Reuters Polls: Dems Closing In On House
Reuters has just released a batch of polls done by John Zogby, and they show Dems well-positioned to grab control of the House, with leads in 12 of the 15 GOP-held districts surveyed:
Just two Republican incumbents, Simmons and Drake, were ahead in their races. Republican Rep. Geoff Davis of Kentucky, who led Democrat Ken Lucas last month, trailed this time by 3 percentage points, within the margin of error.Other trailing Republican incumbents were Rep. Christopher Shays of Connecticut, behind Democrat Dianne Farrell 51 percent to 44 percent; Rep. Jim Gerlach of Pennsylvania, who trailed Democrat Lois Murphy by 49 percent to 44 percent; Rep. Chris Chocola of Indiana, behind Democrat Joe Donnelly 52 percent to 39 percent, and Rep. Mike Sodrel, who trailed Democrat Baron Hill 48 percent to 46 percent.
Republican Rep. Charles Taylor of North Carolina closed the gap on Democrat Heath Shuler but still trailed by 48 percent to 43 percent, while Wilson in New Mexico was behind Democrat Patricia Madrid 53 percent to 44 percent.
Interesting footnote: Of the nine seats surveyed which hold GOP incumbents, six of the incumbents poll below 40%, while the other three poll in the low 40s -- in other words, all well below 50%. View a full state-by-state rundown of the poll results here.
Let's hope Kerry's mis speaking does not cost us too many of those extremely marginal seats. It will certainly cost some.
I respect Kerry's gallant service and equally gallant opposition to the Vietnam War. And his voting record and personal character. But he has never had good political instincts from blowing his first race in Lowell 1974 to doing the same nationwide in 2004 .
There have been some valiant attempts to
claim that the dems will benefit from this
blunder. But that test of that is whether , if we could turn the clock back a la Groundhog Day , we would choose to have Kerry repeat his remark .
November 1, 2006 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink