This is interesting. Idaho's First District is a reliably conservative one where President Bush pulled 68% of the vote in 2004. But now CQ Politics says a GOP victory there isn't assured: It's changed its rating of the race for GOP Rep. Butch Otter's seat between GOP candidate Bill Sali and Dem Larry Grant from "Safe Republican" to "Republican Favored." CQ says: "Sali is running on a staunchly social conservative, limited government platform that ought to play well with the typical Idaho 1 voter. But Sali’s blunt personality and history of clashing with colleagues and leaders in the Idaho legislature have given some voters pause about sending him to Washington." The DCCC sees the contest as one of its "emerging races" -- contests where Dems have an unexpected shot in typically Republican strongholds.