. Which is why she won't say that her vote was a mistake.

Her vote was a failure of judgement. And Obama is right to point that out.

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Your comment is lost in translation. You are trying to say that Senator Obama was okay with the The Butcher of Baghdad being in power, not true.

You are trying mudding the waters like Bill Clinton is so famous for, it depends on what "is," "is."

Simple, if Clinton has not voted for the War, 3,401 Americans would STILL be alive. Children would not be fatherless or motherless. Wives would not be without husbands, and husbands without wives. Mothers and Fathers without their sons and daughters.

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Ya know, to be perfectly frank, you really have no idea who would be alive or dead if Hillary hadn't voted for the war. It's just a talking point.

If Hillary's vote was different, are you claiming that we wouldn't be in Iraq right now?

Bush lied, people died.
That's as clear as it possibly gets, as far as the reason why we are in Iraq today.

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I'm really glad I heard this, rather than read it.

That Obama thinks highly of both Clinton's strikes me as sincere rather than as a platitude. I also think highly of them both and am still considering voting for Hillary in the primary.

But, he's exactly right to say that this is a real difference between the two candidates.

That's why I'm considering voting for Obama as well.

I see this less as a smackdown moment than as an honest moment of difference between two candidates who have many other things (excepting Iraq) in common.

thosethingswesay.blogspot.com

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Obama may be fortunate that he was not in the Senate when the vote was held. The argument that cutting a deal with Bush in which he agreed to go to the UN and attempt to get inspectors back in Iraq did have the force of logic, especially when there was every indication that Bush would invade anyway.

Speaking out from the Illonois legislature was very different that voting against as a memeber of the U.S. Senate. I spoke out against the AUMF myself, but to this day I do acknowledge the logic. How do you deal with a rogue President? Tough call.

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Would everyone please review the audio clip again. What Bill said was, there is not any difference between Hillary and Obama in their VOTES. He did not say opinion but how they actually voted. This is a true statement. So Obama did not answer the question AS ASKED.

I was against the Iraq war from the begining, but lets not start playing GOP games with the truth. Had Obama said, well I was not in the senate at the time, so I did not have a chance to vote then that would be a reasonable statement response. If he then wanted to follow on and say given the chance at the time he would have voted against it, that would be OK. Because of the way Obama failed to answer the actual question he gets a DING. People for their reasons may not like Hillary, I DO, but don't start dropping elephant DUNG all over the page to get the result you want.

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It's easy to blame President Bush. The bottom line is Senator Clinton voted for the War. If I'm not mistaken, 21 Senators voted AGAINST it. What is her excuse again?

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Obama must be getting desperate. Looks like raising tons of money is not enough to win. So he is resorting to negative campaigning. This of course defeats his whole "I'm a different kind of candidate" schtick.

I doubt this will make a difference except make people think of Obama as a typical politician.

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Miri, this comment is completely absurd. Since when is it desperate to point out a substantive difference in judgment between you and your opponent on a major policy issue? That is what campaigns are supposed to be about! The premise of your comment is that Obama should lick Hillary's boots; many of us supported Obama from the outset because we thought he would take her on - respectfully - on the war. And he's apparently now starting to do just that. Thank God!

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This is an astonishing comment. I have listened to the question and response. An honest answer to a question that was based on the apparent premise that Clinton's views on the war were indistinguishable from Obama's is not, by any stretch, "negative campaigning." If Obama would run these comments in commercials in Iowa and New Hampshire that might be negative campaigning, and might thus justify the "typical politician" comment. When I see it, I will believe it.

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audiophile, how naive do you think we all are? Bill Clinton keeps making comments like that because he is the one trying to fuzzy up and obscure reality. If you went back at looked at all of George W Bush's pre-Iraq statements on the al-Qaeda/Saddam link, you would see that he never actually directly made the statement that Saddam had anything to do with 9/11. He insinuated it, but the actual words gave him deniability -- and guess what, he fooled people for over 2 years. Bill C. is an expert at the same kind of technically accurate misleading of the public.

Worse than Bill C. has been the candidate herself - Hillary. She had the gall to repeat at the Dem debate a couple of weeks ago her mantra, "Had I been President in 2003, we never would have gone to war with Iraq." That is beyond Orwellian, as she not only voted to authorize the war in October 2002, but did not utter a word of dissent against Bush on invasion in the critical period when war became imminent. In fact, she rooted him on on the day he gave Saddam his ultimatum. These two have given the Dem party a bad name for disingenuousness, and it's time the Dems picked someone who is decent and not just technically accurate but fundamentally honest. That would be Obama.

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The Hillary supporters' rationalizations are out in full force, which tells me Barack touched a nerve. I'm glad he did.

The notion that Hillary did not really support the war, but only was trying to force in inspectors has been thoroughly debunked. There are several powerful grounds for recognizing this claim to be bogus, the most powerful one of which is this: After the inspectors arrived, and after el Baradei said there were no nukes in Iraq, and after the inspectors asked for more time -- but before the invasion was launched in March 2003 -- Hillary did not speak out and say anything like, "Hold your horses, apply the brakes, the inspectors are there, give them more time, there's no need to invade now, theres' no imminent threat." Quite to the contrary, she was talking tough about how her patience with Saddam had run out, and then, on the day Bush announced his ultimatum to Saddam, she praised the ultimatum and did not say it was premature.

Face, it she was WRONG WRONG WRONG, and Obama was right, and for all the right reasons, at a time when criticizing the Iraq war was viewed as something no Democrat with national ambitions could afford to do. We now know from various interviews with Obama's associates, that he has had national ambitions for quite some time, so he was taking a stand that he knew could forever label him as soft, but he did it anyway, because that's what he believed the right judgment call was.

Hillary either had poor judgment (which is what I believe), or she was posturing for her planned presidential candidacy and buying the advice of folks like Terry McAulliffe who were saying the Democrats had to appear hawkish to remain relevant nationally, even if they honestly did not believe that invading Iraq was wise policy.

Either way, Obama deserves to have the votes of the anti-war Democrats (who are now the overwhelming majority), because he had the better more mature judgment. Bill Clinton knows this, and it's eating him alive, so he's fighting back with technically true but misleading statements that try to obscure the genuine differences between Barack and Hillary.

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I have heard this line over and over.... I'm still not buying. Obama put his carreer on the line and said it was a dumb war in October 2002. The Clitonistas can parse the meaning of her vote all they want, the fact remains that she either voted for war or trusted Bush to come back to Congress, either demonstrates a fundamental lack of judgment.

The reason it matters is because Obama is the one in the best position to hold the Republicans accountable, because he was not complicit in authorizing the war. It is about judgment and accounatability.

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The meaning of "is" is. BS then, BS now.

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Give me a break! Since when is answering a question posed by a reporter by pointing out a difference in your record vs. your opponents record "negative campaining"?

Congrats! Lamest post I have seen all week.

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"pointing out a difference in your record vs. your opponents record "negative campaining"?"

Gregory: There really isn’t any difference between you two.

Obama: I suppose that’s true. ...

There is no difference in their records. Obama doesn't say there is a difference in their records in that clip. He says their opinions are different. He also misstates Hillary's opinion.

Look around and you'll find that when Obama actually had to vote his votes pretty much match Hillary's.

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Obama stood up and risked his career to oppose a "dumb war." He said that the Administration had not made the case on WMD and that there was no imminent threat. To claim that there is no difference between this position and HRC's AUMF vote is to completely misrepresent the truth.

The question of how to get out of Iraq, once we were in, is completely different. Obama and HRC have both taken the same moderate stance. But their positions on AUMF were not the same. Your argument and BC's argument remind me of "depends on what the meaning of the word "is" is." That was intellectually dishonest and so is this.

I don't mind that you support HRC, I mind that you and other HRC supporters are will ing to distort the truth.

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Look Obama might be at times a little Clinton-Lite, but really when looking at Hillary she's far more worrying as our Bush-lite candidate --

I mean at least Obama had the sense to vote FOR a bill that would restrict "U.S. exports of cluster bombs to countries that use them against civilian-populated areas... you know so WE don't create MORE terrorists and enemies around the world AS OPPOSED to Hillary and the rest of the go get IRAN and supporting the Military INDUSTRY voting NAH...

If, if we are going to have another war -- I really don't want a ManAIPAChurian Hillary candidate at the helm.

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"To claim that there is no difference between this position and HRC's AUMF vote is to completely misrepresent the truth."

I'm claiming gregory asked Obama if his voting record was just like Hillary's.

Obama said:
"I suppose that’s true. ..."

But please don't take my word for it. Watch the video. As much as you don't like it there it is.

"I don't mind that you support HRC"

Oh. Thank you so much. I do mind that you either are the most uninformed commenter on the net or a big faker. And I’ll tell you why: People like you put bush in the white house. Twice.

You hate Hillary. Good for you. You trash a dem nominee either because you ignorant beyond belief or a big faker and I’m gonna call you on it.

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You are guilty of missing the forrest for the trees. You are nitpicking the difference between votes and publicly stated positions. While this may be technically true, it misses the point.

Then you degenerate in to name calling. How am I responsible for Bush? How am I a faker? I am simply pointing out that your position appears to rely on tortured logic and hair splitting, while you do not respnd to my comments about the strategic importance of having a Dem nominee who is in a strong position to hold the Repubs responsible for the war.

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Actually, for the record, he didn't say "I suppose that’s true." he said "I suppose that’s true, if..." The point is either the war in Iraq couldn't have happened without Hillary's yes vote, or if her vote wasn't necessary then why did she vote for it, unless she voted for it because she believed in it at the time. This was Obama's point--validating the Perle-Wolfowitz-Rumsfeld-Cheney case for war was an error in judgment. Maybe not so important in the long run, but if more senators had voted against this war in the first place i may never have happened. That is the sad truth.

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I used to admire Bill Clinton.

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Freespeak, I'll say that out loud. If Hillary hadn't voted for the war, the war wouldn't have taken place. And I'll justify that comment.

Implicit in your question is the suggestion that everybody else would have still voted for the war, and we would have had the war anyway. That misses a HUGE point that is sticking in the craw of all the anti-Hillary Dems, like me, that remember that lack of any real debate in the Congress or the media during the run-up to the war.

There was a strategy to that silence. The Clintonistas and the DLC Left of the Democratic Party just closed its eyes and let Bush and the Republicans do what they want for cynical political reasons that didn't have to do with the actual welfare of this country. Such silence had to be coordinated. As Howard Fineman noted on the day of the AUMF vote, all the Democrats that were planning to run in '08 had voted for the AUMF.

I'm just really sick and tired of everybody laying ALL the blame on Bush. 2002 was a year of enormous betrayal of the American people, and it wasn't all just the work of Bush. It took the complicity of the Clintonistas and their entourage and machine, as well as the complicity of the American media.

Bush deserves to roast in Hell for what he did, but he deserves a little company from his enablers. I can give Edwards some forgiveness for acknowleding that what he did was wrong, but I can't forgive Hillary, because, of all people, if she and Bill had stood up and say, "Slow down, this could be a genuine first-class disaster we are walking into," enough of the rest of the party would have fallen into line with them to slow the rush to war.

As it is, there was no opposition to speak of. And that is in many respects an even greater sin than what Bush did. We expect criminals to rob banks. We don't expect the tellers to help them make their getaway.

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This really is the most divisive issue separating Americans of all political persuasions right now. I'm a Progressive and a constituent of Russ Feingold, who also opposed the invasion. Still, I believe the majority of Americans would prefer someone who acted in the aftermath of 9/11 as Ms. Clinton did to be the Commander in Chief. For better or worse, the invasion is not the issue with most Americans, the occupation is. Imagine the image of US Power that would have been projected to our enemies and allies if we had pulled out of Iraq immediately after apprehending Saddam Hussein, instead of letting ourselves be drawn into a complicated sectarian struggle in Iraq. One might not like the image, but it would be an image of strength, not weakness. The strength of Ms. Clinton's position politically is that she can't be undone by unexpected events as Mr. Feingold and Mr. Obama can. Her support for the invasion and her opposition to the failed occupation are already built into her poll numbers. For better or worse, people believe she will strike at anyone who threatens America, even in the absence of overwhelming evidence that the threat is real or immediate. And they know Mr. Obama won't. Politically, I think the only question left is will she offer Mr. Obama the Vice Presidency.

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The problem with Obama's protestations is that he has voted the same as Clinton on this issue since he has been in the Senate. He wasn't first out of the blocks, like Dodd, to support Feingold-Reid. He hasn't put forth his own plan to de-fund the U.S. occupation of Iraq, halt base development, or even declare that nuking Iran is not a very smart idea.

So what on earth would make me believe that, if he were in the Senate at the time of the AUMF, he wouldn't have voted for it, like all of the other politically driven pols now running for President. Edwards has admitted that his vote was because of the incredibly stupid advice of the major Dem advisors. What evidence is there that Obama wouldn't have done the same?

On this issue, I don't trust the judgment or leadership of any of the first and second tier. I guess I'm down to Kucinich or Gravel.

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Very interesting post. Let me see if I can break down the logic of your argument:

1) The invasion was good;

2) The occupation is bad;

3) Decapitating Saddam's regime and then leaving would have made us look strong;

4) Voters like strong;

5) "For better or worse, people believe she will strike at anyone who threatens America, even in the absence of overwhelming evidence that the threat is real or immediate." The voters want a CIC who is willing to shoot before they aim. It doesn't matter who they shoot, just that they are willing to pull the trigger.

MY RESPONSE: For the sake of our country and the world, I hope you are wrong. I want a CIC who can distinguish between real and imaginary threats, someone who has the judgment to tell the difference between an immenent threat that requires action and a non-immenent threat that needs to be contained.

If your view is correct, perhaps we should start putting anti-psychotic meds in the drinking water, because your argument suggests that we are all crazy.

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How about the video tape saying that he thought it was a "dumb war"? Or the interview where he says the administration hasn't made the case on WMD and that the threat is not immenent?

The question of how to responsibly disengage from Iraq is different than the question of whether we should have invaded in the first place. Just because you disagree with Obama's position on how and when to get out, doesn't mean that you shouldn't give him credit for not wanting to go in, in the first place.

He certainly has put forward a plan for "phased redeployment", he has consistently preferred this option to defunding the war. As the vote this week demonstrated, Feingold-Reid is nowhere near having the support necessary to pass. Obama is trying to generate public pressuere on Repub Senators who will in turn force the White House to compromise. It is a slow, ugly process, but it is the only one that is going to work.

Edwards position is not a strategy because the Dems do not have the votes to pass the same bill "again and again". Edwards' position is a slogan whose primary purpose is to pander to the anti-war sentiment in the Dem party. Personally, I have more respect for some one who is trying to take effective steps to reign in the administration than someone who is pandering and doing nothing to effectively end the war.

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Rated 'one' for not looking up stuff and not leaving links.

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The anti-war speech he gave on October 26, 2002 is a pretty big clue:

I don’t oppose all wars. And I know that in this crowd today, there is no shortage of patriots, or of patriotism. What I am opposed to is a dumb war. What I am opposed to is a rash war. What I am opposed to is the cynical attempt by Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz and other arm-chair, weekend warriors in this Administration to shove their own ideological agendas down our throats, irrespective of the costs in lives lost and in hardships borne.

...

But I also know that Saddam poses no imminent and direct threat to the United States, or to his neighbors, that the Iraqi economy is in shambles, that the Iraqi military a fraction of its former strength, and that in concert with the international community he can be contained until, in the way of all petty dictators, he falls away into the dustbin of history.

I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences. I know that an invasion of Iraq without a clear rationale and without strong international support will only fan the flames of the Middle East, and encourage the worst, rather than best, impulses of the Arab world, and strengthen the recruitment arm of al-Qaeda.

I am not opposed to all wars. I’m opposed to dumb wars.

And here's the Youtube video of his November 25, 2002 interview, where he specifically says giving Bush a blank check was a mistake and that he would've voted against it.

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Only 9% of Dems care about the 2002 vote and hold it against Hillary. If Obama keeps this up he will end up winning over the 9% and losing the rest of the Dem vote.

At the time of the vote Obama was some obscure state legislator. And no, it was not courageous of him to take the antiwar position. He wanted to run in the Dem primary for the US senate and knew the Dem base would be overwhelmingly anti war.

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The problem with that logic is that all the outside experts knew an occupation would follow the invasion. Obama based his judgement on the war on this understanding:

I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences. I know that an invasion of Iraq without a clear rationale and without strong international support will only fan the flames of the Middle East, and encourage the worst, rather than best, impulses of the Arab world, and strengthen the recruitment arm of al-Qaeda.

I am not opposed to all wars. I’m opposed to dumb wars.

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Of course he answered the question. He said that's true if you discount Hillary's authorization vote and initial support for the war. It was an honest and fairly effective zinger if you ask me.

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The primary was a year and a half away. If the war was successful, his anti-war position would've been pretty useless. An Obama presidency would've been out of the question.

Obama was exactly right when he told Charlie Rose that Democrats have to stand up for what is right instead of caving and complaining about it later.

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Why would cutting a deal to get inspectors back in make sense for Clinton et al if they believed that Bush was dead-set on invading no matter what? If they didn't believe that involving the UN could meaningfully restrain Bush or influence his policy judgement, then doing so simply fed the phony idea that he was interested in trying to follow international law. And it helped those who voted to authorize the war look sober and moderate themselves.

I believe that anyone who voted for the war was making, in part, a politcal bet that that war was inevitable and would turn out well. Clearly, that was a fundamental abdication of responsibility. Out of fear of looking weak, and of repeating the perceived mistake of those who voted against the first Gulf War, they actually demonstrated incredible weakness themselves. They enabled him. If they actually believed that Bush was using the authorization simply as leverage to check for WMDs, then they were simply foolish. They had to know it was a ploy.

I like Hillary Clinton and sympathize with the position she was in; I think it was especially difficult position for her as a woman who wants to be Commander in Chief -- there's that sense that if you aren't Thatcheresque you aren't tough enough to be President. I don't think she was gullible, rather that she felt the need to err in the direction of looking tough, pro-military. In doing so, she demonstrated a failure of judgement that Barack Obama and several of her peers (e.g. Bob Graham) did not make. The deeper reason she can't admit she was wrong is that she probably made a fundamentally political decision about a matter of war.

So she has to act like she was led astray: "if I knew then what I know now..." Which doesn't exactly recommend her ability to make the tough calls. A lot of people who had access to the same intelligence did know then. Saying that only makes her look like a dupe. Her saving grace might be that in saying that she has a lot of company.

I may still vote for her; there's an awful to recommend her overall. But what concerns me going forward is that she may continue to feel the need to behave in more bellicose a manner than is prudent, because of the unique burden she has due to gender. Which places her in such an unfair bind. It's a tough bind for those of us as well who really want to help elect our first female President.

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Sign me up for the meds. I wish I were wrong about us, but I don't think I am. The sad truth is that we don't seem to be willing to risk American civilian casualties in the so-called "war on terrorism." Combine that with a professional, volunteer military of enormous destructive power that no military in the world can stand up against, and all of the arguments for restraint go by the boards. And by the way, it's not true as another reply suggests that an occupation was inevitable. As a matter of fact, before the invasion, the Cheney camp favored knocking Iraq down and letting someone else put it back together, but changed their minds under the influence of Chalabi and the Iranian secret service. So Obama's prediction about the occupation was very astute. But his judgment of the American voters in Presidential elections is way off, I fear. Agree with you about the kind of CIC that would be ideal. But, alas, I doubt the true nature of threats will ever be that clear. I just don't think the electorate will take a chance on Obama.

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True, Hillary Clinton is more of a known quantity, people's impressions are more fixed -- including, as you say, negative impressions. If she becomes our candidate in the general election, we'd better hope she can change some people's minds. Too many people already view her every move through a critical lens. But I don't see why her record or relative familiarity necessasily insulates her from unexpected events that might occur during her campaign, or potential presidency. She can appear very steady and reassuring in her way, as can Obama in his. But neither has had the chance to really establish the unique credibility that leading the country through a crisis or tragedy can confer.

I'm confused that you seem to conflate Hillary's criticism of the poor planning and execution in Iraq, post-invasion, with the implication that it was ever her preference to quickly withdraw all our forces and leave Iraq to whatever chaos would have surely ensued. Of course she was slow to support even a partial troop withdrawal. And Hillary seemingly favors a larger long-term role for US troops in Iraq than any other Democratic candidate. You don't cleary conflate the two, but alternating between your assesement of Hillary's public image and your impression of public support for retaliation versus occupation, creates that odd juxtaposition.

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Sorry. The conflation was unintentional. The entire post was about voter perceptions and the relative strengths of the Clinton and Obama positions given those perceptions. The kind of events I was talking about are events that could affect people's perception of the relative safety of voting for either candidate, particularly events that trigger emotion and panic, e.g., another attack here at home.

Maybe the real point is that I think the people commenting here are better informed with a more international point of view than most American voters. I think it's safe to say that most people reading this blog and commenting would count the death of an Iraqi child as just as tragic as the death of an American child. But there really are two Americas, or at least two sides to the American character.

I see an America where half of the eligible voters don’t bother to vote, where George Bush managed to grab the Presidency two times, the second time when the war on terrorism and Iraq were the most important issues to voters, an America where, in the middle of a war on terrorism, I have not been asked to sacrifice in any way and my taxes have actually gone down while my income was going up. I see an America that fought a bloody civil war, exterminated the Indians, grabbed land from Mexico, kept slaves, built the railroads with Asians and the Irish, built its cities with immigrants. An America of Wounded Knee and Fort Davis where soldiers forted up at the water holes in the desert and slaughtered Apache men, women and children who were dying of thirst and came down to the water. An America that interned the Japanese. Dropped incendiary bombs on Dresden and two atomic bombs on Japan. An America of McCarthy as well as Feingold. An America where Edward R. Murrow died and nobody took his place. An America of LBJ, Hoover, two Kennedys dead, MLK dead, Malcolm dead, Ali stripped of his title, and the police rioting against our children in Chicago 1968. Nixon. Vietnamization. Watergate. Woodward cashed in and nobody took his place. An America that hates and punishes Cuba for having a lower infant mortality rate than we do, refuses to intervene on behalf of the Palestinians, elects wrestlers and movie stars to high office, mocks Kucinich and Dean, talks about sending the wrong message to the troops, as if occupying Iraq were the troops idea. Do you know how old Seymour Hersh is?

I'm afraid that America is not going to respond to Mr. Obama's message about the war the way he hopes it will.

Anyway. That was my point.

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On May 18, 2007 - 11:14am Miri11 said:
"Only 9% of Dems care about the 2002 vote and hold it against Hillary. If Obama keeps this up he will end up winning over the 9% and losing the rest of the Dem vote.

At the time of the vote Obama was some obscure state legislator. And no, it was not courageous of him to take the antiwar position. He wanted to run in the Dem primary for the US senate and knew the Dem base would be overwhelmingly anti war."


As was Abraham Lincoln when he spoke out and wrote about slavery. If Obama didn't have any national political ambitions at the time he gave that speech, then he was just speaking his mind -- and his judgment was impeccable. If he did have serious ambitions about someday running for President (as seems to be the case) he was utterly undettered by the dominant conventional wisdom and political pressure of the time.

You don't follow Obama very closely if you think it's his style to pander to the left wing of the party. But most important of all: he got the issue right! And not just -- ironic as it may have seemed in retrospect -- as a political matter. What matters is he was so inspiringly right on the substance of the issue. His judgement on the war was well-informed, moral and wise. For some reason that seems to bother you. What's really ironic is that his prescience about Iraq has caused you to (absurdly) stoop to calling him a panderer. Do you remember the political atmosphere in 2002? At the time, you probably would have thought he was pandering his way right out of any chance at higher office.

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I've enjoyed your thoughtful posts. And I do see where you're coming from: it's all too easy to lead people to violence, especially when confusion and fear have been sown among them. It's instinctually cathartic and satisfying in a way that careful consideration and nuance are not. And you're right that there is an enormous distortion that plagues our analysis of most people's political opinions and tendencies, simply because we devote vastly more time and thought to these issues. Much of what filters down to people is fragmentary and misleading: a welter of superficial impressions, scraps of rumor and propaganda.

But I think most people mean well. And that Obama might fare suprisingly well at cutting through some of the artificially constructed divisions and biases that plague many people's grudging engagement with politics. One aspect of his speech (from 2002) that appeals to me is that his argument both intellectually impressive and direct -- down to earth, common sense.

Unfortunately, I think your concern about public impressions of the candidates was clearly exemplified in the Democrats first debate: Hillary knew immediately that voters wanted to hear that we'd hit back after being attacked. That desire to hit back is so strong in most people. She covered herself nicely in the way that she prefaced that comment, but there's no doubt it was the essential part of her answer. Not even George Bush and Iraq have diminished the public instinct to retaliate. And she was obviously speaking not only to more hawkish Dems, but to that mass of general election voters you wrote about, who want more than anything for America to strong. No doubt you noticed that she didn't spend that much time talking about finding the individuals most responsible, or dismantling organizations or regimes that could threaten us again. Her emphasis was on getting the people who got us. And she said it with a certain relish.

I don't know if it's Obama's style to frame the issue that way.

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