Opinion Roundup: Who Gets Credit, Rahm Or Netroots?
There's an interesting debate bubbling away in the lib blogosphere over who should get more credit for the Dem win, the netroots or the DCCC's Rahm Emanuel. The reason the argument's noteworthy is that it roughly foreshadows some of the coming battles over who has cracked the secret code of how best Dems can convert the party's gains into a durable majority.
In the crudest of summaries, the battle essentially lines up like this: Some say the netroots deserve credit because they had the guts, foresight and online organizational clout to push quirky but principled candidates whose strongly articulated opinions slowly generated appeal among voters. Others point out Rahm's fundraising helped "netroots" candidates at least as much as the bloggers did, and note Rahm's successful pragmatic candidate-recruitment. A third school of thought holds there's plenty of credit to go around and the two camps actually complement each other.
A quick wrap-up of opinion on all sides of the argument after the jump.
The Democrats have won back the House. Rahm Emanuel, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), nearly tripped over himself on the way to the microphone to claim the credit. In fact, while the tidal wave in the House looks like a bit of strategic genius by Emanuel--and pundits are starting to call it that way (Howard Fineman on MSNBC noted that the Democrats even picked up a seat in Kentucky, where the 3rd District candidate was John Yarmuth--"Emanuel's fourth choice!" Fineman exclaimed, as if in awe of the power possessed by Emanuel's mere table scraps)--in race after race, it actually represents the apotheosis of forces Emanuel has doubted all long: the netroots...The bloggers, blunt as they may be, think they have a better plan for building a lasting Democratic majority. Last night's results suggest the rest of us should start taking it seriously.
With all due respect to Rick Perlstein, his piece about Rahm Emanuel and the bloggers is highly unpersuasive. His evidence that Democrats owe their victory to the "netroots" -- whatever that really means -- rather than to the DCCC, boils down to the fact that five candidates disliked by liberal bloggers had the nerve to lose their races (Mike Weaver (KY-02), Ken Lucas (KY-04), Christine Jennings (FL-13), Dan Seals (IL-10), and Tammy Duckworth (IL-06)). Putting aside the fact that Duckworth was in fact a blogger favorite, what is the evidence that alternative candidates would have succeeded in these districts? Well, Perlstein doesn't say. But griping about five races that didn't pan out when Democrats just won at least 29 seats, seems to miss the point of what happened yesterday.Later in his piece Perlstein gives ten examples of victorious netroots-approved candidates that he seems to believe the DCCC somehow abandoned. He hints that the bloggers put these candidates over the top. "The thing all these successful candidates share in common is backing by the same dirty-necked bloggers and netroots activists that pundits have been calling the political kiss of death," he writes.
I suppose that's one thing they had in common. Others might look at Perlstein's list of winners and say the thing they had in common, with the exception of one, is that the DCCC dumped tons of money, strategic advice, and fundraising assistance into their races.
There's simply no way liberal, Netroots-friendly candidates could have won most of the districts for which Rahm recruited moderate-to-conservative candidates...That's not to say the Netroots didn't play an important role in this election. I just think Rick sets up a bit of a false dichotomy. Rahm did a solid job recruiting competitive candidates for the most obviously competitive races--which, as head of the Democrats' campaign committee, is what he needed to focus on. The Netroots did a solid job of identifying and funding candidates in districts where Democrats were a longer shot--the kinds of high-risk prospects you wouldn't necessarily want your congressional committee worrying about. The roles of the Netroots and the party committee were actually pretty complementary in that respect, which is the way you'd hope it would be.
Beyond the rightness or wrongness of Emanuel's strategy, the larger point is that there's no need to set up the netroots and the Democratic establishment in opposition to each other. Many of the most successful Democratic candidates — Tester and Webb, for example — had strong backing both from the blogosphere and the party apparatus. And with a victory this big, surely there's enough credit to go around.
This is something we should all stitch on our foreheads. Yesterday's results were a tribute to Howard Dean's 50-state strategy and a tribute to Emanuel's fundraising ability and general energy level. I note that Dean said nice things about Emanuel last night, and I hope Emanuel returns the favor. Bickering is bad enough when you lose, but it's even worse when you win.
In the case of John Hall in New York and many others, the DCCC attention and money came relatively late in the campaign as the races began to tighten and the DCCC expanded its roster of targets, and one can thus argue both that activists are the true source of such eventual victories and that the DCCC should have done more sooner; but each individual candidate always wants more resources from the DCCC and always thinks they're not getting enough fast enough, and weighing counterfactual claims becomes pretty difficult.
And on a somewhat separate topic, Kos:
Memo to the media, punditsDear know-nothings,
I know most of you are stupid, and proud to remain that way.
But the Netroots backed more than just Ned Lamont.
For example, Jim Webb and Jon Tester in the Senate, and dozens more in the House.
Jim Webb, for example, said this about the netroots:
The netroots have been a tremendous help to my campaign and a huge inspiration to me personally.I am where I am in large part because of their support.
So Lieberman won. Lots of our candidates lost. Lots of them won. It's called elections.
Hugs and kisses.
kos
Here's my contribution: This is a very nice thing to be arguing about.















"There's no need to set up the netroots and the Democratic establishment in opposition to each other."
Aren't there spoils and party control to argue about? And shouldn't the sharp guys be rewarded and the dead weight pruned?
Someone should get down to the specifics of the pre-election disputes between Dean and the netroots on the on side, and Emmanuel and Schumer on the other. Look at who won, what happened, and how it turned out. My impression is that Dean won, and that if he hadn't the Democrats would have done considerably worse. But I'm highly partisan on this question, and there are facts to dig up.
Hopefully the dispute will be resolved in a friendly way, but I think that that's most likely to happen if someone kicks Emmanuel and Schumer in the teeth a few times just to get their attention.
The contempt for the netroots is just part of the contempt that the DC losers have long felt for voluntarism and grass roots politics of any kind.
November 9, 2006 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
So who won Rhode Island?
November 9, 2006 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the most accurate description of what happened is from John at Americablog:
November 9, 2006 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "netroots" is just people discussing politics on the internet, isn't it? The great thing about the internet is that everyone gets to talk. Years ago, I got a few calls in to C-SPAN's Washington Journal but its gotten so much harder to get through because of the call volume. I did get an email read on the air a few months ago. The Democratic Party should embrace their current advantage with the netroots wholeheartedly because this is where their new voters will come from. The WWII generation voted because they were supposed to vote but they are leaving the electorate. The Democrats need all the help they can get to encourage people to self-select to be voters and dictating who the candidates will be and what the issues will be discourages people.
We all want to say something about politics and I find that internet comments from other ordinary people contribute information about local races that I actually trust more than the generalizing jokey punditry on TV. I saw a blog comment the other day about the Harold Ford race that he was undercut by his own family trying to hold onto his House seat for the family and running his brother as an independent after losing the primary. You know, thats good information and probably more important than all the hours of yak about that ad with the blonde woman.
November 9, 2006 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I remember, several netroots candidates had to fight past DNC candidates in the primaries before they could win their elections. And the netroots eventually warmed to Duckworth, but Emmanuel pushed her past an earlier netroots candidate, and then she lost anyway. And my bet is that she lost partly because, as an Emmanuel protege, she ran a bad campaign. The DC party been strongly criticized for micromanaging campaigns. (In Minnesota Wetterling, a good candidate, ran a poor, cautious campaign and lost. I'm wondering whether she wasn't getting a lot of help and advice from Emmanuel.)
November 9, 2006 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are substantive difference between 'netroots' and 'emmanuelism'. Take the issue of "war of choice" and torture. To netroots, they are abhorrent. To them, it is the question if you support the evil or oppose. To 'emmanuels' the issue requires a nuanced approach...
The thing is that in 2004 the country was in grips of war fever and post-9/11 paranoia, and top Dems were probably correct in their assement that GOP has a winning strategy of advocating total abandonment of morality and decency in defence of "national security" ("we will do whatever it takes..."). So they either supported or mumbled. Now war fever is very much gone, and it is hard to find a Dem who lost by being against war and/or torture. Instead they were attacked for paying benefits to illegal aliens, murduring cute puppies etc.
Allegedly, there was also this dynamics: candidates with nuanced positions were attacked for the positions of their more radical collegues, but rather than fighting back, they sort of mumbled -- as the nuanced position requires, which contributed to some of the losses. (I say allegedly because I read it in Counterpunch. These people are often correct, but not always -- my nuanced position)
November 9, 2006 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is so childish.
Both did their jobs, and both were necessary elements to the victory. Why is this a mutually exclusive question?
November 9, 2006 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
One more thing: Duckworth was not a netroots favorite, given that she had "nuanced" position on Iraq and was
"parashooted" into the district against "grassroot" candidate.
Once she got elected in the primaries, people were rooting for her. The point is, we do believe in primary system, and that you support our candidates even if before primaries we supported someone else (barring rare cases of repulsive reptilians winning in primaries).
The professional party leaders can be much less loyal. For example, it is hard to believe that NY State Senate Republican majority couldn't be wittled down. Long Island should be at least semi-blue territory, and it is even not terribly gerrymandered. But there is some crummy gentlemen agreement in force.
November 9, 2006 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because they disagreed in the past about important issues, and still disagree, and because Emmanuel is still trying to freeze out the netroots.
I think that Emmanuel was wrong and should keep his head down for a change, but above I specifially suggested that there should be an investigation of what actually happened.
It's my understanding that if Emmanuel had had his way, some of the defeated Republicans would have had no opponent or an unsupported opponent, and if that's true, Emmanuel should be called to account.
November 9, 2006 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I kind of like to think of the netroots as the scouts for the farm and the DCCC as the majors. Sometimes the scouts will find a Webb or Tester who is ready to step up to the bigs right away, sometimes they'll find people in need of a campaign (or two?) to get ready. If they ever do. Would have been good to see Hackett step up to the plate again, to see how a little seasoning could have worked.
Either way, the numbers game we should be playing a la Dean's 50 state strategy finally has a fairly efficient and appropriately ruthless mechanism to actually work.
November 9, 2006 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
To me, I think that the clincher was "all things related to the Internet" since the big three networks, and most newspapers, seemed "at bat" for the current administration.
I think "Net Neutrality" is an important issue because I believe that "freedom of the press" lives on the internet's blogs, web pages and YouTube videos.
Gone are the days when Bush, and future presidents, will get your attention by preempting prime time television shows!
Everybody wins because blogs are giving people an opportunity to write again, the motivation to communicate persuasively and a place to sort out thoughts.
Additionally, the Internet helps people feel less isolated and, perhaps, less prone to becoming the targets of the psychological warfare that comes from the top or become victims of industry shrills.
If we keep working hard, we'll make the politicians work for their money and force them to figure out a way to become relavent to our online communities.
It's nice to have a place like tpmcafe.com because my senator, Norm Coleman, writes me terrible letters and if his office asks me: "do you want Norm to send you a letter?" I now say "no. those letters make me feel worse."
Perhaps Norm will see this post, start reading tpmcafe.com and expand his worldview. I'm hoping so because the next Republican convention will be in Saint Paul and I really don't to see the Republicans bad mouthing the UN, gays-- you name it-- again!
November 9, 2006 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I was assigning credit I would give the lion's share of it to Dr. Dean for getting the ball rolling and getting a grassroots network in place that allowed the dems to more competetive in more districts and not ceding anything to the repugs. It also helped that the timing was good and the electorate was mad as hell and wasn't gonna take it anymore... ;-)
But I agree with Attorney At Arms...credit should go all around.
November 9, 2006 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
You were witness to the last election, and the ones before that, and you think the people chose this result? If anyone believes that Bush was elected, they must listen to NPR. The closest elections anyone can imagine, and the republicans are just backing down? Like Bush did when he was "elected" the first time? Get real!!! This election was planned from the start, the result was known before it was held. You are all just playing into their hands. Sounds bad? You bet! Fool me once.....
November 9, 2006 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
here's one way to look at it.
the candidate who had no netroots help whatsoever, ford, didn't win.
the candidate who had no DC dem support whatsoever, lamont, also didn't win.
what's the lesson there?
November 9, 2006 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's enough credit to go around, but there is room to point out some flaws. I think Dean gets huge props for the 50-state strategy, without which we would have been fighting for 15 seats not 50, and if anyone had screwed up we wouldn't have gotten them. We also wouldn't have made the major gains in state houses that we did and which over the next 2 decades may prove to be the really important advance. The netroots, as I understand it (and I'm not sure it can be uniformly defined), deserves a lot of props for finding good candidates in unexpected places and for pushing dems to take strong positions especially on the war, which ultimately was the right stance. The netroots also did an important job of motivating and activating the base (It wasn't Rahm that got me to give more money than I ever have to campaigns or to knock on doors every weekend for a month and a half), much like conservative churches did in the past few years. I don't see much room to criticize Schumer given that no one even thought 6 seats was possible, unless it's to point out that more support should have been given to Carter and Pederson. Emmanuel did a great job of fundraising and in some cases a good job of selecting candidates. In other cases he selected candidates who lost, or worse, selected candidates who lost in the primary to an eventual winner, proving his selection skills are suspect (I'm thinking of the CA-11 as an example, rahm's choice and we'd still have Pombo). I think he also did a relatively poor job of allocating all the money he raised. At some point he should have realized the breadth of the playing field and spread the money a lot more (and more efficiently) than he did.
It is important to discuss these things and not just sweep them under the rug in a big "we won, now we all get along" fiesta, b/c the next time around the republicans aren't likely to implode quite as badly and we'll need to be on our best possible footing.
November 9, 2006 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who gets credit seems to be a rather linear, unimaginative and unproductive analysis of this dichotomy. I am not knowledgeable enough about the workings of the party to feel that I have this entirely right, so let’s just say that I am pointing in a general direction.
The DCCC represents the status quo powers structure of the Democratic Party. Their goal is to take power from Republicans without upsetting the balance of power within the Democratic Party.
Being the party of the people, many Democrats seek a populist movement with the aim of distributing power more judiciously and evenly. The Netroots tend to be a part of this movement.
The Democratic Party cannot move forward without the money of the DCCC and DCCC cannot accomplish much without the support of a fairly broad base of people. As influential as money is, so too is the idea that people can seek power for themselves. It has been the driving force of the western democratic movement for hundreds of years and it has seen the very slow dispersion of power from nobility to an ever increasingly wide segment of the population. We were taken to war by those with money and power. But the will of the people have stopped, or at least slowed, them. The question is not, who made this one small step? It is, who is going to be responsible for the next step, and the next, and the next?
Trying to assess credit for this victory assumes that a formula has been found. But the formula keeps changing so we have to look forward. Let the DCCC have credit for this victory. Their job is to try to hold on to the status quo. They want a formula that will keep us here. The rest of us need to look forward to the formulas that will get us to the next step.
Furthering the evolutionary march of power to the people means that we need to figure out how to translate these victories into campaign finance reform, the destruction of the corporate two party system, paperless voting, corporate subsidies, global economies without global governments, etc.
Hell yes, the DCCC is big and powerful. They are beautiful and smart. We owe everything to them. Hopefully in the next election they will choose to bestow their extreme generosity on us. Give them the bone, so that we can move on and figure out how to make them obsolete....with their help.
November 9, 2006 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rahm ? Netroots ? I don't know. I don't care.
All I care is that the DLC lost.
No, you can't have your own facts!
November 9, 2006 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not that I'm one to second the opinion of official pundits at Starbucks, but Greg Sargent put it well in another post:
This was not a victory for triangulation or for polling and politics as policy. It was not therefore a victory for Clintonism. It was a victory for the idea that politicians should want to lead and that leadership requires opinions and the desire and ability to convince others of their importance. The Republicans led for years by conning the electorate. I really do get the impression that at least some Democrats this time around were able to play the game of politics in defense of something more.That's a political maturity I haven't seen for a while. Whether or not I agree with their beliefs is something else entirely. But I'd give credit to the netroots not because they led the way, but because the 'roots' are a little closer to the rest of the country. Kos is not an intellectual, and he's not a leftist. I'd link him with Webb who was a Reagan man 20 years ago.
If something has changed it hasn't come from the top but from the honest impatience of the middle. And Middle America is not what it used to be.
November 9, 2006 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not understand the idea that we should not debrief and see what worked and what didn't. Since different strategies were proposed by different individuals, and since all the players have their ideas about future strategy and are jockeying for influence, some individuals are going to have to win and some are going to have to lose. Let's see that they're the right ones.
As far as I can tell, it was Emmanuel who ruined the kumbayah mood. Some people seem to be afraid to offend Emmanuel, and some seem to be protecting poor little Rahm against mean people like me, but intra-party debate is part of the process.
Isn't the question "What would have happened if Emmanuel had been in control all along? Would things have bee better or worse for us?" ?
November 9, 2006 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting that Patty Wetterling's campaign was one of the few that Barack Obama donated to early on. Sadly, Obama (who is one of my senators) has become pure DLC, and the DLC members don't believe in listening to anyone except themselves. I suspect your assumption about Beltway directives in Wetterling's campaign is correct.
November 9, 2006 11:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think people are forgetting one very important component- Air America. I have converted many a conservative dem/ secular repub away from voting republican by tuning in Al Franken. Having venues for democrats to define our positions and values is vital in this ever hostile media political landscape. Air America not only gives like minded liberals a place to hear each other, but provides an audience for Waxman or Dorgan to talk about their TEN Profiteering hearings that I never heard of in WAPO or NYT. Also, authors of books like Cobra II, Hubris or Risk Shift get an audience to sell books so publishers are encouraged to publishs books that put out real information instead of just another beach read. I cut a check to Tim Walz, even though I'm havn't lived in MN for 8 years and I never lived in his district, but he made me proud to be from MN with his dedication and decency. I agree Dean's 50 state stratagy is right on the money, but we need a way to get the message out. AA, this blog, and holding the media accountable for it's distortions is the only way we can get to all 50 states without the 20 in the middle thinking democrats are only good for being the punchline to a joke. All this I get from Air America. It astounds me how little support it gets from main stream democrats. Fox has pushed the entire MSM to the right. How can you complain about Fox if you won't support an alternative?
November 10, 2006 12:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ironically, my biggest problem with KOS is that he is too much the party man; I do not trust the Democratic leadership and I would prefer if more of us were skeptical and cynical about them. I prefer to start with what should be done to move this country in a better direction. Unfortunately, the Dems most often do not begin this way; they typically start from conventional wisdom...either out of fear that thinking outside the box will cost them at the ballot box (especially given the right wing stranglehold on the media) ...or not being willing to offend powerful corporate interests. While clearly we leftists/progressives have a closer fit with Democrats than with the Big Evil nevertheless it seems really stupid to be cheerleaders for the likes of Hillary Clinton, Biden, or Obama.
November 10, 2006 12:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Also, it seems likely that the $3m sunk into Duckworth's campaign to try to get her to the finish line could have been spread around among 10 races that were in the same range in terms of spread between the candidates and in less expensive races ... and now that we look at the results, with at least 3 good chances of pickups. A couple of hundred thousand to Kissell in NC-08, for example, would almost certainly have put him over the top.
November 10, 2006 1:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clearly, both deserve credit for the wins on Tuesday. Some say Jon Stewart and Colbert deserve credit for getting young people interested in the election and getting them to vote. There's plenty of kudos to go around and Dean's 50 state strategy is included for the round of high fives.
November 10, 2006 1:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
The two factors critical to the Democratic takeover were Gee Dubyas unpopular war (Iraq) and the constant drip-drip-drip of Republican scandals. Events help create political environments and these two factors soured the public on the neo-cons and their fundamentalist brothers. Iraq is on TV every night just like the Vietnam war was and no plan of action for Iraq plus mounting casualty numbers shows the glaring incompetence of Bush & Co.
The troika of Dean, Emanuel and Schumer should get the main credit since they provided the organization and money for the successful takeover operation. Yes there were some mistakes made in selection of candidates, but on the whole it was highly successful. The netroots and progressive radio stations generated and maintained enthusiasm among the base and independents and provided funds and volunteers for local campaigns. A disjointed team at times, but we won.
Rove has consistently focused on their "base" and flipped off everyone else. You can't govern from the wings, just ask Arnold Schwarzenegger how he won re-election on Tuesday. The "true" Republican base should expel the neo-cons and fundamentalist religionists from their party and pull it back to the center.
November 10, 2006 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I Googled around. The DCCC supported Wetterling earlier than Walz (who was added to the DCCC Red to Blue list only on Oct 27) and seems to have been more closely involved in her campaign. The DCCC seems to have been responsible for an implausible attack add which cost Wetterling a lot of support. (The ad stupidly accused the Republican Bachman of being soft on crime, and seems to be a version of the cagy but destructive and stupid "attack Republicans from the right" strategy).
In Minnesota civility still is valued and Wetterling is a stereotypical nice soccer mom. Not only did she lose voters because of the nastiness itself, but she also neutralized one of her own main selling points.
My guess is that the DCCC discouraged her from making the kind of strong, straightforward case on the issues she would have been good at and conned or bullied her into running a cagy, deceptive campaign. And losing.
Summary: the DCCC was good when it was dishing out money, and crappy when advising campaigns. They should think of themselves as an ATM from here on out, and forget about all their clever losing ideas.
November 10, 2006 6:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
An overwhelming victory for light and defeat for the forces darkness.
Lieberman is now clearly an ersatz Republican. The insufferable hypocrite no longer speaks for the Democratic Party in any way. That is very good.
It's a simple historical fact that the Democratic Party ceded a political position so dominant that there was talk once of the Republicans going the way of the Whigs by the Democratic fight against segregation. Would you have it otherwise?
Whether first or not, Chris Bowers at MyDD made a powerful argument for the marginalization of the southern anchor on the Democratic Party. The Democrats will not be a true national party until they speak for values of common decency everywhere rather than trying so hard to accommodate antithetical regional views. Ford was a candidate of ignorance and prejudice even though it was those same forces that defeated him. His loss was the Democrat's gain. The "loss" of Lieberman as a Democrat is a similar benefit in my view.
What good is winning if you win nothing?
Twas a famous victory for certain.
The South has great people too.
A diarist suggested drafting John Lewis for Majority Leader in the House. Never happen but would that not be far better than Ford speaking for southern Democrats?
Best, Terry
November 10, 2006 6:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rahm vs netroots is almost as silly as Rahm vs unions would be, the netroots clearly made huge contributions. I have not seen Rahm trashing the netroots (links?), and he was specifically grateful for the netroots effort to get members to pony up cash. It is unfortunate that so many in the netroots feel the need to trash Rahm, but he can take it.
The DNC is a different question. We can all agree that better GOTV in the North East would have won us a few more seats. Rahm and Schumer's argument with Dean eight months ago was over focusing some resources on competitive states, specifically for GOTV. Dean refused, and the DSCC and DCCC had to put together their own GOTV programs.
November 10, 2006 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, who does get credit for the overall success on November 7th?
Is it Rahm Emmanuel who recruited a good class of potential candidates for the most likely districts and effectively raised the money to support them? He did his job better than most Democrats have recently.
Is it Howard Dean who also raised a great deal of money and worked hard to build Democratic party organizations in all 50 states? That is absolutely critical to the future success of the Democratic Party.
Or is it the fledgling Netroots who reached out and provided an effective community for individual activists and activist-wannabees? I have been glued to FireDogLake for months, and I now have a much better idea what it means to organized and work for a candidate. dKos and MYDD have given me techincal inforation on the elections I could not otherwise have gotten unless I was living in D.C. and plugged into effective political networks (and presented the real world counters to the fantasies those public media networks get in D.C.) The Netroots have also provided the outside the beltway views that are critical to political success yet previously have been filtered out by the public D.C. media.
The Republican Party operates through a series of institutions and captured media to do what the Netroots is just beginning to do to facilitate realtiime information from the field to D.C. and the reverse. [This will always cause previously laid plans to be called into question, perhaps even upset. There is also a strong question regarding which voices in the netroots should be listened to, since the filters are not yet clear. Complaints are to be expected. That is mostly a result of the effectiveness of the netroots as a communications media.]
I don't see it as an either-or situation. Emmanuel provided the basic old-line money and candidates operation, and the success of November 7th could not have happened without him. Dean is building for the future and putting back institutions that have withered in recent years. It is a clearly needed operation, and could not have been done by Emmanuel because Rahmn had daily alligators to beat off. Swamp draining wasn't his function. The two functions need to be separate and will compete for funds. No one organization could do both functions properly.
The netroots is new and highly experimental. It helps to link and coordinate the center with the outlying fringes, and allows communities to grow up and replace the political clubs, unions and other instutiutions that have withered in recent years. It will grow and mature, and in four years we will not recognize what it has become. We also will not know how we operated without the netroots. But I'll still be reading the TPM family, dKos, MyDD, Kevin Drum, FireDogLake and others that have become daily reading for me this year. I'd really like to see the Democrats get so comfortable that the National Party starts putting money into Texas to take it back, rather than abandoning it to the religious right and using the funds generated here in the rest of the nation. Dallas, the city which was the only conservative right-wing Repulbinan city in an otherwise (conservative) Democratic Texas back in the early 60's saw a sweep of almost all major county and city races last Tuesday. That tells me the days of Republican domination of Texas are numbered. Someone needs to get Howard Dean to focus on this very large set of electoral votes for 2008.
So tell me, which of those three prongs do you want to give the largest amount of credit to for November 7th? I want all three, and I want the netroots linking the others.
November 10, 2006 7:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
i'm sure there are those who think the lamont loss was also dem gain as well. from their perspective.
my only point is that when we work together our chances of winning go up. and if one wants to define one democrat's loss as "democrat gain", then one should be open to that sort of judgement being applied to anyone else within the party.
from any perspective whatsoever.
November 10, 2006 7:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
^
I think this is a valueable and necessary discussion. And I think this is one of the best threads I've read on TPM (and that's saying a lot).
I feel the election results validated the "50 State" strategy moreso than the "targeted race" approach. So I give the nod to Howard Dean over Rham Emanuel. But clearly they both deserve some credit.
And it's not an either/or thing. The two sides of this debate are complementary, to a large degree.
I think that calling the Dean approach "netroots" muddies the waters somewhat. To me, "netroots" means a nationalized form of "grassroots". It means boots on the ground, where the ground is actually cyberspace. I think of netroots as a tactical element, and the other question (50-state v. targeted race) is a strategy issue. In other words, the netroots advantage can be applied in either case.
Of course, Dean deserves a lot of credit for being the first to recognize the value of the netroots, and to capitalize on it in his 2004 campaign. And I think that experience helped shape his vision that a 50-state strategy can really work.
The Duckworth race (IL-06) is the classic "targeted race" example. Rham Emanuel recruited a strong candidate, and poured tons of money into the race. The problem in this case is that the DCCC (or the DLC) trampled over an established, credible candidate, Christine Cegelis, who had grassroots support in the district, and who is a true progressive. Yes, the netroots (and local grassroots) got behind Duckworth after the primary. But you have to wonder whether it was really necessary (or desireable) to push Cegelis to the side like that. And it leads to the inevitable thought that, if Rham Emanuel is such a genius, then why didn't he win this race? Couldn't he have run Duckworth in a different race? Why so much focus on this one race, when a little extra money elsewhere (e.g. IL-10) could have done a lot of good?
Let's face it, this is mostly about money. The DLC (or DCCC) has a lot of money to inject into these campaigns. That's one of the things that allows them to recruit good candidates -- they can promise financial support.
But for my money -- and it *is* my money -- the DLC seems out of touch with the netroots community, and late to the party when it comes to a winning stategy. And by that I mean that the DLC/DCCC seem to me to be the posterboys and girls for triangulation -- finger in the wind, and go with the flow. Sometimes you have to stand on principle and simply make the argument that your point of view is right. (Actually convince people to follow you, rather than trying to find out where the crowd is already going, and just jumping out in front of it.)
Rham Emanuel surfed this blue wave. But the netroots helped really create and build the wave.
So this year I gave zero money to the DCCC. I gave my money directly to candidates. I gave the most to my local democratic challenger (Dan Seals, IL-10), but I also supported candidates in Indiana and Arizona -- who I wouldn't have known anything about without the internet. The only centralized money source I supported was Al Franken's "Midwest Values PAC".
Bottom line, we are all in this together. The leadership of the party will eventually learn to embrace the netroots community as they come to realize its value. And we can vote with our pocketbooks. Right now, the DLC/DCCC are a little bit stuck in the past, catering to corporate money and trying hard to model themselves as "Republican-lite" instead of the true Democratic party.
I believe this will change over time. But we will have to work at it.
-- ARG
November 10, 2006 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Talk about your false choices.
Conservative Democrats should welcome the leftward pull of the netroots. By defending liberalism head-on, the netroots blunt the force of the liberal label and they allow Conservative Democrats to run as moderate by redefining the middle. The more legitimacy we create for a liberal politics in this country, the more breathing room moderate Democrats have.
At the same time, liberal-left Democrats must recognize -- and I think they do - that when it comes to governing we are obliged to govern all the people, not just liberals. Therefore governing from somewhere near the center is really the only choice. Therefore it will usually be centrist candidates that run and are elected.
It's the job of the pragmatists in the party to run the country and deal with the present while responding to liberal concerns and incorporating liberal ideas where it can.
It's the job of the liberals to actually change the country, hope for the future, build support for Dems and liberalism and prod the leadership to think in new and different ways.
It's neither side's job to get into some kind of pointless pissing contest about who is more important.
November 10, 2006 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I would say that the DCCC/DSCC/DLC's goal is to take power from the Republicans without disturbing the power structure of Washington DC and the country. They have no philosophical problem with the K Street Project, the Bankruptcy Bill, the Telecommuncations Act, the DMCA, the Disney decision, even the Torture Bill. They just want the K Street cash redirected to them and their friends.
sPh
November 10, 2006 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ditto that ATM part. The DCCC advertising efforts here in IN-09 were TERRIBLE! They went after Sodrel on tax hikes. Tax hikes??? Mike Sodrel? Holy crap. Horrible. Everyone new that expensive mailer was horseshit - even us partisan Dems. Talk about not knowing your audience. Sodrel needed to be hit on Iraq and his support for Bush. Laura and George both came here to campaign for Sodrel - if they hadn't, Sodrel might have won. Where the DCCC did help was cash.
November 10, 2006 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yup. You get the feeling that too many of them are simply waiting for "their turn at the trough," and those are the Dems that need to go.
I think the Dems will be disappointed with the trough once they belly-up. Even when the balance of power was clearly beginning to shift in the house, the corporations were still giving two-to-one to the R's (an improvement over the five-to-one of 2004). This is not the seventies or eighties. Corporations now know where their bread is buttered. The ratio will never be better than two-to-one, R's over D's.
November 10, 2006 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Third time now that I've heard the word "silly" on this question. Is that the Rahm team's official talking point?
I'd even be willing to conclude that we anti-Rahm people are wrong, if a careful investigation shows that Rahm was right after all. But culling us "silly" is just a way to keep a necessary intra-party debate from happening at all.
It's not just water over the dam, either. This question affects future plans and strategies. The DC establishment is anointing Rahm as we speak, and they're giving him credit for a victory that probably wouldn't have happened if the netroots hadn't defied him, and if Dean hadn't ignored him.
In some circumstances a compromise win-win kumbayah solution would undoubtedly be the best one, but those circumstances probably require that Rahm not be one of the players. Rahm apparently isn't
a kumbayah type of guy and is capable of changing his mind, so he should be thrown under the bus. If he had been in command throughout, the Democrats would be very lucky to have a one-vote margin today.
November 10, 2006 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Plus, Rahm supports a moderate-Republican economic policy - i.e., fiscal austerity and pro-long-bond policies. While better than the borrow-and-spend polices of Bush/Reagan, they are not policies that advance the economic interests of the middle class. We need a compreheisive program to reestablish economic security for working and middle class Americans: universal health insurance, worthwhile unemploymeny insurance, and renegotiation of labor and environmental standards in our trade agreements with the developing world. Something on alternative energy would be nice as well.
As long as Emmanuel is as beholden to the financial service industries as the Republicans were to oil and gas, we will not have progressive change in America with him in a leadership role in the Democratic Party. This is why he should be opposed, not because he is taking too much credit for our electoral win in 2006.
November 10, 2006 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rick B and others who made similar points:
Thanks for seeing the strengths and the possibilities...I agree that both rather different means of marshalling political will helped with these very gratifying outcomes. And I particulary see the 50 state strategy as having been successful because it was more broadly engaging to marginally interested Democrats out in the heretofore neglected districts. There was some rather unseemly and not terribly constructive bickering going on about this who-takes-credit topic at myDD yesterday.
The question at the moment for a lot of netrooters is "What next" becuase we KNOW we had an influence and its kinda novel for us who have been put off by party and machine politics. (have I made my biases clear enough;). The relationship or lack of it that centralized party politics can strike up with distributed and lightly organized [a euphemism!] netrooters in the next few weeks is actually kind of important. I worked with MoveOn. I am NOT done or putting away my keyboard or checkbook. Is my job now to hold the newly elected Dems to the higher standards the lack of which cost so many Republicans their offices? The web enables the effectiveness of otherwise disaffected liberals for certain nonspecific political goals like ousting incumbents when there is broad general discontent [rage!] at the status quo. Is there more focused action netroots can accomplish without respect or need for a party? We are asking ourselves that. Anyway, we probably aren't just going to disappear like fans from a stadium after "their" team has won.
I feel politics has really changed and in a way that now engages my formerly apolitical self: Courtney just squeaked by. I know, because I just got back from the Boston MoveON office's debrief,that MoveOn put thousands of calls into that district to support Courtney. We have as much reason as the Dem party to claim the vital few votes that tipped it. [I hope it stays tipped!] But I didn't get much thanks from the DCCC.
Then again, if they want to keep us at arms length, all the better for us to keep them to their promises. They are on notice: democracy in this country just got a whole lot louder and stronger at the *roots level. The better the new and old politics can interact, the more complete and lasting will be the victory over the benighted rein of Dubya and the selfishness, divisiveness and fear that gave him power.
[and really, why do we have to discuss this rather important topic of building power under a thread title that hints at squabbling over credit? We are liberals: we can do better than frame our debates like we were Fox News!]
well, that bowl of Turkish coffee has gotten too me, gotta go...
November 10, 2006 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kos is being very high-minded about this. The only one missing now is Rahm.
I still say throw the SOB under the bus, but in the past my opinion has not generally been regarded as very weighty.
November 10, 2006 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
yep. Them'd be the next target of my netrootin'. I elect public servants. we don't have any constitutional provision for buying a public servant and we seem, after so much republican abuse of campaign finance, to need yet another law, or at last an executive to better enforce what laws we have, to dismantle the whole damn lobbying business. The will of the people is all that should be heard in washington, not the will of the corporations. We are all investors and employees of those corporations and to the extent that they are on our side, we will speak up for them.
That's how I think it shold be. I don't hear or expect to hear any party [taking money from corporations] say any such thing.
November 10, 2006 12:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I applied silly to the people denigrating the netroots. Many of the people attacking the netroots are the people who attacked the unions in the '90s, and they are as stupid now as they were then. It is silly to me when informed people doubt the netroots contribution to 2006.
Rahm is not perfect, he was wrong not to use the Iraq war against Republicans earlier, and he acknowledges it. No doubt he made many other tactical mistakes, and I'm no fan of his centrist politics, but his job was to win the house for the Democratic party and we won the house.
The attacks on Rahm personally and the DCCC generally are more confused than silly. Many people confuse IE expenditures with overall DCCC spending, don't understand that the DCCC chair answers to the elected Democratic congressmen, mis-understand the legal limitations of being a party committee, or confuse the DLC with the DCCC and think that the DLC funds candidates.
I don't know what it would mean for the netroots to 'defy' the DCCC, the term covers too diverse a collection of independent people and I haven't seen any party heads try to order it around.
November 10, 2006 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Netroots ?..... DCCC ?....... Hell there is nooooo contest. The credit goes directly to the Republican Party and George Bush for just being..... who they are!
Takes most Americans a little bit longer to "get it" then the rest of us.
November 10, 2006 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I've just got touchy about the "silly" label.
Was it Schumer or Emmanuel who explained that he was running an incumbency-protection group? That description may appeal to the big-money donors (who like doing business with the same people year after year) but like a lot of grassroots Democrats I find it highly offensive. One of the Democrats' enormous problems is that the pros, consultants, and safe incumbents can do very well personally even when the party and the nation are doing badly.
My main point is that we should look at what happened month by month and case by case. For example, the Duckworth and Wetterling races don't make the DCCC look good, and in the months leading up to the election I think that Emmanuel made a number of bad moves.
And then after the investigation has been concluded, we should use the results to decide on future leadership and future strategy. Right now Emmanuel is using his institutional position to make sure that he comes out on top, and I think that he should be resisted.
And sure, he's learned a thing or two and is less resistant to the netroots than he used to be, but I don't think that he should be the one to decide what he learns and what he refuses to learn.
I am willing to grant the possibility that, in the end, it will be a wash -- in some ways Emmanuel is right, and in others Kos et al were right. But what I see happening is Emmanuel consolidating his position without netroots input and without acknowledging the netroots.
"Netroots" is not my word, BTW, but everyone else uses it so I do. You get what I mean.
November 10, 2006 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
J. McCutchen
How about both?
Let's the Republicans fight for a change
November 10, 2006 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rewritten:
Centers are never that interesting. The party won the election because the center moved and someone noticed. But that motion did not begin on the perimiter, at least not on the perimiter of the middle class, and it also did not begin with the party itself or with the leadership. The party adapted, or was forced to adapt. The netroots were closer to expressing the values of mainstream america because in a very real way they were mainstream america. Kos is not a leftist, and he's not a genius, and he's certainly not my hero. But a more decent sort of mediocrity is now the order of the day, because that more decent sort of mediocrity is in the mainstream of American life.
---
On Clinton, Biden and Obama:
Biden is toast. Clinton has played the game for power without standing for much. I'm betting she's actually a loser long-term after this election. Better to watch Pelosi. Obama is smart and slick. He's annoying but we'll see what happens. He might grow into something. He might front something better.
Middle America is now made up of of sushi-eatiing, bi-lingual Eisenhower republicans with gay neighbors. The Democratic party did not make that happen and were not even the first to notice, but they noticed.
November 10, 2006 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your comment inspired me to raise Air America as a Discussion topic.
November 10, 2006 3:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I note in the excerpt from Kevin Drum that "Dean said nice things" about Rahm Emmanuel, and I have to wonder if Rahm WILL "return the favor." I'm no Deaniac and perhaps I am naive, but Howard Dean's efforts seem geared foremost toward building a progressive Democratic movement and party. He may ultimately reap personal political advancement from it, but that seems a long way down the road and secondary. Dean could have responded to his 2004 fate bitterly, but he chose to engage. I admire that.
OTOH, Emmanuel seems ultimately out to assure his place in some "inner circle" of Democratic power. His efforts seem more clearly motivated for his own gain as the ultimate end. Helping the party seems a tool in this quest. Perhaps not, but that's the impression from this outsider.
November 10, 2006 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's an important point and it has a HUGE bearing on 2008. Because Bush and Rove designed the politics of destruction.
And even David Brooks has now aknowledged that Rove's "base strategy -- and it was a theory more than a strategy, a theory there were no people in the middle, that everybody was committed and there were very few voters you could persuade either way, I think that overall theory was certainly disproved by this election."
Well, Republicans turned out their base, and it nearly matched the Democratic base despite everything, Iraq, Foleygate, Katrina, just everything bad that's happened. I think it was a couple of percent Democratic identifiers over Republicans. But, the independents swung to Democrats by 15-20 points and that just crushed them.
So, Democrats in 2008 can't count on the same stupid Republican strategy that was almost doomed from the start. They're going to be smarter, compromise and attempt to peel off some conservatives and independents from the Democratic coalition. And of course they'll succeed, because the media will be totally on their side.
So, if Democrats stand still and present a stationary target they'll lose. They have to immediately start enlarging their base. And having some share of power enables them to do that to some degree. When the Republicans controlled everything, Democrats had the power to do nothing but criticize. If Bush did well they had nothing to stand on. Only because Bush was such a screw up did Democrats have the alternative of saying "have you had enough of the wire-tap and the rubber stamp?, etc."
The worst thing is the degree to which Democrats are still dependent on labor. Non-labor households split almost evenly for both parties. Labor households (about 12%) went for Democrats by 3-1. This has been the historic problem of the Democratic party. As the power of labor unions declined nationally, the power of the Democrats went with them.
Frankly, every Democrat ought to be doing everything in their power to strengthen labor rights in every state.
But, corporate money is so important to politicians that they are afraid to offend the lobbyists by doing anything. This is the greatest structural weakness of the Democratic party and the only solution is to strengthen the net-roots and support labor friendly candidates at all levels.
November 11, 2006 2:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
You shouldn't be watching just the Democrats. We should be watching the entire Congress - member by member in detail and daily like a horde of crusading muckraking journalists.
In the past after the election was over the campaign committees folded up, the money people put their checkbooks away, and the pollsters who were finding out how the voters felt sharply reduced their effort. All that was left was phone calls and letters to the Congresscritters which they could do whatever they wanted to do about.
No more. Right now I have three questions.
1. Can Louisiana Rep. Jefferson be defeated in his run-off?
2. What happened in the voting machines in Florida CD 13 (Katherine Harris' old district?)
3. And how can we take down Bob Perry (lawsuits? Criminal actions? Forbidding all robo-calls in the last two weeks before the election on penalty of both criminal and civil procedures?
But that's just tonight. I'm sure more will occur to me tomorrow.
Can we create a set of blogs for each and every Senator and Congresscritter up there? Can we do it in a manner that prevents them from coopting it for themselves? In effect that could be a set of permanent opposition and supporting committees for each individual in Congress. They could link to every news article on each person within days, using only (or mostly) volunteer labor. [The savvy congresscritters would begin planting favorable articles.]
Can this same level of scrutiney begin to be applied at state, county, city, and other legal entity (like water districts and school districts?)
I live in Fort Worth, and we have more registered voters here in Tarrant County than Montana has people. [About 930,000 registered voters.] There is a boondoggle being created by developers here to create a major development centered on a stretch of the Trinity River right under the county courthouse (which is that beautiful old red brick courthouse you saw on Walker, Texas Ranger. That's not Dallas - That's Fort Worth!) Millions of dollars, and Congresswoman Kay Granger's son is heading up the operation. [Typical Republican qualifications - he came from the right family.] It should be getting the same treatment that our candidates for office get.
You're correct. This isn't over. I think it has only just begun.
November 11, 2006 3:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
They've posted a list of candidates supported by the netroots over at the johnkerry.com blog. It's worth taking a look at. It's a combination of the actblue pages from dkos, eschaton and Blue America (Firedoglake, downwithtyranny and crooks&liars).
I think that kos's latest post on the topic has it right.
November 11, 2006 8:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are so right. Thank you for framing it in this way.
I'm going to forward it to a few friends.
November 11, 2006 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rather than the "netroots," it's the web itself, as a new form of communication, that had the largest effect.
November 11, 2006 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I don't belong to any organized poltical party...I'am a Democrat"
Will Rogers-1930's
November 12, 2006 8:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see what Nancy Pelosi has to say about this. She has already performed miracles of discipline when the Democrats were in the minority. I don't think that will change.
November 12, 2006 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
One fact. Democrats picked up 320 seats in
state legislatures. The largest swing in either direction since 1994. Clearly that can't
be traced to Rahm. It's at least arguable
that Dean's strategy contributed . "The voters
expressed a real desire for change , and all in one direction" Tim Storey of the National Conference of State Legislatures.
November 12, 2006 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink