McCain Launches Preliminary Presidential Run
Senator John McCain has launched his preliminary run for President, officially kicking off the 2008 Presidential race. A quick wrap-up of McCain news after the jump.
The Associated Press reports that McCain will begin seriously gearing up as early as next week:
Sen. John McCain, considered the front-runner for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, intends to launch an exploratory committee next week, GOP officials said Friday. The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity to avoid pre-empting a public statement from the four-term Arizona senator.
The New York Times has McCain adviser John Weaver on the record promising a decision soon enough:
“There’s not going to be a formal announcement this year,” John Weaver, an adviser to Mr. McCain, said. The senator, who appears at or near the top of public opinion surveys about who should run for higher office, will wait until the Christmas holidays, when his children are home, to make a final decision, Mr. Weaver said.
And ABC News gets McCain on the record talking about the big political wild-card these days -- that is, independents, who voted overwhelmingly for Democrats in Tuesday's election:
Despite Republican losses of the House and Senate, McCain sees encouraging signs for his personal quest.Independent voters were the key swing voters in this election, going overwhelmingly for Democrats. And that could be a voting pool he would tap into.
"No question. I think voters said they want independence, they want bipartisanship, and they want a voice of moral authority on Iraq, and John McCain is all three," said former Bush adviser Mark McKinnon, who worked on the 2004 campaign.
"I've always been popular with independents," McCain said. "But I don't know [how] independents feel right now from what I see they are kind of unhappy."
Republicans will want to focus on winning them back, and according to polls, McCain is more popular with them than he is with conservative Republicans.
About those independents: McCain is a staunch supporter of the Iraq war, the most important political issue of the moment. But according to exit polls, six in ten independents support withdrawing some or all troops from Iraq. So, yes, independents are "kind of unhappy," as McCain puts it, and it remains to be seen if independents will perceive McCain to be a "voice of moral authority" on Iraq.















Bring him on. McCain loses the center and the left on the issues. It isn't enough that he's an angry man who publicly bucks his own party (that's so 2004).
November 11, 2006 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Message to John McCain - read the election results as a vote of no-confidence in your approach to Iraq (send in more troops) and your attempts to pretend to oppose the hard right's ludicrous policies while all the time snuggling up to Jerry Falwell. Take Don Imus's advice to John Kerry and apply it to yourself - Go home and shut up.
Tom
November 11, 2006 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
The only way McCain gets the nod from the GOP primary voters in '08 is if all the other contenders are to the left of him. The wingnuts dominate the process of choosing the GOP nominee. And if there is even one person to the right of him politically he will not win the nomination...and neither will Guiliani, Romney or any other "moderate" republican.
November 11, 2006 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, I pretty much agree with you on this Tom.
Although, I do think we need to send in more troops, first, to get out of Iraq. We will need to have overwhelming forces to 'secure the peace' then we can lead and chaos will resume..but we will have 'temporarily fixed the broken piece'.
I do not want McCain, because I simply believe we do not need another President as old as McCain, or of the Baby Boomer male generation. I thibk his stance on issues is simply out-dated and we need to move into a new millenium in terms of America's place in the world. McCain is just not the man for the job.
Everytime I recall Stewart asking McCain was he 'going to the base' I think of coke cause that is just how out of touch McCain is..it's like he is on crack.
November 11, 2006 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not think the election had anything to do with a particular approach to Iraq except the failure to bring victory or its end. It was a rejection of "stay the course" which was no plan and no sign of a plan.
McCain's problem is judging from the rightwing blogs rightwingers aren't prepared to forgive him ever. Meanwhile in his effort to placate the right he alienated independent and even Democrats who might vote for him.
Daniel A. Greenbaum
November 11, 2006 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I almost shudder to think that some of us will try a "swiftboat" on McCain. Please, let us never even consider doing that. The man is a genuine hero, who should always be respected for how he conducted himself as a POW.
With that out of the way, McCain is not Presidential material. No man who would prostitute himself to the neocons and to Bush as he has persistently done is qualified to be President. Not only that, but his basic political philosophy is far to the right of the majority of Americans. We have just seen what a right wing ideologue can do to the country, so we don't need another lesson.
And, I don't like the idea of another senior, senior citizen as President - Reagan has shown us the downside of that too. I am a senior citizen myself, but at least I recognize my decreased abilities that go with aging. Our second President of century needs to be from a newer generation, whether a Democrat or Republican. It would be extremely refreshing to have someone like Obama in charge.
Hoppy in Sacramento
November 11, 2006 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well you can stop your shuddering: 'swiftboating', like false flag robo-calling, comes from the other side.
November 11, 2006 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain doesn't need to be "swift-boated," nor should he be. We only need to explain McCain for what he is -- a likeable guy, but still far more conservative than the mainstream. It's time to put his affability aside and to deal with his record.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
November 11, 2006 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
In spite of the fact that they're from different parties, McCain and Lieberman seem to be two versions of the same species.
Because they're political animals, they're basically phonies, but they take it to a different level in that they loudly and publically profess a particular stand on an issue but turn around later and vote otherwise.
Perhaps more disturbing is that both of them tend to obsess on an issue to the point of bull-headedness - not a characteristic one wants in any leader, particularly a president. (G. Bush is a glaring example of where THAT characteristic can lead a nation.)
November 11, 2006 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
They DO swift boat their own, though. Remember McCain's 2000 run when the Republican establishment implied that McCain had been brainwashed during his PWO stint and was some sort of "Manchurian Candidate," and also suggested that he had an illegeitimate black daughter...
Heck... maybe we should hope that they DO swift boat him again. I frankly like McCain enough that I'd like to beat him on the policy merits, but if the Repubs want to tank him on baseless grounds again, I'm just mercenary enough to sit by and watch.
thosethingswesay.blogspot.com
November 12, 2006 12:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
They also push-polled him in the South Carolina Primary with questions like, "Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for John McCain for president if you knew he had fathered an illegitimate black child?" McCain and his wife had adopted a girl from Bangladesh. He lost. That was a piece of Rove's handiwork.
McCain is over the hill.
November 12, 2006 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain was born in 1936, 9 years before the Baby Boom started. Boomers will be voting for the next 40 years or more so it's a bit early to start writing them off.
November 12, 2006 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
We need to be on the lookout for McCain. He pretends to be a "moderate" all the while giving his blessings to war, invasions, right-wing judges, etc. He is one man who would do and say anything to be elected (like Harold Ford).
At least Bush has the balls to stay on a sinking ship, McCain is very manipulative (getting Kerry's support only to betray him for political expediency during his botched joke) and it is EXACTLY these forked-tongued, two-faced hypocrates who get away with wars under the cover of "moderation." Remember he was for gays only to oppose them vehemently in Georgetown University townhall with Chris Matthews.
I agree he is another Lieberman willing to risk US lives for Israel's sake (as we saw in Iraq) and now possibly Iran. And for those who don't believe its for Israel's sake or "US national security" aka Israel and oil, just see if he's willing to keep the military option open for N. Korea? No! But for Iran, Yes!!!
Stop McCain in '08.
November 12, 2006 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Brownback '08! Or possibly Gingrich. Haven't decided which campaign I'd rather give money to. If only we are so lucky.
November 12, 2006 6:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
He is one man who would do and say anything to be elected (like Harold Ford).
It's pretty obvious that McCain has changed his tune recently in order to pander to the right wing, but I've seen no evidence that Ford has done the same. Please supply some examples if you have any. Otherwise, it sounds as if you can't believe that he believes what he says because you don't agree with him. I don't agree with a lot of things my conservative neighbor says either, but I do think he's sincere.
November 12, 2006 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
My first impression is that GOP voters in the 2008 caucases and primaries will view 2006 as the electorate having accepted conservative values by passage of anti-gay marriage proposals, low property tax, and anti-affirmative action votes in several states. The will feel it was a rejection of corruption and incompetence in the GOP Congress and GW.
These GOP primary voters will look for a more conservative candidate than McCain or Guiliani. The key element in this analysis is whether the behavior of the now more conservative GOP Congress is found acceptable and "anti-leftwing" (meaning anti-normal folks).
November 12, 2006 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep they are 2 likely suspects from the hinterlands of wingnuttery, or even Santorum or Allen for that matter...but the far right will want one of their own and will try to drive the GOP's positions even farther to the right in the next 2 years.
But as for who it will be I can think of many examples of politicians losing an election and have come back and made a winning run at another office, (i.e. Clinton and Nixon)...
November 12, 2006 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think it is ever too early to write off folks who are out of touch with the mainstream. Since, McCain is even pre-BB this only emphasizes why I find him not able to lead in the 21st century. He is simply too old and I do think as Hillary said he is rather 'hanoicrazed'. Who knows what the long-term impact of his captivity has been on his aging brain, but he certainly sounds out of touch, like he is on crack. I think BB are no more likely to vote for McCain either as they too are sick of Vietnam era mentality.
November 13, 2006 6:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Such as....Mitt Romney?
November 13, 2006 7:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here's what I said about McCain on my blog way back on July 25th:
Well, it’s early, but I’m willing to go out on a limb with this prediction. After all, it’s not like I’ve got any money riding on this: John McCain will be elected the next President of the United States. Here’s how it’s going to go down:
The Democrats (of which I am a card-carrying member, by the way) will make good gains in the House and Senate in 2006. Will they win a majority? Maybe a slim one in the House. But it won’t matter.
The war in Iraq and other trouble in the Middle East will make the country increasingly war-weary. Combine this with the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer, as well as more investigations and indictments of Republicans, and the country will be ripe for change.
Rudy Guiliani will campain well for the Republican nomination and will be the crowd favorite, but the religious right will never go for his liberal views on abortion and gay rights. Still, the Repubs will recognize that they won’t be able to elect another Bush. McCain will be the party compromise. The winning point will be his appeal to many mainstream Democrats. And with the years he spent in a ‘Nam prison camp, no one will dare criticize his war record or his ability to be a good ‘war president’. The McCain nomination will be made more palatable to the ruling Illuminati by adding a Bush-crowd insider as his running mate, much as they did with Bush, Jr., and Dick Cheney. (The implication will be that the VP will be McCain’s “handler”, though I think they might find this more challenging than it was with Cheney/Bush.) I am not willing to speculate on who this might be at this time, but it will be someone who has been on the inside for a long time, and is still relatively untainted by scandal.
But, of course, the Democrats will blow it. Hillary Clinton is the Dem’s hand-picked candidate for 2008. She has been at the forefront as the spokewoman for the party, and even this early on, it’s obvious she’s already “in”. Despite the fact that even lifelong liberal Democrats like me probably won’t vote for her. Nobody wants her in the White House but the Democratic leadership. She is unelectable, even if they were to add Barak Obama as VP. Which they won’t - not yet. The VP nominee might be Iowa’s own Governor Tom Vilsack, who is also President of the Democratic Leadership Council.
McCain will win by a handy margin in all but the bluest of blue states. And while I hate to see the Executive Branch run by the GOP for another four years, at least it should mean a more modate political climate, and that will be a welcome change.
November 13, 2006 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's possible that two or more really conservative GOP candidates will split the really far right, and McCain can win with a majority of the rest. McCain actually has the right positions for even the far right on pretty much all the issues (Iraq, abortion, gay marriage), they just don't trust him.
In reality, with a few more Republicans like McCain exercising at least pretend oversight, the GOP would probably have fared far better last Tuesday.
November 13, 2006 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, all reports from those close to him suggest that he's NOT all that likeable. He actually has a volatile temper and a reputation as a screamer.
November 13, 2006 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
The other issue, and it's a long way from today, is that virtually NO ONE agrees with his plan for Iraq. Hard to see how he gets moderate Republicans or any Democrats to sign on to that.
Of course, it's hard to see how Nixon won with a secret plan for Vietnam, but still.
November 13, 2006 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am vry newbie
and cannot see your name , but you have posted
what I would be posting also.
McCain may have been a hero as a POW
We have only his account . but there have been many heros
in the Vietnam war.
I think people forget that he was one of the infamous
Keating five , with the Ssaving and Loan scandal.
I began to dislike him after his kiss-kiss with Bush
after Bush trashed him in South Carolina
and he has been one the big support of the Iraq fiasco.
I can't remember what he was saying during the
Bill Clinton impeacment , it would be interesting to
know.
And sticking the knife in Kerry's back over the joke
seemed typical of him.
November 13, 2006 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Heaven help us. Anyone who is so out of touch with reality that they think more US troops in Iraq is going to do anything aside from get more US troops killed is as dopey as Bush, Cheney, Rummy, etc.
Tom
November 13, 2006 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're right, and he's done it on camera. I saw him blow a fuse on C-span during the 2004 Democratic National Convention. His Republican opponents won't hesitate to portray him as too unstable to lead. So, ironically, there may be no payoff for the help McCain gave Bush after Bush's campaign smeared him out of the 2000 race with rumor and innuendo.
November 13, 2006 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
When you say "virtually no one" I suspect you are leaving out the traditional media. The media LOVE McCain and will craft and push any narrative necessary to get him around little problem areas such as Iraq.
sPh
November 14, 2006 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
"You're right, and he's done it on camera. I saw him blow a fuse on C-span during the 2004 Democratic National Convention. His Republican opponents won't hesitate to portray him as too unstable to lead."
Great. I knew that Hillary was on target when she called him 'hanoicrazed'.
Folks may not like her or claim her to be polarizing, but pretty much the way she characterizes issues or folks tends to be on target. Just like when she called it the vast right wing conspiracy. Long before most folks were aware of the corporate think tanks and foundations shaping policies and MSM opinions.
McCain is going to be 'Deanscreamed' out of his candidacy in 08. Can't wait. Murdoch owes the democrats that much.
November 14, 2006 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I suspect you are leaving out the traditional media. The media LOVE McCain and will craft and push any narrative necessary to get him around little problem areas such as Iraq.
The neo-cons who shape our foreign policy also love McCain.
November 14, 2006 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Airship:
"Despite the fact that even lifelong liberal Democrats like me probably won’t vote for her. Nobody wants her in the White House but the Democratic leadership"
Could you address some issues, as a lifelong liberal Democrat, that juxtapose where you see McCain vs Hillary? I am wondering why you would vote, based on specific issues, for McCain or simply not vote for Hillary.
November 14, 2006 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please document your "hanoicrazed" quote from Hillary. I Googled the phrase and only YOUR name came up.
November 14, 2006 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
IMHO this election strengthened McCain quite a bit. It was anti-corruption and McCain is identified with that. It was anti-sanctimony and McCain's nickname is "straight talk." It was for "change the course" in Iraq and McCain is one of the very few Republicans who didn't simply sign on to Bush's plans.
More specifically though, this election will convince many Republicans that McCain is as right-wing as they can go and still win the election.
McCain will have little real opposition for the Republican nomination, barring some major problem like his health.
November 14, 2006 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Hanoicrazed"
never heard that before , but it is
a good one
November 14, 2006 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps that was paraphrasing? In reference to Hillary's remarks which were more along the lines of:
McCain ended up "looking similar to the way he did on those captive tapes from Hanoi, where he recited the names of his crewmates."
in reference to remarks McCain made that President Clinton's faileed policies were the reason North Korea had nukes.
November 14, 2006 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think those remarks were made by an unnamed Clinton staffer to Maureen Dowd. Clinton herself disavowed them.
November 14, 2006 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink