Novak: Dems Will Grab House With 20 Pick-Ups, But Fall Short Of Senate
Robert Novak's latest analysis is just in, and he predicts the Dems will take the House with a pick-up of 20 seats while falling just short of the Senate with only five of the six needed pick-ups. His ratings changes:
Senate: VA-Sen: Lean Dem to Likely Dem OH-Sen: Lean Dem to Likely Dem WA-Sen: Lean Dem to Likely Dem MI-Sen: Likely Dem to Lean DemHouse:
NM-01: Likely Dem to Lean Dem
CA-11: Likely GOP to Lean GOP
KY-03: Lean GOP to Likely GOP
PA-04: Lean GOP to Likely GOP
NY-26: Lean Dem to Lean GOP
CT-05: Lean GOP to Lean Dem
FL-16: Lean Dem to Lean GOP
FL-13: Lean GOP to Lean Dem
IN-02: Likely Dem to Lean Dem
NV-03: Lean Dem to Lean GOP
OH-18: Lean GOP to Likely Dem
MI-07: Safe GOP to Lean GOP
NE-03: Safe GOP to Lean GOP
GA-12: Lean Dem to Lean GOP
"Going into the last week of the campaign, there is no sign of a Democratic wave or a Republican wave," Novak concludes. "It still looks like a good day for Democrats looming on November 7, but not necessarily a catastrophe for Republicans." Novak's full analysis here.
WA-Sen "Likely Dem"? Make that "Safe".
GOP candidate Mike McGavick is in the running to underperform the all-time worst finish by a major party candidate in a major WA statewide race (rightwing talk jock John Carlson's 40% for Governor in 2000).
November 1, 2006 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn. I already took my shower this morning and after seeing I agree with Robert Novak about next Tuesday, I have to take another one.
I think the House will go Democratic, but there are just too many close Senate races that I think will tip back to the GOP on election day so that they will retain control. But the Dems are still going to pick up seats in the Senate.
If everything breaks correctly, the Dems can take the Senate, and the first step to getting things to go right is locking John Kerry in the basement for the next week.
November 2, 2006 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
This looks to me like Novak sacrificing some of his credibility to buck up Republican campaign workers and voters.
November 2, 2006 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink