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A Quick Note On Edwards' Judgment

A reader points out an interesting moment from yesterday's Dem debate. Commenting on his vote to authorize the Iraq War, Edwards said this:

"I was wrong to vote for this war. Unfortunately, I will have to live with that forever. The lesson that I learned from it is that to put more faith in my own judgment."

This passed unnoticed, but it's pretty interesting. Edwards' suggestion here is that his own judgment led him to the conclusion that voting against the war was the right thing to do. So who was he listening to?

This gets even more interesting when you recall that last month Kerry-Edwards adviser Bob Shrum released a book alleging that Edwards voted for the war only because his advisers said he should and that he was skeptical of the vote. At the time, Edwards' spokesperson adamantly denied this, saying that Edwards had "cast his vote based on the advice of national security advisers and the intelligence he was given, not political advisers." In other words, his vote was at least partly based on his reading of the intel.

But yesterday Edwards seemed to reinforce the idea that he had voted for the war on the strength of what he heard from advisers and against his own judgment. So whose judgment was he listening to? Is it possible Shrum's account is true? Or did Edwards base his vote on the judgment of his national security advisers alone and disregard his own judgments made based on the intelligence?

This needn't necessarily reflect badly on Edwards; it remains murky. The point is, given Edwards' willingness to acknowledge that he was wrong -- and given the centrality of the vote to the current campaign -- I'd genuinely like to know more about what went into Edwards' decision-making at the time.


Update: And don't miss this catch by Ben Smith on another intriguing aspect of Edwards' performance.


72 Comments

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HE'S A PUPPET! ONE OF THEM! RUUUUUNNNNNN!

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Personally, I did not miss that statement about his regret for not relying on his own judgement. I took that to mean his gut said no, but political ambitions said yes...so he went with his aspirations, not what was in the best interest of the nation or the American lives he was committing to war.

I have noted in other posts, that Edwards sat on the Intelligence Cmte and would have had access to the most complete information available including the dissenting facts that cast doubts that were in the NIE report that the Intelligence Cmte was privvy too. JE failed to follow Bob Grahams' lead as the ranking member, as well.

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I hadn't thought about that interpretation...if true that could either be damning or understandable...

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I don't remember the name, but I'm pretty sure I read a few months ago about some aide of Edwards basically apologizing for or stating that he regretted advising/pressing Edwards to vote the way he did.

Anybody else see that?

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How much stock should one put into anything Bob ("0 - 8") Shrum asserts?

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Before we go further in the read-between-the-lines game, here's what he said to Russert in February:

MR. RUSSERT: Why were you so wrong?

SEN. EDWARDS: For the same reason a lot of people were wrong. You know, we—the intelligence information that we got was wrong. I mean, tragically wrong. On top of that I’d—beyond that, I went back to former Clinton administration officials who gave me sort of independent information about what they believed about what was happening with Saddam’s weapon—weapons programs. They were also wrong. And, based on that, I made the wrong judgment. I, I, I want to go another step, though, because I think this is more than just weapons of mass destruction. I mean, I—at the—I remember vividly what I was thinking about at the time. It was, first, I was convinced he had weapons of mass destruction. That’s turned out to be completely wrong and false. I had internal conflict because I was worried about what George Bush would do. I didn’t have—I didn’t have confidence about him doing the work that needed to be done with the international community, the lead-up to a potential invasion in Iraq. I didn’t know, in fairness, that he would be as incompetent as he’s been in the administration of the war. But I had—there were at least two things going on. It wasn’t just the weapons of mass destruction I was wrong about. It’s become absolutely clear—and I’m very critical of myself for this—become absolutely clear, looking back, that I should not have given this president this authority.

MR. RUSSERT: At that time, however, Senator Kennedy’s saying, “ This is not an imminent threat.” General Zinni, who led the military in that region, said this is the wrong war.

SEN. EDWARDS: Mm-hmm.

MR. RUSSERT: General Scowcroft, former President Bush’s national security advisor. And the National Intelligence Estimate that was given to you and now made public had some real caveats, and this is one of them. “ The activities we have detected do not ... add up to a compelling case that Iraq is currently pursuing what INR [the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research] would consider to be an integrated and comprehensive approach to acquire nuclear weapons.” Do you remember seeing that?

SEN. EDWARDS: Mm-hmm, I did see it. I mean, I, I think it was—there were serious questions about whether—again, we’re looking back. Now we know none of this was true. But, at the time, there were serious questions about any effort to obtain nuclear weapons, which is what that statement just was. All of us believed there was no question that he had chemical and biological weapons, and there was at least some scattered evidence that he was making an effort to get nuclear weapons.

MR. RUSSERT: But it seems as if, as a member of the intelligence committee, you just got it dead wrong, and that you even ignored some caveats and ignored people who were urging caution.

SEN. EDWARDS: Well, I, I, I would—first of all, I don’t want to defend this. Let me be really clear about this. I think anybody who wants to be president of the United States has got to be honest and open, be willing to admit when they’ve done things wrong. One of the things, unfortunately, that’s happened in Iraq is we’ve had a president who was completely unmoving, wouldn’t change course, wouldn’t take any responsibility or admit that he’d made any mistakes. And I think America, in fact the world has paid a huge price for that. So I accept my responsibility. I’m not defending what I did. Because what happened was the information that we got on the intelligence committee was, was relatively consistent with what I was getting from former Clinton administration officials. I told you a few minutes ago I was concerned about giving this president the authority, and I turned out to be wrong about that.

So, one of the other influences in his decision was "former Clinton administration officials".

You obviously can interpret what happened any way you like. Personally, I see a freshman senator representing a very red state, getting mixed intelligence information, having a gut feeling about what to do, having a wife dead set against authorization, having presidential ambitions in the next election, and he just chose wrong. His answer last night to me sounds like: with all of the other stuff going on, I should have just listened to my gut feeling.

I've written at length about "political courage" with the AUMFAIR vote before. It wasn't a shining moment for any Democratic senator really. Those in comfortable re-election positions voted against it. Those that weren't, voted for it. And some that were, still voted for it: ahem Kerry and Clinton.

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What I think this whole nit-picking does, is give Bush cover--which is why I prefer Clinton's position. Most people believed that Hussein had WMD. The big debate was on the level of threat he posed. AUMF got inspectors in. Period. At that point increasing evidence that Hussein didn't have WMD began to appear. But Bush went in anyway. When Bush went in, Dems--whether they voted for AUMF or not--were screaming to let the inspectors finish.

I don't blame Dems for the war, they were trying to stop an invasion. Remember the call for a second UNSC resolution? That was largely because of Dem concerns as well as British concerns. Bush gave the finger to everyone. Given Bush's penchant to push the limits on executive power, he probably would have gone in without AUMF. I have pictures protesting the war before it became fashionable to do so, but I have always contributed this war to Bush.

Edwards has expressed regret about his votes on more than one issue once he decided to run for president. I'm not yet convinced this is anything more than Edwards playing politics. Every time I warm up to him, he makes me suspicious. Unfortunate because I like his message probably more than any of the others.

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I don't read anything nefarious into this. It was his gut feeling, against all the other external info and advice.

Edwards has been completely forthcoming, admitting this vote was a mistake, one he'll always regret. He f*&ked up. He said it was a mistake. I'm good with that.

On the other hand, I do think his refusal to acknowledge the "war on terror" is a tremendous step forward. Despite the glib "show of hands" silliness, I actually thought that was a brilliant question, and those with their hands raised seemed to be playing right into Bush's framing.

I have to go back to the tape, but did I detect even a bit of squeamishness on those hand-raisers?

I think it's important we get away from the "war on terror" language, which over simplifies and even misleads the public on how we need to handle these very real threats.

I hope that by the DNC comes around, Democrats have done away with that language all together, and gotten to a more substantive position on handling the terrorist threat.

In fact, why wait? Next debate, let's not see any hand-raisers, huh? 

 

Our obligation is to define the liberty of all, not to mandate our own moral code. -- SCOTUS that was...

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What's to discuss here? Edwards has been pretty clear about why he concluded he should vote for the war and that he struggled with the decision at the time. His gut told him to oppose, but for many reasons---political considerations included---he voted to authorize the invasion. That's old news as far as I'm concerned. I find his statement last night refreshing because he admits not only that he was wrong, but that he went against his own gut and instincts in listening to advisers. He made the politically safe choice then is what he is saying and that as President he will do what is right regardless of whether it is the safe or "smart" political choice. Personally, I like that kind of honesty.

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It is clear to me that those who voted to allow bus his unfettered acces to invade Iraq, played a polical game. If he was successful, they would be sitting pretty.

Kerry, Edwards, Clinton, all played the risk and they lost. That they now are in the corner, trying desperatly to sneak out of that terrible corner is telling. Most especially for Clinton. She continues to behave as if she is George Bush--stubbornly refusing to admit she was, either stupid, or playing the game (with the lives of our young) I believe she was playing a political game and when cornered, became stubborn and arrogant, believing perhaps the PR people could gloos over her egregious error.

As far as Edwards--I am not sure whether or not he is still playing the political game with his admission of his "mistake" It is unfortunate that people must have to calculate how much these politicans are spinning us. Edward's mistake was playig the belt way politics game. If a man follows his "advisors" as if they were gurus, we have to ask ourselves if that behavior will continue.
Obama--has the upper hand re his behavior re the Iraq debacle. He was not present for that vote.

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I would genuinely be interested in knowing exactly what happened inside his head. I'm not sure I buy the idea -- pushed by many -- that they were deceived by wrong intel. There was tons of evidence out there already by Oct. 2002 that the intel was suspect.

What I'm really interested in is what he meant by not following his own judgment -- whether he meant not following his political judgment, which told him that voting against the war wouldn't be as bad politically as his consultants told him, or whether he meant not following his own judgment on the substance of it, which told him that it was a bad idea despite what the intel was "saying" and despite what his national security advisers said.

I'd love to know what he meant.

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interested in knowing exactly what happened inside his head. I'm not sure I buy the idea -- pushed by many -- that they were deceived by wrong int

the sense I get from reading that Russert interview is that he went with his aspirations because he believed the President would be a sensible and reasonable man who would not take the country to war without reason. That I think is where his error of judgement lies. Not understanding how profoundly flawed the character of Bush was. He already knew in his gut, he didnt want to go to war, but he was willing to pass the buck to the President's 'better judgement'  and hope to gain politically from casting an affirmative vote. I imagine that would indeed weigh heavily on his conscious given the ass Bush turned out to be.

Bottomline, he and Hillary are saying the same thing...I was deceived by the President.

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Didn't Edwards co-sponsor the Iraq War Resolution with Joe Leiberman?

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Greg,
Its the ESSENTIAL question that has to be answered by everyone who supported the war back then: What were you thinking?

We got stuck in Vietnam because of the assassination of the Diem brothers more than because of the Gulf of Tonkin resolution. Decapitating the South Vietnamese government made us politically responsible for South Vietnam.

How could it happen again? Especially with people who opposed the Vietnam War (Kerry, Dodd, Schumer, Clinton, etc.) getting on board with the US ruling the world with violence. How could they ever have thought it would work? Obama's 2002 speech against the Iraq War wasn't "prescient;" it was just common sense. And all the war supporters should have to answer in detail why they were so casual about taking on the responsibility for another country by decapitating its government.

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Are you saying "let bygones be bygones?" Shouldn't they at least be held accountable to the extent that everyone can say they're not "presidential timber?" IOW, they just don't have the strength of character to be president.

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If you have a chance, be sure and see that Bill Moyers special "Buying the Iraq War." It highlights a team of Knight Ridder reporters (Strobel and Landay) who debunked the weapons of mass destruction horse manure while it was being shoveled at us back in 2002-3. Any US senator had at least as good resources to find out what they did.

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But what about all of Edwards' statements in 2003 and 2004? He was PROUD of being the co-sponsor of the Iraq War Resolution and ran for President on it.

Kind of hard to bend over backwards being kind to John Edwards when literally MILLIONS of people have suffered for his "mistake," so I will say my honest feeling: Edwards abruptly turned against the war after the 2004 election because he wanted to keep on running for president.

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Theres a video clip of him saying he was PROUD to have been the co-sponsor.

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Thinking back to 2002, I know what I was thinking: Saddam Hussein was a potential threat (separate from the Al Qaeda threat) but one that could be contained by a credible military counter-threat from the US. My own bottom line was that even if the threat of Saddam Hussein was real, I did not trust George Bush to use our military power in a responsible way. I would have trusted Bill Clinton to do so. I don't understand why so many people trusted George Bush with so much power, but their mistake was to trust him, not to authorize the use of force, which in responsible hands would have merely given teeth to our ability to contain Saddam Hussein's alleged threat.

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Yes, what was in senators' heads? I was blown away tonight by the news on 'Countdown' of Durbin's speech in the Senate (today I think). Durbin said that the intel the Intelligence Committee members had received in 2002 was quite different from what the White House and major media were reporting to the American people. Alas, the secrecy oath he took as a member of the Intel Committee made it impossible for him to warn Americans. Olberman rightly commented that Durbin's allegience to a secrecy oath over and above the likely costs of war in American and Iraqi lives was a trivial concern. Also, a simple statement of general fact, such as "Intel received by the Intelligence Committee is at odds with public reports," would not have been violating an oath meant to protect specific pieces of sensitive information.

I've googled in search of a transcript of Durbin's Senate statement but so far have come up empty. It doesn't appear other news outlets have picked up on this.

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No, I think it's clear I'm saying that I will personally hold a strict litmus test to every candidate on every single issue until the only person that's left is myself. Because me and myself are in total agreement on every issue. And then I will run for president. I will vote for me. And then I will become the President of the United States of Me.

That is if the flawless Dennis Kucinich is somehow eliminated during the strict litmus test process.


By the way, don't convolute "strength of character" with "good judgment". It shows a lack of "good judgment" to make a wrong decision. It shows "strength of character" to admit a mistake.

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Well, I just googled the Senate Intel Committee membership in 2002 and their Iraq Resolution votes. Of the eight Democrats on the committe, four voted 'yea' (Rockefeller, Feinstein, Bayh & Edwards) and four voted 'nay' (Levin, Wyden, Durbin & Mikulski). I guess the 'differing' info that Durbin spoke about today wasn't dramatic enough to change four Senator's votes who had heard the same intel. Of course, each senator should have taken a personal responsibility for investigating each intel point as to its veracity. It was easy enough for me to do with my PC, getting excellent info from experts worldwide, so I'm quite sure the senators could have managed with their staffs to do a little homework too. Shame on them.

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I agree with you Karen. I was only ruminating about what it was JE meant when he said in hindsight that he should have relied on his judgement.

But in the final analysis, your conclusion matches mine. Whether he intended to run the red light or not, the dog is still dead that he hit and dead is dead. Only it was American soldiers that died.

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The only 2 puzzling votes there are Feinstein and Edwards..Rockfeller and Bayh are Repubs and they were definitely going to vote with Bush. Edwards was seemingly for his political aspirations, I wonder why Feinstein voted as she did. Perhaps, AIPAC influence?

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but their mistake was to trust him, not to authorize the use of force,

Nope. It is just the opposite. They could have trusted Bush all they wanted without giving him AUMF he was powerless. The latter was a gross error in judgement and total abdication of the duty and power ivested in the Congress. Bush cannot go to war without Congress authorizing it. That AUMF gave Bush carte blanche. That was a complete dereliction of responsibility and power vested in Congress by the Constitution to represent the will of the people and NOT concentrate that type of power in one 'unitary executive'.  It is Congress' AUMF which was much moreso a betrayal of the American people than any trust or faith placed in Bush.

Which is precisely why anyone who voted for the AUMF for political expediency needs to be held accountable and not elevated to Presidency given their complete and utter failure to use the responsiblity and power American voters gave them as Senators wisely and judiciously for such a serious matter as American lives.  Edwards and Clinton have not earned the right to be President as they have already shown they will violate the trust placed in them by American voters for political gain in the worst of all circumstances taking these nation to war under false pretenses.

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Rockfeller and Bayh are Repubs and they were definitely going to vote with Bush.

Both are Democrats, of course, and if they were Republicans it would hardly excuse them.

Best, Terry

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I just watched the Moyers special on the magic box. The thing that I think everyone misses, or maybe just fails to really dig into, is the deep psychological vulnerability that the country was in at the time. Hindsight of the Iraq invasion is now better than 20/20, but correlated with that rise in hindsight is a rise in the repression of the country's collective psyche at the time. So if you want to ask of the majority of Americans that were for the invasion in 2002 "What were you thinking?" you also need to ask, as psychobabbley as it sounds, "What were you feeling?". Because to be sucker punched like the country was in 2001, and then left without a feeling of justice because those that did it, died doing it, was the ultimate mind f**k, for a lack of a better, more civil term. Some were resilient to this, most unfortunately were not, myself included.

Leave it to this administration to see us in the most psychologically vulnerable state in our history, and ask us to go shopping... while they secretly plan to take advantage of our emotions and get us to agree to wage an unrelated and senseless war in Iraq. It worked, and without that psychological vulnerability, there is no way they could have pulled it off. It's one of the reasons there weren't more journalists like Landay and Wolcott. The country as a whole was not ready to really listen to dissent at that point.

In our weakest state we agreed to do a trust fall with this President and when we let go, he was somewhere else, getting fitted for his flight suit.

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Its either a colossal wrong decision, a monumental bad judgement OR they put what they perceived were their own personal interests and ambitions ahead of the nation's (keeping their fingers crossed that it wouldn't be such a big deal???).

Of course, there are lots of Democrats who opposed the Iraq War besides Obama and Kucinich. Most of the Democrats in the House voted against it. If the ones who got us into this mess were ever willing to put their ambitions aside and step aside, surely others would have stepped forward and run for president, no? Its what should have happened.

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oops

well that makes this even more puzzling. The list of names must be incorrect....where is Bob Graham he was the chair and where is Shelby he was the vice chair in 02, no?

Is that the Armed Svcs committe maybe listed there?

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Dems on the Committee in 2002:

Graham, Nay
Levin, Nay
Rockefeller, Yea
Feinstein, Yea
Wyden, Nay
Durbin, Nay
Bayh, Yea
Edwards, Yea
Mikulski, Nay

5-4 Nays to Yeas

http://intelligence.senate.gov/members107thcongress.html

UPDATED

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The Democrats on US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 107th Congress (2001-2002), voted 50% for the IWR and 50% against. Two Senators who sat on the committee in 2002 ran for the Democratic nomination in 2004. One voted No and one voted Yes to Joint Resolution H.J.Res. 114.


Bob Graham, Florida (Ran for President; Voted No on IWR)
Richard Durbin, Illinois (Voted No)
Carl Levin, Michigan (Voted No)
Barbara A. Mikulski, Maryland (Voted No)
Ron Wyden, Oregon (Voted No)
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John Edwards, North Carolina (Ran for President; Voted Yes on IWR)
Evan Bayh, Indiana (Voted Yes)
Thomas A. Daschle, South Dakota (Voted Yes)
Dianne Feinstein, California (Voted Yes)
John D. Rockefeller IV , West Virginia (Voted Yes)

 

 

On September 11th, with flags all across New York flying at half-staff, Gen. Wesley Clark paid a visit to the Rolling Stone offices. Though he had not yet declared his intention to seek the Democratic Party's presidential nomination -- that would come six days later in Little Rock, Arkansas -- Clark nonetheless presented himself as a man primed to take on George W. Bush next year. For nearly two hours he fielded questions from the RS editorial board in the magazine's conference room, presenting himself as a former soldier who, following the painful dictates of his conscience, was impelled to break rank with the president, the commander in chief of the armed forces in which he'd served for thirty-four years.

Clark, fit and handsome at fifty-eight, could be George Bush's worst nightmare -- he's tough on national security, in touch with the broad swath of the electorate that supports abortion rights, gun control, environmental protection and a middle-class-oriented tax policy.

No stranger to tough campaigns, Clark was severely wounded in Vietnam and spent months afterward teaching himself to walk without a limp. He played a key role in negotiating the Dayton Accords, which brought peace to the Balkans. When Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic threatened to wipe out 1.5 million Albanians in Kosovo, Clark -- serving as supreme allied commander -- led NATO forces to victory. In the past year, the retired four-star general has also emerged as one of the most vocal and articulate opponents of the war in Iraq.

What follows is a transcript of his remarks. It's too early to say whether Clark has got the organization and the stamina to win his party's nomination, but one thing was clear from our time with the General -- he has the makings of a formidable candidate.

Why have you criticized the president for the war in Iraq?

It was a tough decision to become involved in partisan politics. I went to West Point when I was seventeen years old. I believed in this country. I served in the White House under Gerald Ford. To come out and oppose the commander in chief has been enormously painful. But after September 11th, I watched as the administration's policy diverged step by step from where it should have been. I went to the Pentagon nine days after the attacks and called on a man with three stars who used to work for me. He said, "Sir, I have to ask you, have you heard the joke going through the halls?" I said, "No, what is it?" He said, "It goes like this: If Saddam Hussein didn't do 9/11, too bad. He should have, 'cause we're going to get him anyway." He looked at me, and I looked at him, and we both knew that it would be a classic mistake if we did that.

I was relieved when we attacked Afghanistan, but I went back to the Pentagon as that war was going on, and this same guy said to me, "Oh, yes, sir, not only is it Afghanistan. There's a list of countries. We're not that good at fighting terrorists, so we're going after states: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia and Iran. There's a five-year plan." From that moment on, I couldn't believe anymore that I was just a retired general of the United States Army. I saw something wrong, but I couldn't get anyone to listen, so I started to speak out last September in a vocal way.

Why was going into Iraq a mistake?

We made a historic strategic blunder. We attacked a state rather than going after a terrorist. Iraq had no connection to the war on terror. Of all the states in the Middle East to give chemical, biological or nuclear weapons to terrorists, least likely was Iraq. Saddam's a control artist. He wouldn't have given bioweapons to Osama bin Laden unless Osama's mother, four wives and fifteen children were in one of his prisons so he could rip their hearts out if Osama screwed up. But we didn't want to face the tough task of going after bin Laden, so we did a bait-and-switch and went after Saddam instead. And now, look at the headline on today's New York Times: bin Laden seen with aide on tape. We're less secure now than we were before. Spending $80 billion and putting half the U.S. Army in Iraq has provided a supercharger to Al Qaeda recruiters.

We helped bin Laden. The only thing we could have done that would have helped him more is if we had invaded Saudi Arabia and captured Mecca. We've also squandered the support that brought 200,000 Germans out after 9/11 two years ago. They're not coming back out again -- not for this administration. You won't get any support out of the Germans and the French until you get a regime change in Washington.

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Thanks for the corrected list of Dem Intel members in 2002. I somehow missed Daschle and Graham.

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Yeah I missed Daschle too, good catch. Darn line breaks.

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So you're implying that the reason why Kucinich is the only candidate that voted against it is because the other blinded-by-ambition, war-mongering candidates are blocking the really good ones from running?

I don't know, seems like if that was the case, and that the electorate saw this one vote, this one decision as being as monumental and colossal a failure as you do, that there would be more than one candidate.

Personally, I feel like the Democrats have the best pool of candidates since 1960.

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"In our weakest state we agreed to do a trust fall with this President..."

Not all of us agreed to that. More of us agreed to Afghanistan (although I dissented even to that) but many more did not agree about Iraq, where available evidence pretty much confirmed that Saddam had nothing to do with 9/11 or al Qaeda.

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Sorry, I guess I should clarify here that "we" and "us" here do not mean "all" but "a majority of Americans".

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Fair enough. I forget what the polls showed in fall, 2002. I'll take a look although I'll be glad to concede now that indeed there was a majority who supported 'Shock and Awe.'

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This was the first link I encountered in my search. Taken from a 'Common Dreams' reprint of an LA Times article on a poll taken in December 2002:

'The overwhelming majority of respondents -- 90% -- said they do not doubt that Iraq is developing weapons of mass destruction. But in the absence of new evidence from U.N. inspectors, 72% of respondents, including 60% of Republicans, said the president has not provided enough evidence to justify starting a war with Iraq.'

Most Unconvinced On Iraq War, Reynolds, LAT

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We got stuck in Vietnam because of the assassination of the Diem brothers

That is something like saying that we will have keep Bush in office if he fires Gonzales because the Department of Justice is then a Republican responsibility. Ngo Dinh Diem was put in office by Eisenhower and fired by Kennedy.

Diem was not exactly loved by the Vietnamese, who recognized exactly what he was. A major from our Army intelligence office used to give briefings to Diem. The impressions of Diem the major relayed from his contacts made having Diem president sound somewhat like having Michael Jackson as president.

BTW a third brother who is never mentioned was said to be the most brutal of all as governor of one of the provinces. I have never heard what became of him.

Best, Terry

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My point was that, as people such as Jessica Tuchman Matthews (see http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/jan-june03/why_war_2-12.html)
was suggesting, there was a middle ground between doing nothing and going to war in Iraq. Inspections "with teeth" was the idea - where the US would back up the UN inspectors with a plausible use of force. I think a lot of people supported the force authorization on this theory in the hope that Bush was responsible enough to refrain from the actual use of force unless weapons were found. Even if weapons were found, military action short of all-out invasion and regime change was a possibility. As I said, I did not trust George Bush, so I opposed the authorization at the time, but I thought the "inspections with teeth" theory was a responsible one.

Also (I'm adding this as an edit), I supported Bob Graham for president. This is what he said: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/11/18/AR2005111802397.html
He was very meticulous in his analyis of the intelligence that was being offered, but doesn't seem to throw stones at those who didn't share his perspicacity.

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Crabapple, you should really supply a link to what you cite, because the polls were a little more nuanced than you suggest: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/july-dec02/iraqpolls_10-07-02.html

There was qualified support for the use of force in Iraq - people did not support a unilateral invasion. In other words, people believed that there was a problem in Iraq and they believed that military action of some kind (or the threat of military action) should play a role in solving it, but they didn't support what Bush (from the get go) wanted to do - have an all-out unilateral invasion and occupation. That's why the Senate's support of the war (although I opposed it) was more complicated than war mongers versus peaceniks.

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Crabapple, you should really supply a link to what you cite, because the polls were a little more nuanced than you suggest: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/july-dec02/iraqpolls_10-07-02.html

There was qualified support for the use of force in Iraq - people did not support a unilateral invasion. In other words, people believed that there was a problem in Iraq and they believed that military action of some kind (or the threat of military action) should play a role in solving it, but they didn't support what Bush (from the get go) wanted to do - have an all-out unilateral invasion and occupation. That's why the Senate's support of the war (although I opposed it) was more complicated than war mongers versus peaceniks.

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I wouldn't limit it to only politicians who were actually in the US Congress and voted against the Iraq War. Opposing it is good enough, whether someone was in state government like Obama or was a local freeholder or owned an antique store and opposed the Iraq War, its a big credential they've got over any Iraq War supporter: When it was important, they got it right.

But in the Congress, 23 Senators voted against it and 133 in the House. Feingold saw that he couldn't get the money to run. IMO, theres something strange going on that the Democratic Party presidential choices are skewed so heavily towards war supporters when the majority of Democrats in Congress and the general public opposed the war. Its not a healthy thing.

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Wow. Someone in Congress, with all those staff resources and all that responsibility is only held to the standard of the mob on the day of 9/11? And on the issue of taking this country to war? Actually, the polls at the time of the Iraq War Resolution were very mixed with the public only at 50% on invasion with ground forces, despite the all out media push for war and the support for war by high profile Democrats.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/july-dec02/iraqpolls_10-07-02.html


Yeah, I'd give them a break if, say, the Washington sniper got caught and they made some dumb comment on the fly that could be seen to prejudice his Constitutional rights. But there is just no honest way to let them off the hook for their responsibility to be serious and THOUGHTFUL in taking this country to war. It was a grievous error and says something about their character in the actual vote but also in putting themselves forward to be President now.

Where else in adult life is one not held to the "You should have known" standard? That IS how an adult holds himself/herself accountable for important responsibilities.

And, politically, nominating a war supporter nullifies the best, starkest issue the Democrats have going for them: forcing the Republican candidate to embrace Bush or repudiate him, a lose/lose proposition for the Republican. It'll be a shame to give that up again.

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MSNBC has Shrum as a pundit evauluating the debate, and he said HRC was the "clear winner". What an establishment gasbag.

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I have heard this debate about the AUMF vote over and over. The HRC and JE supporters try to justify the mistake their candidates made. The Obama supporters trumpet his judgement.

I think this discussion about judgement and political calculation is very important, but I believe there are two other questions about the AUMF vote that are equally important:

WHO IS BEST POSITIONED TO HOLD THE REPUBLICANS ACCOUNTABLE?

HOW WILL THE REPUBLICANS ATTACK THE DEM NOMINEE BASED ON HIS/HER POSITION ON AUMF?

HRC: calculating, then evasive, then stubborn in refusing to apologize. Complex explanation for her position makes it hard to hold the Rs accountable. Her evolving position totally reinforces the Repubs attack meme that she is calculating, ambitious, and inauthentic.

Edwards: didn't just vote for AUMF, he made many pro war statements. Because he was on the Intelligence Committee it is even harder to hold the Repubs accountable. His complete apology is helpful on one hand, but OTOH it reinforces the image that he is chasing public opinion. This chasing opinion, flip-flop reinforces the Repub attack meme that he is a slick trial lawyer who lacks foreign policy substance.

Obama: opposed the war from the start. Voted to fund the troops and find a "responsible" way to disengage. Definitely in the best position to hold Repubs accountable. Precient judgement and "reasonable" and "mainstream Dem" approach to disengagement help protect him from the Repub meme that he lacks experience and substance without getting him marginalized as another Kucinich.

I have posted similar comments a couple of times. My apologies to those who may have already heard this spiel, but this is a very significant part of why I lean towards Obama.

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But Dee Dee, I did supply a link! It was a report from the LA Times on the results of its recent poll. Now, as we know, poll results vary, but I was trying to capture just a snapshot of opinion from late 2002.
(Unfortunately I didn't have a link to the poll itself.)

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Let's get this clear, my post here is talking about the psychological state of the majority of Americans at the time. I'm not talking about Congress, we had that discussion earlier in this thread. I'm trying to broaden the scope here abit and talk about what was going on in the minds of the electorate.

If you think that the majority of American's weren't affected psychologically, that's a valid counter argument. However, then the reason we went to war is pretty much a vast right wing conspiracy where everyone in power was in on it. The government, the media, the British, and Saddam himself. Is this what you're suggesting? What is your explanation that when the war drum started beating that the American people didn't stand up in numbers too great to ignore, and say "stop!".

If you want the rest of the country to think like you, you need to figure out why, in that moment, they did not. If you don't care about how they think, then you'll have an impossible challenge to get a candidate elected.

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Is there something to be said here for learning from your mistakes?

You seem to write everyone off on that one vote. Maybe I do, too. I am not sure.

Where I am conflicted is, as I said, maybe this makes them smarter and stronger, and a bit wiser, for making such a disastrous mistake. 

 

Our obligation is to define the liberty of all, not to mandate our own moral code. -- SCOTUS that was...

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Ah but here's the flaw in that logic: The general public didn't oppose the war when the votes were cast. A majority wanted the inspectors to get back in, and if they couldn't, to use force.

I think Feingold is great, but even in the political climate right now which I believe is very receptive to progressive policy due to the utter failure of neo-conservative leadership for 6 years, there is virtually no chance that Feingold could win a general election. And this election is just too critical to gamble on that.

Also, I don't think there's a leadership equivalence between saying you are against a war and actually voting against a war. Opposition is always context specific and voting is always constituent specific. Hypothetically speaking, you have to ask yourself if Barack Obama was the freshman senator for North Carolina in 2002, whether he would have voted against the AUMFAIR. Only one senator voted against that wasn't in a safe re-election position, Mark Dayton, and he was not re-elected. I'm not saying this is right, or good leadership, just that practically speaking it's how our flawed system works. Put in term limits, and maybe it doesn't happen that way.

Personally I think we're not far apart in our wish to have as progressive a candidate win the nomination and election as possible. It's my own belief that Edwards is the best balance between standing for progressive policy and being able to win in the general, that the Democrats have had in a long long time. He's by no means a perfect candidate, but he's the most progressive with the best shot of winning.

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They never do. A tiny minority protests anything. That doesn't mean that the public gives politicians a pass about lies or lame excuses. I have seen Edwards being put on the spot just a little bit when he went on Meet The Press and his answers were terrible. If one of the war supporters is the nominee, it will nullify the Iraq War issue or worse. "Bush fooled me" is the worst excuse.

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I think you are by far overestimating the AUMF outside of the blogs. A plurality of Americans are in the same space Edwards and Clinton are in terms of turnign against the war. Coming across a the "I told you so candidate," is not an electoral winner.

Obama's decision to continue to buy into the Bush's GWOT even now significantly undermines his "judgement" angle as well.

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Yes, I understand the point you're making about the 'mood' of the country after 9/11. But it's my contention that even with a sense of increased 'nationalism,' the administration still had to lie through their teeth to get a majority of the public to agree to a unilateral war on Iraq. You can see by the poll results in December 2002 that even 60% of Republicans were against a unilateral attack. (see below for link to poll) And that was a month after the Iraq Resolution vote! The propaganda machine was working overtime by the time of the State of the Union in January 2003. Bush did an amazing job in that speech, even scaring me a bit, even though I knew his words were lies. So I give the public a lot of credit for initially resisting the call for war. But the collusion of major media and administration propaganda and an abetting Congress finally proved too powerful. And of course there was public resistance to the war, evidenced by the enormous numbers of people who marched or rallied in the US and around the world.

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If I say "mistake," I'm just picking up the way the politician is characterizing it. I don't think thats the right word and I frankly think its extremely dishonest. This was willful so its not even a question of getting "wiser." I do not believe that they could possibly have believed it was in the interests, let alone best interests, of our country to invade Iraq, decapitate its government and be responsible for that country. (Gee, its not believable that those consequences just never occurred to these folks, though thats what they seem to be telling us.)

It makes it very hard and I am kind of dismayed that the Democratic Party establishment puts us voters in this position. Thats the reason the choices are so overwhelmingly skewed towards war supporters: these are the people who can get backing from the establishment. I sincerely believe that they voted for the war for absolutely selfish reasons. Its the only explanation that makes sense. That is a hard thing to accept. Millions of people have suffered, are suffering, so much for it. Their excuses aren't as good as a drunk driver's excuse and their remorse about the terrible consequences is, IMO, less sincere because here they are running for President, which is what they were thinking about when they supported the war.

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I think Feingold is great, but even in the political climate right now which I believe is very receptive to progressive policy due to the utter failure of neo-conservative leadership for 6 years, there is virtually no chance that Feingold could win a general election. And this election is just too critical to gamble on that.

And your evidence that the electorate is just spoofing everybody when they express their opinions about what they want is...?

That was the kind of thinking that got us John Kerry who carried the double burden of being a Republican Lite masquerading as a northeast liberal and - worse - a Vietnam veteran.

At least one current poll had Democrats rating Hillary as the most electable while Republicans salivate at the prospect. Both can't be right. Comical is the Republican willingness to vote for perceived liberals reborn as rightwing hawks. Any one of the three stooges should be a setup for any Democratic nominee but Hillary. Maybe Giuliani can switch clothes with Hillary before a debate.

BTW I think it would be fine to have a transvestite as presidential candidate but I am not sure that would go over too well with the general public. The CEO of one successful biotech (United Therapeutics) was a transvestite. She/he is now Chairman of the Board. I always wondered about which restroom he/she used but the rest apparently concerned no one.

Best, Terry

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No offense, but maybe your willingness to see it that way is BECAUSE you like Edwards?

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Very few Democrats who voted for authorization actually supported invasion - that's your dishonesty or oversimplification. The issues were not black and white in October 2002.

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Very few Democrats who voted for authorization actually supported invasion

With all due respect, Dee Dee, I think that is wrong. Bush only grudgingly put the question of an invasion up for a vote because he questioned whether there was even a need for any authorization. The vote was on a resolution which had no force of law but expressed the sentiment of Congress.

I would not suggest a candidate who voted for the resolution should be sentenced to eternal damnation but any that did not know they were voting for war must suffer from periodic blackouts.

Best, Terry

Best, Terry

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I think there were 16 co-sponsors of the Iraq War Resolution in the Senate. If I recall correctly, Edwards signed up as number four.

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So you did, sorry. The fact is people did want something done - they wanted the United States to have a strong posture against Saddam Hussein. Many fewer people, including fewer Democrats who voted to authorize the use of force, actually wanted Bush to use that authorization for a full-scale invasion. I wholeheartedly agree that voting to authorize Bush to do ANYTHING was a mistake, and I was against it at the time, but what people were saying, basically, was that we needed to psyche Saddam out, and that no threat we made would have any teeth unless the President had immediate authority to act.

The fact that the President to whom they were giving this power is either a moron or an evil person lends support to the idea that the vote for authorization was very poor judgment. But I can forgive people for not believing that Bush was as reckless as he turned out to be. I don't believe that John Edwards is just a cynical politician. That's just a judgment call about the character of John Edwards. As to polls, please remember that most of the American people long believed that Saddam Hussein was responsible for the attacks on the Twin Towers. That casts a rather dark shadow on the theory of the collective wisdom of the American people.

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This is what Bush said in early October 2002 (again, I didn't trust him, but...):

"Later this week, the United States Congress will vote on this matter. I have asked Congress to authorize the use of America's military, if it proves necessary, to enforce U.N. Security Council demands. Approving this resolution does not mean that military action is imminent or unavoidable. The resolution will tell the United Nations, and all nations, that America speaks with one voice and is determined to make the demands of the civilized world mean something. Congress will also be sending a message to the dictator in Iraq: that his only chance -- his only choice is full compliance, and the time remaining for that choice is limited."

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Ah the age old political paradox: do I support the candidate/party because of the way I think, or do I think the way I do because I support the candidate/party? The latter is what causes fanaticism in politics, something I'm totally against (and something I think Obama gets very well). I'm fiercely independent, so much so that I struggle with the very idea of political factions, especially the current duopoly. So although I will never be able to convince you, I think the way I do regardless of who is currently running.

And to get at the heart of this particular issue: I've never believed you can pigeon-hole a candidate, and more importantly a human being for that matter, by focusing on one mistake they made. Especially if they have apologized and noted what they've learned from it. And if you distill this down, that's what this discussion is really all about.

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This is what Bush said in early October 2002 (again, I didn't trust him, but...):

You said it better than I could, Dee Dee.

Best, Terry

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Here's the problem and I think this happens with anything as complicated as this issue, we seek one simple elegant answer for why things happened. I said in the original post that the collective psychology of the country was taken advantage of by the Administration. I did not say that anyone is to blame or anyone is free from blame. I'm merely pointing out that this aspect of the lead up to war is rarely emphasized. It's probably just the way our memories work, we filter out excess, and gravitate to and select the simple explanations to store. Therefore, after seeing Moyer's piece on the media's role, it made me think again about this, and now I'd love to see a piece on the American people's role. In all fairness to Bill's new show, his interview with Jon Stewart last night touches upon this.

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The only way I can answer it is to say where I come from: I remember the Vietnam war years. I am sincerely anguished that my country made the same mistake ALL OVER AGAIN and caused so much terrible, horrible suffering to so many, again. I don't see it as "one mistake;" that characterization is, IMO, more of the same self-serving set up that allowed Edwards, Biden, Dodd, Clinton, Richardson, etc. to support the Iraq War to begin with. They never lose but others lost so much because of what they did.

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With all respect, please go back and read their statements in 2002. What does decisive action mean? Are we going back to "that depends what the meaning of "is" is" on the part of Democrats where they parse their language in such a self-serving way that it means whatever they want it to mean whenever they want to tell us what it means?

If they didn't want Bush to invade Iraq, they should have said it loud and clear and over and over and have dozens of statements they would have made between September 2002 and the date of the invasion to point to for exactly what they intended.

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So when exactly did Edwards, Biden, Dodd, Richardson, Clinton say "Don't use force" between October 2002 and March 2003? Where are the speeches that called on him not to invade Iraq?

"If I knew then what I know now, I wouldn't have voted the way I did then." - Yeah, because invading Iraq was an absolutely hairbrained, idiotic, stupid, gormless thing to do. And we're back at the essential question: What was their thinking to have gone along with it AT ALL? Kerry couldn't explain his rationale in 2004; have we forgotten how that went?

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You're absolutely right about what Democrats should have done. I supported Wes Clark in the primaries for that very reason. But I do think there are some arguments for forgiving those Democrats based on their assumptions that 1) Saddam Hussein was a dangerous and cruel dictator whose rule was a reign of terror, 2) he had wmd's which he intended to use on neighboring states (even though the inspectors had not found them yet), 3) he couldn't be indefinitely contained. They were wrong in assumptions 2 and 3.

And I don't believe they thought war would unfold as it did - they expected a few air strikes - that's what they intended by "decisive action".

I'll vote for any of the Democratic candidates. Kucinich is the one whose views are most similar to mine, but he comes across as sanctimonious and I don't think he can win. Clinton is my least favorite because she's the most hawkish. But I'll take any one of the Democrats over any Republican to restore my priorities to the country's agenda - especially civil liberties and compassion for the poor. I will not waste my time trashing any of them when there are so many Republicans to trash, and when I know none of them are going to seek out military conflict for the fun of it as George Bush has.

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Forgiveness is doable. Stay Senators or Governors. Just don't try to become President.

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Do you seriously believe that Bush doesn't take full advantage of the number of Democrats who voted for this war? Do you seriously believe that any GOP candidate for the presidency in 2008 won't take full advantage of a Democratic opponent who also supported the war--just as Bush did?

Democratic "concerns" by any of our current crop of candidates who voted for this war is simply putting lipstick on the pig. The GOP is begging to have this war hung around their necks for the next 50 years. Their policy did not rise to the level of "imminent threat" to America or American interests.

We need a Democratic candidate who can make that perfectly clear--and apologists for their thoroughly destructive vote in 2002 don't make the cut. Go look up what Democrats who voted "nay" on this bill had to say to defend their "nay" vote.

It's not nit-picking to deny Bush and the GOP the cover of the minority of Democrats who supported their policy in 2002. And there's no reason for any Democrat to support a candidate in the primary who provides any fig-leaf for the Emperor and his party.

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If the Democrats nominate any of the Iraq War supporters, they lose their absolute best issue and strategy: forcing the Republican candidate to either embrace or repudiate Bush's decision to take the country to war. And the Republican candidate will have to embrace it because the 30% of the country that is the Republican "base" still loves Bush. Nominating a Democrat who was complicit in the decision would give up a golden opportunity to isolate the entire Republican party to that 30% base vote.

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Plus, we already tried this weasel-wording critique of the Iraq War with Kerry. "I was for it before I was against it." It didn't work.

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