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FL-13: Jennings Could Still Prevail — If Vote Goes To The House Itself

Vern Buchanan might have been certified as the winner in this race, but it's far from over. Democratic candidate Christine Jennings is already contesting the results, citing reports of malfunctioning voting machines, and if Jennings refuses to concede and shows enough evidence of malfunctions, the race could be decided...in the House itself.

A new article in Roll Call spells it out (paid subscription): Election watchers around the country think that the race could end up before a House committee — the House Administration Committee, which oversees Federal elections. If so, the full House, which in the end is responsible for seating new members, could potentially vote on which of the two candidates to seat, thus deciding the race's outcome itself — or could call for a new recount, or even declare the seat vacant and mandate a new election. Right now, of course, the House is still GOP-controlled, but by the time of this vote it could be in the hands of Dems — meaning Jennings could conceivably pull off a win after all.


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She should push for being seated. We need to cram this sucker down the throats of the Republicans. They appear to believe that voting problems benefit them. If we can set up a case like FL-13 where voting problems cost them a seat, you will see bi-partisan action on paper ballots right away.

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Best course of action would be to hold a new election (as the fight over the 1974 New Hampshire Senate race was finally resolved) -- but this time WITHOUT those [expletive deleted] paper-trail-less electronic voting machines. The Dems need to take a firm stand on this subject (maybe even ultimately involving a Constitutional amendment) FAST -- those things are a genuine and serious danger to the Republic -- and this would be the perfect opportunity for them to begin that effort.

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In all honesty I would rather not see a Democratic winner crammed into place by a Democratic House. Assuming that the in-Florida legal challenges do not lead to a new election, then I would say seat the Radical "winner" and immediately introduce legislation calling for all voting machines to have an auditable paper trail and open source software.

sPh

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I can't think of anything worse than a Dem controlled house deciding this by majority fiat. Our system of government if scarred as is with the 2000 election being decided by the supreme court, followed by the re-districting bs.

Have faith in the voters and the process. Otherwise you trade a decade's worth of "they abuse power too" talking points for one seat when we're already up by a safe amount.

The people choose their officials, simple as that, unless of course you live in DC.

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I think they should seat her, as presumably she won by about 750 votes, assuming the rate of undervote was the same in Sarasota County as in other counties (and there's certainly no reason to assume otherwise). The people voted, she won, the machines didn't work right, but that shouldn't change the results of the election.

The Dems just need to explain what happened very, very clearly to the people (and the media) and show their math very explicitly.

There were over 17,000 undervotes, there should only have been about 3,000. That means 14,000 votes were eaten by the machines. She won 54-46, which is 7560-6440 votes, i.e. 1120 additional votes for Christine Jennings, well above the 369 vote margin.

"Democrat Christine Jennings contested her 369-vote loss in the 13th District, asking a judge to order a new election because of problems in Sarasota County, where more than 17,000 voters who cast ballots in other races Nov. 7 failed to vote in the congressional contest.

That rate is nearly six times higher than in the other counties in the congressional district or on Sarasota's paper absentee ballots, Jennings alleges in her legal challenge. Though she lost in the other four counties in the district, Jennings did well in Sarasota County, winning there by a 6 percentage point margin."

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I think it is obvious that if the tables were turned, the Republicans would not hesitate to seat one of their own. That is what the Democrats should do, too. But I do also agree that there needs to be an investigation and some concrete findings that support their actions.

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I agree. The House should hold the seat vacant, pending a revote either in Sarasota County alone, or in the district as a whole, whichever.

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I believe the incoming Democratic Committee chair dealing with elections is Russ Holt, who is a scientist, and who has been sponsoring, since 2001, the Democratic alternative elections legislation against former member Bob Ney's Help America Vote laws. This presents an opportunity for Representative Holt (D-NJ) to get out front on this whole issue with hearings, and a House sponsored technical review of the Florida situation. If he uses this as a dramatic means of illustrating to all of America (C-Span hearings and all) what is wrong with touch screen voting without proper back-up -- He could potentially deliver a victory greater than just this one seat. Put Congress on record that they will not accept disputed elections conducted without back-up that cannot actually be recounted. That will change the landscape.

But isn't it ironic it is Kathleen Harris's seat?????

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Absolutely. Holt should use this as a club to beat the Republicans over the head while advancing the cause of election reform.

And yes, the irony is huge but more importantly it provides a resonance with the problems of 2000 and 2004. As you say, this more than a chance to just pick up a seat.

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The Repubs have already done this, even before the process yielded a certified winner.

http://www.bradblog.com/?p=2956

We need to distance ourselves from this kind of toxic politics. Take a reasoned course, allow the local officials to work out the voting problems, give legal help to the Dem if necessary, all the while LOUDLY CONTRASTING what we are doing with howe the Repubs do business.

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I agree with you 100% that Jennings should put her case to Congress if she feels she has a strong one and the state courts have not given it a sufficient hearing. Part of the problem with the Democrats these days is that they are too often shy of playing political hardball.

"Have faith in the voters and the process," says WindowDog. But this is the process. Article I, Section 5 of the US Constitution says, "Each House shall be the judge of the elections, returns and qualifications of its own members . . ." Furthermore, there is legislation on the books to guide the process, the Federal Contested Election Act of 1969.

There is a discussion of this at http://www.c-span.org/questions/weekly93.asp, along with a couple of recent examples of decisions about contested elections made through this very process. Several posters here speak as if this was highly unusual, but it's actually not.The Congress has been invoking this Clause since the very first Congress in 1789, when a Representative from South Carolina was challenged on a question of whether he was actually a citizen. By way of interesting stats:

From 1789 until the mid-19th century the number of contested election cases remained stable at an average of three per Congress. After the 34th Congress (1855-57) the number of contested seats rose sporadically to a peak of 38 during the 54th Congress (1895-97). In 1895, due to the increase in workload, the committee was split into three separate committees: Elections #1, Elections #2, and Elections #3. After 1935 the number of contested elections returned to an average of three per Congress, and in 1947 the three Elections Committees were abolished and their jurisdiction included in that of the new House Administration Committee

From the National Archives Guide to House Records

There's no abuse of power in this so long as the established rules are followed; those rules place the burden of proof on the challenger to show sufficient evidence that the official results of an election should be overturned.

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I'm with the folks who would rather not have a Democrat installed by the House majority. This has happened before; back in '84, IIRC, in a contested House race in Indiana, the Democrat was seated even though it looked like the Republican probably got more votes. It was one of the 'Democrat abuses of power' that Gingrich and the WSJ flogged mercilessly right up until 1994. One seat isn't worth it for how bad it would look (or would be made to look).

That said, I do think there should be a full investigation, maybe hearings and such, to publicize the problems that occurred there. Even if they end up seating the Republican, it should be made clear that his 'victory' is under a cloud.

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clearly, the right thing to do would be to hold the seat vacant and order a new election. With 18,000 votes just plain lost, there is no way to know who really won the race.

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I understand this thinking, but I really think that there needs to be some redress for past imbalances. By which I mean, I don't think we should again rely upon "well, we shouldn't do X because that would make a bad situation even worse, because the Republicans already did X". Here X could be installing a candidate or even something like impeaching the President.

Whatever the House should do, it should do it because it's the right thing to do. If there is significant evidence of error, and there seems to be that, the best thing to do here would be to have a re-vote with active supervision of the voting process.

What the House should not do is simply seat the Republican candidate, just to try to avoid "looking bad".

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That Won't Work!

Election laws are mandated by the states not the federal government, so any new election would use the same Diebold machines that created the problem in the first place!

The only way Congress could solve the problem would be to pass an electoral reform bill outlawing any use of paperless electronic machines in federal elections and mandating that all states move to institute an early voting system like that in use in Oregon.

But that would take some time, far longer than the time for certifying the vote in this one district and would probably be blocked by Republicans in the Senate or vetoed by Bush.

After all, Republicans LIKE electoral fraud! It's part of their bag of tricks and has been for over 100 years. They have control of the media so when they cheat they don't have weeks of negative coverage hammering them over being lying fraudsters. But, if a Democrat did the same thing, "oh, Nellie." Let's go LIVE to the angry mob outside the election commission where Republican activists will deliver a 5 minute rant on how corrupt the Democrats are!

In this climate the best thing to do would be to have public hearings on the problems with the election and then certify the "winner."

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Election laws are mandated by the states not the federal government, so any new election would use the same Diebold machines that created the problem in the first place!
The HAVA law is a federal law that created the mess in the first place. A similar law that insists on a minimum standard that included open source code and transparent paper counting would be at least as legal as the HAVA law.

While they are at it they need to put in strict antiGerrymandering laws. The Repubs already have such a bill in California, where it has been Gerrymandered in favor of Democrats, so to take their law and nationalize it, making sure it eliminated the practice everywhere, might have a salutary effect on both parties. My one zipcode is part of 4 Cong. districts, as a whole over half vote Democrat, but the Republicans win 75% of the seats. What the Democrats would lose in California would be more than made up in Florida and Texas alone.

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I agree that we shouldn't just replicate the way that Hastert "installed" Bilbray as my rep here in San Diego, as that left a pretty sore spot with us here too that have been campaigning for Busby. On the other hand, having the ability to declare her the winner will give us added clout to have that election put into more scrutiny and investigated to see what happened with these machines in detail. Give the Republicans a choice. Tell them that we can declare Jennings the winner and VERY publicly tell the public that the Republicans were NOT interested in doing an investigation, or investigate the election thoroughly to see what was wrong and commit to a special election if the winner can't be concluded from the anomalies of the results.

Perhaps if the Republicans are scared of exposing what REALLY went on behind the scenes, they might take the former, but we have to make it VERY public that it was THEIR decision not to want to pursue an investigation, so that they are pointed to more as a suspect in terms of not wanting election fraud being exposed to the public.

Either way, we have the cards now. Let's play them well though, and not just do what the Republicans did and just declare her the winner for powers' sake. That would not give us the leverage that Democrat constituency wants in cleaning up our election systems and only gets us one more vote in the House.

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