GOP Has More Cash In 41 Of Top 60 House Races
The outbreak of Foleygate two weeks ago sparked a massive shift of mid-term momentum in favor of Dems, but the GOP's House candidates still hold the advantage when it comes to cold, hard campaign cash. Now that campaigns across the country have filed their third quarter fundraisng numbers, we tallied up all the races to see who will have more financial firepower in the remaining three weeks until election day. We looked at the breakdown at Politcal Money Line of the National Journal's top 60 most competitive House races. The final total? The GOP candidate has the cash advantage in 41 out of the 60 races -- more than two-thirds of the contests. Here's some more on this. And check out our full list of races and their cash breakdown after the jump.
The races are organzied for the quarter ending on Sept. 30 with total fundraising for the quarter first and total cash on hand second. The candidate with more cash on hand is listed first.
Top 60 Houses Races:
1) AZ-08: Dem Gabrielle Giffords: $632,625; $376,645 GOPer Randy Graf: $289,181; $254,6852) TX-22:
Dem Nick Lampson: $390,230; $1,711,469
GOPer Shelly Sekula-Gibbs: $642,675; $403,0943) FL-16:
Dem Tim Mahoney: $207,926; $389,752
GOPer Joe Negron didn't enter the race until after Sept. 29th, when former Rep. Mark Foley resigned in disgrace.4) PA-10:
GOP Rep. Don Sherwood: $417,665; $436,093
Dem Chris Carney: $435,226; $271,4115) IN-08:
Dem Brad Ellsworth: $430,322; $413,646
GOP Rep. John Hostettler: $165,452; $269,7046) CO-07:
GOPer Rick O'Donnell: $663,740; $775,129
Dem Ed Perlmutter: $1,041,319; $388,4407) IN-02:
GOP Rep. Chris Chocola: $809,010; $1,001,909
Dem Joe Donnelly: $551,284; $333,4508) IA-01:
Dem Bruce Braley: $822,364; $393,610
GOPer Mike Whalen: $518,702; $140,2669) OH-18:
GOPer Joy Padgett: $504,978; $256,487
Dem Zack Space: $419,283; $146,67810) OH-15:
GOP Rep. Deborah Pryce: $1,435,127; $2,017,515
Dem Mary Jo Kilroy: $1,009,954; $793,24311) IN-09:
GOP Rep. Mike Sodrel: $439,429; $1,072,321
Dem Baron Hill: $364,542; $927,40212) FL-22:
GOP Rep. Clay Shaw: $503,371; $1,869,233
Dem Ron Klein: $437,154; $492,90613) PA-06:
GOP Rep. Jim Gerlach: $629,177; $1,201,496
Dem Lois Murphy: $697,756; $873,07514) CT-04:
GOP Rep. Christopher Shays: $844,096; $1,609,636
Dem Diane Farrell: $594,001; $812,11715) NY-24:
Dem Mike Arcuri: $559,934; $462,105
GOPer Ray Meier: $282,689; $379,40716) PA-07:
Dem Joe Sestak: $1,181,011; $1,561,872
GOP Rep. Curt Weldon: $893,998; $1,129,26917) NY-26:
GOP Rep. Tom Reynolds: $356,930; $1,906,369
Dem jack Davis: $901,047; $67,02118) CT-02:
GOP Rep. Rob Simmons: $578,502; $955,528
Dem Joe Courtney: $518,705; $209,97219) NC-11:
Dem Heath Shuler: $438,310; $591,200
GOP Rep. Charles Taylor: $2,001,623; $333,17220) IL-06:
GOPer Peter Roskam: $592,233; $1,500,951
Dem Tammy Duckworth: $962,941; $206,38221) NM-01:
GOP Rep. Heather Wilson: $1,063,126; $1,352,916
Dem Patricia Madrid: $686,985; $539,45022) WA-08:
GOP Rep. David Reichert: $291,993; $1,301,332
Dem Darcy Burner: $473,408; $779,32223) VA-02:
GOP Rep. Thelma Drake: $564,629; $712,506
Dem Phil Kellam: $371,642; $160,43224) WI-08:
GOPer John Gard: $186,282; $284,884
Dem Steve Kagen: $381,665; $160,43225) PA-08:
Dem Patrick Murphy: $649,068; $632,019
GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick: $405, 107; $446,03826) CT-05:
GOP Rep. Nancy Johnson: $887,589; $1,081,112
Dem Chris Murphy: $708,005; $367,52527) MN-06:
Dem Patty Wetterling: $833,702; $996,685
GOPer Michelle Bachmann: $464,209; $702,56228) KY-04:
GOP Rep. Geoff Davis: $853,134; $1,645,314
Dem Ken Lucas: $399,028; $381,24829) FL-13:
GOPer Vern Buchanan: $1,124,647; $134,533
Dem Christine Jennings: $429,921; $65,43130) OH-01:
GOP Rep. Steve Chabot: $699,122; $733,484
Dem John Cranley: $402,471; $119,02731) GA-12:
Dem Rep. John Barrow: $516,044; $1,069,697
GOPer Max Burns: $637,478; $603,91432) IA-03:
GOPer Jeff Lamberti: $391,385; $529,275
Dem Rep. Leonard Boswell: $385,937; $252,21933) NY-20:
GOP Rep. John Sweeney: $449,514; $640,882
Dem Kirsten Rutnik Gilibrand: $412,546; $497,79734) AZ-05:
GOP Rep. J.D. Hayworth: $478,969; $1,349,257
Dem Harry Mitchell: $319,346; $565,86635) NH-02:
GOP Rep. Charles Bass: $216,015; $508,135
Dem Paul Hodes: $230,515; $216,08136) NY-29:
GOP Rep. John "Randy" Kuhl: $222,553; $551,628
Dem Eric Massa: $306,731; $333,99537) CA-11:
GOP Rep. Richard Pombo: $938,573; $1,139,535
Dem Jerry McNerney: $714,552; $323,79838) VT-AL:
Dem Peter Welch: $313,438; $522,087
GOPer Martha Rainville: $167,503; $238,67839) KY-03:
GOP Rep. Anne Northup: $591,956; $1,542,283
Dem John Yarmuth: $676,284; $536,24440) IL-08:
GOPer David McSweeney: $707,901; $688,299
Dem Rep. Melissa Bean: $635,218; $324,19341) GA-08:
Dem Rep. Jim Marshall: $327,454; $954,964
GOPer Mac Collins: $340,111; $501,82142) NV-02:
GOPer Dean Heller: $383,766; $279,655
Dem Jill Derby: $340,849; $183,63543) OH-02:
Dem Victorai Wulsin: $376,337; $263,471
GOP Rep. Jean Schmidt: $332,863; $224,35844) TX-17:
Dem Rep. Chet Edwards: $655,085; $1,144,693
GOPer Van Tayl0r: $328,907; $102,49545) PA-04:
GOP Rep. Melissa Hart: $486,321; $1,114,719
Dem Jason Altmire: $237,377; $273,62246) CA-04:
GOP Rep. John Doolittle: $713,950; $774,039
Dem Charlie Brown: $718,946; $251,07847) CO-4:
GOP Rep. Marilyn Musgrave: $575,058; $932,074
Dem Angie Paccione: $568,729; $309,38348) NV-03:
Dem Tessa Hafen: $318,129; $456,008
GOP Rep. Jon Porter: $363,878; $188,59749) MN-01:
GOP Rep. Gil Gutknecht: $208,683; $790,866
Dem Tim Walz: $213,237; $289,25150) WV-01:
GOPer Chris Wakim: $164,471; $320,914
Dem Rep. Alan Mollohan: $230,246; $248,24151) TX-23:
GOP Rep. Henry Bonilla:$532,792; $2,281,340
Dem Lukin Gilliland: $386,011; $33,68452) WY-AL:
Dem Gary Trauner:$256,933; $333,032
GOP Rep. Barbara Cubin:$284,891; $325,00053) CA-50:
Dem Francine Busby: $286,598; $325,074
GOP Rep. Brian Bilbray: $414,105; $194,95454) OH-12:
GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi: $541,502; $1,147,090
Dem Bob Shamansky: $855,251; $602,07755) KY-02:
GOP Rep. Ron Lewis: $371,965; $827,093
Dem Mike Weaver: $228,961; $270,92256) CO-05:
Dem Jay Fawcett: $146,657; $106,317
GOPer Doug Lamborn: $286,214; $92,70657) NY-19:
GOP Rep. Sue Kelly: $201,194; $1,195,154
Dem John Hall: $214,382; $245,44658) NY-25:
GOP Rep. Jim Walsh: $227,298; $530,761
Dem Dan Maffel: $195,236; $136,98259) KS-02:
GOP Rep. Jim Ryun: $157,086; $382,529
Dem Nancy Boyda: $147,783; $156,31560) VA-10:
GOP Rep. Frank Wolf: $437,877; $879,518
Dem Judy Feder: $465,752; $637,315
Total fundraising during the quarter (not overall), then total cash on hand.
Here's a great site for looking at the money numbers as you are deciding how to give your limited dollars for political donations:
http://capturecongress.com/
(although I think their cash-on-hand #s have yet to be updated to the latest #s that were just released)
October 17, 2006 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
How are the money #s in the most competitive 5 or 6 Senate races?
October 17, 2006 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
ohiomeister,
Thanks for pointing out the lack of clarity. I've updated the post to note that the fundraising totals are for the 3rd quarter only, not overall.
October 17, 2006 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I put together the following list of candidates that I think the online netroots community should support in these final three weeks before the election, based on two criteria:
1) the closeness of the race in public polls, and
2) the relatively low financial stakes of the contest (thereby making it a lot easier to influence the race with a pool of relatively small individual donations).
The following races feature candidates with less than $500,000 combined in cash on hand, listed from least combined cash on hand to most:
1) CO-05:
Dem Jay Fawcett: $146,657; $106,317
GOPer Doug Lamborn: $286,214; $92,706 ($199,023, poll 37%-37%)
2) FL-13:
GOPer Vern Buchanan: $1,124,647; $134,533
Dem Christine Jennings: $429,921; $65,431 ($199,464, poll 44%-47%)
3) OH-18:
GOPer Joy Padgett: $504,978; $256,487
Dem Zack Space: $419,283; $146,678 ($403,165, poll 41%-48%)
4) NV-02:
GOPer Dean Heller: $383,766; $279,655
Dem Jill Derby: $340,849; $183,635 ($436,290, poll 45%-42%)
5) WI-08:
GOPer John Gard: $186,282; $284,884
Dem Steve Kagen: $381,665; $160,432 ($445,316, poll 46%-48%)
6) OH-02:
Dem Victorai Wulsin: $376,337; $263,471
GOP Rep. Jean Schmidt: $332,863; $224,358 ($487,829, poll 48%-45%)
Note that most of the races are within a few points according to the most recent poll (from the TPM Election Central list of polls).
Any interest in spreading the word and making this group the six candidates that the Netroots will support in the final 21 days leading up to November 7???
October 17, 2006 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Total GOP cash on hand advantage in these races: $46,784,514.
October 17, 2006 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
ohiomeister,
Though I feel like my role at Election Central isn't to advocate for a course of action, I certainly support using the 3rd quarter filing numbers to maximize the effectiveness of netroots campaign cash. With the obvious financial disadvantage of the Dems, strategic use of cash is definitely going to be important.
Of the races you mention, Jill Derby in NV-02 is running a strong campaign. I've felt for a few weeks now that she has a lot of potential to win in November. Check out the ads she's been running here.
October 17, 2006 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink