Jerry Falwell: Romney's Mormonism "Will Not Be A Factor"
Mitt Romney's Presidential run may be unpopular with Evangelical Christians who say they won't vote for a Mormon, but the idea of a Mormon running for the White House has now been deemed acceptable by one of the religious right's most influential figures: Jerry Falwell. The Associated Press reports that Romney had a meeting last month with a Who's Who of the Christian Right: Falwell, Franklin Graham, Lou Sheldon and others. Falwell told the AP that Romney's Mormonism would be a non-issue, saying: "Where he goes to church will not be a factor; how he lives his life will be." Romney has good reason to talk early with the religious right's leading figures; a recent poll showed that over half of Evangelicals say they won't vote for a Mormon.















Let the hypocrisy overflow....
Well, if Republicans can finance green party candidates, I can at least say, "Go for it, Mitt! Good luck in getting that Republican nomination!"
November 22, 2006 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is exactly what I've been saying all along. The evangelical voters will follow their leaders and vote for whoever their leaders endorse.
The evangelical leaders like Romney because they see him as someone desperate to be president who will do whatever they want him to do and return favors for them. They don't trust McCain enough for that.
November 22, 2006 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
This looks like a desperation move by the Evangelical Right. Their chosen candidates (Republicans) just got trounced in the midterm elections, the Haggard scandal happened right in the middle of that and they no longer have the willing ear of either branch of Congress. At this point, Falwell and his ilk would back a barrel of sewage as long as it ran as a Republican because they're so desperate to not be marginalized, as they were under Clinton.
November 22, 2006 4:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder who will be the first to bring up in the primary debates whether Willard Mitt plans to be God of His Own Planet someday.
November 22, 2006 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jerry who? I've reached a point where these people have no credibility with me, a definite non evangelical. Do they still have credibility among the religious right?
November 22, 2006 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Supposedly, Falwell does not, but the media still cover him as if he does. Regardless, Romney will do well with the others as well. They are good judges of talent and electability.
November 22, 2006 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is that an inside Mormonism joke?
November 22, 2006 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
It just goes to show that the far right will do anything to retain the presidency, even endorse a candidate whose religion is incompatible with their own evangelism, if they think that person has the best chance to win. If you look at the GOP candidates objectively, one-on-one, in group settings, and on TV, Romney blows the rest of the GOP competition away.
Power trumps belief for these guys. It's pretty simple.
November 22, 2006 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
IF you watch, you will observe that where the Conservative Echo Chamber is concerned, it matters little who the source of a given idea is. It matters only how long and how often said concept can be repeated. Jerry Falwell may not have all that much credibility among the people, his statements on Chavez may have been disavowed by the power brokers, but it still got into the mix, didn't it?
And that virulent anti-Chavez sentiment (from people who otherwise had never heard of nor cared about Chavez) serves it's purpose in fulfilling the agenda. So, they may not be willing to be Falwell's champion publicly, but they are OK with letting him be the fart in the car.
Watching from just above the water line. . . .
DragonFlyEye.Net
November 22, 2006 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not a joke. As members of the LDS faith we believe that becoming joint heirs with Christ (as is promised the faithful in the New Testament) allows us to also receive what Christ receives of the Father which is delineated here--
"All things that the Father hath are mine"
Since we believe the Father hath far more than just a planet the reference to having our own planet is an attempt to trivialize and mock our litteral belief in being joint heirs with Christ and obtaining "all things that the Father hath."
So it's our own universe/pluriverse, not a single planet, not even a single star system nor galaxy.
November 22, 2006 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Romney is not "desperate" to be president. And he will not do "whatever they want him to do."
The interesting thing is that some early anti-Mormon attacks already launched against Romney have ties to an advisor in McCain's last presidential nomination bid.
November 22, 2006 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does anyone know how Romney fared among Conservative Evangelicals in his Massachusetts Gubinatorial campaigns? (and yes, there are some in the Bay State)
I would think this would yield the most accurate prediction of how he would do nationally.
-Dave Adams-
November 22, 2006 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Our own [multiverse]" as opposed to..?
How does the Church plan to deal with competition out there?
November 22, 2006 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Church doesn't do any of it. God's the one making the promise. Here's something in cutting edge modern Theoretical Physics on a possible scenario in which the best candidate for a Unified Theory, Superstring Theory (or M Theory) provides many possible areas for God to provide for his promises--
PAUL STEINHARDT: One of the ideas in string theory that was particularly striking to me, and suggested perhaps a new direction for cosmology, is the idea of branes and the idea of branes moving in extra dimensions.
BRIAN GREENE: Some scientists have proposed that the answer to the Big Bang riddle lies in the movements of these giant branes.
BURT OVRUT: It's so simple. Here's a brane on which we live, and here's another brane floating in the higher dimension. There's absolutely nothing difficult about imagining that these collide with each other.
Taken from PBS's "NOVA: The Elegant Universe" Transcript, Hour 3--
BRIAN GREENE: According to this idea, some time before the big bang, two branes carrying parallel universes began drifting toward each other, until...
BURT OVRUT: All of that energy has to go somewhere. Where does it go? It goes into the big bang. It creates the expansion that we see, and it heats up all the particles in the universe in this big, fiery mass.
BRIAN GREENE: As if this weren't weird enough, the proponents of this idea make another radical claim: the big bang was not a special event.
They say that parallel universes could have collided, not just once in the past, but again and again—and that it will happen in the future. If this view is right, there's a brane out there right now, headed on a collision course with our universe.
PAUL STEINHARDT: So another collision is coming, and there'll be another big bang. And this will just repeat itself for an indefinite period into the future.
If you would like to see, if you haven't seen this special previously, they offer it free streaming from the internet along with the Transcript here--
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/elegant/
The whole episode on Superstring theory is fascinating, even if you have no interest in LDS Theology this episode is really good, and the attempted graphical representations of more abstract ideas (like multiple dimensions) are rather well done. It's informative and entertaining.
I'm not saying for certain that that's how God would give to those who are joint heirs with Christ what he has, but it certainly shows that the universe is not as cut and dry as some people think it may be. Multiple universes, under the current leading attempt at finding a unified theory for all of physics, has a high likelyhood of being the norm.
November 22, 2006 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Familiar with current cosmology--you missed the point, which was the possibility of other life. A role of custodian would call for envirnmental protection of indigienous life on other planets. A role of "chosen" or elite Life would lead to exploitation.
You would enjoy Frank Tipler's "The Physics of Immortality". Describes a plausible (in a collapsing universe) end-times switch to ever-higher-speed computation that exploits a differential collapse (functionally infinite energy). This allows digital Eternity, since computation speed approaches infinity as energy input does same. Unfortunately, that scenario is probably dead, and stranger, subtler Creation processes are likely involved than a simple "bouncing" Universe.
My favorite scenario is we (or some Life, somewhere), learn to make Universes, and get to tweak the parameters for maximal Life production.
November 22, 2006 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Falwell was bought off the way that Ralph Reed was bought off by the gamblers. We should help get the word out about this to the people of the Christian community, who has been terribly used over the last decades.
Mormons are no more Christians than Scientologists are. (Or me, as far as that goes.)
November 22, 2006 10:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
We ("Mormons") are certainly as Christian as any claiming Christian.
We hold Christ to be our Saviour and believe he is the Son of God.
Where do you get your definition of "Christian"?
November 23, 2006 12:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm rather certain that there's other life. We believe in what I've heard termed "perfect economy"--
37 And there are many kingdoms; for there is no space in the which there is no kingdom; and there is no kingdom in which there is no space, either a greater or a lesser kingdom.
-- Doctrine and Covenants of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints section 88 verse 37.
Essentially we hold that the whole of creation is constantly in use by some form of intelligence, in my mind that means that the whole of the universe is filled with some kind of life/intelligence or another. Thus inheriting all that the Father hath would entail that custodial role in whatever realm one was made steward over.
On the realm of Universal fate, have you heard about the theory of the "Big Rip" as an end to the Universe that's been proposed since it was learned that Universal expansion is accellerating rather than just going off of Big Bang mommentum?
"My favorite scenario is we (or some Life, somewhere), learn to make Universes, and get to tweak the parameters for maximal Life production.
Have you seen the computer program in development called "Spore"??? It enables a person to take an organism from a single celled existance, through evolution, to sentience, to world domination, to the capacity to colonize the galaxy and tweak certain parameters and combinations in a somewhat open ended simulation?
If not there's a good presentation of it here--
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-262774490184348066&q=spore
November 23, 2006 1:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find John Emerson's comment that "Mormons are no more Christians than Scientologists are" to be offensive and just plain false (I'm neither Mormon nor Scientologist). We could get into all of the truly bizarre and (to me) offensive aspects of Scientology, but it really gets down to this:
Mormons believe that Jesus Christ was the Son of God, he died on the cross for humanity's sins, and he rose again on the third day of his crucifixion. Scientologists do not. That is, really, the only central unifying belief of Christianity. So Mormonism clearly is "Christian", while Scientology clearly is not.
As to the question of "will evangelicals vote for a Mormon?", I'm not sure we will get a definitive answer to that question. Willard "Mitt" Romney seems to have been for gay marriage and abortion rights before he was against them. If his opponents in the primary stoke concerns about his commitment to being pro-coathanger and anti-gay, that should be enough to sink his nomination.
November 23, 2006 3:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
You guys aren't evangelicals, are you? I'm not talking to you, OK?
Mormons' additional scripture and additional prophet are beyond what most fundamentalists would normally accept.
As for the Moonies, Moon has openly claimed to outrank Jesus (his little brother). Politics makes strange bedfellows.
November 23, 2006 8:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's desparate enough to have begun running for the job approximately 2.5 years into his term as Governor...he never really was OF Massachusetts (he lost interest in the state after having been thrashed by Teddy) and had to contort himself to prove that he was a "resident" (even though he was filing tax returns from Utah) before he successfully ran against a hack Democrat. He benefitted from a string of Republican governors who, in addition to being responsible for the Gay Marriage SJC ruling Mitt now rails against (Republicans appointed 6 of the 7 jursits!), mysteriously lost interest in the job. The one who was truly interested in serving, a lady named Jane Swift, got the bum's rush from Mitt "The Suit" once he realized the Governor's Office would be a suitable stepping stone for his outsized hairdo and ego. He forced her resignation, one the nomination, ran successfully and began eyeing 1600 Penn. Ave. in 2003/2004...so I'd say he's do anything he can, right now, to be President, including being FOR Massachusetts before running AGAINST it as he tours conservative havens...Lord knows what he'll do as the race heats up but one thing is certain, he won't hesitate to change his positions as he veers right to gain a nomination...
November 23, 2006 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
"We ("Mormons") are certainly as Christian as any claiming Christian."
I believe you. Personally I have no problem how people categorize their religious beliefs.
The problem is the hard core evangelical community. They have all kinds of groups and web sites dedicated to converting Mormons to Christianity.
If Romney's primary opponents wanted to exploit the evangelical phobia of Mormons I can see them doing it. They can outsource it to a swift boat type of group. Maybe call it "Christian believers for truth" and do all kinds of nasty ads and whisper campaigns. Bill Frist is a nasty guy and if he runs I can see him exploiting the religion issue.
November 23, 2006 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
BINGO! Remember that these aren't normal Christians, these are evangelicals. They have web-sites denouncing anyone who doesn't believe in outlawing abortion as "not a Christian."
Part of their whole shtick is getting to decide who's "pure enough." Mormons don't pass the Purity Test -- until evangelical leaders say they do, for reasons of expediency.
Romney can easily be swift-boated by quoting passages from the Book of Mormon that would sound weird to fundies.
But, that alone won't sink him. He might be able to reacy a deal with the fundie leaders to support him. They they would blunt any attacks
Clearly that's what he hopes.
But, it's truly depressing to see that gay-marriage is STILL going to be one of the main issues in the Republican elections in 2008.
That there are STILL millions of Americans who are so deluded they think that gay-marriage is an issue in a presidential election when we have a total disaster in Iraq, a failure of health care, a monstrous deficit about to explode, global warming, the list goes on.
This country continues to peer blindly into it's navel while the world around us burns hotter and hotter. Time to come out from under your rock America!
November 23, 2006 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
A little exploration of Mormons' beliefs about the afterlife might be enlightening.
Dude Lutherans believe about 99.9% of traditional Catholic doctrine. Doesn't make them Catholics.
Suggesting that the Resurrection is "really, the only central unifying belief of Christianity" is trivialism of the most ludicrous sort. I don't suspect Gregory VII, Luther, Joseph Smith, and Mary Baker Eddy would all gather together in the same room and agree "Well yes what unites us overwhelms what divdes us".
Hey it is a free country, you can worship what you want. But pretending that in drawing a line between Christian and non-Christian Mormons are firmly on one side of the line and Scientologists another is to be drawing distinctions without differences. I daresay most Christians are not expecting to be assigned their own separate planet to rule for all time.
The fundamentalists who lavishly ridicule Muslim paradise are not going to be amused that Romney's church endorses a strikingly similar view. "Polygamy is only a sin on THIS earth"
http://www.exmormon.org/mormwomn.htm
Okay it is from ex-mormons. Discredit it how and where you want. But a little dissemination of anything resembling this will sink Romney like a stone and won't be doing Mormons decades long effor to mainstream themselves any favors.
"This isn't your Father's Oldsmobile". No and fundamentalists are going to have a difficult time even recognizing that this is a car.
November 23, 2006 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"the idea of branes and the idea of branes moving in extra dimensions"
Wow mind bending. Because while I have seen massive construction cranes moving together, lifting loads on two different construction sites and not interfering with each other generally this is because each confines itself to a particular elevation and controls the single dimension of time. I never conceived of them moving in extra dimensions. Man those operators are already the highest paid trade workers, now they need to be experts in string theory?
Or did you mean 'brains'? Or perhaps 'brans'? Because somebody's intellectual system could use some unclogging.
November 23, 2006 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Catholics and Lutheran's classification of themselves under such titles comes from them defining what it means to be those respective titles. Such have definative definitions and delineations that either land you inside or out. There's NOT, however, any such thing for the whole of Christianity beyond claiming Christ as being what he claimed and, as best the individual sees, following his teachings. If you want to try and relegate the label "Christian" to only those abiding your creeds or your conceptions of Christ then you are taking liberties that land you outside common labeling. The likes of Origen and Justin Martyr and many many other early Christians had many significant divergant beliefs from what the vast majority of traditional Christianity adheres to today. Does that make THEM less christian? And who decides the title? Beyond a folower of Jesus Christ I'm not aware of any authoritative canonical definition.
And can we knock it off with the whole "own planet" thing? I assure you it's far more than "one planet" We see the promise of being Joint Heirs with Christ a bit more litterally than the present traditional Christian community. That doesn't mean we are less of followers of Christ. Expecting that God will make good on his promise of the faithfull reaching the "fulness of the stature of Christ" to a litteral extent does nothing to lessen our allegiance to Christ or his gospel.
November 23, 2006 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Many views held by early Christians would not be accepted by most fundamentalist traditional Christians today. Yet these same individuals played significant roles in defining what is seen as orthodoxy by today's fundamentalist "traditionals".
November 23, 2006 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
To think the fundamental definitions and structures of families and marriage are trivial compared to the other presented items just doesn't jibe with my analysis.
The commonly endorsement of society in terms of what constitutes a family is akin to the genetics of biological beings. tweaking it can do all sorts of unexpected things.
To brush this issue off as if it were mere result of some dogmatic bigotry or blindness to the relative implications of the spectrum of policy issues on the table is itself a blindness to the scope and impact that would come from changing societal focus from one ideal in family definement to another.
Family fundamentals are key to the demographic trends that are presently set to turn Europe and Russia into Islamicly dominated states in the next fifty years. To think any tweaking of societies stance is of less impact next to all the items you presented is, in my view, to profoundly underestimate the impact inherently tied to familial nature.
So many can see the potential danger in GMO's yet many of these same individuals think you can tweak the family, or societies nature of endorsement of such, with minimal or relatively insignificant consequences.
It just makes me scratch my head and wonder.
November 23, 2006 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Brane" as a shorthand for "membrane" of arbitrary dimensionality. Could also be called a "boundary" but that implies only the skin, so "brane" is used as a stand-in for a dimensionality in which a universe is embedded.
Hope I'm not explaining to someone that doesn't need it. If so, apologies. Cranes are cool, too.
November 23, 2006 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Many views held by early Christians would not be accepted by most fundamentalist traditional Christians today."
I agree but that is not the point here.
I have a secular approach to politics and vote based strictly on policy matters, not religion.
If Romney had been running as a Democrat I suspect his religion would not have been an issue in the primaries. It might even have been a plus since Dems have a soft spot for underdogs. They elected the first Catholic president, almost elected the first Jewish VP so a Mormon nominee would have fit in just fine.
But Romney will be running in the GOP primaries where the evangelicals are a big part of the base that turns out. He will also be running in a GOP where "willy hortonizing", "swift boating" and "race-religion-gender baiting" are SOP. John McCain has already hired the guy behind the "call-me-Harold" racist ad in Tenn. It will be child's play for this crowd to bury Romney with all kinds of innuendo and whisper campaign.
Just do a google search on Mormons vs evangelicals. I don't think kissing Jerry Falwell's ring will satisfy them.
I will defend Romney when the inevitable Mormon-boating comes. That said he has chosen to align himself with a party that revels in bigotry.
November 23, 2006 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
And many views of early Christians didn't make the cut and became heresies, such the Gnostics, Manichaeans, Cathars.
The Gospel of my namesake, Thomas, is one that lost out in the dogma battle.
The most important decision of early Christians was whether there should be a dogma, entailing a universal (catholic) church. Since a Church has organization, it's not surprising it won over looser, non-dogmatic woshipers that felt no need for intercession by a priestly hierarchy.
"Whatever gets you through the night...it's all right" (John Lennon).
November 23, 2006 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: The most important decision of early Christians was whether there should be a dogma, entailing a universal (catholic) church.
Plaese cite some evidence (from real history, but latter-day revisionism) that any Christian sect ever tried to get by without some sort of formal theology. Those people were part of a deeply intellectualized culture, imbued with the technical philosophy of Greece. Of course the more learned of them engaged in speculation as to what their religion all meant in terms of metepahysics.
Re: Since a Church has organization, it's not surprising it won over looser, non-dogmatic woshipers that felt no need for intercession by a priestly hierarchy.
Again, evidence please? The Greco-Roman world was a fairly regimented and hierarchial one. I know of no Christian group which did not have some sort of organizational structure, generally along the lines that the New Testament itself envisioned: Overseers (bishops), Elders (presbyters, thence "priests") and Servants (deacons).
November 23, 2006 4:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re; Family fundamentals are key to the demographic trends that are presently set to turn Europe and Russia into Islamicly dominated states in the next fifty years.
With all due respect this is plain old nuts. Even if current rends continue (which is completely unlikley) and even if we discount the possibility of Muslim apostacy (also a very unlikely assumption), itwould take 300 years to turn France into a Muslim majority nation, and much longer for Russia given the larger population base it starts with. Good grief, do the math!
November 23, 2006 4:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cyby9, You are correct. Romney lied his way into office proclaiming views that were acceptable to the electorate,waiting for the opening that would be his chance to make a Presidential bid. As soon as that opening appeared, he reneged on many of his promises, took positions opposite those he supposedly upheld, and has toured conservative locations outside Massachusetts, holding Massachusetts up to scorn and ridicule in his speeches in the South and elsewhere. How anyone can believe a word this two-faced opportunist says is beyond me,and this duplicity should be even more of a telling point against him than his religion.
November 23, 2006 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't own a copy of Pagel's Gospel of Thomas, but some came from that. The comment about loose structure is also informed by the book about the Priory of Sion ("Holy Blood, Holy Grail") which is loaded with footnotes, but that is on loan to a friend.
Cathars and Gnostics, as I understand it, were believers in the direct experience and opposed to the need for intercession. I don't recall the New Testament describing bishops etc., but I don't spend any time reading it.
The Christians that moved into the center of Greco-Roman life and made converts therein would have been as you say, comfortable with hierarchy, and would also have couched their gospels in those terms.
My understanding is that the compilers of the New Testament Gospels adjusted their message to be palatable to a Greco-Roman audience. So Pilate was made to look reasonable, the Saduccees and Pharisees were made to look as if they were opposed to Jesus. An example of the type of analysis used in the Holy Grail book: Crucifixion was a Roman punishment; if the Saducees had decided Jesus must die it would have been by stoning, and they would not have met at night, or on a Wednesday, to pass sentence, as described in the NT. So Jesus was probably a real political problem to the Romans. Still, Pilate was corrupt and was likely bribed to allow a crucifixion victim to be taken down and buried, and also in a private tomb.
November 23, 2006 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry to give a seeming plug to Amazon, but you can find the same book at your favorite bookseller. I just got off the road on a 4-hour return trip from a son's for thanksgiving, the last hour in heavy fog, and I'm too tired to offer more.
But....
Just finished reading "Misquoting Jesus", which goes into all the history of how what eventually won out as the "orthodox" orthodoxy happened, and is a fascinating history by a very careful scholar.
In short, it's a long story that covers 350 years or so, and it would be a useful read.
http://www.amazon.com/Misquoting-Jesus-Story-Behind-Changed/dp/0060738170/sr=8-1/qid=1164339309/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/103-0140791-5744610?ie=UTF8&s=books
There's a lot more to this history than can be put in a blog like this.
November 23, 2006 10:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is an understatement. I was listening to CSpan the other day on a discussion of religion in public life was the topic. One caller, a woman, went on and on about how she didn't believe even Catholics were Christians, that they only prayed to Mary and not God. and so forth. I thought I'd been transported back to 1929. It was surreal. But the reality is that there are flaming nutballs on both extremes, and these folks on the lunatic fringe of the Right will not be stopped by ordinary rationality.
Imagine what they will do to a Mormon. It'll make the prejudice Kennedy had to overcome pale in comparison.
They will not, by and large, be persuaded by the likes of Jerry Fallwell, who one would hope will be seen as complicit in the takeover of religious principles by very ordinary lust for power and money in the Republican party. I would not be at all surprised that a huge fight breaks out in that bunch not unlike the war between the Sunnis and Shia before the next election is over, no matter how much of a sunny PR face Falwell and his ilk try to paper over it.
November 23, 2006 10:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Aside from the fact that I see both parties as reveling in bigotry (Much of such a perception is derived from experiences as an LDS Missionary in some of the most liberal cities in the world, primarily those of close proximity to the Bay in CA.) The most hate I've ever felt dirrected at myself occured simply from walking through the downtown of Santa Cruz CA in my standard protlytizing atire. I wasn't down there contacting or preaching yet the snarls, harsh stares, the loud demeaning commentary every min. or so, and the clearly visible muttering under breath while giving animosity filled stares provided an experience I didn't think possible untill that point in out 'modern' and 'enlightened' America. You would think a town that votes so hardline democratic and has peace bumper stickers on it's fleets of cars (many VWs) would be the bastion of acceptance and forward thinking.
So while I see far too much of bigotry in those who often vote for the same candidates and issues I do I'm rather certain that bigotry is neither exclusive nor even primarily found among my political peers in the Republican Party.
It's likely not a point we'll agree on but I felt I needed to present such in light of a comment like "he has chosen to align himself with a party that revels in bigotry."
On the issue of Evangelical vs. LDS I have to say that I expect to see an attempted balancing act on the whole. You reference a google search of the two terms to bring to front the emnity and hostility. I know that those on McCain's side have to know that any all out assault or overly agressive campaign will hurt his side more than it will Romney's--even in a Republican Nomination contest.
I look forward to see, out of sheer curiosity, how things on both sides will unfold, especially with this connection to my faith and politics. Both areas in which I'm rather deeply involved.
I do appreciate your commitment to defend Romney against religious bigotry, however. Thank you.
November 24, 2006 1:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here's what people who've done the math, and looked in detail, and specialize in ethnography have said--
25 million. That is presently almost a fifth of the Russian population. Now considering that Russia has a negative growth rate of -0.37% and that 14% of the population is over the age of 65 (in a country with an average life expectancy of 67!) and the fact that it's very likely the vast majority of that 14% consists of non-Muslim Russians AND the fact that Muslim.
Russia is in a very real possibility of going from 142 million presently to less than 100 million by 2050. If you think that the 42 million that will be gone will have it's equal share of Muslims and non-Muslim Russians then you are not paying attention to the disparities in birth rates between the two groups Muslims are having between 3 and 4 births on average per woman, Russian women are lucky to be half that. Again remember those numbers. If you don't believe me look it up yourself. Be sure to distinguish between the two groups birth rates and death rates. Ethnic non-Muslim Russians are dying faster and giving birth to fewer children. It's a fact and I find it funny that you are the one saying "Good grief, do the math!" when you've presented no numbers yourself. Rather it seems you're quite ignorant of the numbers that matter, of a horrendously high death rate in Russia.
I've friends that have been to Russia, France, Italy, Germany, all over Europe. They talk about whole resort towns in Italy that will be virtually emptied of their current population in the next two decades simply from the results of old age. They talk about entire rural communities being abandoned wholesale throughout Russia simply for a lack of youth to work the land as it's been worked for centuries.
May you take your own advice. Look at the numbers and look hard. The raw birthrates and deathrates of the respective population groups have to lead you to the same conclusions. Conclusions like even if France were to stop immigration today fertility rate discrepancies would still have a Muslim within the next fifty years.
Sit up and take notice. When serious academics predict conscript makeup of the Russian military to be 40 percent Muslim in FOUR YEARS there's something going on.
November 24, 2006 2:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I'm rather certain that bigotry is neither exclusive nor even primarily found among my political peers in the Republican Party."
You are right. I sometimes hear anti semitic remarks from people in our office who seem normal and reasonable.
"It's likely not a point we'll agree on but I felt I needed to present such in light of a comment like "he has chosen to align himself with a party that revels in bigotry.""
There are bigots in both parties but with the GOP it is institutionalized. It is SOP. We see it in election after election and people are no longer shocked when they see "Harold, call me" ads. The GOP candidates themselves might not be bigots but they are willing to exploit bigotry to win votes.
November 24, 2006 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you think that a Govenor considering a run for president of the US and starts to look into such when current political practices seem to indicate is the best time is inherently not "OF" the state they are governing?
The fact that you see Jane Swift as a good thing and have a significant liberal leaning rather indicates the degree to which Jane Swift had lost favor with the political party that is not unaware of the power of incumbancy.
Is being against liberalism inherently being against Massachusetts? Does one have to have the very same values of the majority of the voters of a state or country to avoid the label of being "against" said state or country? That's a bit on the lines of calling someone unpatriotic simply for not sharing the same values. Isn't it?
November 24, 2006 2:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where has he lied? Where has he renegged on promises? Give us an actual list of specific items.
November 24, 2006 2:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I know that those on McCain's side have to know that any all out assault or overly agressive campaign will hurt his side more than it will Romney's--even in a Republican Nomination contest."
They are pros. They won't leave any fingerprints. Most likely they will contract it out to another group and later claim not to have any connection to them. The Bush family is good at that sort of thing. Poppy claimed he had nothing to do with the willie horton campaign. Bush Jr claimed he had nothing to do with Ann Richards is a lesbian whisper campaign or the swift boat campaign. They keep their hands clean and get somebody else to do their dirty work for them.
My guess is religion wars will get only worse. When you mix politics with religion this is the inevitable result. What should be a contest of ideas about policy becomes a contest of religion which leads to division and polarization.
November 24, 2006 2:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you think reference to "Branes" (short for Membranes, a presently theoretical item that, in theory, could be the slate on which our Universe fits) is sign of needing a brain unclogged then we have a major dillema with our presently graduating Theoretical Physicists, because a majority of such are aiming their whole lives work in the direction of a theory that currently has our existance holding at least 11 dimensions and manifold possibilities for other universes existing also.
So if my intellectual system is clogged for referencing this theory then we have a much more serious problem because we are sending armies of physicists after this very same 'clogging' theory.
Quick! Go talk those Physicists out of it before they waste their lives and a generation of 'true' advancement in physics over some 'brane' clogging garbage!
November 24, 2006 2:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
No I really had no clue that in this case "branes" was a term of art.
I should apologize to HiveRadical, he does seem like a sincere guy just trying to explain his belief system. But the fact that he is getting this level of hostility from a relatively informed, relatively secular crowd shold clue him in to the uphill struggle that is going to face Romney.
I don't know really anything about Mormon theology. But I could take his explantions alone and sink Romney. No doubt I would be distorting the deeper messages (which btw you have to be Mormon to learn). But I could take that 'Joint Heirs' language and claim that Mormons claim to be equal to Jesus Christ in the next world and just step back.
As noted Evangelicals are hostile even to the idea of Mary as intercessor. The implicit suggestion that he is just the first among equals may be a distortion of Mormon beliefs but it is a distortion that will stick.
November 24, 2006 5:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: I don't recall the New Testament describing bishops etc., but I don't spend any time reading it.
Describing in detail, no. However the NT does refer to Christian leaders as "episcopoi" which is Greek for overseers and thsi is the root of our word "bishop". Obviously the office took on a lot of trappings and had its role defined in later eras, but it does date back to the first generation of Christenity.
Re: Cathars and Gnostics, as I understand it, were believers in the direct experience and opposed to the need for intercession.
The Cathars were a medieval cultic group. They were opposed, certainly, to the Church hierarchy, but were also intensely elitist, with a small inner circle of "Perfects". The Gnostics too were an elitist faith, porposing that only some tiny fraction of humanity could gain Gnosis and salavtion. Thats' a big reason why the Gnostiocs failed: a religion which limits its appeal to an enlightened few is unlikely to attract a m,ass following.
November 24, 2006 6:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
We know that Mitt "The Suit" Romney lives his political life as a series of fits and starts wherein, for example, he first endorses the right to choose before condemning it; pledges his fealty to Massachusetts before scorning it; declares his willingness to serve the Commonwealth as Governor before proclaiming his desire to leave it; pontificates about the need for competent "Big Dig" leadership before undermining it; and now, after declaring his stern opposition to "finessing" the public pension system, he actually finesses the public pension system! To wit, he appointed his $160,000 administrative assistant (himself a stern, public and vocal critic of pension "finesse") to a five year, $5000 Board post in the Brookline housing authority. This would, after two years, entitle said assistant/critic to vesting rights in the Commonwealth's pension system. But this isn't finesse, according to Mitt "Fit and Start" Romney, merely honest to goodness "conservative" style public service. We in Mass. all know Romney was against finessing the system...until he was FOR finessing the system.
Two ancillary points worth noting: first, the Brookline Housing Authority is suing Mitt "Fit and Start" Romney's very own housing department alleging, quite correctly, that the state has violated contractual housing agreements by systematically withholding operational and capital funds over the years. (Would Romney's aide participate in suing his boss---we'll never know. The aide resigned the post this morning; another case of quickly becoming disinterested in serving the post to which you've been elected.) Second, both the aide and "Fit and Start" endorsed the Republican for Lt. Governor (a chap named Hillman) who, after gaining one of the highest state pension awards ever, called for wholesale pension reform to prevent said "finessing" of the pension system! Fortunate, Mr. Hillman can continue collecting his pension without inflicting any more financial damage to the Commonwealth as its Lt. Governor.
I truly doubt that Falwell knows all the details about the acolyte he seems intent on promoting. It should be an amusing two years.
November 24, 2006 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Birth rates tend to decline as women's educational opportunities increase. European Muslim women will not continue to have large numbers of children into the future.
November 24, 2006 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: They talk about whole resort towns in Italy that will be virtually emptied of their current population in the next two decades simply from the results of old age. They talk about entire rural communities being abandoned wholesale throughout Russia simply for a lack of youth to work the land as it's been worked for centuries.
Have you visited the Great Plains lately in this country or in Canada? Something very similar is happening here: small rural towns turning into ghost towns. There are even proposals out there to cordon off large sections of the Plains, stock them with bison and other native creatures, and let them return to their pre-Columbian state (though presumably without Native Americans too). However this does not mean the US as a whole is about to turn into a ghost country or into some sort of North Mexico. As for Russia, yes, the country has some nasty troubles, above all with its death rates. However this is highly unlikely to continue (demographic trends are highly unstable, especially in the modern world; and one big wild card in all these arguments is the effect of global warming to come). And even if the Russian population does fall to 100,000,000, so what? That's still far more Russians than were in this world 100 years ago, let alone in the heydey of the tsars. Ditto for Europe, and, yes the United States: there is no population protection which suggests we shall have a lower population than we had when the oldest among us were born. Finally, as to Russia's Muslims, they are largely autochthonous, not immigrant peoples. They derive from populations of people the Tsars conquered centuries ago, unlike the Muslims of Western Europe, who derrive from post WWII immigration.
And by the way, I did once work the numbers for France, using the published birth rates, assuming they would be stable (unlikley of course), assuming an average generation of 25 years (reasonable enough), and assuming constant life expectancy (also unlikely*). And yes, it required about 300 years for the Muslim population and the non-Muslim population of France to equilibrate.
* The other big wild card in this discussion is life expectancy. If longevity research starts to yeild big changes with the result that it becoems possible to double or triple the human life span, thsoe low birth rates you fret about are going to become fairly unimportant in long term population [projections.
Re: Conclusions like even if France were to stop immigration today fertility rate discrepancies would still have a Muslim within the next fifty years.
Good grief just use some common sense on that! 50 years is less than a human life span. The current 20-something generation in France is still 90% non-Muslim so absent some mass mortality of non-Muslims there's no way you could have a Muslim majority in 50 years!
November 24, 2006 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Empty Italian resort towns? Are we talking beachfront property? I think that's a problem Euro-Americans might be happy to fix.
November 24, 2006 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
…However this is highly unlikely to continue (demographic trends are highly unstable, especially in the modern world; and one big wild card in all these arguments is the effect of global warming to come).
Global warming's suppose to magically spur growth? Certainly there are wild cards, but name one that actually makes the demographics relative to non-Muslim populations change relative to Muslim populations? Look at your average white Russian Woman, having more abortions than babies and very high infant mortality rates. Putin's freaking out (not literally per se) and offering massive governmental subsidies on babies. Even France's long push for more babies and significant aid to families and mothers hasn't put the replacement rate for ethnic french women near replacement rates, presently they're slightly above 1.9 with replacement being 0.2 above that at 2.1.
And even if the Russian population does fall to 100,000,000, so what? That's still far more Russians than were in this world 100 years ago, let alone in the heydey of the tsars. Ditto for Europe, and, yes the United States: there is no population protection which suggests we shall have a lower population than we had when the oldest among us were born.
So what? You're acting as if relative demographics doesn't mean anything. Does destabilization ring a bell? Have you heard of ANY country loosing a third of it's population over the course of fifty years and remaining stable? Did you realize that at 1.28 children per woman Russia has droped below the threshold of 1.3 children per woman, a threshold from which NO human society has EVER recovered from (that means that every society that's droped that low has been eradicated). Do you honestly thing your "fewer people, better world" delusions, and the denial of the fact that these kind of population drop offs have NO history of ANY civiliation suriving such a decline, amount to anything meaningfull ???
If it makes you feel good then that's fine and dandy so long as that good feeling stays with you as most of Europe's culture, economy and governance colapses or is replaced before the end of this century.
Finally, as to Russia's Muslims, they are largely autochthonous, not immigrant peoples. They derive from populations of people the Tsars conquered centuries ago, unlike the Muslims of Western Europe, who derrive from post WWII immigration.
I've studies Imperial Russian History and while there's been some relative calming of Native Russian Muslims over time they are not exactly singing Kumbaya with non-Muslim Russians. Friends recently returned from Russian LDS/Mormon missions tell me how the general perceptions and thoughts of many in Russia regarding the likes of Chehneya (one of the predominantly Muslim states) is a "final sollution" mentality. So to think that simply having these populations harken back to Imperial Russia means they have less emnity or are somehow unfazed by the likes of global Jihad movements is a rather presumptuous position to take.
And by the way, I did once work the numbers for France, using the published birth rates, assuming they would be stable (unlikley of course), assuming an average generation of 25 years (reasonable enough), and assuming constant life expectancy (also unlikely*). And yes, it required about 300 years for the Muslim population and the non-Muslim population of France to equilibrate.
I just worked them out and I'm going to lay them out so you can see.
From one projection I read in this Bloomberg.com article--
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000085&sid=aUK_fW2GrWcg&refer=europe
I got a number of 68 million population for France come 2030.
Now we take the difference from the present population at 60 million for a difference of 8 million people over the next 24 years.
Now there's also the percentage of the population that will likely die off in the next 24 years. To be generous to your side we'll assume that Muslims constitute the same percentage in the highest age group (65 and older) as they do in the general population at ten percent--a highly unlikely scenario as about a third of the Muslim population is in their early twenties or younger. That means that according to the CIA fact book numbers we'll be having nine million of those dying off being non-Muslim French and one million being Muslim. These all being then replaced by together with the growth (the 8 million) already projected above and beyond.
After this, and the factoring in of the french populations living through the next 24 years, we end up with a Muslim percentage of the population at roughly 22 percent in the course of 24 years. Now I've not personally done all the calculations extrapolating it out to 2056 (the "fifty years" we've talked about) but if growth goes at the same rate. Factoring in that French non-disrimination policies connected to it's babie promoting social programs are as likely to effect Muslim women in France as anyone, or even more likely as religion is also promoting such an action AND seeing that a century's worth of pro growth policy, ramped up in recent years, still doesn't have non-muslim french women near just a replacement level in per woman child rates it seems very very likely that the trend will either remain at a constant level or simply augment in favor of the Muslim populations, especially since the percentage of the population in the work force is expected to drop by ten percent over all (from 67 to 57 percent) it doesn't stand to reason that even the low immigration rates held presently by france are maintainable in the coming five decades as this trend ensues.
"Good grief just use some common sense on that! 50 years is less than a human life span. The current 20-something generation in France is still 90% non-Muslim so absent some mass mortality of non-Muslims there's no way you could have a Muslim majority in 50 years!"
No. The Muslim population is more youth heavy than the non-Muslim French population. They are at least 12 percent of the present population. And depending on muslim women's fertility rates (recently bouncing between 3.something and four per woman) AND taking into account the fact that hard figures on the actual makeup of the Muslim communities is difficult to assertain it's rather easy to see how the Muslims could scrape into majority status in France in Fifty years. And in 60 to 70 years it's almost certain.
Oh. And even if they manage to have some miracle life expectancy expansion do you 1) think that a misproportionate younger generation will stand to bear the financial load incured by the feeble masses at the chronological top and 2) Do you think those expanded life expectancies would actually result in people remaining in the workforce, and also being productive, for that much longer? 3)Do you think that some magical breakthrough is more likely than say a pandemic that would, in all likelyhood concentrate relatively more on the older largely non-Muslim French constituency?
Do you remember the Bird flu at the begining of the 1900's?
Call me crazy but I think probability has the highest likelyhood of giving us a significant pandemic in the next 50 rather than some mirical fountain of youth that will keep the non-muslim french in the work force into their 80's.
November 25, 2006 4:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's alot of faith to place in a trend that's likely already occured, possibly to the greatest extent it will, for populations steeped in religious dogma. Reports recently come out on how the Muslim populations in europe have the distinction of NOT having the same degree of loss in atrition to secularism. So it's not a given that education will dampen Muslim birthrates more than it already has. For example Tunisian women in France went from a birth rate in 1981 of 3.4 up to 4.2 in just eight years. Are we then to conclude that the Tunisian women in France are being un-educated? If they are (even though it sounds silly to me) then what's the certainty you hold that your expected trends will hold?
November 25, 2006 4:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
I appreciate your words and understand your sentiment. Having gone door to door for two years trying to share my faith (in secular Norther CA) I'm aware of the opposition, on many sides, to the mere mention of my faith.
I hope to make certain that all know that the "Joint heirs" term is from the New Testament--
I know these things will persistantly be portrayed as "do you believe you're going to have your own planet someday?" But we simply hold to promises made by Christ and God IN THE BIBLE more litterally than our 'traditional' Christian bretheren do. When Abraham was promised posterity to match the stars in the heaven for multitude (again from the Bible) we take God at his word and believe that Abraham's litteral seed will excede the number of sand particles on this planet. Clearly that can't happen in this existance, even if you consider everyone presently alive and to ever be born in the human race.
So while I understand the basis for the views of impending opposition I hope as many people as possible will see the hypocricy of any such attacks. Because fundamentally is it really that much more strange to believe that one can potentially become a God than it is to see a man with three sons building a ship that contained sufficient numbers of all land dwelling animals to insure their survival past a global flood AND believe that all those animals survived a year long voyage? Or that the Sun stood still for an army while they fought? Or that a staff striking water caused a parting and the creation of a passage way that was completely dry and happened to colapse after the initiating group left the passage and as the pursuing enemy was en route through this magical passage?
They can go on about archeological evidence disparities but it all comes down to faith. If they realized that then this wouldn't be a factor, or if it was they wouldn't feel as capable in pointing out our perceived oddities of faith.
November 25, 2006 4:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Certainlyt the vacuum will be filled.
My intent, and "virtual" descriptor, were meant to just entail the erradication of ethnic itallians native to, or long time residents of, these towns.
November 25, 2006 4:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Also this brings to town the demographics of Venice. That vacation spot is also demographically dying. The few children they've had are fleeing en masse from that decaying and perpetually sinking town.
November 25, 2006 4:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Global warming's suppose to magically spur growth?
No, global warming affecting the other end of the equation, i.e., death rates. Whatahppesn to Europe if the Atlnatic thermohaline circulation shuts down? I'm betting its Muslim immigrants will hasten on back to Arab-land if France suddenly gains the climate there equilibrates with Labrador. Lots of native French may be looking to relocate too.
Re: Have you heard of ANY country loosing a third of it's population over the course of fifty years and remaining stable?
Well, Europe as a whole lost about 1/3 of its people in the course of four years back into 1347-1351. (You're heard of the Black death?) Yep, there was some upheaval (pogroms, Jacquerie rebellion, Wat Tyler's revolt, etc.) But the long term result was positive: the 15th century had a higher standard of living than any era previous, or again until the 18th. Plus, a lot of freed up capital fueled the Renaissance, the voyages of discovery, and the rise of modern banking.
Re: They are at least 12 percent of the present population.
OK, 12 not 10 percent. You still cannot get from 12% to 50% plus in less than a human life span without a mass die off or out-migration of non-Muslims.
Re: Do you think that some magical breakthrough is more likely than say a pandemic that would, in all likelyhood concentrate relatively more on the older largely non-Muslim French constituency?
You are ignoring socioeconimics here. Pandemics are especially rough on the lower classes. In Europe that means the immigrant communities. For example, despite the supposed "democracy" of the Black Death, only one ruling monarch out of a dozen or so died in that catastrophe, as opposed to 1/3 other total population. Europe's native-born upper classes would survive at a differentially higher rate.
Re: Do you remember the Bird flu at the begining of the 1900's?
Since I was born in 1967, no. Now, are you talking about the Spanish flu of 1918? A nasty epdiemic to be sure (and one that had a predilection for killing the young and healthy) What however were its demographic consequences? (By the way, I do agree with you on one thing: a pandemic is highly likely in this century. This of course is yet another wild card.)
Re: And in 60 to 70 years it's almost certain.
I still come up with 300 years, and sorry, I trust math rather than you. However, why do you assume that any current trrend will continue unabated? As someone else pointed out, Muslim birth rates will quite likely equilibrate to local levels too. Also, the birth rate in France is very near replacement, unlike the situation in Russia or Italy. A small blip upward and it will be at replacement. Finally, another factor not mentioned here is the effect of non-Muslim immigration: France receives a population influx from eastern Europe (the stereotypical Polish plumber) and from black Africa and the Carribbean.
November 25, 2006 8:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Has there ever been a minority population that lived cheek-by-jowl in a foreign land and was not seriously altered by the majority culture? Especially when the majority culture featured higher levels of wealth, technology etc? Europe Jews were isolated as much as possible by medieval "ghetto" laws, but, though keeping their religion, they were still Europeanized.
November 25, 2006 8:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Europe as a whole lost about 1/3 of its people in the course of four years back into 1347-1351. (You're heard of the Black death?) Yep, there was some upheaval (pogroms, Jacquerie rebellion, Wat Tyler's revolt, etc.) But the long term result was positive: the 15th century had a higher standard of living than any era previous, or again until the 18th. Plus, a lot of freed up capital fueled the Renaissance, the voyages of discovery, and the rise of modern banking.
I meant in the context of birth rates. You see when the Black Death came upon Europe it didn't really affect the mindset, and thus the momentum, of per woman birth rates--at least not in a negative direction. In fact it likely helped birth rates. Similar to the frog vs. boiling pot analogy. Europe then was thrust into loosing a massive swath in less than a decade. Whereas this occurance has dampers to it. France can claim a higher birth rate (I don't think this is something you're factoring in here) because it's counting many of the resident Muslim women (who are having between 3 and 4 children per lifetime) into their equations. Thus France's claim to the highest birth rate doesn't mean that they are inherently fending off a muslim take over bettter than the rest of Europe.
OK, 12 not 10 percent. You still cannot get from 12% to 50% plus in less than a human life span without a mass die off or out-migration of non-Muslims.
Certainly you can, especially if the demographic momentum is working against the non-Muslim population AND in favor of the Muslim one.
For example, here in Utah we have, as one could imagine, thousands of chapels. Every Sunday we get together for a three hour meeting broken up into three sections. I wished to go to a certain service of a friend's recently (a baby blessing) but still wished to attend the primary meeting (called sacrament meeting) in the congregation I belong to. It seemed doable. I'd never really paid too close attention to the time of each sub meeting and guestimated the primary meeting was an hour long. The meeting arrangement for my congregation compared to that of my friend's was backwards so it seemed that I'd have an hour of transit time, which was nice because that was about ten min. more than such a distance would normally take me. I thought I had a ten min. buffer.
Well it turns out the firts meeting isn't an hour, rather, it was closer to an hour and ten min. But with this my error was doubled because I'd not only misread the time I would get out but I didn't factor in that I'd ALSO need to arrive ten min. earlier than I initially thought. Thus my mistake ended up chewing up a third of my commute time and I didn't make it on time.
This is what you seem to be doing with the numbers. Do you see anything wrong with my calculations that have us at 22% Muslim population by 2030? If you can more than double the percentage of gain an ethnicity makes as a portion of the over all populations in just 24 years then what's to completely rule out another doubling plus as a percentage of the populatoin in the coming 26?
I believe you are making several errors in your calculations that have like effect as my church scheduallling errors, thus landing you with egregiously off results out of the fact that it's multiple ends of the total overall equations that you're leaving out.
A list again of factors I don't believe you're considering--
• Relatively high french birthrate you find is NOT distinguishing between muslim and non-muslim French women.
• The tilt to occupy the younger segments of the french population that the Muslim population has at present.
• The fact that muslim defection rates in the face of secularism are no where near the levels that secular Europe has depended on from other religions it's been in contact with (traditional Christian being the primary one) over the centuries.
• The momentum on the side of the Muslim populations. This is seen in perceptions of the norm. With most non-muslim French growing up with one or no siblings the idea of having, being able to handle, or even wanting, more children (or even the same amount) as their parent(s). Whereas the Muslim children growing up in homes with an average of 3-4 siblings (or more) are more likely to view such numbers as acceptable, normative, feasable, and even desireable. Myself as an example. I'm the oldest of nine children (all from the same woman--no twins). My experience leaves me both receptive and desireous of having a similarly large family. Now I'm not going to have any more children than my future wife, whoever she might be, would want to have--but the fact that my present situation highly encourages a wedding with one in my faith the likelyhood that I'd be married to one of like mindset is far higher than it would be for most others in the US population.
I still come up with 300 years, and sorry, I trust math rather than you. However, why do you assume that any current trrend will continue unabated? As someone else pointed out, Muslim birth rates will quite likely equilibrate to local levels too. Also, the birth rate in France is very near replacement, unlike the situation in Russia or Italy. A small blip upward and it will be at replacement. Finally, another factor not mentioned here is the effect of non-Muslim immigration: France receives a population influx from eastern Europe (the stereotypical Polish plumber) and from black Africa and the Carribbean.
Would you be willing to lay out your numbers and calculations? I think you have either overly simplified setups, are ignoring trends and demographic momentum, and/or are forgetting the dynamics between the both ends, the aged and the youth.
I've enjoyed this exchange. I hope you'll forgive my beligerent tone in some of my last posts. I often take debates too seriously.
November 25, 2006 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
One could take this the other way. Do you forsee any culture having a minority working class ascend to the seat of power without fundamentally altering the base culture, economics, and governmental means and organization? Jews weren't allowed to ascend to make up more than half of Europe. Certainly some degree of the act of Europeanization will occure, but I'd rather think you'd be as, or more, likely to have Islamitization of Europe, and Europeans occure also. I don't need to look any farther than the Latin influx into the States as an example. It affected where I was sent on my LDS mission and the language I learned, the whole of America is becoming in many ways "Latinized" by the latino influx. Our vocabulary, economics, and even our government is in the process of being significantly altered by this. To think that Europe, with an even more significant influx of people often more steeped in dogmatic and backwards practices and beliefs (go to some of the Muslim communitities in France if you want to see the degree to which many of them have held to their original life in face of French culture as opposed to a relative acceptance, and correlating secularization, of more French European standards).
Generally demographics and cultural stuborness play significant roles. If a populace remains at relatively small minority status for a very long time (like many Jews did) then the interplay is far more likely to favor the demographically strong culture, in terms of which culture ends up with the most dominance coming out of the mix.
November 25, 2006 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't think of any examples of a modern state (18th cent. forward) that has turned over from immigration population increasing. The native culture persists in all cases. (I exclude colonists overwhelming indigenous peoples in the Americas.) Only the Russification of the Baltic states comes close.
Europe will eventually incorporate its Muslims. It is because they are not easily accepted that they persist as an alien culture.
As to Latinization in the US, the Spanish influence never went away. It left its mark in Florida and California, and of course in Texas, although that mostly the Mexican version.
November 25, 2006 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
"So while I see far too much of bigotry in those who often vote for the same candidates and issues I do I'm rather certain that bigotry is neither exclusive nor even primarily found among my political peers in the Republican Party."
I'm still undecided on this question. I know enough religious demographics to know that Evangelical does not equal Republican, but the recent survey seems to indicate that the religious wing of the GOP *may* indeed have a big problem with Romney for strictly sectarian reasons. This a political refusal on sectarian grounds, in fact a religious test being applied to a political candidate in America, and I don't see that happening in the Democratic party.
That's different from the ill-will ordinary people may have had for you and me while we were missionaries (though for me it wasn't America, but Brazil, specifically Rio North 94-96), which has little or nothing to do with politics. Of course there are many of religious beliefs which are connected to moral and political questions, but as you and I both know those have nothing to do with the Evangelical beefs with Mormons.
I'm not totally convinced that Romney can't win the nomination (mainly because I know that at least conservative Christian *elites* think that an anti-Mormon refusal to vote for Romney is dumb). But *if* the GOP rejects Romney mainly on sectarian grounds, while the Democratic party raises scarcely a peep about the supposedly "anti-choice", "anti-gay", and "theocratic" religious beliefs of their Senate Majority leader, I think that that says a lot about the two parties on the question of *political* religious toleration.
November 26, 2006 1:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have no doubt that you will see other conservative elites and indeed conservative Christian elites say basically the same thing as Falwell about Romney's Mormonism. They got over religious differences with conservative Catholics and conservative Jews, they can do it with Mormons. The average conservative evangelical voter is another matter, however. I think the key will be whether there is a conservative alternative to Romney. Anti-mormonism among the Christian right will not get them to vote for Guiliani, but it may well push them into the arms of a weaker candidate such as Brownback, Huckabee, or even Santorum. If such are available. All that said, Romney is still a very formidable candidate and his problems are mild compared to those of Guiliani. The latter will try to paint himself as some kind of social conservative, which will be one of the biggest insults to the intelligence of American voters in modern times.
On last thing--a GOP primary where Guiliani and Romney are serious contenders is even more evidence that political clout is moving north. The good Southern conservative contender is no where to be found, and you could well have a general election race between two northeasterners, insuring the first election of a non-Sun Belt president since JFK.
November 26, 2006 1:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Those are some interesting provisions for your claim. 18th Cent. forward and the exclusion of the colonist's in America. Funny, cause I can't remember any demographic implosion of this kind with it's endemic causation source within that time frame either.
You have a great deal of faith considering that circumstances are presently not all that similar to any other portion of the time period you, for some seemingly arbitrary reason, limit comparisons to.
November 26, 2006 1:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not so much institutionalized as an emergent manifestation of the foundations of conservatism. In it's purest form (the core of Conservatism--not bigotry) I see it as a virtue. I mean to conserve anything there must be a core ideal, us being finite humans and all this at some point needs a core in some dogmatic belief. It's a misextension or misdirection of this that I believe constitutes bigotry as an evil. It's inevitable in our system that something someone holds to as being worthy of conserving will lead to actions at one point or another that someone else will classify as bigotry. It's a lot easier to lay things out and claim them to be bigoted, either in intent or simply as manifestations of bigotry.
As an example I didn't see the effectiveness in the "Harlod, call me" ads being anything at all linked to rascism in the least (I'd be curious as to what would have been the reaction if the woman portrayed was not white). Rather I see it as simply appealing to social conservative dogmatically linked perceptions on sexual morals. I personally would be warry of anyone, left or right or up or down or whathave you that was willing to participate in some softporn party. I can see where one could even call that bigoted and I'm perfectly fine to let them have that view of me in my faith grounded morals. Plenty of people laugh, scorn, or are revolted or simply wag their heads that anyone would think such things to be wrong or worthy of discounting worthiness for public office. In my case it's simply tied to the fact that I believe in concrete ideals, morals and laws that should be followed. I don't believe that someone who's been to such a party is some horrible horrible person, but I do believe them to be foundationally misguided. Heaven knows there are a vast vast array (sadly in my view) of social conservatives that have problems with thing pornographic/salecious etc.. I'm a man, I'm by no means ignorant to the potency and pervasiveness of such things.
I guess that's what I wanted to clarify from my perspective. I try to be a liberal in what I see as being the best sense of the word. But I can't/won't permit it to get in the way of certain foundational convictions I hold.
It may sound duplicitous with todays present labels like 'progresive' and 'neocon' or 'theocon' but I really want to be the best liberal and conservative I can be at the same time. I don't want to hold to dogmas that are not necesary to my foundational beliefs regarding my immortal soul and the nature of God. In that sense I want to constantly challenge and rechallenge any presumptions or views I gain. I want to even be certain that I'm reading and understanding the implications and bounds of those fundamental dogmas I have.
And not to really go tit for tat but to pretend that one can be 100% liberal or free of bigotry becomes an entrenched source of some forms of bigotry itself, in my view. At some point ALL of us have to make some leap of faith or cling to some assumptions for some ammount of time, else nothing in the world would ever be comprehensible, or even vaguely conceivable.
November 26, 2006 2:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I saw someone give the case that since Kennedy already scrutenized Romney's closet back when Romney almost gained an edge over him that the LDS issue is about all there really is to go off of.
The invigoration this will give to the anti-LDS/Mormon movements will be substantial, at least in the short run.
The funny thing is that McCain already kind of has some fingerprints--
November 26, 2006 3:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: ... insuring the first election of a non-Sun Belt president since JFK.
George HW Bush was not a sun-belter. He had some business associations with Teaxs, but his roots and culture were in New England. Meanwhile, McCain would qualify as Sunbelter.
November 26, 2006 8:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: You see when the Black Death came upon Europe it didn't really affect the mindset, and thus the momentum, of per woman birth rates--at least not in a negative direction. In fact it likely helped birth rates.
Actually, no. Demographic studies (based on admittedly fragmentary records) show that by the early 15th century birth rates had dropped throughout Europe and the Middle East. In Britain, for example, up to 25% of the population failed to marry and procreate at all. The European population did not begin to recover until the early 1500s.
November 26, 2006 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Do you forsee any culture having a minority working class ascend to the seat of power without fundamentally altering the base culture, economics, and governmental means and organization?
But the problem is I do not see the Muslim Helot class "ascending to power". How woudl they do so? They are simply shut out of such opportunities. Sure, there are no "Ghetto laws" of the sort that affected the medieval Jews, but social attitudes can be just as effective at keeping an out-group decidedly out.
Re: Jews weren't allowed to ascend to make up more than half of Europe. Certainly some degree of the act of Europeanization will occure, but I'd rather think you'd be as, or more, likely to have Islamitization of Europe, and Europeans occure also. I don't need to look any farther than the Latin influx into the States as an example. It affected where I was sent on my LDS mission and the language I learned, the whole of America is becoming in many ways "Latinized" by the latino influx.
A lot here to parse out. If a European Islam is to emerge it will have to be European, making its peace with various facets of European culture, including women's rights, alcohol use, and pluralistic democracy. Perhaps this will happen (it seems to be in process among the native Muslims peoples of the Balakans whose latitude in these areas shocks the occasional Wahabbi imam vistor.) The template here would be Catholicism in the United States, once seen as a dangerous and alien cult, but which eventually nativized and became wholly and fully American. As to America's Hispanics, first off our culture is far more open to assimilation than any nation in Europe is, so the comparison is difficult. But I see no evidence that, after multiple generations of course, Hispanics do not assimilate, bringing pinatas and tex-mex food and Our Lady of Guadalupe into our culture with them. I live in S Florida and work with peoples surnamed Vargas and Sanchez, all of whom were norn in this country and are so Americanized you would now know their ancestry of you did not know their last names.
Re: If a populace remains at relatively small minority status for a very long time (like many Jews did) then the interplay is far more likely to favor the demographically strong culture, in terms of which culture ends up with the most dominance coming out of the mix.
The interplay as you put it also tends to favor the population group which holds the superior wealth, power, education and technology. This is why Persians still speak Farsi not Arabic, why Hiatian Blacks speak a dialect of French and image Christian saints as Vodun loa, and Gothic (along with Arianism) died out centruies ago in Spain.
November 26, 2006 8:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
The 25% were likely portions significantly hindered from such out of the disruption of social bonds rather than an abandonment or fundamental shift in values.
I'll conceed on my guess that they might have helped birth rates. But the fundamental still stands that any pause or stalling in growth was not a chosen value, rather the echoing of the social reverberations that would be tied to 1/4 to 1/3 of the population being erradicated.
November 26, 2006 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Demographics. First off they are not entirely, or even to the extreme, of being a Helot class. Compared to their equivilants in the MidEast even the poorest have it pretty good, they can go to the extreemest mosques after picking up their social welfare allocations. Saudi Arabia doesn't treat foreign Muslims as good as Germany and France do. That's a significant reason they are more empowered to rise. They are not as underprivilaged as their equivilant populations in other parts of the world AND their demographics are allowed to ascend in ways Jewish ones never were permited to. If Germany originally treated the Jews the way it's treating it's Muslim population then it's likely Jews would be a far more significant force in the world (granted Jewish cultural tendancies would likely take far better advantage of the social welfare and tolerance that's now enforced in the likes of Germany than we find in Muslim communities in general)
To some degree I agree that some compromizes will be made. I'm just not certain that your seeming certainty as to the scope of compromize and adjustment will be as significant as you think it will. I don't find it a given that women's rights or views on alcohol use or democracy will go along with it. There are significant forces who want some manifestation of Shari'a Law. Read the reports of all the Muslim men who downloaded the videos of the beheadings to their digital devices if you want to understand the severity with which this co-mingling can occur. You could as easily have a society bereft with well educated individuals with same convictions as those held by the 9/11 attackers. We can have (as you can see in very modern and semi-european looking cities in the mid-east) very well educated engineers and such that can and may attempt to gain significant power over European Islamic communities.
Certainly, some of the much older Muslim communities such as those found in the Balakans, are toned down. But many of these individuals would likely have the propensity to actually increase in Islamic allegiance upon gaining an education. I had a friend who served an LDS mission in Albania and said that the vast majority of people there were Muslim only because they claimed to be. They didn't necesarily have concept of religion as something to be practiced or observed, rather merely as a label. The fact that the Wahabbi imams are visiting there should be some manifestation of at least the potential for the community to become both MORE educated and at the same time MORE fundamentalist in their religious leanings.
I would hope you would conceed that this comes as much from an overal liberalization in the faith proper and in the actual allegiance of the populace to the doctrinal claims of the Catholic Church.
This is exactly my issue on the Islamic front. We're assuming that since Christianity and Catholicism's frontline with secularism has had an effect of A to B attrition in favor of secularism and W to Z concesions in terms of doctrinal definitions that the same will be the same with Islam, that you'll get the same institutional softening in combination with waning adherent zeal in the same degrees.
Yet all the indicators are saying, in the very least, that these are not paralell comparisons. Islam rather prides itself on it's no-nonsense approach to miracles. The only ones Muhahmed ever claimed were visions and recitations, he didn't go around healing people en masse. Many Islamic adherents in the sciences rather pride their faith on this and see it as a means of mixing devotion and faith with the revelations of science.
Now certainly there's some softening that occures. But the intensity and permanence of such is not, in my view, as significant as you seem to think it to be. There are significant portions of the Islamic community in Europe that say they would not necesarily interfere with, or report, any evidence they saw of an incoming attack from Islamic radicals.
This whole differrence is one of the keys to my argument. Europe feels that assimilation and getting along with largely means leaving alone and providing these imigrants with social support without any real concessions made by them culturally. They get the advantages of high technology, European refinement, and social welfare, yet they don't have to feel any presure whatsoever to stop going to their Wahabi supported Mosques or remaining amongst primarily their own.
Unless that group caters to the likes of the lower socio-economic strata by providing them the same, or enhanced, governmental subsidies without any significant strings attatched. Muslims have access to power education and technology. In that sense the disparities come more and more as cultural ones. This also assumes the parites in power remain for a long enough time in possession of their capacities and realms to effect a softening on the ascending lower class.
Writen now in Arabic (plus four letters) rather than the former cuniform script of ancient Persian and having significant swaths of vocabulary consisting of Arabic words and phrases.
Think about a Europe where Frency or English is written in Arabic script. The Persians already have "merci" in their modified Arabic script.
The ultimate point being that, while both cultures get blurred along the way, the one that's more blurred and more compromized can still be considered, to one degree or another, an usurped culture.
November 26, 2006 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I believe, HW had a PO box and an acre of unfinished land in Texas. This allowed him to legally say he was a resident of the state. Not that legality ever stopped him.
November 27, 2006 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Demographics.
Sorry, but demographics is not enough: it is NOT destiny as some people fecklessly assert. Another poster above mentioned something that needs to be reaffirmed here: what you are predicting has never happened in all of known history. There has never been a case of an immigrant population taking power and imposing its culture in some foreign land unless that population was either backed up by political and military strength from abroad, or else possessed of superior technology (or often enough, both). The Muslim immigrants to Europe and North America can claim neither distinction. "Never before" of course is not 100% identical to "never at all", but when you cannot find examples of a phenomenon occuring in the past (especially when there is a lot of data to survey) it is usually a good indication that you should not bet on the unprecedented event coming to pass.
Re: I'm just not certain that your seeming certainty as to the scope of compromize and adjustment will be as significant as you think it will.
Wealth and knowledge factors must be used to weight population figures here. Even a quick survey of history teaches as much. Hence the Germans who conquered the Roman Empire adopted Latinate languages and Roman Christinaity; the Slavs in the Balkans kept their languages but adopted Byzantine Christianity and other aspects of Eastern Roman culture; the Mongols and various other conquerors of China all became Sinified; Haitian Blacks speak a French-like language and invoke Catholic saints in the guise of Vodun loa; each Native American culture in Mesoamerica adopted the forms (and writing system) of the previous one, etc. and etc.
Re: There are significant forces who want some manifestation of Shari'a Law.
Sure. But to the extent that they demand such distinctions they will be ghettoizing themselves, building a wall of Shari'a bricks around their communities and insuring their isolation. In which case they would become rather like the Amish in this country: a people whose ability to particpate in the larger culture around them is self-limited by religious stricture. Religious groups which are able to successfuly integrate into foreign cultures and ascend their power structures have always adopted large portions of that culture of their own. This is true of Roman Catholicism, of Buddhism, of the LDS, of the Jews, while maintaining core dotrine of course. It has also been true of Islam historically. And if it is no longer true of Islam today, then Islam will collapse for the simple reason that you can no more run a modern society on medieval principles than you can power a modern car on medieval fuel sources.
Re; I would hope you would conceed that this comes as much from an overal liberalization in the faith proper and in the actual allegiance of the populace to the doctrinal claims of the Catholic Church.
Ah, but this liberalization occured precisely because Catholic population became immersed in liberalized cultures like that of the US. To be sure, the 19th century Church resisted as strenuously as the Shari'a-preaching imams resist today-- they condemned everything from parliamentary democracy to religious toleration to railroads to smallpox innoculations. But observe the outcome of this obstinancy. Who now adheres to the Syllabus of Errors?
Re: Writen now in Arabic (plus four letters) rather than the former cuniform script of ancient Persian and having significant swaths of vocabulary consisting of Arabic words and phrases.
Yes, and English is written with the Roman alphabet, not with the Anglo-Saxon futhark. And given a choice between the Arabic alphabet and cuneiform, I'd choose the former too!
November 27, 2006 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re; The 25% were likely portions significantly hindered from such out of the disruption of social bonds rather than an abandonment or fundamental shift in values.
I fail to see much of a distinction here. Values tend to be influenced by circumstance after all and if circumstances dictate against procreation, then values will accommodate that fact of life by downgrading the importance accorded to procreation. In the late Middle Ages the reason for the downturn in fertility was probably despair: war, famine and plague left people convinced that the End of the World was near and that bringing children into such a world was not necessary and might even be a negative thing to do. I am guessing of course, but we should certainly remember that ancient and medieval Christendom was not particularly child and marriage friendly, holding celibacy in higher esteem, and that this "higher ethic" was always in comepetition with the normal procreative urges of any people. In our own era, a different logic applies: children have become hugely expensive with little or no return (other than emotionally) on that expense. Hence, fewer children are produced.
November 27, 2006 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, you could have faith of a sort that's not literal and doesn't depend on all of these stories being actually true.
Let's say that all I know about Mormonism I learned from the episode of South Park where a Mormon family moves to town.
Have you seen it, and if so, which parts of it are incorrect?
For those who haven't seen it, it involves Joseph Smith, a member of the lost tribe of Israel, gold plates, a hat, and magic seeing stones.
Transcript:
http://www.rickross.com/reference/mormon/mormon134.html
November 27, 2006 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't care either way, I don't think it will matter in the election, and I think that Evangelicals and others will end up voting for Mitt, but Evangelicals aren't the only ones who think Mormons are not Christian. So do other Protestants as well as Catholics.
They define Christian in a certain way. You may define it differently, but that doesn't have any effect on how they define it themselves. But like I said, I don't think it matters either way.
November 27, 2006 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's totally craven. He showed it while governor of Massachusetts, and he's showing it again in his choice of bedfellows. Just compare Mitt Romney 2002 with Mitt Romney 2006. The two fellows don't see eye-to-eye on anything!
These issues have nothing to do with him being a Mormon or running against McCain (who is also totally craven, and his 2000 iteration wouldn't recognize his 2006 version either, running around begging Pat Robertson for forgiveness).
These issues have everything to do with Romney's political character (and lack thereof).
November 27, 2006 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm pretty sure they voted for him, but that's a very good question.
November 27, 2006 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
One can disagree with someone's religious beliefs without being a bigot.
I have some serious doubts as to the veracity of your story, as I don't think most people in Santa Cruz would even recognize your "standard proselytizing attire." Maybe they were just saying that it was odd that someone was walking around wearing dark pants and a dark tie in Santa Cruz.
I'm pretty sure McCain can figure out a way to attack Romney without leaving any fingerprints. The GOP are the masters of this game.
If you truly think the GOP isn't the primary party of religious bigotry, it's hard to take the rest of your statements seriously.
November 27, 2006 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hmm, isn't Scientology along those lines? Also, what's the thing in New Zealand associated with the political funding scandal?
Ah, Google and Wikipedia:
Exclusive Brethren
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exclusive_Brethren
The religion could also be multilayered, with different draws for the masses vs. the elite, enlightened few.
November 27, 2006 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Mormons' additional scripture and additional prophet are beyond what most fundamentalists would normally accept."
No reason to limit it to evangelicals and/or fundamentalists. It's beyond what mainline Protestants and Catholics accept. The differences b/t Protestantism and Catholicism are like the differences b/t and Oldsmobile and a Buick, but to echo an earlier comment, the differences b/t either one and Mormonism are like the differences between a GM car and a rocket ship. Yeah, they are all means of transportation, but aren't they really more different than they are similar?
November 27, 2006 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have all the doubts you want. It happened. I was in that town for almost half a year and everytime I went down pacific in proselytizing atire the vitrol was obvious. The amazing thing is seeing the difference between when you are in a white shirt slacks and a tie and when you're not (I'm sure the name tag is also a tip off. If you ever get the chance in the capacity of a reporter, or something akin to that, take it to go for a day and follow missionaries around door to door. It likely wont be like Pacific Avenue in downtown Santa Cruz (that was one of the few places where the hate eminating eclipsed any indifference or mere annoyance) but you'll likely see sides of people you likely would not have seen before. If you've ever gone door to door trying to sell a product imagine doing the same thing when the cost for the product is the the whole devotion of the person.
I thin your last sentence is telling in your dogmatic allegiance to your preconceptions. I'm not saying my party doesn't have issues, and often serious, with bigotry of all sorts. But I can assure you that your party is not necesarily less bigot prone than mine. If you doubt my claim and story then I suggest you try and gain first person experience.
November 28, 2006 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have seen it.
It's wise to realize that the creators of south park are both Apostates from the LDS Church. So while I certainly have a vested interest they are far from free of such. Put simply, both sides have potential axes to grind.
If the faith is true then they have been positioning themselves in one of the most unenviable of positions. Likewise with myself. If the faith is wrong then I'm in such a position as I'm either wasting efforts or misleading people.
I can get into it alot more a bit latter when I've more time to respond than at present. In the meantime I'd recomend reading over it and thinking about both the potential for misportrayal of any concept or history if it were presented in such a manner AND the potential motivations for the creation of such and episode.
November 28, 2006 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd also like to point out to ohio--with regard to the discussion below on items of bigotry, how would you classify ANYONE who uses a southpark episode as their base for any kind of analysis of a faith, or ideology, or world view? Not saying that such isn't done. I know too well that similar things occur all the time. I'm just saying what would be some discriptors for anyone making judgements based only on what they'd 'learned' from a southpark episode?
November 28, 2006 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I could go through and discect the episode. It would be a ton of work.
Here's a link to an online version of our scriptures--
http://scriptures.lds.org/
You can see the description and testimony of Joseph Smith about the revealing and translation of the plates. If you want to see the section detailing the Martin Harris story it's here--
Here's a rather comprehensive site that gets a bit less formal than the official sites and a bit more detailed--
http://www.jefflindsay.com/LDS_Intro.shtml
If there are specific items from the episode that you want me to address here then point them out and I'll do the best I can to answer your concerns or demonstrate any possible error or misconstual on the part of south park (named, if I've heared correctly, for the town of Park City, UT, since this was a minning town and one of the Utah towns with the least LDS/Mormon influence even today)
November 29, 2006 1:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's not made any betrayals and they see eye to eye on alot. Romney was then campaigning to Massachusets so he was emphasizing his stances and beliefs in light of that, he was pragmatic in not seeking any touching of abortion law due to the impossibility of doing anything AND the fact that he's sees points and exceptions (he still does) in which abortion needs to remain an option (such as rape, threat to the life of the mother, incest). His overtures to gay groups were not made in a means of endorsing their life style or advocating a change in the definition of marriage, rather a need to accept and get allong with people regardless what choices they make with other consenting adults in their private life. I see no changes in his fundamental stances.
November 29, 2006 1:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll start a new slot since this is getting slim.
November 29, 2006 1:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
One could claim that man induced global warming fits that same definition.
There's never been a case of an immigrant population, and it's own growth and substinence, being supported and fostered like it is in the socialist constructs of Europe's socilal welfare states.
And on technology there's never previously been levelers like the internet or cellphone communication. Rarely has the world been in a position where it's technology dependence has had such a capacity to potentially cripple the whole of the industrialized world with the fall of just a few dominos.
In short it's easy to say "there's no history of…" But it's just as easy to point out all the other factors that have never existed in history. Never in history has ideology and social alignment been so horizontal.
When the Persian Armies descended on the Spartans they wouldn't have ever guessed what kind of repulsion their intended victims could manage.
Depends on how you define such in terms of effective advantage. By simple appearances the Spanish Armada looked outgunned. I think a massive part of the advantage of the Islamic ascendancy in Europe is that the world for the most part ignored it, and in many instances is still ignoring it.
I say this whole thing on human caused global warming or human effected reversals on such trends are unprecedented, yet many on your side seem as certain of that as they are that the Dems retook Congress.
Wealth and knowledge don't do squat if you're an 80 year old geezer in a country where the rioters are youth raised from recent imigrants that don't give any heed to either your wealth or knowledge. Do you think that the riots in Paris are just some passing anomaly? What does Russia do in the next decade, when it's predicted that over 40% of their conscripts will be avowed muslim youth, if they ever find it needfull to stand against another Muslim state? Will they be able to fight of Chechen rebels when almost half of their army sees them as brothers in faith and culture?
I'm again not saying that things will be cut and dry Islamic across the board. Certainly some cultural aspects will be taken up. But how would them doing to Europe what they did to the Byzantine be any better? Especially seeing the unlikelyhood of them ushering a peacefull and secular loving, science promoting, freedom loving Caliphate just doesn't seem eminent. That's the scary part. Europe is disipating and anything that's rising to take it's place doesn't seem to be anything close to advanced or modern.
I'm curious if you personally are willing to summarily rule out Islamic majorities in most European countries within the next 50-60 years.
Just thought of another aspect--
Iran. A case in point.
Iran had substantial French and British influence for a considerable length of time. The Shaw's army had more British tanks than the British Army had of British tanks. They enough contact and interaction with the British and French to gain significant amounts of British and French influence in their language ("Merci" is one of the most, if not the most, common ways of saying "thanks" in Persian)
Yet despite all this forwardness and this advanced culture and Europeanization a friend of mine who was there at the revolution (and is a native Iranian) mentioned the amazing changes she saw in aquaintances she thought she knew. People who she thought were civilized and westernized became some of the key tools of the incoming regime, willing to brutalize and torture individuals that had once been good aquaintances and neighbors.
So my question is, even with the cultural holdovers from the European legacy, what's to insure that the hold overs will be the most vital aspects?
The Amish weren't seeking a rebirth of the caliphate.
I thought the biorefinery was a return to said sources.
Joking aside, however. All your claims are bent on the assurance that the cluture they are superceeding is similar in it's nature to others. You on the one hand cite a lack of historical presidence for an akin take over, yet you ignore the historical presidence of demise that follows the kind of birth rates held by many of the European nations.
That dulling happened whilst growing up around a populace that kept them for a prolonged period in the minority. Imagine what would have occured with history had the non-Catholic world decided to drop their fertility rates significantly below replacement levels for several decades.
As if you'd have any choice. If you do Persian is alot easier to learn than Arabic, no gender, simple sentence structures and rather standard verb conjugation. The phonetics are easier too.
November 29, 2006 2:05 AM | Reply | Permalink