CQ Politics has just changed the rating of the race between Dem Charlie Wilson and GOPer Chuck Blasdel from "No Clear Favorite" to "Democrat Favored":

An early gaffe by the Democratic nominee in Ohio’s 6th District might paradoxically end up paving the way for his victory on Nov. 7: Analysts and strategists say Democratic state Sen. Charlie Wilson’s successful write-in campaign for the May 2 primary, the consequence of his embarrassing failure to qualify for the primary ballot, proved his political organizing skills.

A spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), which orchestrates the party’s national campaign for control of the House, told The Vindicator newspaper of Youngstown last year that the district was "the Republicans’ No. 1 targeted open seat in the country."

Yet...

More from CQ after the jump.

CQ continues:

Yet Wilson’s unusual but enormously successful write-in effort in the primary, combined with a sharp drop statewide in Republican support -- due in part to corruption scandals involving Gov. Bob Taft and Rep. Bob Ney -- and the GOP’s ongoing and recent problems at the national level now have tipped the scales in Democrats’ favor, experts say...

Further complicating matters for Blasdel is the fact that the NRCC, despite their early intentions to target the 6th, recently has turned almost all of its financial resources to its vulnerable House incumbents, including several in Ohio.

The GOP's on defense everywhere -- CQ's full analysis here. Meanwhile, CQ also changed its ranking of New Jersey's fifth, where Dem Paul Aronsohn is struggling to unseat GOP Rep Scott Garrett, from "Safe Republican" to "Republican Favored."