Top GOP Pollster: Obama And Dems Can Make Gains Among "Mega-Church" Voters
With Barack Obama set to make a controversial visit to Evangelical guru Rick Warren's Saddleback Church today, a top GOP pollster who's worked on Presidential cammpaigns says in an interview that Obama, as well as Dems in general, are positioned to make gains among voters who frequent so-called "mega-churches" such as Saddleback. The adviser, Matthew Dowd, told the Chicago Tribune that his work as President Bush's pollster in 2004 convinced him that the "mega-church" vote is more in flux and far less easy to pigeonhole than many suspect:
Based on exit polls from the 2004 election, Dowd estimates that about half of those who attend mega-churches identify themselves as Democrats or independents, not Republicans. And many of them are less interested in specific issues than in a principled leader who shows genuine faith and can rally them toward greater common purpose, he said."People's understandings of faith are not nearly as polarized as people in politics think they are," Dowd said.
He cites the success of Virginia's Democratic Gov. Tim Kaine in defending his opposition to the death penalty in a state where capital punishment is extremely popular. Kaine explained his position as an important moral teaching of his Catholic faith and gained support for taking a principled stand, Dowd said.
In any event, Obama signaled in his speech in June and will reinforce again Friday that he will make faith a part of his public persona.
"Democrats have not been able to use language in a faith-based way," Dowd said. "Somebody is going to see that conversation is not taking place in the right way, and Barack Obama is one person who recognizes that."
We'll be bringing you much more on Obama's appearance at Saddleback later today.















The Christian right is neither Christian or consevative. They are reactionaries. One telltale sign was when Jerry Falwell opposed putting to death a female who had committed a murder but later converted to Christianity. Several "Christian conservatives" wondered if Falwell had abandoned his faith!
The Christian Coalition was recently presented with the choice of fighting for justice, the environment and against poverty instead of focusing just on an anti-gay marriage and anti-abortion platform. The group chose the latter course. The Coalition stated in effect the the justice/anti-poverty/environment platform did not represent who they were. Indeed.
If the crazies within Warren's tent respond to Obama's appearance with scorn, they will merely encourage the majority of the population (irrespective of whether any religious orientation exists) to view Christian conservatives as intolerant.
Addressing Rick Warren's conference is an important first step to retrieve the moral high ground from amoral people.
December 1, 2006 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think like America in general under Bush, the Christian conservatives are severely misled by their leaders, but I wouldn't group Rick Warren in with the other leaders. He and others like him are pretty different from, say, James Dobson or Jerry Falwell. The members of his church are likely to be even more diverse in their views and beliefs. They have a very fluid belief system, much of which could be thought of as more positive than restrictive, built around the idea of how awesome God is, which Obama tapped into very adroitly in his DNC speech. They have a lot of younger members as well.
That's not to say that some people within both groups aren't lost causes, either single issue abortion voters or simply intolerant, but you peel a % or two away or reduce the urgency they feel about voting against you, and it's, "Hello, Presidents Gore and Kerry."
December 1, 2006 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think like America in general under Bush, the Christian conservatives are severely misled by their leaders, but I wouldn't group Rick Warren in with the other leaders.
I agree. I should have been clearer. Warren argues for a church that is known for fighting for justice/poverty/environment rather than against abortion and gay rights, although he is strongly anti-abortion.
December 1, 2006 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink