Midterm Roundup
Good times! These are the good times! Leave your cares be-hind. These are the good times! Good times! These are the good times! Our new state of mind. These are the good times!
The Midterm Roundup didn’t believe it had happened even after it watched the results come in Tuesday night. It wasn’t sure when it woke up Wednesday morning if it had all been a dream. And the big prize of the Senate was clearly still in question with Montana and Virginia yet to be called. It was no time to celebrate.
But the news Wednesday morning confirmed what it had feared was maybe just a hallucination. George Bush conceded his party’s defeat and announced the departure of Donald Rumsfeld. Montana was called for Tester. And then Jim Webb pulled away in Virginia. He’s now been declared the winner by NBC and the AP.
NOW it can celebrate. And to do so, the Midterm Roundup is honored to introduce… Nile Rodgers on guitar! The late, great Bernard Edwards on bass! Ladies and gentlemen… C’est CHIC!
Watch the video, maybe watch it twice. Do a little dance in your seat, maybe even get up and give it a shake. Go ahead. Enjoy it. Don’t rub it in the other side’s face. Because it’s not about the other side. It’s about democracy. It’s about Americans being able to go out every 2 years and tell the people who govern us what we want and what we don’t want. We spoke pretty damn loud on Tuesday. Maybe you’re happy with the results, maybe you’re very sad. And maybe it’s easy to say this because the Midterm Roundup happens to be the former this time around, but no matter how you feel, you’ve gotta love democracy. Not everybody has it. And sometimes it doesn’t seem to work as well as it could. But these days, in our country at least, it looks to be in pretty good shape.
Clams on the half shell, and roller skates, roller skates!
Did the Midterm Roundup say something about not rubbing it in the other side’s face? Ehh… right. Via Think Progress, here are some conservative pre-election predictions:
Mark Noonan, Blogs for Bush
I’ve been talking big about how well we’re going to do and my faith, shaken from time to time, never failed. Now it is to be put to the acid test - we shall know within 24 hours of this writing if I’ve been whistling past the graveyard, or have been realistic in my predictions. I’m standing by my words: the GOP gains seats in both Houses. [11/7/06]
Karl Rove, White House adviser
I’m looking at all of these [races] and adding them up. I add up to a Republican Senate and Republican House. You may end up with a different math but you are entitled to your math and I’m entitled to the math. [10/24/06]
Michael Novak, National Review
The Left is going to lose - big - because they have nothing noble, nothing beautiful, nothing real, nothing true, with which to lead. They are the merchants of illusion. And a significant majority of Americans, although not all, see through them. In a democratic election, however, it only takes a small majority to win. And the upcoming election of 2006 is not likely to be all that close. The Democrats piqued too soon. Just watch. [6/15/06]
Kathryn Jean Lopez, National Review
I’m putting my money on Republicans miraculously (not totally deservingly, but it’s not about deserving it) keeping the House and the Senate, painfully narrowly. [11/7/06]
Barron’s magazine
Our analysis — based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data — suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber’s 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party’s loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. [10/23/06]
Vice President Dick Cheney
I think we’re going to do reasonably well. And I think we’ll hold the Senate, and I also think we got a good shot at holding the House. [10/17/06]
Jonah Goldberg, National Review
House: Dems +17 (whatever that math means).
Senate: R 53 - D 47.
Steele wins, Corker wins, Webb-Allen won’t be decided until recounts are finished, at which point Allen wins very narrowly. Chafee comes very close. [11/7/06]
Robert Novak, columnist
In the final Evans-Novak report about the upcoming election, Democrats will gain 19 House seats, two Senate seats, and almost half a dozen governorships in what is predicted to be the possible end of Republican Congressional control. [11/6/06]
And then for some post-election reaction, let’s let the president do the talking:
BUSH: “It was a thumping.”
Wait, the Midterm Roundup is confused. Did it hear that right?
BUSH: Look, this is a close election. If you look at race by race, it was close. The cumulative effect, however, was not too close. It was a thumping.
…
REPORTER: Thank you, Mr. President. You just described the election results as a thumping...
BUSH: I said the cumulative – make sure. Who do you write for?
REPORTER: The New York Times, Mr. President. (laughter)
BUSH: Oh, yes… (laughter) Let's make sure we get the facts. I said that the elections were close, the cumulative effect...
REPORTER: Yes, is a thumping.
BUSH: Thumping.
…
REPORTER: That was thumping without a "g," correct? I just want to make sure we have it right for the transcript.
Cool. Glad we were able to clear that up.
Let’s take a look at some of the individual results.
CT-SEN: Ned’s Dead, Baby. Ned… *sniff*… is dead.
One of the few tough losses for the truly progressively minded on Election Night. The Midterm Roundup feels your pain. It knows it’s been kind of tough on Lamont over the past months (having taken some of its most considerable reader guff for an August 22nd headline of Ned’s Dead, Baby. Ned’s Dead…?, and later in October for an admittedly somewhat harsh Lamont news update that, much to the Midterm Roundup’s horror, made it onto Lieberman’s blog), but trust it – your pain is, in fact, its pain. The Roundup didn’t articulate this earlier, but it absentee voted this year in its former home district of Connecticut’s Fightin’ 4th, where it was still registered (to any federal agents reading this, it is going to change its registration before the next election, it promises, please don’t send it to jail). Anyway, the Roundup proudly voted for Ned Lamont, as it did in the August 8th primary.
The Roundup decided to take a somewhat detached tone with Lamont just because it figured plenty of other blogs were already covering him far more closely and better than the Roundup could’ve. But deep down it really wanted Lamont to win and really, really wanted to see old Joe get sent packing. By Election Day the Roundup knew Lamont wasn’t going to win. And he didn’t. Didn’t even come close. But damnit, no one even knew who this guy was a few months ago. And he put one hell of a scare into an old, stodgy, cloistered Washingtonian named Joe Lieberman. For folks who follow domestic politics, the summer of 2006 was the Summer of Ned, and the Roundup for one will not forget it. One of the Roundup’s favorite foreign aphorisms (it knows many, it’s extremely worldly and educated) is the Spanish’s “Que me quiten lo bailao.” Pretty sure that’s how it goes. Not directly translatable, it essentially means, “Just let them try to take away from me that which I have already danced.” You gave us a hell of a ride, Neddy boy, and no matter what happens in the future, no one can take that away.
And as one last palliative measure for Lamont lamenters, the Midterm Roundup might direct you to the man who has probably single-handedly preserved more lives of potentially suicidal liberals than anyone else over these past 6 years: Jon Stewart. Yes, yes, we all know the Daily Show is very funny, which is why the Roundup links to it as sparingly as possible. But if you’re in need of some comic relief from your Lieberman-induced depression, the Roundup cannot exhort you strongly enough to watch: the 3:55 mark of part 2 of the Daily Show’s Tuesday night Midterm Midtacular. This will cheer you up. Even Dan Rather couldn’t contain his chuckle.
PA-SEN: Kathryn Jean Lopez, the Midterm Roundup's Heart Goes Out to You…
…
…
NOT!
Sorry, was that too easy a headline? That was too easy, wasn't it. Yep... welp.
Now, by all accounts, Rick Santorum gave a very civil and admirable concession speech Tuesday night. Some of his harshest critics were moved by witnessing his final graceful exit stage right. The Roundup isn’t totally sure if it can trust all of the emotions it was feeling Tuesday night, but it thought for a second there it may have identified a pang of sympathy for Santorum even in its own heart.
And then Wednesday afternoon it found this picture. And it laughed. Very, very hard.
(And no, in case you’re wondering like the Midterm Roundup did upon first seeing it, it’s not doctored. For more sick, depraved, wholly despicable pleasure, check out picture 6 of the slideshow found on this page.)
VA-SEN: The Big One
Going all the way back to the early summer, there isn’t a single candidate that the Midterm Roundup wanted more to see lose than George Allen. Fitting that this was the big one. By far the most shocking upset (if you look at what the picture was at the beginning of the summer), the closest Senate race, the last to be called, and the one that finally gave the Democrats control of the Senate, which the Roundup even in its most optimistic of moments did not believe would happen. Absolutely storybook. Sorry, this is probably really obnoxious and cloying to read, even if you liked Allen as little as the Roundup did, so it’ll stop now. But this is the one that convinced the Roundup: yes, this occasion calls for CHIC.
A couple other brief thoughts on a few House results:
ID-01: Ladies and Gentlemen, Meet Bill Sali
Rick Santorum is gone. Conrad Burns is gone. George Allen is gone. Richard Pombo and his goatee are, sadly, gone. Who do we have left to pick on? Fear not. The Midterm Roundup assures you, Republican Representative-elect Bill Sali of Idaho will fill the loathsome dirtbag vacuum quite admirably.
IL-10: Tomorrow…
The Midterm Roundup’s sympathies go out to reader ARG in Chicago, who was especially invested in this race. Almost got ‘em. Don’t snooze on this Dan Seals though. He waged a ferocious ground and fundraising campaign and took 47% against a popular moderate who was also a member of the GOP House leadership. And the DCCC didn’t contribute at all to this race until the very last couple weeks when polls showed Seals might actually have a shot. The Roundup has a feeling we haven’t seen the last of him.
KY-03: Yarmuth. Yaaaaarrrrrrrmuuuuuuuuttttttthhhhhhhh.
Mmmmm. That sounds good. The Midterm Roundup’ll have that.
NY-19: The Midterm Roundup Shouldn’t Have to Tell You What it Intends to Do Right Now
That’s right. One last time.
Dance with meeeeeeeee, I want to be your partner. Can't you seeeeeeeee, the music is just starting. Night is falling, and I am falling. Dance with meeeeeeeee!
TX-22: SEKULA-GIBBS!?! I Was Way Off!
I wrote in Kebula-Siggs. Man, what a boner! Hope she still wins.
IYI (If You’re Interested)
Perhaps the ultimate coup of the entire election: hirsute TPM colleague Matt Corley is now a minor blogosphere celebrity (scroll down to the last picture). Congratulations, Matt. And best of luck in your future lumberjacking endeavors.
In closing, despite the Roundup’s obvious failure to do so in this space, it still thinks it’s important to measure and contextualize your glee if you’re a Democrat. 2006, while a historic and profound butt-whupping (and in case anyone is fooled by that cute little notion being propagated by, among others, Ken Mehlman (who looked comically ragged and gaunt during his interviews on Election Night (Ken, it’s okay, you can relax your eyebrows now, really Ken. You okay man? Ken??)) that butt-whuppings like this one are totally standard operating procedure in the 6th year of a presidency, TPM Reader DK categorically refuted that by, you know, actually looking at past election results), was no 1994.
The AARP hosted a post-election panel discussion on Wednesday featuring Charlie Cook, Hotline’s Chuck Todd, former Clinton press secretary Mike McCurry, Goerge W. Bush media advisor Mark McKinnon, Republican pollster Ed Goeas, and Democratic pollster Celinda Lake. The Roundup caught some of it on C-SPAN last night and highly recommends people check it out. Pretty sure you can find an online video of it once it’s made available here. Everybody – from both sides of the political spectrum – had some really interesting things to say. Mostly good things for the Democrats of course, but there is plenty of work left to be done.
So yes, enjoy this one if you’re a Democrat or otherwise progressive-/liberal-/rational-ly minded. Because we probably won’t see the likes of it again for a long, long time. The Midterm Roundup feels indescribably privileged to have had 2006 to follow and write about and celebrate. But if you’re a celebrator, don’t get too fat and happy now. It’s not a mandate. What it is, truly, is an opportunity. Along with the governor’s races and state legislative races that the Democrats won on Tuesday, the party has an amazing opportunity to position itself and really define itself in the 2 years leading up to the 2008 presidential race. And that’s the real glory of 2006. It was a victory not of consummation or realization. It was a victory of potential.
And to conclude this staid, decorous, and above all else most respectful of celebrations, the Midterm Roundup will quote the immortal Al Czervik: “Hey everybody, we’re all gonna get laid!”















Dear MTR,
Night is falling/And I am calling
An even better Santorum concession photo (don't you just love the way that sounds?) is at http://www.wonkette.com/politics/rick-santorum/rick-santorums-two-dozen-kids-hate-you-213305.php
November 9, 2006 8:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben, were you even born when "Good Times" was released? [sigh]
November 9, 2006 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
By the way, Nebula-Crabs did win in TX-22. Unfortunately, what she won was the special election to fill DeLay's seat for the final 2 months of the current Congress. (Lampson wisely opted not to expend time, money, or effort contesting that race.) You might say that Circular-Nibs is receiving a lovely parting gift.
November 9, 2006 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh man, this is the best Santorum "picture" I've seen yet... scroll to the very bottom...
http://inspectorxero.livejournal.com/337618.html?style=mine
~~~~~~~~~~~
Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum videtur.
Come visit PROJECT: Lucidity.
November 9, 2006 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
+
Thanks, Midterm Roundup, for just the right amount of schadenfreude, I think.
Of course I'm disappointed about the IL-10 outcome, but we did fight a good fight here. (Makes me wonder what it would take, though. We had a blue wave, and we live in a blue state, and we fielded a very good candidate. But maybe next time...)
In some ways I'm more bummed about the IL-06 result, and Tammy Duckworth's loss to Peter Roskam.
On the one hand, I hesitate to criticize Rham Emanuel, since it's hard to argue with the overall result. But, on the other hand, today I think Howard Dean's "50-state" strategy looks a lot better than Rham and the DLC's "targeted race" approach. (What does everybody else think?)
When I think about all the money both sides poured into this one race in the IL-06 -- and how far just a fraction of that money might have gone in, say, the IL-10 race -- I have to wonder what might have been.
(And I like Duckworth, but there is that lingering bad taste in the mouth from the DLC's injection of Duckworth into the IL-06 primary against Christine Cegelis, who had acquitted herself well against Henry Hyde the last time around (without the help of any blue wave). I mean, I can't help myself from thinking that Cegelis could have lost to Ro-scam by a couple of points, probably for a lot less money. And maybe Tammy could have won, somewhere else.)
So I'm represented by Mark Kirk, and surrounded by (closet Republican) Melissa Bean and now Peter Ro-scum. And I live in a blue state! So that tempers my enthusiasm a little bit.
Still, it's sweet to know that our democracy still works. Despite its many flaws.
Plus, I'm happy about the other two races I cared most about: IN-09, where my parents live, and AZ-08, where I used to live (and hope to live again, someday). Two out of three ain't bad!
So, Ben, now that the election is over, I hope you will find a new forum to entertain and inform us. I have enjoyed The Midterm Roundup.
And I just have to add, for this Sunday... GO BEARS!
-- ARG
November 9, 2006 12:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nebula-Crabs did win in TX-22
To be only briefly viewed through the Eliot Spitzer Telescope... :-P
November 9, 2006 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I appreciate the effort to correct me, but I'm afraid you chose the wrong person to battle with over Orleans lyrics. Now, I don't know, maybe there are different versions of the song, but in the one I got off itunes from their ill-named 1990 best of compilation album Still the One, and have listened to... well let's just say enough times to feel extremely confident about... the lyrics in the first verse are in fact "Night is falling / And I am falling..." In 2 subsequent verses it actually goes, "Night is calling / And I am falling..." But I decided to stick with the first verse for my renditions. If you don't believe me, you can watch/listen to Stephen Colbert and John Hall himself recite the verse as falling/falling if you click on the Know a Challenger: John Hall Pt. 2 link on this page. Please, my political savvy might be paltry and my analysis incredibly shallow, but damnit I am nothing if not meticulous when it comes to Orleans lyrics. But I totally understand the confusion. It is kind of weird and seems like it should be falling / calling, shouldn't it? Anyway, again, thanks for the effort. And yes, that Santorum picture is equally amazing, if not better. There are so many now. I will have an entire library.
November 9, 2006 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a matter of fact I was not, just a little over three years after it was released. But if you think this fact somehow prevents me from owning the first 3 albums Chic made and having chosen to use a full verse from Good Times for one of my senior year high school yearbook quotes, well you've got another thing coming. I love Chic, and I say this only because there is no shame that prevents me from saying it. In fact you may notice that the video is now being proudly displayed directly in this space, instead of making people click on the link. For all the links that have been used here over the past 5 months, this is one video that simply transcended the boundaries of its own link and willed itself into the open space. Enjoy.
November 9, 2006 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Incredible. Though I don't know, the son's death stare is maybe too good to mess with.
November 9, 2006 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
All good points. Illinois and Ohio contained pretty much the only real House race letdowns. I was very disappointed myself to see Diane Farrell flame out in my Connecticut 4th. Thought she had a real shot for a minute there. Oh well, at least Nancy Johnson got the resounding boot, and hopefully Joe Courtney will hold on. As Josh noted on tpm if Courtney takes it then Chris Shays will be the only GOP House member in all of New England. What a loser. As for your argument that the Bears should "GO" this Sunday, that is one point on which I will have to respectfully disagree with you.
November 9, 2006 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Awww, freak out!
November 9, 2006 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Young and old are doing it, I'm told
Just one try, and you too will be sold
It's called Le Freak! They're doing it night and day
Allow us, we'll show you the way!
November 10, 2006 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink