Election Central Saturday Roundup
House Dems: Temporary Two-Month Iraq Spending Bill Likely
The Hill reports that Congressmen John Murtha (D-PA) and Jim Moran (D-VA) said a likely scenario for Iraq funding would involve a temporary, two-month funding bill to ensure that troops are funded after President Bush vetoes the current bill — which includes a timetable for withdrawal — and still ensure that the troops' needs are funded. "Six months is probably too long," Moran said. "One month — it takes longer than that to pass the thing."
Giuliani, Romney A Hit With South Carolina GOP — McCain Bashed For His Absence
The Associated Press reports that Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani received the warmest welcomes from conservative activists at the Greenville County Republican convention this morning, also attended by most of the other candidates. Meanwhile, John McCain's absence from the GOP grassroots event was not unnoticed. "I was appalled that McCain thumbed his nose at Greenville," said one attendee.
Biden Skeptical That Stronger Gun Laws Could Have Prevented Virginia Tech Massacre
Radio Iowa reports that Joe Biden is taking a novel position among Democratic candidates in the wake of the Virginia Tech massacre, expressing support for certian gun laws but opposing registration and expressing skepticism about the efficacy of the now-expired assault weapons ban: "But the truth of the matter is I can't make the assertion, nor can we in congress, that had that law been in place this wouldn't have happened."
Hillary Visits Rutgers — Excoriates Don Imus
The Associated Press reports that Hillary Clinton used her speech on leadership yesterday at Rutgers to speak out on the recent controversy involving Don Imus' insults against the Rutgers women's basketball team. "Will you be willing to speak up and say, 'Enough is enough,' when women or minorities or the powerless are marginalized or degraded?" Clinton said. "Will you say there's no place — if there ever was, there certainly isn't now — for disrespect or bigotry to be seen as funny?"
Romney: Gonazales Should Go — Maybe
The Associated Press reports that Mitt Romney said Alberto Gonzales should be removed from his position as Attorney General — but only if it can be shown he removed prosecutors in order to interfere with ongoing investigation, which Romney says has not been fully proven yet. "I wouldn't convict until I heard the witnesses and the evidence, and that's something which is an ongoing process," Romney said.
Democrats Looking To Earl Blumenauer For Senate In Oregon
The Oregonian reports that Democrats will now be attempting to recruit six-term Congressman Earl Blumenauer to run against GOP Senator Gordon Smith, now that Congressman Peter DeFazio has turned down efforts from Democratic activists to recruit him into the race. Blumenauer's campaign manager said the Congressman has not yet given the Senate race much thought. "In our opinion, there's plenty of time for him to make the decision," he said. Democratic activist Steve Novick has already announced his candidacy, but is not currently viewed as a strong candidate.















Three weeks ago, Obama has excoriated for saying that the Dems where not interested in playing Chicken with the troops. He went on to say that Dems should make short term appropriations to fund the troops, and to put Bush on a short leash.
It appears that this is now exactly what is going to happen, and that the Dems have adopted the strategy Obama proposed. IMHO this incident again demonstrates Obama's judgement and political skill. Do any of the anti-war crowd that was screaming for Obama's head want to acknowledge that he was right about what was possible given the limited number of votes the Dems have?
April 21, 2007 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I missed that excoriation.
I was personally very disappointed that Obama witlessly repeated the hard right line about abandoning the troops if they did not fund Bush's war.
Bill in Maine has a kind of funny line over at Kos. He mentions that the troops have not been left naked, hungry and penniless as has already been proposed by Bush as past the deadline. It is, of course, Bush who would defund the war with vetoes. I think that would be a fine thing. Geez, give the guy credit.
Any dang fool who posts doubts about Obama's political skills should consider asking for a refund for their keyboard because it doesn't work right.
But Obama was surely wrong to say what he did. He is smarter than that. When you stab yourself in the back, all you should be given credit for is some physical agility but not mental prowess.
Best, Terry
April 21, 2007 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if the D's can find a way to reduce funding to reduce the escalation and keep the troops off the streets. If the war is supposed to cost a 100 million a week how about funding about 60 million a week. The construction of the bill would be interesting but it would force descalation. Perhaps it could be worded to say that the cost will not exceed so much per day or month. That way you wouldn't short the troops just the mission.
April 21, 2007 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
While I get your point, I don't think that approach would be Constitutional or practical. Congress is in charge of authorizing and funding war, but the executive branch is in charge of managing the war. I think Dems would be accused of micro-managing.
April 21, 2007 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Democrats are going to be accused of micromanaging if they do anything except roll over and play dead for Bush. It's a Republican Party talking point.
Tom
April 21, 2007 11:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
While I agree that it is being used by the Repubs as a talking point, I also believe that it is a legitimate and substantive seperation of powers issue under the Constitution.
Just because we think the war is horrible, doesn't mean we can ignore the Constitution. That is bad law and bad politics.
April 22, 2007 8:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't that what you are doing, upper left corner?
Last I heard Congress was the most equal among equals and the reason the founders broke up Congress into two separate bodies. You might recall that only the House was to be directly elected by the "people" - actually male landowners.
The ultimate power of the purse strings, not to mention impeachment, lies in the legislative branch. Consider the power your wife has when you try to get a dollar out of her. :-)
Bush has decided the president doesn't need that dang old Congress and some have decided he is right. How exactly can that be? Was the Consitution rewritten when nobody was watching?
Best, Terry
April 22, 2007 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for your response. I know you feel deeply about the need to end this war, as soon as possible, at all cost.
I think it is interesting that I made two posts yesterday morning. One here about Obama and strategy for trying to end this self-inflicted war, and one about JE's haircuts. I got two responses to my "strategy post" and over 150 to my "haircut post." I enjoyed the haircut discussion, but I am not sure I like the implication made by the relative number of posts in each thread.
My point here was that I believe Obama was spot on about what was politically possible. Follow the logical steps:
1) Obama knew that the Dems don't have the votes to override Bush's threatened veto.
2) That leaves them with two courses of action:
2A) Simply refuse to appropriate any money for the troops. I think you support this approach, but I don't think it is viable. Both Hagel and Smith will not go along with the Dems on this approach. Many of the Dem moderates are also unwilling to pursue this approach because it would lead to a disorderly retreat from Iraq, and it would be viewed as a lack of support by much of the public. Trying to force the issue in this manner would split both the Senate Dems and the House Dems with the progressives not having the votes to sustain the strategy.
2B) Obama proposed an alternative. Give the Pres short term funding under a continuing resolution. Give the anti-war movement more time to crank-up the pressure on moderate Repubs facing election next year, and force the Repubs to revisit this issue every two months as the election grows closer and closer.
You claim that Obama "stabbed himself in the back." I refer to it as being honest and precient, and making the most out of the limited leverage we have.
I'm sure you and I will have many opportunities to discuss this cursed war in the weeks and months ahead. I wish it weren't so, I wish we could end it now, but we don't control the levers of power, yet.
April 22, 2007 9:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, Obama's political approach is pragmatic vs. being an idealogue. That is what resonates with many of his supporters. He does not have a pre-set idea of how things should be that he has to force any given situation to fit to further an idealogy.
Instead he is a much brighter man with the intelligence and analytic thinking skills to engage in an algorithmic process of decision making. That is critically important to the job of President as issues and events will change and decision making will be an ongoing process. Without that type of judgement a person flails and makes colossal errors by trying to adhere to some ideology as their reference point for what the outcome should fit/support.
What I observe Obama doing instead is assessing issues, balancing competing interests and then formulating a conclusion that is practical minded which is the political change this country needs. Obama is an astute politician combined with incisive intelligence and common sense., Which as we know is not all that common.
I like that and am very happy to see political savvy of this nature running for President.
April 22, 2007 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
That comes from the kooky "unitary executive" theory pushed by my (unfortunately) former 7th grade American history student, John Yoo.
The idea is simple - the President has extraordinary power in time of war. Bush self-declares a never-ending war on terror. Thus the President has never-ending extraordinary executive power (at least, until a Democrat becomes President at which point I imagine these unitary executive theory promoters will change their tune).
Tom
April 22, 2007 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think you are trying to mischaracterize my thoughts but you are doing so. Perhaps my fault.
Obama has repeated the witless line about refusal to fund more war "not supporting the troops."
That is pure poppycock on its face and odious coming from Obama in my view.
I don't particularly argue with strategy intended to accomplish the purpose of ending the war however gradually but I prefer strong leaders to followers. I do not appreciate parroting of rightwing sloganeering.
I am not even sure at this point that Obama is against the war. It is up to him to straighten out his position though it is not always politic to do so.
Best, Terry
April 22, 2007 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Terry,
I don't think that is what Obama said. I believe the quote was something like this, "I don't think the Democrats are interested in playing a game of Chicken with our troops."
This can be interpreted as acknowledging the "support the troops" meme, but it is not the same as repeating it. In subsequent interviews, Obama said the quote was not quite accurate and did not give the full context of his comments. Obama said he meant that the Dems didn't want to get drawn into playing a game of chicken with Bush.
I find your next comment incomprehensible, "I am not even sure at this point that Obama is against the war." How do you justify such a comment? Obama has been against this war from before the beginning.
He has said that we need to disengage in a responsible way that attempts to limit the chances of a genocidal civil war and external meddling, but he has always opposed the war. I don't mind you disagreeing, but I can't help being deeply bothered by your statement which seems to directly contradict and misrepresent Obama's actions.
April 22, 2007 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am not an attorney, but as I understand it, there is considerable disagreement about these "seperation of powers" issues. I believe the precedents on where the Congress' ability to declare and fund a limited war are few and unclear.
I certainly am not trying to support John Yoo's idea of the "unitary executive." I am just trying to suggest that whatever strategy we propose may have to pass Constitutional review from the Courts, and given the current composition of the SCOTUS that is probably not a good thing for our side.
April 22, 2007 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think the big problem with Obama's statement is that it takes the pressure off Bush. He hasn't vetoed the bill yet. There should have been no public words of compromise at this point, and Obama's statement was exactly that.
Why do you assume that Dems can't sell the reality that Bush's veto will be the act that undercuts support for the troops, but the Bush regime will have no problem blaming it on Congress? Obama's statement gave your prediction more credibility than it warrants, IMO.
This is not about Obama, at least for me: I'd be happy with pretty much any of the Dem possibilities except Clinton. But Obama has been showing his political amateurism with some regularity. Which is not necessarily a bad thing, but he needs to think more about the effects his hasty words will have.
April 22, 2007 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow,Tom, congrats on publicly admitting your role in Yee's development. Could you tell he was sociopathic at the time? Do you lose sleep thinking about how you could have gotten him the anti-psychotics he needs? Do you envision him saying "Before my lethal injection, I want to thank my old history teacher Tom for making me the person I am today."?
April 22, 2007 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is really crass. He wasn't taken to task for being realistic, or for floating his own strategic plan. No he was taken to task because officially conformed what the Democratic plan was.
He thus gave Bush the incentive and blew a good change to place bush under more pressure so the subsequent steps would be easier. He also made it harder for the dems to work the media narrative.
Obama didn't set the strategy, he was simply being a tattletale. And for you to spin it like he was a visionary that showed the way to the other dems is dishonest and a twisting of reality. This is really pushing it.
April 22, 2007 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's what I mean, upper left corner.
Our troops are targets for both sides. Their presence instigates rather than quels violence. Should we taper off the killing or go cold turkey? I think you can only justify a continued presence if you believe the war is justified in some way. I think it is not.
Best, Terry
April 22, 2007 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are making an accusation that is entirely new to me, and I follow news about Obama obsessively. Give me a source for your accusation. I find it hard to believe that if your accusation was accurite it would not be all over the media.
April 22, 2007 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
"But Obama has been showing his political amateurism with some regularity."
Some examples please. I think he has done a solid job of countering heavy fire coming from the HRC camp, general media scrutiny, and the wing-nuts. I don't think he has perfect pitch, but I think he has done very well given the level of scrutiny and his lack of experience on the national stage.
I think there is a lot of surprise and growing respect among the chattering class. I think many thought he wouldn't last a month on the trail. He has cut HRC's lead by over 2/3 in 3 months, and out fundraised her.
Again, what do you consider amatuerish?
April 22, 2007 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
What am I accusion Obama of?
This whole brouhaha started when he spoke too soon of what they were going to do next hand instead of waiting untill the current hand was played out.
A temporary, two-month funding bill strategy has been circulated as the back up response to a veto right from the start.
Obama told that they were probably going to do just that. Making what was a public plan that was still unoffical, semi-offical. And he did it while using terms not beneficial to the Dem media framming.
That was unproductive and that was all over the media. Nothing new here. So If I'm accusing him then I'm not accusing him of anything but making a small mistake. All this must certianly be known to you.
What I do take issue with is that you are spinning it like the temporary funding was his idea. And that he is the master tactician whose proposed plan has every Dem is rallying behind it.
That's not supported by any fact nor does it fit with any time line. Even Obama doesn't even claim he thought up that plan or that it was wise to say what he said when he said it.
Obama is a good candidate who has been a reliable and correct voice on the Iraq war. This small dent is nothing compared to the dents the candidates will end up with. Every other major candidate has made similar or worse gaffes. But please your spin is absurd, Obama is a good candidate, but he didn't invent the everlasting lightbulb or invented the way out of Iraq and when you make claims like that, you're putting people off.
April 22, 2007 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me present this differently.
Bush is simply stating, over and over ad nauseum, that the troops will stay in Iraq. Period. It doesn't matter what Congress does. If the funding goes, the troops still stay. It doesn't matter if the troops would face increasing danger. The troops are not going anywhere. They stay in Iraq.
Obama has pointed out, in a kind way, the very real obscenity that Bush's position represents.
Do you think Bush will back down? Like he did with the humane concentration camp that was erected off-shore? Or the compassionate and rapid response shown to Katrina victims?
The only way to be really sure is to send Bush a funding bill with a date to start withdrawing troops. If he vetoes it, then Bush has flatly told all Americans that he simply will endanger the troops because he flat will not withdraw them.
The only times Bush has backed down is when two things have happened (1) public opinion is overwhelmingly against him and (2) fellow Republicans withdraw their support. Those two things HAVE to happen before we can begin withdrawing those troops. The veto will create a surge of support for the withdrawal of troops--we can see that trend in the polls and in the slow trickle of Republicans who will support the withdrawal.
If you want to cling to this position, Terry, then you'll have to prove factually that Bush is flexible on withdrawing troops. I don't find those facts; but I'm willing to learn them.
April 22, 2007 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
He has of course done phenomenally well "given his lack of experience on the national stage." When he shows that lack, as in the case under discussion, that's what I mean by amateurism. Since you acknowledge that his lack of experience shows, I don't see any need to search around for the specific examples that formed my impression.
I think what bothers me is his seeming reluctance to play hard, partisan politics against a regime that I consider not just the opposition but the enemy. I still don't see how you can claim his statement didn't undercut the congressional Dems' game. He gave away something for nothing. To me that smacks of amateurish politics.
Again I have nothing against Obama. If he's nominated I'll happily vote for him, which will be the first time in some decades. Whether I vote for him in the primary is yet to be determined.
April 22, 2007 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, John (Yoo not Yee) was very hard working and very polite. Somehow, I don't remember the part of the course where I said the idea of a new unitary executive King George III was a good idea. I know he had US history again in high school. I'll blame that teacher:)
Tom
April 22, 2007 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
The right thing to do, of course, is to not vote for any funds at all for more war. Obviously funds will be needed to withdraw but they are hardly absent now.
I don't care to argue that position would startle most Americans but Richardson has stated quite plainly that is what he would do the day he takes command without any uproar.
Obama has backed himself into a corner. He can no longer say what Richardson did without cost. He has already paid a penalty for trash talk about the war.
Is Obama the best candidate? That is an entirely different question. Maybe he is but he has not exactly covered himself with glory on Iraq. For sure most candidates can be expected to fudge their positions to appeal to the widest group of voters possible. Harry Truman was a very rare specimen who spoke with incredible bluntness. I do not expect another in my lifetime.
Again, ULC, I am not sure that Obama really understands the position that the U.S. has put its troops in as nothing but targets for all sides except the Kurds. If he did, would he have talked about "playing chicken" with the troops? I took that as not essentially different than refusing to "support the troops" by ordering them to go get killed for no good whatever.
Best, Terry
April 22, 2007 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
It should be constitutional, given that Congress appropriates funds and has defunded several military conflicts in the past, although perhaps not quite as practical. It would be perhaps more politically risky, but I don't think it's really a big risk.
April 23, 2007 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Look, he may have made one inartful statement, but you can hardly extrapolate from that to say that he doesn't understand what's going on in Iraq.
Where was Richardson before the war started? I don't recall hearing about any speeches he gave against the war. That's the sort of judgment and bravery and leadership that we need.
A complete war defunding bill is not going to pass the Senate anyway, as the GOP has enough support to block it, so the entire rest of this debate has been pointless. Very, very few voters are paying attention to this level or arcana. If elected, all of the Dem candidates are going to get us out of Iraq.
April 23, 2007 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Terry, I think you and I have a fundamental difference of perspective.
You want the strongest possible statement of principle in support of immediate withdrawal.
I want someone who is effective in framing the issue so that Dems can win public support to bring the troops home and help the Dems to overcome the obstinent opposition of the Congressional Repubs and the Bush White House.
I respect your commitment to principle. I hope you will respect my commitment to effectiveness. I fear the Dems may overreach and extend the war and/or fail to hold the Repubs politically accountable for this horrendous fiasco.
Furthermore, I do fear the humanitarian consequences of an extremely precipitous departure. I think reasonable people can reasonably disagree about when and how we should leave, but I think we should care about the people of Iraq. We were the driving force in getting them into this awful situation, and I think we have a moral responsibility to do what little we can to help stabilize the situation. For one thing, I think we have a responsibility to greatly increase the number of Iraqi refugees we allow into the country.
It is a mess on the ground in Iraq, and it is a mess politically here in the US. You are right to suggest that Obama is being somewhat cautious. I am glad. I want him to win, I am not interested in seeing him become Don Quixote.
April 23, 2007 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fair enough.
I would agree that Obama was perhaps a bit too honest in this instance. My point is that his understanding of the politics of the situation was right on.
Regarding his reluctance to play hardball, read some of his statements. He hits hard without being mean or bitterly partisan. I think that is critical to the fact that he has much better numbers among independents than HRC. These are the people that progressives need to pull into our camp in order to win the White House and in order to build a working majority in Congress. I think Obama's style is much more likely to have coattails.
April 23, 2007 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
For certain I do. We disagree about what might be effective.
And I fear the far more lethal consequences of our continued presence.
It is generally a good idea to remove an irritant than to let it fester.
The U.S. presence is a flashpoint for anger and division. It allows and even rewards unspeakable atrocities.
Can we know what will happen if the U.S. troops were to be removed today?
Of course not.
Won't happen.
But we can know American soldiers are little more than targets for both sides - the sides themselves are fragmented.
Seems we disagree about a little more than tactics though the objective may be the same.
I don't for a moment doubt your goodwill and concern.
Best,
April 23, 2007 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
As far as I know, Congress cut funding for the Vietnam conflict in the seventies.
Tom
April 23, 2007 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink